Michael Barone’s “We Have Reached the Emily Litella Moment on Climate Change” published at Rasmussen Reports, reads like confirmation of something many of us have been documenting for years: the climate catastrophe narrative is not collapsing because of denial or politics, but because it has finally run out of evidentiary runway. Barone gives this reckoning a memorable cultural hook, likening today’s retreat from apocalyptic certainty to Emily Litella’s sheepish “Never mind” — the moment when an overheated argument quietly dissolves under the weight of reality.
What makes Barone’s column especially notable is that it arrives amid a broader fracture in the climate narrative — a fracture I recently described as “The Week Climate Catastrophism Lost its Grip.” In just a few days, voices once considered untouchable within polite discourse began conceding what skeptics have long argued: that claims of imminent collapse were never as solid as advertised.
Barone points to this shift by highlighting figures such as Bill Gates and Ted Nordhaus, both now openly acknowledging that climate change is not an existential threat. Gates’ admission that climate change “will not lead to humanity’s demise” is particularly telling, not because it is radical, but because it is mundane — an implicit walk-back from decades of rhetoric that framed warming as a civilizational endgame.
That same recalibration was on vivid display when Nordhaus himself wrote, “I no longer believe this hyperbole,” repudiating the catastrophic projections he once helped popularize. Barone treats this not as an isolated conversion, but as evidence that the underlying models and assumptions simply failed to deliver their promised disasters. From a WUWT perspective, this is the predictable outcome of overconfident modeling, exaggerated feedbacks, and a refusal to reconcile forecasts with observed data.
What Barone captures particularly well — and what aligns closely with my own op-ed — is how gatekeeping has shaped the debate. For years, dissent was caricatured as ignorance, even as emeritus scientists like Richard Lindzen and William Happer were sidelined despite decades of experience in atmospheric physics. When those same scientists explain, calmly and publicly, that climate sensitivity is uncertain and extreme-weather trends remain unalarming, the spell breaks. The problem for the catastrophists is scale: the old filters no longer work.
Barone also nails the quasi-religious tone that climate advocacy has adopted. Rituals of atonement, moral absolutism, and hostility toward heresy have replaced empirical skepticism. At WUWT, we’ve long argued that once science becomes a belief system, it stops correcting itself. Barone’s comparison of climate activism to secular religion is not hyperbole — it is an observation borne out by how critics are treated and how failed predictions are quietly memory-holed.
Perhaps the most important overlap between Barone’s essay and my own analysis is the emphasis on adaptation and resilience. Nordhaus’ acknowledgment that climate-related mortality has plummeted despite modest warming reinforces a point that catastrophism cannot explain away: human prosperity, technology, and infrastructure matter far more than model-driven temperature scenarios. As Barone suggests, the public has begun to notice that the promised disasters never quite arrive — and that each new “crisis” sounds suspiciously like the last.
In that sense, the Emily Litella moment isn’t a sudden revelation; it’s a slow recognition that the emperor has been without clothes for some time. The climate movement didn’t gain certainty — it gained better marketing. Now, as insiders quietly say “never mind,” the narrative loses its authority.
Barone’s column is valuable not because it breaks new scientific ground, but because it signals a cultural shift. When mainstream commentators begin conceding what skeptical scientists and analysts have argued all along — that uncertainty is real, impacts are overstated, and catastrophe was oversold — the debate finally moves out of fear and back toward evidence.
If there is a genuine tipping point here, it isn’t measured in degrees Celsius. It’s measured in how willing people are to question claims that demand obedience but deliver exaggeration. On that front, Barone’s essay is less a eulogy than a marker — a sign that the long-delayed “never mind” has finally arrived.
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Here’s the original Emily Litella “Never Mind” clip from SNL. It is truly unfortunate that the great comedienne Gilda Radner is now long gone.
Emily Litella- Violence (AASU Production)
I think this piece by Barone has further implications. RCP8.5 was most of the principal justification behind things like the 2015 Paris Accord. It would appear that the Accord no longer has any justification in science whatsoever. So we should not be surprised when most national leaders are disregarding its requirements to submit plans for complying with admission reductions.
Worse, most of the work of IPCC is based upon extrapolations with little or no evidentiary basis. IPCC has been cranking out prognostications of doom for decades. Given the failure of any of their predictions to come true, why should the IPCC exist at all now? After all, it was the origin of RCP8.5.
Thanks, Radner was great. I wish Netflix had her standup rutines for screening. I suspect the politics would not be to Netfix’s liking.
Indeed not. Thing was, Radner wrote most of her own lines in SNL. She created the characters Emily Litella and the unforgettable Roseanne Roseannadanna. Once television had cleverness and impact; then Disney and DEI turned it into a wasteland of boredom.
And when Disney and DEI gave us a brown Snow White, they got their just desserts.Who can forget South Park’s ‘Entering the Panderverse’?
That was the Golden Age of Saturday Night Live. It was VERY funny.
Nothing like it today.
Chris Farley.
Just your mention of Roseanne Roseannadanna’s name, made me laugh. Gilda was a very funny woman.
She and Gene Wilder as mates had to be hilarious.
“DEI gave us a brown Snow White”
And a black Hamilton.
And dwarves that weren’t.
Can’t forget because never saw… so went to Wikipedia. The article there started in the mold of a plot summary about the South Park episode, then turned into another online boxing match between people who love DEI Disney and people who hate DEI Disney.
The IPCC also falsify data. It’s a gravy train they don’t want derailed.
“I think this piece by Barone has further implications. RCP8.5 was most of the principal justification behind things like the 2015 Paris Accord.”
RCP8.5 was a scenario where coal and other fossil fuels continued to increase all the way to 2050. This was called the “worst-case scenario”.
Well, guess what: Coal and other fossil fuels *are* going to increase in use all the way to 2050, so we are living in the RCP8.5 scenario now, or will be soon.
But there is no evidence that using more coal and other fossil fuels will cause any measurable increase in the Earth’s temperatures. So, even though we will experience RCP8.5,, thanks to AI and other factors, there is no evidence we will experience any detrimental effects.
The detrimental effects only take place in the fevered imaginations of Climate Alarmists and their computer models.
Lindzen and Happer are on my top five climate scientists list, and so is Dr. Hermann Harde, German Physicist, another enemy of the climate alarmist consensus driven IPCC contributors.
40 Gt of CO₂ ≠ 8 ppm: Here’s Why (Harde’s Math and Henry’s Law)”
Global fossil fuel emissions are about 40 gigatons of CO₂ per year. If all of that stayed in the atmosphere, here’s what would happen:
Harde argues that most of the 2 ppm rise is natural, driven by temperature-dependent ocean outgassing. If only 10–15% of the observed rise is anthropogenic:
2 ppm×0.10 to 0.15=0.2 to 0.3 ppm/year
So, from Harde’s perspective, the human contribution is 0.2–0.3 ppm/year, not the full 2 ppm. The rest is explained by natural fluxes and ocean chemistry buffering.
Is This Henry’s Law?
Yes—Henry’s Law states that the amount of gas dissolved in a liquid is proportional to its partial pressure above the liquid. In this context:
Bottom line: The math and chemistry show why Harde concludes CO₂ is not the dominant “climate control knob.” Climate science may be complicated, but this isn’t. Science is about numbers, not narratives.
By that math: When atmospheric CO2 concentration was at its highest in a previous age, what would the equilibrium concentration of CO2 been in ocean water?
Today’s oceans: ~10–15 μmol/L CO₂ (at 420 ppm).
So at 2,000 ppm, dissolved CO₂ concentration could be roughly 4–6 times higher.(see Copilot AI for calculations)
Thanks, sounds possible
Partial pressure at play.
Well done.
not an issue because most was subject to phytoplankton and consequent sequestration and an abundance of sea food.
Harold The Organic Chemist Says:
RE: Update on CO2 In The Air.
At the Mauna Loa Obs. in Hawaii, the concentration of CO2 in the air is currently
426 ppmv. One cubic meter of this air has a mass of 1,290 g and contains a mere
0.84 g of CO2 at STP. Most of the terrestrial CO2 from many sources is absorbed by the oceans and seas and by fresh water on land. Since the pH of the oceans and seas is ca. 8.1, CO2 is converted to mostly bicarbonate anion and a smaller amount carbonate anion. A large portion of CO2 absorb by the oceans is used for growth by plants ranging from alga to seaweeds and kelps.
In sea water, the relative amounts of bicarbonate anion, carbonate anion and CO2 are 89, 10.5 and 0.5.
The bicarbonate and carbonate anions are used to form the calcium carbonate shells of shellfish, the structures of sea stars and corals and the exoskeletons of microorganism such as cocolithophores and foraminifora. When these die, their exoskeletons sink to the ocean floor for beds of calcium carbonate. After millions of years these beds formed limestone after the ocean levels dropped during ice ages.
There is so little CO2 in the air we don’t have to about causing any global warming. In winter in Canada, CO2 hibernates. Yesterday in the Yukon temperatures dropped to -55° C.
Thanks Harold, I mention above that Lindzen, Happer, and Harde are on my top 5 scientists list, Sulpis is as well from whom I learned about CaCO3 dissolution maintaining ocean ph. I’ve added your comments to that file.
When CO2 is absorbed by the oceans a portion is converted to carbonic acid which is neutralized by carbonate anion and by CaCO3
CO2 + H2O ——> H2CO3
H2CO3 +C3O^2- —–> 2HC3O^1-
H2CO3 + CaCO3 —–> Ca2(HCO3)
Calcium bicarbonate is soluble in water,
Lindsey comment that lot believe a tiny amount of CO2 controls the climate is “magical thinking” remains my favorite – climate alarmist no doubt also believe that pixie dust cam make boys fly
Oh you dashed a fervent belief.
I lost my Never Never Land membership card and grew up.
Getting old is highly overrated.
Harold The Organic Chemist Says:
“Carbon Dioxide Does Not Cause Warming of Air”
Shown in the chart (See below) are plots of the average seasonal temperatures and a plot of the average annual temperatures at the Furnace Creek weather station in Death Valley from 1922 to 2001. In 1922 the concentration of CO2 in air was ca. 303 ppmv (0.60 g CO2/cu. m. of air), and by 2001, it had increased to ca. 371 ppmv (0.73 g CO2/cu. m. of air) but there was corresponding increase in air temperature at this remote desert. The reason there was no warming of air at this arid desert is that there is too little CO2 in air to absorb longwave IR light emanating from the desert surface to cause heating of the air.
The chart was taken from the late John L. Daly’s website:
“Still Waiting For Greenhouse” available at: http://www.john-daly.com. From the home page, go to end and click on: “Station Temperature Data”. On the “World Map”, click on “NA” and page down to U.S.A.-Pacific. A list of station is displayed Finally, scroll down and click on “Death Valley”. Use the back arrow to redisplay the list of stations. Clicking the back arrow displays the
“World Map”. John Daly found over 200 weather stations that showed no warming up to 2002.
NB: If you click on the chart, it will expand and become clear. Click on the
“X” in the circle to contact the chart and return to Comments.
typo: 40 ÷ 2130 ≈ 0.0188 × 420 ≈ 7.9 ppm/year if all stayed in the atmosphere.
About half remains, so ~4 ppm/year theoretical.2-2.5 observed
.
It is worth the time to follow the link to the Barrone article. Well written.
Really bad ideas never quite disappear, like California’s Prop 65 being a outgrowth of Nixon’s War on Cancer.
The IPCC plainly said as far back as AR5 that pretty much everything was going to have a much greater effect on humanity. Here is the money quote:
For most economic sectors, the impact of climate change will be small relative to the impacts of other drivers (medium evidence, high agreement). Changes in population, age, income, technology, relative prices, lifestyle, regulation, governance, and many other aspects of socioeconomic development will have an impact on the supply and demand of economic goods and services that is large relative to the impact of climate change. {10.10}
They said it in plain English and then doubled down with in depth investigation of each category. Some graphics are messed up due to server moves, but you can see my WUWT article on it here:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/01/we-have-bigger-problems-than-climate-change-so-sayeth-ipcc-ar5/
In AR6 they made certain that no such plain reading of the facts would be possible. It was densely written in order that extracting the facts from all the verbiage was pretty much impossible. Jan 1, 2026 will mark ten years since I wrote that article. That the charade continued despite the IPCC itself admitting the truth is quite remarkable.
Names of a different mould come to mind that have been quiet for some time like Oreskes, Lewandowsky not forgetting Australia’s very own John Cook of Sceptical Science notoriety whose Wiki entry states: ‘individuals who reject evidence that supports human-caused global warming include Richard Lindzen John Christy and Christopher Monckton’, a disingenuous claim at the very least.
Any judgement other than any human-caused warming is ipso facto catastrophic is heresy deserving of punishment to the good doctor who has switched from ‘climate change’ to the truly Orwellian sounding Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change.
Rat torture anyone?
You have read, I hope, that Wiki was taken over by Climate Liars and much that was published contrary to the alamism was taken down/deleted and others were edited to inflame the alarmism.
I no longer rely on Wiki.
This is as may be, but uninformed people generally are still clinging to the old tired tropes in the face of mounting evidence against them. For some reason, people always like to believe in a looming apocalypse of some kind. It’s especially attractive if certain groups of people can be blamed for everything. In this case it’s ‘previous generations’.
I’m fairly certain that when absolutely nothing catastrophic has happened, and everything is obviously continuing as ever, these people will believe that the catastrophe has actually happened. They are too easy to fool.
“For some reason, people always like to believe in a looming apocalypse of some kind.”
I call these kind of people “conspiracy theorists”. They have a feeling that something bad is happening behind the scenes. They allow their feelings to become their reality.
And this all boils down to blaming someone else for your own problems. You are not to blame for the problems you face, so it must be: “Fill-in-the blanks” fault.
The term “conspiracy theorist” has often been used to disparage those who have exposed the real machinations of the elite and the deceitful. It is my understanding that the term was coined by the CIA for that purpose. I wouldn’t be surprised if that were true. There can be no doubt that something is often happening behind the scenes.
That being said, looking for conspiracy behind every event is certainly unhealthy and obsessive. Parsimony demands that we first look for the simplest explanation, and not seek dark designs where stupidity or carelessness is a more likely cause.
Yes, it was first used to describe those who questioned the official JFK story. Always remember that the “official narrative” is a lie.
“There can be no doubt that something is often happening behind the scenes.”
I agree with that
My definition of a conspiracy theory is when someone claims something is happening behind the scenes, but gives no names, and gives no details of how the conspiracy unfolded. Without those, it is just a conspiracy Theory and deserves to be criticized for lack of enough information to come to a conclusion.
“Trust me” isn’t good enough for me.
Indeed. I would call that conspiracy speculation. I don’t trust speculation, nor would I ever say “trust me”. Speculation can be an interesting thought experiment and a starting point for investigation, but never a conclusion.
To further address your assessment of those obsessed with apocalypse, I speculate that people tend to observe existence in terms of events, and ultimate events captivate the imagination. Spectacular events demand a sense of causation.
I would suppose that a successful conspiracy would try as far as possible to avoid detectable events and progress more subtly, such that its conclusion would seem to be a natural condition.
The growth of government control, for instance, is certainly no accident, but far too many people accept it as inevitable, even desirable.
How do you tell a politician is lying? His lips are moving.
When a politician says, “Trust me” you know it is time to run away.
People do use convoluted “logic” to cling to the narrative. I once had a guy challenge my “There Is No Climate Crisis” message by insisting that the government had lied about the harm of leaded gasoline. He was rather nonplussed when I queried as to why the fact that the government had lied then should be cause to believe the government now.
“Rituals of atonement, moral absolutism, and hostility toward heresy have replaced empirical skepticism.”
Oh dear, that dreadful moral absolutism. Like saying that murder is always wrong. Or theft is always wrong. Or coveting your neighbour’s wife is always wrong. Oh no, we can’t have crazy ideas like that. The opposite of moral absolutism is moral relativism: the idea that we can each determine our own morality. (It might be wrong to you but it’s okay by me.) So out goes truth. Instead it becomes, for some people at any rate, okay to lie and cheat. So, if you don’t like the idea of moral absolutism, stop complaining about politicians and scientists who lie about climate change in order to line their pockets. You can’t impose your morality on them.
No we can’t.
But we should expect that everybody abides the hippocratic principle “first do no harm”.
After all, aren’t we supposed to be the species observed to have evolved to be “self-aware ” and to apply structured reasoning / rationality, rather than applying just basic instincts & emotions?
Even “influencers” have worked out that the Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs pyramid is a very useful resource in guiding their business development strategies.
And if you’ve seen most “influencers” plying their chosen trade, it can’t be that hard to conclude that rationality hasn’t yet influenced most of the human race 🐑🐑🐑🐑🐑
There are dolphins and other oceanic mammals that are intelligent and self-aware.
We are the first, if not the only, species able to imagine and anticipate/plan for a future.
. So, if you don’t like the idea of moral absolutism, stop complaining about politicians and scientists who lie about climate change in order to line their pockets. You can’t impose your morality on them.
EXCUSE ME – that may be on of the dumbest comments ever on WUWT and trust me, the competition is fierce. When people lie and cheat in order to line their pockets they are committing crimes that they can be prosecuted for. If everyone could just lie and cheat with no consequences life would be a disaster
The laws we have are LITERALLY formulated so that we CAN force our morality on others. That we have a prosecutors who fail to prosecute is another matter. Suggesting that people should be allowed to lie and cheat to line their pockets is absurd.
You missed the point on disliking moral absolutism in favor of moral relativism.
CF was not espousing moral relativism.
The longer they hyped up the dooming the more the weather doesn’t fit their narrative over the long haul-
Aussies wake to rare Christmas snowfall
..then the longer they couldn’t change the weather with solar and wind factories the more the computer modelling behind them would be challenged. Particularly if they were stuck lying about fickles being cheaper which they were by encouraging rooftop solar early without thinking it through with the fallacy of composition. Once there were so many votes in the boondoggle they were committed to the lie with no way of retreating.
Well said.
It’s also a good time for skeptics of climate alarm to realize that attribution of ANY “warming” or ANY trend of ANY climate variable to emissions of CO2 has been unsound all along.
Simpson and Brunt knew what to say about this in 1938 in response to Callendar’s study.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/04/06/open-thread-138/#comment-4058322
And in modern modeling, ERA5 helps us grasp that dynamic energy conversion within the general circulation massively overwhelms the static radiative effect of rising CO2.
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1PDJP3F3rteoP99lR53YKp2fzuaza7Niz?usp=drive_link
In my view, it is important, along with the “never mind” sentiment about exaggerated impacts, to also demonstrate the original misconception about the disposition of the energy involved in the computed radiative effect from increasing concentrations of IR-active trace gases.
Thank you for your patience in this matter.
“It’s also a good time for skeptics of climate alarm to realize that attribution of ANY “warming” or ANY trend of ANY climate variable to emissions of CO2 has been unsound all along.”
That’s correct. Climate Alarmists haven’t had a leg to stand on this entire time.
All Climate Alarmists have done for the last 50 years is try to present speculation, assumptions and unsubstantiated assertions about CO2 and the Earth’s climate, as established facts.
Climate Alarmists have no established facts showing CO2 is measurably warming the Earth’s atmosphere. None. After 50 years of looking, maybe there isn’t any evidence for such a thing, and that’s why they can’t nail it down.
“Climate Alarmists have no established facts showing CO2 is measurably warming the Earth’s atmosphere.”
Agreed. Even highly respected skeptics still tend to concede that one should expect *some* warming as a result of incremental CO2. No. We have no good physical reason to concede that the computed static effect drives the end result in the form of sensible heat gain under the dynamic circulation of the compressible fluid atmosphere. I know I sound like a broken record on this point, but it bears repeating.
“Even highly respected skeptics still tend to concede that one should expect *some* warming as a result of incremental CO2.”
Yes, even they are assuming too much.
Kill Gates will very probably save some money because the climate scam hasn’t given him the return he was expecting. The poison jab on the other hand has been a very good earner. Gates reckoned he could get at least a 20-1 return from the jab and that he brags on a financial blog before the ‘pandemic’ even hit. He seemed to be quite excited about the prospect.
There is one particular climate whistle blower not mentioned and her name is Mother Nature. She blows this every winter that gets colder than the last.
Yes, Mother Nature will have the final say in the matter.
If the temperatures keep cooling, we will be hearing less and less from the Climate Alarmists.
It was a good run, Climate Alarmists, but it’s over now. You will figure this out before too long we hope, as we are very tired of listening to your whining and fretting about CO2 for no good reason.
Oh no. The Climate Liars will claim “climate change” is making it colder.
It is always “climate change” that causes weather.
To believe otherwise is a sign of critical thinking skills.
From the article: “that claims of imminent collapse were never as solid as advertised”
You are too kind.
There was, and is, nothing solid about Human-caused Climate Catastrophe. Everything Climate Alarmists claim is either pure speculation, or unsubstantiated assumptions and assertions.
Climate Alarmists have had nothing solid to back up their claims from the very beginning. They can’t even tell us how much CO2 increases temperatures. The estimates run from one degree C to five degrees C and it’s been that way for decades. In fact, Climate Alarmists can’t tell us whether CO2 is net-warming or net-cooling the Earth’s atmosphere.
Climate Alarmists are just guessing. Guessing is not established science.
From the article: “As Barone suggests, the public has begun to notice that the promised disasters never quite arrive — and that each new “crisis” sounds suspiciously like the last.”
Yes, the Climate Alarmists have cried “Wolf!” when there is no wolf, too many times, and people are starting to see what is going on.
From the article: “Barone’s column is valuable not because it breaks new scientific ground, but because it signals a cultural shift. When mainstream commentators begin conceding what skeptical scientists and analysts have argued all along — that uncertainty is real, impacts are overstated, and catastrophe was oversold — the debate finally moves out of fear and back toward evidence.”
I think you are correct. Barone and others are starting to see the light.
With first world guilt and folks wanting there to be a problem with any man made changes, the scare will never be outdone by actual data and logic.
Rather, a new problem will be announced by scientists that can’t be verified by engineers.
It’s really pretty simple: If our planet was so fragile that a one-part-in-ten thousand increase in an atmospheric trace gas with minor thermal properties could cause catastrophe, it would have died a long, long time ago of natural causes.
“The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie.” The economics got them.
That’s exactly right! 🙂
And of course the true believers never think that their energy policies will not work, nor do they think that they will themselves be subject to their own draconian policies, because they will be able to soak the rich and enrich themselves. (After ze REVOLUTION)
“the climate catastrophe narrative is … collapsing because … it has finally run out of evidentiary runway.”
There’s inspiration for a climate comic. An airplane that’s crashed off the end of a runway, with failed climate prediction signposts all along it.
There is another way to state this, they are lying and cheating. Lying and cheating are not okay.