A recent post at the website Rigzone, “No Hurricanes Strike USA For 1st Time in a Decade,” discusses how the United States lucked out by not being struck by any hurricanes this year, and never once credits climate change. The whole post is factual and straightforward. Climate change is not making hurricanes worse, it is simply not evidenced in the data.
Rigzone reported that “for the first time in a decade, not a single hurricane struck the U.S. this season, and that was a much needed break,” as the lead-in to discussing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) recent statements on the end of Atlantic hurricane season.
NOAA and Rigzone both acknowledged the tragic landfalls in Jamaica and other nearby countries, but does not try to attribute them to climate change. Rather, they simply factually reported on the storms and their tragic consequences. This is great reporting, straightforward and without spin. Earlier in the season, Climate Realism addressed some of the false claims regarding Hurricane Melissa and Erin, particularly when media claimed that “rapid intensification” was due to climate change. That was false, no real world data backed the assertion, only misleading and corrupt attribution models that over-emphasize water temperature and downplay other factors that influence hurricane strength and formation.
Rigzone noted in passing how the season fell within the lower end of NOAA’s predicted ranges for the number of named storms and hurricanes, but over-estimated with regards to the Atlantic season overall. Initially, NOAA predicted “a 30 percent chance of a near-normal season, a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season, and a 10 percent chance of a below-normal season.” Those numbers were later adjusted towards a 50-50 split.
This season was near-normal, showing that the atmosphere is complex with a lot of factors, some poorly understood, that influence the severity of a hurricane season, beyond temperatures. Nobody can perfectly predict what other factors might spring up and change the seasonal trend.
It might be wise for NOAA and other agencies to err on the high side when making seasonal forecasts, just to prevent people from underestimating the danger from tropical cyclones. However, it does undermine some credibility when it seems every season is supposed to be terrible and most aren’t. Climate alarmists often take advantage of these proclamations to suggest that hurricane seasons are intensifying when clearly they are not.
This science based reporting is refreshing, though suspicious, because one wonders if the news was bad, if the season was worse than usual, whether they would then attribute it to climate change. One wonders why the first no-landfall year in a decade (a good thing) isn’t caused by climate change, while bad weather is, at least according to much of the media.
In any case, this reporting by Rigzone was very good, and they deserve props for it, because it is all too easy to toss in a “throwaway” line about climate change, but they resisted and kept the post fact-focused. Good job, Rigzone, for some accurate, straight, reporting, sans any climate change hype.
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From what I’m reading, man made climate change increases the strength of land falls, not their frequency. Rigzone’s factual reporters and editors should be commended for what they posted and what they didn’t.
I read Rigzone for the company news and for the ugly fun of watching the US upstream oil and gas go to shit, via the paucity of real ads for gainful employment and for the rise of fake job ads. After ~50 years of (lucrative, way back when) oilfield trashin’ my biggest accomplishment was talking my kids into careers elsewhere.
You need to improve your reading repertoire. This is from 4½ years ago.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/05/23/co2-cyclone-doomsday-flat-out-refuted-170-years-absolutely-no-trend-in-hurricane-intensity-frequency/
Keep up. I can post a dozen more, from this year.
https://www.pbsnc.org/blogs/science/warming-oceans-made-every-atlantic-hurricane-in-2024-stronger/
Left-wing politics and their media lap dogs, includes PBS, have
successfully created a problem where there isn’t any problem.
The left has created boogiemen out of carbon dioxide, methane,
nitrogenous fertilizer, and various refrigerants. They have claimed
every weather related issue, includes hurricanes, as caused by or
acerbated by CO₂.
A well known quote is appropriate:
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed
(and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an
endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” H. L. Mencken
“Left-wing politics and their media lap dogs…”
You forgot the scientific community – functionally, all of it. And community planners, and pretty much of the rest of us carbon based life forms.
Here’s another well known quote:
“If you run into an asshole in the morning, you ran into an asshole. If you run into assholes all day, you’re the asshole.” -Raylan Givens
What a totally irrelevant comment !!
You should take note of Raylan’s last comment, and see yourself.
“and pretty much of the rest of us carbon based life forms.”
So you are human carbon pollution.
“The study was done using what is known as attribution science.”
LOL.. done with JUNK attribution models, where they design their models to give the answer they want.
Comparing the results of two fake suppository models to each other IS NOT SCIENCE..
It is anti-science propaganda..
I am so freaking tired of the endless parade of their climate models that doesn’t boast verified forecast skills to depend on, they are badly over used and smacks of propaganda.
From the Climate Central website:
We use science and technology to generate thousands of local storylines and compelling visuals that make climate change personal and show what can be done about it.
Made every hurricane stronger than what?
“The analysis of the 2024 season was built off the framework of another report looking at storms between 2019 and 2023. The study looked at 38 storms and found that on average, the intensities were roughly one category higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale compared to their expected strength in a climate without warming. The winds were more intense because of the ocean’s warmer surface temperatures.”
Climate is supposed to be 30 years. This, whether true or not, is based on cherry piccking.
From what I’m reading you will do any kind of mental gymnastics to prove your point – no matter how shabby they are.
Anyway, I’m really sorry for you running all day into assholes.
You may know nothing about climate but you are finally aware of what you are.
Fun fact:
151 hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico.
0 hurricanes in the Gulf of America.
Just remember, bad weather is caused by climate change, good weather is just weather.
That is tough luck for ‘Waulers. Oh well, better luck next year.
Very nice Linnea. The problem with outfits like NOAA is they talk like they can do far more than they actually can. That and they have bought into the CAGW faith with no proper scientific or observational evidence to back it up. They need to leave the politics behind, admit they don’t have all the answers, let everyone know that they must always be prepared for bad weather, report current real storms as accurately as they can and encourage the public to take seriously their warnings. No one will take their warnings seriously if they continue to preach the CAGW gospel. The CAGW crowd has been wrong about nearly everything they have warned us about. That is a bad thing.
An important revelation, particularly since the mainstream media pointedly has downplayed or ignored entirely this fact. Canada’s CBC was guaranteed to be among them though if any such storm struck elsewhere globally, it would be positive proof to be related to climate change. Incidentally, that country has been hit by major snowfalls and record low temperatures in various areas, except because of human fossil-fuel-related activity, winters were supposed to have become milder, or so the climate gurus have been assuring us.
“the United States lucked out by not being struck by any hurricanes this year”
but— but— there’s supposed to be SOME- so something is wrong- sounds dangerous to me- it proves the climate is changing- we gotta do something- we gotta stop using fossil fuels! /s 🙂