By P Gosselin
After a preliminary tabulation of data collected from its approx. 2000 stations across the country, the results of Germany’s, DWD national weather service in Offenbach show that earlier dramatic predictions of a “hellish summer” have yet to come true.
German annual rainfall anomaly. Germany’s been getting wetter – not drier. Image: DWD.
False alarmist predictions
In March, 2024, “experts” like biologist Mark BeneckeIs warned that climate change “was coming to a head this summer” for Germany, predicting “unprecedented heat” in 2024.
June in Germany came in near normal, and now according to the DWD, July 2024 has also been “rather variable , with consistent summer weather simply refusing to materialize.”
The brief periods of warm weather quickly got interrupted by showers and thunderstorms.
Slightly warmer than normal
The mean temperature in July 2024 (preliminary) was 18.9°C, or 0.6°C warmer than the 1991 to 2020 reference period mean of 18.3 °C. The start of the month was rather cool and autumnlike.
The peak value was recorded at the Bad Muskau station (Saxony), where it reached 34.8°C on July 10.
On July 30th, temperatures plummeted again at night and the nationwide low of 3.8 °C, recorded in Deutschneudorf-Brüderwiese (Saxony).
Few warm nights
Tropical nights (when lows do not drop below 20.0 °C) were the exception rather than the rule and only occurred in small numbers on the Upper Rhine, in Lower Bavaria, Saxony and the greater Berlin area. Earlier reports warned that German cities like Hamburg would see a sharp increase in warm tropical nights that would make sleep more difficult. So far there hasn’t been one such night in Hamburg this summer.
Average rainfall
“Experts” also warned that Germany would see more drought in the summer as climate warming progresses. But this summer so far has been wetter than normal. According to the DWD, July saw 88 liters of rain per square meter. Compared to the climate reference period from 1991 to 2020 (87 l/m²), July 2024 was practically dead-on average.
More sunshine
In terms of sunshine in July, the country saw a mean of of 237 hours in July, which was only slightly above average compared to the 1991-2020 climate reference period (226 hours). That probably helped to make the month a bit warmer than average.
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If some biologist said it was going to be a very warm summer in Germany and it turned out to be only a slightly warmer than average summer so far, then that proves beyond any doubt that global warming is fake.
The man made part definitely is fake. That’s politics.
Someone ought to have a long talk with Reality. Reality simply isn’t living up to the narrative
Yet Dr Spencer just published yet another record new warmest month in UAH.
Two consecutive record warm Junes and Julys in UAH now. El Nino conditions ended in May.
I’d say that was ‘living up to the narrative’.
To clarify, that’s June and July in the northern hemisphere (summer). June 1998 was slightly warmer than 2023; but June 2024 smashed both.
El Nino denier !!
But you know, there is a known timelag until temps decrease.
Of course you don’t mention the fact.
Okay, when do you think UAH is going to start slowing down?
Why do you think the July anomaly was warmer than the June anomaly when El Nino stopped in May?
If El Nino is the source of all warming, as b-stupid seems to think, then why was two months after its influence stopped warmer than one month after its influence stopped?
Its influence obviously HASN’T stopped.
It has been a long protracted El Nino event, probably helped along by the HT eruption…
…. and the effect on the atmosphere is still continuing.
Do you have any evidence at all of human causation.?
You are welcome to show any human effect on the atmospheric temperature.. first you will have to find some warming not associated with El Nino events.
Or you could continue to FAIL utterly and completely as you have always done before.
Lol! It comes and goes as it pleases in b-stupid land!
Ignoring data and reality.. the fungal infection way.
Now.. where’s that evidence of human causation.
Every time you FAIL to produce any, more and more people notice the abyss of evidence.
This confirms my point every time… Thanks. 🙂
The effect of the El Nino obviously hasn’t finished.
Its been a long drawn-out El Nino event, giving the climate yappers plenty of yapping time.
No evidence of any human causation, though.
It stopped in May, mate. March-April-May, to be precise (they measure its influence over a 3-month average).
So El Nino is no longer influencing global temperatures.
Maybe it’s evil spirits or something else in your imaginings?
El Nino is obviously still affecting the atmospheric temperature.
Do you have any evidence at all of human causation.?
Or are you just going to keep yapping like a demented chihuahua
And it will forever, in your mind.
Reality is a problem for you, isn’t it?
Only one not seeing the prolonged El Nino event is YOU.
Data and reality… maybe get on that plain of existence, instead of your little fantasy la-la-land.
Noted: you yet again have not posted a single bit of evidence of human causation.
Only one having to “imagine” evil CO2 warming is you.
You certainly have no scientific evidence
Yet you can’t let the fantasy go… poor little child.
Do you still believe in Goldilocks?
Or do you see Goldilocks in Greta, your dream date.
The nil-educated flocking together.
That could be the new catchphrase for WUWT.
You’re a genius, in a way.
Most people here (except mindless troll like you) have far more education that you will ever be able to accomplish.
You have yet to reach junior high level.
Noted, yet again, no evidence of human causation.
It is as though you are well aware these El Nino events are totally natural.
And then again, a warm summer does not prove beyond any doubt that Human-caused Global Warming has anything to do with it.
We can’t even measure Human-caused Global Warming, so how do we connect that to any temperature increase in Germany or elsewhere?
The only way one can believe in Human-caused Global Warmng/Climate Change is to assume things not in evidence.
Agreed.
But does it make it more likely?
Are the long-term predictions of the climate scientists going generally in the right direction?
Looks very like it to me.
You can live in an evidence free fantasy land,, but it makes you look like a mindless idiot
Now.. where is your evidence of human causation? Still waiting.
Show us the non-El Nino warming in the atmospheric temperatures.
“But does it make it more likely?”
It didn’t make it more likely in the 1930’s.
Temperatures climbed from the 1910’s to the 1930’s, at about the same magnitude as they have climbed today, and reached about the same highpoint, but if one were to think the temperatures in the 1930’s would continue to climb, one would be mistaken, because instead of climbing, the temperatures cooled down through the 1970’s.
I’m inclined to believe that this cooling pattern will kick in eventually, given past history. This particular warming trend we are in may just be part of a warming/cooling cycle.
Every biologist knows that global warming is a social construct, and normal is the new weird.
I don’t know whether to feel sorry for it (since pronouns have not been declared) or laugh at him for just trying to raise a ruckus :<)
Quite clearly a male.
Not a man… a petulant little child with deep mental issues.
Any mirrors in your house, bnasty?
Lol!
Poor little child.
Is that you in the video.. or just one of your fellow deviants?
Poor petal, can’t take someone handing the AGW lies back into your face.
Diddums. !
Any evidence of any human causation ??
Why do you people get so BIG MAD when your BS is shown to be the stupid that it is?
What a horrible life living like the sky is falling and wanting to destroy other people’s standard of living.
It’s funny in a way, is it not, that the fastest-warming global temperature data set over the past +15 years turns out to be UAH, the very one featured by this site that supports a dialogue of no global warming.
Hilarious.
It really sums the place up.
Keep the comedy coming, WUWT!
Again ignoring the fact that the atmosphere responds more to strong El Ninos than the land temperatures.
And that the ONLY warming in UAH has come at El Nino events.
All your comments do is reinforce your abject ignorance.
Again, DO YOU HAVE ANY EVIDENCE OF HUMAN CAUSATION for the El Nino warming events.
Or are you going to keep running around like a demented muppet.
It wasn’t supposed to be a “Very Warm Summer” per the media hype it was supposed to be…
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/weather/topstories/germany-braces-for-hellish-summer-with-record-breaking-heatwaves/ar-BB1pls3d
Hellish Summer with Record Breaking Heatwaves
Statistically slightly warmer is far from hellish even the non-materializing Very Warm (to date) would be far from hellish.
Climate Change Hype is Liberal Media Hype and unfortunately the sheeple bleat it back out in droves.
Hottest June and July on record for the northern hemisphere according to just-published UAH data, here.
Last time I checked the media reports were for Germany. Germany may be part of the Northern Hemisphere but far contrary to the dreams of a madman named Adolph, Germany isn’t The Northern Hemisphere.
Also a statistical record is only a few tenths of a degree warmer not “Hellish”
Right, and what hemisphere is Germany in?
Shall we just look at Germany, if it suits better?
Any particular part of Germany or anywhere else you’d prefer to concentrate on whilst ignoring the bigger picture?
Still deliberately ignoring the lasting effect of the El Nino.
Just so you can make demented yapping comments.!
Do you have any evidence of human causation.. or are you going to continue to show that the El Ninos are totally natural events.
Nowhere in the article was it written about the Northern Hemisphere experiencing a Hellish Summer so why conflate a report about a country to include an entire hemisphere… which wasn’t the area being reported on?
A long protracted El Nino event.. Why keep mindlessly yapping about something that totally natural.
Or do you have evidence of human causation?
The “totally natural” warming that just keeps on going and going….
Oh dear.
So you now admit that you have ZERO evidence of human causation.
get your fungal infection fixed, drone. !
People are Natural
Coal is Natural (Produced by Nature)
Oil is Natural (Produced by Nature)
Natural Gas is, well, Natural (Produced by Nature)
The Carbon they contain is Natural
Every form of life contains Carbon
…Plants
…Animals
…Insects
…Amoebas
…Protozoa
…Bacteria
All either dependent on or produces CO2 and CH4 (which oxidizes into CO2 and H2O) as a byproduct of respiration and digestion
All these things are Natural
Nat·u·ral
adjective
existing in or caused by nature
Humans and the CO2 they produce are Natural
And
Loved by nature to make plants grow and enrich the food chain
ToeFungalNail is so dumb he doesn’t understand that ANY temperature record will be exceeded if one waits long enough, just by pure randomness.
It’s just funny that they keep coming one after the other, isn’t it?
I would say that month after month of new warmest temperature records was the opposite of random. It’s more like a pattern.
But I would agree with you that I am stupid.
As I have said many times, I wouldn’t be posting on this ridiculous site if I wasn’t dumb.
Still absolutely NOTHING except mindless yapping.
Still no evidence of human causation. Still waiting !!!!!!
Admitting you are DUMB is not necessary… every post you makes shows that.
Almost like we’re getting into the warmer months of summer or something
Records are not falling month after month.
Current UAH is +0.85 and falling, just as it did at the end of the last El Nino.
Thanks for confirming that you really are clueless.
What it proves is that those who were screaming it would be the summer of hell were wrong.
The biologist in Germany, you mean?
The Liberal Left Media
They weren’t quoting the ‘liberal left media’. They quoted some random biologist in Germany.
Are you saying the far-left media should not have published the rancid AGW-hype.
That puts you in agreement with the whole post.
Well done for getting the first thing correct in several months.
The German Met wasn’t.
Yes indeed Final … another oxymoron from that notoriously tricky NTZ:
“non hatched regions indicate a better predictive skill”
begs
Better than what?
Also the “better predictive skill” seems to occur over the middles of North Africa and the Atlantic Ocean?
I honestly do not know – does North Africa have a lot of weather stations?
Pretty stupid hatching , isn’t it.
Better predictive skills, NOT over most of Europe. D’umb.
Like you would know, lol!
You cretinly are clueless.
Then why didn’t the newspaper check with the German Met before publishing farcical weather predictions. !
This is the problem you are too stupid to see. The continued media hype.
Irrelevant until publicized.
Okay, now publicized.
It was the warmest July on record, both globally and in the northern hemisphere.
Happy?
Yet still just the prolonged El Nino event
Still no evidence of any human causation.
What a sad, pathetic little AGW-zealot you are.
For all your childish chicken-little headless chook routine…
… you can’t even start to show any human caused warming of the atmosphere.
It was a crappy and cold June in the UK.
Much the same in the UK, with the current spell consisting of a typical English summer of 3 fine days and a thunderstorm.
Very light winds now producing 0.54 GW, 2% of demand.
Maybe someone should ask Ed Milliband what he’s going to do about it if we get similar periods in the winter. Batteries won’t help as once they have run flat, how do we recharge them again?
“”how do we recharge them again””
A huge number of people pedalling via dynamos. All gymns will be nationalised….
I’ve suggested that all 400+ Labour MPs and their families have their gas/electricity supplies cut off if there are winter shortages.
No doubt they consider that hate speech. I call it ‘taking responsibility for your own actions’.
We’ve just had [the] three warmish days and now for the inevitable thunderstorm – made much worse by climate change/global heating/mental illness etc, of course.
This year there has been a definite north-south divide with southern Europe getting the best of the weather. Bear in mind when I say good weather the MSM screams out it’s ‘hellishly hot‘.
“”Extreme ‘heat dome’ hitting Olympics ‘impossible’ without [human caused] global heating””
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/31/extreme-heat-dome-hitting-olympics-impossible-without-global-heating
It is around 215 miles or 344 km from London to Paris. A stone’s throw. How hellishly hot is it in London? 24C
London, last 3 days have been 30C +/-1C, 30C forecast again today.
And it’s still 24C so, forget the forecast, matey.
30 miles north of London the hottest we’ve had recently is 30C (two days ago).
Not today, atticman, today it’s 24. And Mr GrimNasty believes in the forecast. The forecast is 6 degrees adrift.
Funnily enough, that’s four times 1.5C…. Bodes well for 2100
“And Mr GrimNasty believes in the forecast. The forecast is 6 degrees adrift.”
He should and not some blowhard on here …
https://wow.metoffice.gov.uk/?_gl=1*gdqhnr*_ga*NjY3MzMzMDEyLjE3MTc4NTQ0NTY.*_ga_2MWC7FCEB2*MTcyMjUyMTc3OS42LjEuMTcyMjUyMTg1Ny4wLjAuMA..
That link will give the latest data when accessed (unless time entered).
There are several spots recording >30C around London – the highest being 33C (at 1450BST)
Urban stations can often be +6ºC adrift.
Your point is ???
Only blowhard here is you. Huffing and panting like a demented walrus.
The point is that other blowhard said the UKMO forecast for the day was 6C in error.
I pointed out it wasn’t.
You’ll have to blow harder mr oxymoron.
Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted?
According to who?
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2024/07/18/science-shock-met-office-continues-to-site-temperature-stations-in-junk-locations-daily-sceptic/
Human body is, on average, 37C. Be grateful you are not cooking.
If your body temperature became 1.5C warmer you’d notice it.
The earth’s temperature varies by 18°C to 25°C daily. If your body temperature varied as much in a day you’d be dead
Right, but we’re talking about ‘average’ temperature here.
OK, if your Average Temperature varied that much in 30 years you would still be dead.
If by body Average Temperature increased gradually by 1.5° over 30 years I might not notice it
If it did so as fast as the global average has I definitely wouldn’t notice as I would be 114 years old.
The global average has increased by 1.7°C between 1909 and 2023
Zero Catastrophes
Much as you might preen yourself to think so… your body is not the planet.
Indeed, but as a system the analogy is sound.
We are running a fever.
WRONG as always…
We are running cold.. still well below what the planet has been for most of the last 10,000 years
Only those with incurable fungal infections are running a fever.
Was the Earth also running a fever during the Medieval Warm Period?
Or the Roman Warm Period
Or the Minoan Warm Period
Or the Greater Holocene Climate Optimum
The names are the clue.
Roman, as in, well, the Roman Empire ie, Europe.
Minoan, as in the region of Greece and the eastern Med.
The HCO, was caused by orbital eccentricity when the NH had maximum solar insolation (around 65 deg N having the maximum land area).
The first two regional, and the last natural orbital mechanics acting on millennial time scale.
We are running a fever.
In the case of a human body, we know at least roughly what the right temperature should be. So we are able to discern a fever when the temperature is higher than that.
Do you know what the right temperature for the earth is? Please share!
If the room temperature changed from 14ºC to 15.5ºC.
You would be grateful… but still not feel particularly warm.
That’s flannelette shirt, maybe with jumper, weather.
If the room temperature changed from 14ºC to 15.5ºC.
You would be very grateful… but still not feel particularly warm.
That’s flannelette shirt, maybe with jumper, weather.
As child I was happy with 30°C, the whole day at the lakes swimming and bathing, enjoying Holidays 😀
Meanwhile, back in June:
“High water levels caused by torrential rain has forced sections of the rivers Rhine and Danube in Germany and Austria to close, resulting in a number of river cruise lines having to cancel or alter itineraries in the region.”
https://www.cruisecritic.co.uk/news/rhine-and-danube-river-cruises-impacted-high-water-levels?stay=1&posfrom=1
Back in 2022 the level of the Rhine was so low there was concern about the amount of barge traffic using the Rhine. The low level was, of course, blamed on climate change causing hot, dry conditions. No doubt this year’s high levels will be also be blamed on climate change causing high levels of rainfall.
Both stories could indicate newer generations unwilling to accept as much imperfection as older generations.
The media had all their ‘climate change is ruining sports’ stories ready to go for the Euros football. Sadly the weather failed to oblige. But the Olympics has been a bit of a richer vein. The BBC casually informed me the pollution in the Seine is because ‘climate change is making these sorts of storms worse’, whatever ‘these sorts’ are! I thought summer thunderstorms were quite normal and the Seine had been a toilet for years. Silly me.
The French counter with that their inadequate sewage system really needs upgrades.
Let it rain for 40 days and 40 nights and wait for the sewers to back up.
Riiiiight.
— Bill Cosby
We had that album when I was a kid.
NOAH!
What?
It’s the lord, Noah!
Riiiiight.
Ho hum another day another dooming forecast-
Media ‘getting excited’ over climate alarmist ‘narrative’ (msn.com)
And yet, they’ll continue to call the idiots that make such wildly incorrect “predictions” the “experts,” who will just keep making such predictions until they make one in an actual hot summer purely by chance, when they will point to said purely accidental “correct” prediction as “evidence” of their “expertise.”
A blind squirrel in the woods …
COVID-19 was the last straw for my trust in people who supposedly care about humanity’s well being.
The belief that humanity can win a victory in a battle with nature over so called ‘climate change’ is the rhetoric of idiots.
As a species we survive all and any changes and have done since we first made our appearance on the planet. We have that in common with all other life we share the planet with at any time. If we don’t survive will other species miss us or do they just get on with stuff and is that the clue to why our current crop of politicians are not and never will be fit for purpose?.
“””Life finds a way…””” – Jeff Goldblum (Jurassic etc)
Survivor bias
Has any bookmaker started running a book offering odds on the predictions of climate ‘experts’?
One hopes they don’t offer short odds on the experts actually being right?
It’s only the forecast that counts. Everyone sees the headline alarming forecast, and by the time the actual figures come out, everyone is already seeing a new headline apocalyptic forecast. Rinse and repeat.
Never actually see an “oops” published do we?
Climate does not cause anything.
Climate, as currently defined, is a 30 year average (math) of weather.
Global warming can not cause anything.
Global warming is a trend analysis (math) of temperature readings.
Climate is the result of weather.
Global warming is the result of weather.
It’s not the temperature. It’s the energy, stupid! (regard to Bill Clinton).
““Experts” also warned that Germany would see more drought in the summer as climate warming progresses.”
Earth is mostly water.
Heating water increases evaporation.
Heating air allows it to hold more water.
“Experts” thought that heating Earth would decrease water in the air? Yipes.
Summers from hell are considered normal in the UK. A few degrees warmer than winter.
We all need to tell the truth about weather and climate observations. There is no place for distorted statements, especially those fabricated to encourage fear or to make image change seem more important than it is.
For example, amid talks of hottest years ever, here is the last 9 years of a pause in lower troposphere temperatures over Australia from the UAH satellite method. Thank you again, Dr Roy Spencer.
Geoff S
Certainly has not been a warm month here in the Hunter,
Wind chill factor..brrrr !!!