Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
I keep reading endless hype about the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) getting bleached out of existence. So let’s start with some facts.
First, coral is not a single organism. Coral is a curious critter. Coral is a symbiotic partnership between an animal from the Anthozoa group and a microbial alga called Symbiodinium. The microbial algae use photosynthesis to create sugar, and the Anthozoa polyps feed off the sugar. Here’s a description from the USGS.

Figure 1. Description from the USGS article: “The hard skeleton of coral is formed by the secretion of calcium carbonate by the polyp. The cup-like skeleton deposited by an individual polyp is called a corallite. Polyps gather food particles with the nematocysts (stinging, venomous cells) in their tentacles, and feed from sugars produced by photosynthesizing zooxanthellae, a type of algae. The coral tissue protects these algae from herbivorous grazers, and the algae in turn use many of the polyps’ waste products such as carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and phosphorus. Illustration by Laura Torresan, USGS“
Next, modern-type warm-water shallow coral reefs have been around for about half a billion years … so obviously, they must be resistant to temperature changes, including the large temperature swings in the transitions between the glacial periods and the interglacial times such as the current Holocene.
Next, “bleaching”. Bleaching is the natural response of coral to excessively warm or excessively cool temperatures. Or to pollution. Or to siltation. Or to toxic chemicals. Or to the death of the parrotfish or other grazers that keep the coral from being overgrown by other plants.
When the symbiotic relationship comes under pressure due to any of those stressors, the algae may leave the coral’s tissue. And if the stress is due to pollution, siltation, or the lack of parrotfish, then the reef may die.
But if the bleaching is from unusual temperatures, the reef doesn’t usually die. Instead, something entirely different happens. The usual outcome of bleaching due to temperature change is that after the algae die and are expelled by the coral, a different strain of algae that is adapted to the new temperature takes up residence in the bleached coral skeleton.
It’s easy for the new algae to colonize the coral—at that point the coral is like an apartment house where the tenants have all moved out. The new algae can colonize the coral without having to build up the structure. So the reef usually comes back to full health quite quickly.
How do I know this stuff? Hours and hours of scuba and snorkel diving on coral reefs, plus four years living on a coral atoll. I’ve seen the bleaching and watched the reef recover.
Now, as I mentioned at the top of the post, there’s all kinds of hype about what might happen to the GBR, or to the reefs off of Florida and the Keys for that matter, if the ocean warms up and doesn’t cool back down.
However, what most folks don’t know is that a) coral reefs like warm water, the warmer the better, and b) the GBR and the Florida reefs are at the coldest end of the temperatures where shallow-water corals reefs can grow. (And yes, I know there are deep cold-water corals … but we’re not talking about those, are we?)
So let’s start with the location of the GBR. It’s on the northeast coast of Australia, shown in the map below.

Figure 2. Location of the Great Barrier Reef
And where is that in relation to the rest of the world’s coral reefs? Well, very few coral reefs exist where the year-round water temperature is less than 23°C (73°F). And here’s a map of that region.

Figure 3. Temperature range where corals thrive (colored areas), and the area where most corals live (red box).
So … as you can see, both the Florida reefs and the GBR are in the coldest part of the temperature range where corals are happy. And most coral reefs are in the warmest ocean waters. So we know that there are plenty of warmer-water-adapted algae and warmer-water coral reefs.
And of course, this means that if the ocean in those areas of the GBR and Florida reefs gets and stays warmer … all that will happen is that some reefs will bleach, warmer-water-adapted algae will recolonize the reefs, and finally, because of the warmer waters, the reefs will be able to expand polewards.
A final note. Almost nowhere is the open ocean’s annual average temperature warmer than ~30°C. And as the ocean’s temperature overall has warmed, the warmest waters have stayed the same temperature. So a warming ocean is no threat to corals growing in the warmest ocean waters.
TL;DR version? While humans threaten coral reefs via pollution, pesticides, and siltation, corals like warm water. They are happiest where the water is warmest. Corals have survived radical changes in the temperature of oceans over geological time. Bleaching is the natural way that corals adapt to changing water temperatures.
And as a result … all of the hype about the corals and “global warming” is just another part of the climate alarmism scam. They’re not under any kind of threat from warming oceans. Or to misquote Mark Twain, “The rumors of coral’s death are greatly exaggerated”.
w.
PLEASE NOTE: When you comment, quote the exact words you are referring to. I can defend my own words. I can’t defend your interpretation of my words. Thanks.
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According to the IPCC:
Climate change is human caused. Climate Variability is caused by Nature.
Climate change cannot be caused by Nature by definition. It would be called Climate Variability.
The purpose of the Hockey Stick shaft was to show that Climate Variability was near zero. Thus the blade must be due to Climate Change..
They fail to recognize that the full range of variability in nature over the eons completely dwarfs any recent change.
Willis, FWIW, here’s an article from NOAA that seems to me to largely support your views. https://www.coris.noaa.gov/about/what_are/
Hey, my post got picked up on HotAir.
https://hotair.com/headlines/2024/07/13/the-coral-endures-n3791769
And from there to InstaPundit.
WUWT ROOLZ!
w.
Your post also appears at the same time as another Jennifer Morohassy diving journal. WUWT is getting organized! Lots of cool stuff to read on a hundred degree day in Colorado.
Willis didn’t as much as blink last week when the dayglow blue staghorn coral backdrop of Pirates of the Caribbean was pounded into rubble by Hurricane Beryls hot-water driven twelve meter seas ?
Must Cook’s Reef suffer a similar fate before he owns to the damage his aversion to science has done in the years since he assured the Solomon’s Times that the real threat to coral was parrotfish?
“Willis didn’t as much as blink last week when the dayglow blue staghorn coral backdrop of Pirates of the Caribbean was pounded into rubble by Hurricane Beryls hot-water driven twelve meter seas ?”
Right, East, because coral reefs have never in all of history been damaged by hurricanes before …
…
… if hurricanes were truly the danger to reefs you claim, then corals would have gone extinct millennia ago.
And yes, the lack of parrotfish is a far greater danger to a coral reef than the occasional hurricane.
w.
The Tobago Cays reefs , like those of Bonaire owed their pristine beauty to being spared the almost annual hurricane damage suffered by those in “Hurricane Alley” because they lie five degrees further south, out of harms way because the coriolis force flings hurricane tracks away from the equator.
So reliable is that effect that marine insurance costs much less in the southerly Windward islands than the Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles to the north. So much so indeed that the most southerly of the chain, Grenada, has to a considerable degree displaced Antigua as the Caribbean’s summer megayacht parking lot.
Until this year- mariners were taken aback when the unprecedentedly large positive sea surface temperature anomaly spawned Beryl earlier than any storm of comparable intensity in a truly unprecedented locale— the horse latitudes north of the mouth of the Amazon!
So what did the hundreds of yachts in Grenada do? Listen to WUWT?
Or run like hell:
Even the Oceanographrer of the Navy was impressed
I have no clue why you think someone at WUWT is giving sailing advice to yachts in Grenada. I know I’m not, nor have I ever seen anyone doing that.
Perhaps you don’t know that I’m a blue-water sailor, and I’ve been through the tail of a hurricane in a small boat, so I don’t offer gratuitous bogus advice … and you?
So what is your point? If your claim is that hurricanes have grown either stronger or more frequent, I’m sorry, but the evidence says that’s not happening.
So what are you trying unsuccessfully to say?
w.
That you should tell your old South Pacific neighbors to take parrot fish off the menu before they drown:
https://x.com/AMAZlNGNATURE/status/1813627378297450894
Since you ask, my Pacific sailing experience is limited to cruising a Kauri Colin Wylde 12 -meter from New Caledonia to Santo by way of Efate, Mossu, Cook’s Reef , Epi, Ambrym, Malekula, Vao and Malo Kili Kili, and crewing Stars&Stripes in the afterguard of the 25th defense of the America’s Cup, as you ought to have read in The American Spectator before amplifying my contempt for you by offering ignorant and gratuitous insults.
My report on Hurricane Beryl is based on up and down the Windwards and Leewards several times and working underwater on coral conservation in the Grenadines with Tom Goreau.
PS:
Having coauthored one of the better known Grenadines natural history guidebook, I inspected the coral damage from Hurricane Irma there in 2007:
ADAMANT
I asked “What is your point?” and “So what are you trying unsuccessfully to say?”
You responded:
Been there, told them that about the parrotfish … twice … nope, three times.
I didn’t insult you. I merely asked for your experience. Damn, touchy much?
w.
The parrotfish riff is a corker- almost as funny as your chloroquine covid cure !
But I don’t think anyone in the Marshalls is laughing,
https://x.com/AMAZlNGNATURE/status/1813627378297450894
or the Grenadines either
East, I have no clue what “the parrotfish riff is a corker” is supposed to mean. My ideas about parrotfish have been confirmed, as I pointed out in my post “Parrotfish Vindicated“. So why is that “funny”?
As to what you are calling my “chloroquine covid cure”, I wrote about my experience with chloroquine here. In that post I wrote “Do we know scientifically if [chloroquine] works for COVID-19? Nope.” So again, no idea what you are whining about.
Finally, what on earth does unusual warming in the Grenadines or big waves in the Marshall Islands have to do with either me, or with parrotfish, or with the coral bleaching that is the subject of this post? Do you think I’ve claimed that there have never been big waves in the Marshalls, or that I’ve said there aren’t sometimes big waves that overtop coral atolls?
What I’ve said is that the evidence shows that the Marshalls are not disappearing due to sea level rise, as was verified after I wrote about it by the research of Kench … are you claiming that Kench is wrong?
And a search of my writings show I’ve never mentioned either the Grenadines or Hurricane Beryl … so just what do you think either one has to do with me?
You’re grasping at straws.
Obviously, you have some kind of sick fixation on me, coupled with a bizarre desire to maliciously connect me with random weather events …
… my suggestion would be to seek professional help.
w.
Your view is risible for two reasons
You have not quantified or compared the respective geophysical contributions of volcanic rock, coral carbonates and living reef organisms to atoll isostasy and local sea level.
Because Parrotfish are territorial, and stay on reefs because they’d starve if they went pelagic, no matter how much coral they scrape, bite or gobble off of reef structures over generations .the sand they pass very largely stays close to where it came from, and however much shoaling it may cause, it has no isostatic consequence, for there is no gravitational difference between the deformational force exerted on the seabed by a coral pinnacle, and the coral sand that erodes from it and accumulates at its base.
Parrotfish biomass has been measured globally and is on average about 150 Kg/hectare. (see figure below) A mature reef of 10 meter average thickness in contrast weighs ~ 1.8 million Kg/ha, which is to say about 12,000 times more, and its volcanic substrate, assuming the average Pacific abyssal depth of 3,480 M, and MORB density ~3.4, about 1.18 million tons.
That’s roughly a billion times more than the parrotfish weigh, which puts them out of the running and amply confirms the Solomon Times commonsense disavowal of your views
But what’s really wrong is your denying that denial has consequences: this is not the first time you have disavowed what you have plainly said.
Telling people tall tales of the South Pacific is one thing ,witness Clunies-Ross’s poking fun at Darwin’s theory of atoll formation in a a mock ‘supplement’ to FitzRoy’s Narrative.
Telling readers naive enough to mistake WUWT for a scientific forum you’ve survived a lethal dose of of a dangerous drug, and that you intend to take more if covid catches up with you is an invitation to public disaster as well as private disdain.
Eschenbach has once again adduced and misrepresented a source contrast and compare:
“Climate Non-ChangeBy Willis Eschenbach from Honiara
Solomon Times Tuesday, 10 November 2009 08:01 AM
First, there has been absolutely no increase in the rate of sea level rise. In fact, in the last few years it has slowed down…
The first and most important fact… is that coral atolls essentially “float” on the surface of the sea… The problems in the low-lying atolls are not from rising sea levels.
They are from coral mining and reef destruction… and killing of the parrotfish that produce the sand required to keep the atolls afloat … “
Is directly contradicted by F figure 3 in Ford & Kench,
Anthropocene
Volume 11
, September 2015, Pages 14-24
Multi-decadal shoreline changes in response to sea level rise in the Marshall Islands
2.1 Oceanographic setting
The Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) have among the lengthiest sea level records in the central Pacific (Becker et al., 2012) (Figure 3).
Sea level has risen at 2.2 mm/yr and 3.7 mm/yr at Kwajalein and Majuro respectively (Becker et al., 2012).
East, in my 2009 letter to the Editors of the Solomon Star that you neglected to link to, I actually said (emphasis mine):
Since the letter was written in 2009, at that time the Colorado data only went to 2008. Here’s that data.
As you can see from the data I used, my statement was 100% true. And the same reduction in the rate of sea level rise prior to 2009 is also visible in the Kench graph.
Nice try, though. Now piss off and stop bothering honest people.
w.
Pole, first you say your point is:
So I pointed out that I’ve done that, and now it seems you’re saying that I shouldn’t have done that.
Say what?
Then you say:
This is why I ask over and over for people to quote what they are talking about. But noooo … you’re far above such mundane things, you just toss out ugly accusations like the above without a single scrap of evidence.
Then you say:
“Tall tales”? Get stuffed. Every damn word I’ve written is true, and I note that once again you don’t have the balls to say just what you falsely claim I lied about.
You close with this:
Again no quote of what you think I said. I certainly did NOT say I survived a “lethal dose” of chloroquine—a lethal dose is called a lethal dose because it kills people. Contrary to your bizarre claim, what I took didn’t even make me mildly sick. I fear you have no clue about chloroquine.
And if it was such an “invitation to public disaster” … how come there wasn’t one?
Finally, as I wrote in my post Parrotfish Vindicated, other scientists found that (emphasis mine):
If you disagree with that, stop whining to me and go tell your stories to Katie Cramer and Richard Norris, the authors of the study who agreed with my claims entirely.
And that’s all I’m gonna say to you. I have no time for people like you who just throw out nasty accusations without the tiniest bit of evidence. Take your moaning elsewhere. I’m done with you.
w.
At HotAir it shows “Will Eschenbach”.