Virginia: Life Is Good and Getting Better

From the CO2 Coalition

The CO2 Coalition is embarking on a bold review of how climate change and increasing carbon dioxide are impacting states and regions across the United States. We have completed reports on PennsylvaniaVirginia, as well as the Midwest and are in the process of researching data for Arkansas and Montana. We will likely expand this to regions across the globe.

The Virginia data is representative of what we are finding in each area:

  • There is no unusual or unprecedented warming.
  • Heat waves have been declining.
  • Severe weather is not increasing.
  • Crop and forest growth is increasing.
  • Droughts are in decline.
  • There is no increase in hurricanes.

Corn Yield Source: USDA Data and Statistics Atmospheric concentration of CO2 – European Environment Agency

Virginia Climate Models vs. Actual Temperature

Dr. John Christy of the University of Alabama in Huntsville compared modeled temperature to the actual measured temperature and found that the models greatly overpredict warming for the Commonwealth of Virginia.

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Ron Long
August 9, 2023 6:07 pm

So, it looks like all of the hot air stays in Washington D.C. and does not cross into Virginia?

Bill Powers
Reply to  Ron Long
August 10, 2023 9:42 am

Brilliant Ron!

I live a commutable distance to the north of the hot air capital of our deep state. I can attest to the validity of the data in this article. Over the course of 30 years, since I moved here, we have experienced cycles of good and bad seasons. We have been loving life recently. This year we had a beautiful spring, very FEW hot, humid days so far this summer. Yet according to “The Ministry of Truth” the world is coming to an end.

As the observant know whenever we get a hot humid day the media ramp up the fear factor and hyperventilate over “feels like” estimates. The Governor now comes out with special warning messages, Smartphones broadcast stupid messages around the clock and the bureaucrats have forced the cable companies into interrupting television with annoying klaxon messages every 20 minutes that now stay on the air for 5 minutes (broadcasting in multiple languages) to tell all the people at home, in doors, watching television, to go indoors because of…wait for it…summer thunderstorms. Talk about beating one over the head with the obvious. The dangerous part of that is they have become the boy that cried wolf in the event of a rare tornado condition which is really problematic.

I recall my dad shaking his head relating to me that there were some people too stupid to come in out of the rain. Now we manufacture those people in public schools. These bureaucrats need to go to jail alongside their Goebbel brethren in the media. The only hobgoblin we need to fear is Big Brother. What the country needs is a 60% reduction in government agencies.

Philip CM
August 9, 2023 6:11 pm

Sure man. Everything is cool and all, but we still only have a few years before CAGW doomsday. I mean, follow the science, man. Save the planet. 🙃

John Hultquist
August 9, 2023 6:11 pm

Yes, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus.

Rud Istvan
August 9, 2023 6:28 pm

The warmunist response will be Virginia is not globe. Nice work, but NOT global as in global warming.
There are, IMO, better simple factual ‘global’ responses:

  1. Global sea level rise did not accelerate as predicted.
  2. Global land is greening since C3 plants thrive on less water—even tho warming means there is more.
  3. Global weather extremes have NOT increased. Even IPCC SREX 2013 said so. Oopsie.
Denis
August 9, 2023 6:33 pm

Seems consistent with the Climate Reference Network for the lower 48.

August 9, 2023 7:36 pm

NPK Fertilizer, weed spray, bug spray, zero tillage had no effect ?
NPK fertilizer alone is a miracle growth enhancer.

Reply to  DMacKenzie
August 9, 2023 8:35 pm

NPK fertilizer alone is a miracle growth enhancer.”

So is CO2 ! Absolutely essential, actually. !

antigtiff
August 9, 2023 7:54 pm

National Science Foundation paid some scientists to hike into the arctic in Alaska and report on the advancing tree line….the claim is that more trees in the arctic mean more warming…more methane from the thawing tundra….more carbon in the tundra than all the trees in the world….warmists are going to thaw the tundra while thawing Antarctica and Greenland.

Med Bennett
August 9, 2023 7:56 pm

Please do Colorado soon – the hysterical climate alarmists running our city are convinced of impending doom, although we had an unusually cold and and snowy winter last winter, and a cooler than average and a very wet summer so far.

willhaas
August 9, 2023 8:06 pm

The powers that be need to stop making use of all the bad models.

Bob
August 9, 2023 8:21 pm

Very nice.

Forrest Gardener
August 10, 2023 12:22 am

A point on presentation. On the left hand side the vertical axis starts at zero. On the right hand side it starts at 280. That is visually misleading. I would very much prefer to see right hand side axis starting from zero.

And of course Dr Christy’s graph shows anomalies not temperatures.

Reply to  Forrest Gardener
August 10, 2023 12:53 am

The reason it starts at 280 ppm is because that is the supposed CO2 level in 1890. It has never been zero. Ever.

Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
August 10, 2023 8:37 am

And if they’d started at zero then the CO2 level would have started over halfway up on the left. Not really misleading.
PS At least they used two different scales for the Y axis!

rbabcock
Reply to  Forrest Gardener
August 10, 2023 8:28 am

The left vertical axis on the days>100F graph shows a percentage and the right one shows a value. One is red and references the red line in the graph and one is blue and references the blue line. How on God’s green earth is this confusing?

Forrest Gardener
Reply to  rbabcock
August 10, 2023 7:28 pm

I didn’t say it was confusing. But presentation is important.

Gunga Din is correct above.

August 10, 2023 3:42 am

Biden is going to make a speech to show his “inflation reduction act” is working.
It has prematurely reduced the temp in Virginia, where all the cool-headed people live.

Except the modeling folks, whose jobs depend of projecting high temps, did not get the word, or they did get the word, but are keeping quiet about it.

Biden-in-the-basement knows where Delaware is, because he was lucky to born in the steel-mining town in Pennsylvania, so he could use it during campaign speeches in Delaware, etc., but he does not yet know where Virginia is.

He and his crackhead son became pretty good at shaking down various governments for “campaign contributions”, including a $135,000 Porsche from someone in Kazakhstan.

antigtiff
Reply to  wilpost
August 10, 2023 4:13 am

It is past time for Joey and his lovely son to pay their fair share….ban mansions…..ban private jets….ban yachts,,,,increase their taxes.

Reply to  antigtiff
August 10, 2023 7:37 am

That will happen, only if snowballs don’t melt in hell

Bill Powers
Reply to  antigtiff
August 10, 2023 9:51 am

Point well made but never forget they deal in tax free offshore deposits.

To play off the old Bogart film “Treasure of the Sierra Madre”, The Biden Crime Syndicate takes the position, “…Taxes! We don’t pay no ‘stinkin’ taxes!!”

August 10, 2023 4:48 am

I’ll make a plea here that uncertainties be discussed also. As Dr. Pat Frank has written, models have incrementally increasing uncertainty as it builds through each increment. NIST has issued a document describing how to calculate expanded experimental uncertainty in Technical Note TN1900.

From the investigations I have started, the uncertainty interval is so large that the “trend” is always within the uncertainty interval leading one to the conclusion that you can’t even know for sure what the true value actually is.

It is important to start letting people know that there is uncertainty in climate science and that pronouncements from politicians ignore this in order to establish and maintain control over the economy.

John Hultquist
August 10, 2023 6:19 am

 TIP: We are all going to starve – not
https://kpq.com/ixp/113/p/big-wa-apple-crop-predicted/

Estimate of WA’s apple crop is over 134 million standard forty-pound boxes of fresh apples, a 28.8% increase from 2022’s 104.3 million boxes.
The 2022 harvest was smaller than normal because of a cold spring and snow that prevented some pollination during bloom.

I can confirm – the trees are loaded. JH

August 10, 2023 7:34 am

Did you consider other effects like hybrid seed, pesticide use, fertilizers and improved soil management? You need to be prepared to show these effects as well and that all the increase is not due to CO2.

Reply to  buckeyebob
August 10, 2023 8:16 am

I went to the Virginia Data link in the post and then another link on the site and came to this.
chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/VA-and-Climate-Change-digital.pdf , a more thorough look.
One graph was crop yields besides corn and on a shorter time scale.
(But it would be good if they considered other possible contributors and/or a graph with non-crop greening such as forest growth.)

rbabcock
August 10, 2023 8:48 am

I have a house on the western side of the Chesapeake Bay due east of Richmond. Even though it is close to Washington DC it is very rural and away from the water is mostly agriculture. The farmers rotate wheat, corn, and beans mostly but occasionally plant canola or other crops. The good thing is the growing season is long enough that they double crop so they get two harvests every season. The biggest determiner of yield is rainfall and we seemed to get good rains well spaced the past many seasons with rarely a poor harvest.

The issue in this side of the state is the water quality of the major rivers flowing into the Bay and the Bay itself, not the climate. The fish stocks have fallen off and even the annual sea nettle “infestations” are absent. 15 years ago you could catch ample Croaker and other fish off our dock but today there are almost no fish. They have put restrictions on stripers and even menhaden. We also typically have ospreys nesting all over the place but this year only a few. We are definitely putting our resources in the wrong places.

RMoore
Reply to  rbabcock
August 10, 2023 12:46 pm

Check out the impact that Virginia Fish and Game had by introducing
Blue Catfish to the James river in the 1970’s. This invasive species now makes up to 90% of the biomass in some areas, maybe yours. They can grow up to 100 pounds and eat anything.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/as-blue-catfish-multiply-in-chesapeake-bay-watermen-pursue-new-catch/2019/06/10/5b5df3f2-8973-11e9-a870-b9c411dc4312_story.html

Reply to  RMoore
August 10, 2023 2:54 pm

They can grow up to 100 pounds and eat anything AND EVERYTHING.

Editor
August 10, 2023 3:55 pm

Readers ==> The link to the full presentation is sorta hidden in the post above, as “Virginia Data”. The link is

https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/VA-and-Climate-Change-digital.pdf

August 10, 2023 4:10 pm

Good to see the chart was provided by John Christy, of UAH, whose lower troposphere data set just announced the warmest month ever recorded by instruments globally.

By the way, an increase in grain production in rain-fed areas of the US was a specific prediction of the IPCC in its 2007 report.

Moderate climate change in the early decades of the century is projected to increase aggregate yields of rain-fed agriculture by 5-20%, but with important variability among regions. 

Be careful what you celebrate.