No Energy Realism In Bidenland

From the MANHATTAN CONTRARIAN

Francis Menton

As per my previous post, the situation in Ukraine should be a wake-up call to every sentient person to ditch the fantasies about wind and solar energy ASAP, and make sure that we have real energy that works. The wind/solar delusion, combined with active suppression of fossil fuels and even of nuclear, are basically financing Vladimir Putin’s war via increased oil and gas exports and higher prices. Meanwhile, the brave Ukrainian armed forces are certainly not running on the wind and sun; nor are the Russians who are attacking them.

In 2021, after finally achieving energy independence under President Trump, the U.S. immediately gave that up as the Biden Administration brought fresh rounds of fossil fuel suppression.

There are plenty of people in positions of power and/or influence in and over our government who are so taken with the religious fervor of “green” energy and “net zero” emissions that no amount of critical real world events can penetrate their mental armor. In the February 26 post I quoted U.S. “Climate Envoy” John Kerry begging the world to not let the Russian invasion distract from “focus” on rapid emissions reductions. Think of all the carbon emissions from burning buildings and tanks! And Kerry is just the tip of the iceberg among climate zanies in and around our government striving to push forward as rapidly as possible to dismantle our reliable and cost effective energy system, even as the Ukraine war dramatically demonstrates the dire necessity of energy security.

Last Thursday, February 24 — that would be the very day that Vladimir Putin launched his invasion of Ukraine — a gaggle of Biden’s lieutenants held a two-hour virtual affair they called their “Climate Roundtable.” Have you read about it? Actually the official title was “White House Climate Science Roundtable on Countering ‘Delayism’ and Communicating the Urgency of Climate Action.” The White House’s statement about the event can be found here, chock full of quotes from clueless fools. A few examples among many:

  • Head of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) and Deputy Assistant to the President Dr. Alondra Nelson: “This is deeply important to us, because, as you know, the Biden-Harris Administration’s agenda on climate change is historic. We rejoined the Paris Agreement on Day One, and we’ve been back at the table internationally — leading the world to increase our collective ambition, action, and innovation over the next decade. We’ve also set bold goals for the United States: to cut U.S. emissions in half by the end of the decade, to reach 100% clean electricity by 2035, and to reach net-zero emissions by 2050. . . . [T]his group knows better than most: that there have been for decades, and still are, forces arrayed against the cause of climate action — running the gamut from self-interest and short-term thinking, to deliberate disinformation campaigns that are as insidious as they are invidious.”
  • White House OSTP Deputy Director for Climate and Environment Dr. Jane Lubchenco: “While there is broad awareness of the physical science aspects of this climate crisis, attention to the social sciences has lagged behind. And at the same time, powerful vested interests have skillfully manipulated the narrative to prevent or stall action. Our world is a coupled social and environmental system that must be understood and dealt with as an integrated system. Today, we bring this richer, more complete integration of physical and social sciences to the White House. . . . It’s time to understand and fight the delayism that has already cost us so dearly.”
  • White House Senior Advisor Neera Tanden (you will recall her as having failed to get Senate confirmation to head OMB; so they have appointed her to this post that does not require confirmation): “It’s clear that a variety of special interests have had a vested interest in sowing doubt on climate change and feeding denialism and delay. We need to confront that reality. However, despite this organized campaign, a strong majority of the country wants climate action because they understand the consequences of inaction.”
  • Andrea Dutton, Professor of Geoscience from the University of Wisconsin: “Sea-level rise threatens the safety and security of the United States. It’s as if we have an army ringing our coastlines, advancing farther each year than the previous year, taking more land as it goes. We would not tolerate that; yet we are allowing sea level to rise unabated.”

Well, Andrea, how about Russia, China, and maybe Iran and North Korea as the real threats out there? I suggest that we focus on those. Sea level is rising at the rate of maybe 6 – 8 inches per century, as it has for the last 10,000 or so years since the last ice age. Perhaps we could check back in on that in a hundred years or so to see if it really is a problem.

Meanwhile, back over in Europe, perhaps being much closer to the advancing Russian tanks has a way of focusing the mind. Germany, with its “Energiewende,” has long fancied itself the vanguard of the movement to get rid of fossil fuels. But after 12 years of this they have essentially no storage, battery or otherwise, to back up the wind and sun, and thus remain completely dependent on fossil fuels on calm nights and cloudy winter days. Oh, and they have also banned fracking for natural gas in their own territory. So it’s natural gas from Russia or nothing, just as Russia decides to advance its military westward.

The headline of the Bloomberg story today is “Germany may extend coal use to replace Russian gas.” But wait, you say — didn’t Germany just elect a new government consisting of the Social Democrats and the Greens? Surely, those people would not tolerate such a thing! Think again:

Economy Minister Robert Habeck, the former co-leader of the Green party, said coal plants could run for longer and even said he wasn’t “ideologically opposed” to extending the use of nuclear energy. Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced on Sunday plans to build two new liquefied natural gas terminals to expand Germany’s energy choices and reduce its reliance on Russia. The government wants to reach a point where it can “pick and choose which countries we want to build energy partnerships with,” Habeck said in an interview late on Sunday on ARD television. “Being able to choose also means, in case of doubt, that you can become independent from Russian gas, coal or oil.”

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Jeroen B.
March 2, 2022 6:04 am

Sadly it’s not even dawned on these buffoons that if you have your own energy industry from resource to product you don’t need to “pick and choose partnerships”

Vuk
Reply to  Jeroen B.
March 2, 2022 7:21 am

“Iranian people” are amused that they have American president’s support and sympathy, and they’ll never give in or forgive Vlad the Terrible.

philincalifornia
Reply to  Vuk
March 2, 2022 7:42 am

That was just weird. The actresses behind him couldn’t even fake their reaction to it.

How can the DNC do this to a semi-senile old man. It’s disgusting.

Mr.
Reply to  philincalifornia
March 2, 2022 9:03 am

Agree.
If old Joe had a caring wife and family they would accept that he’s past working for a living, and arrange appropriate help and treatment for him.

Elder abuse should be prosecuted in the same way as child abuse is.

Last edited 7 months ago by Mr.
Brad-DXT
Reply to  Mr.
March 2, 2022 9:12 am

I believe Biden’s current wife was a babysitter for Slo Joe’s kids. Maybe she’s finally getting payback for previous abuse?

Andyhce
Reply to  philincalifornia
March 2, 2022 10:00 am

What was weird. I can find no link to a video in this article.

philincalifornia
Reply to  Andyhce
March 2, 2022 10:06 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHJxpTv0veA

I was responding to Vuk’s comment, not the article.

DiggerUK
Reply to  Jeroen B.
March 2, 2022 9:13 am

The “buffoons” attention can be snapped to attention when the penny drops. This seems to have happened rather extravagantly in the bowels of a UK parliamentary committee known as (link) The Public Accounts Committee.

In a classic piece of management speak they have noted that parliaments Climate Change Committee have made “heroic assumptions” with its projections and costings.
Maybe Putin can find a few old Hero of the Soviet Union medals knocking about in the back of his cupboard…_

UK citizens please sign and circulate…_
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/599602

Last edited 7 months ago by DiggerUK
Graemethecat
Reply to  DiggerUK
March 2, 2022 9:39 am

Has The Guardian reported this wonderful news?

DiggerUK
Reply to  Graemethecat
March 2, 2022 10:16 am

It’s Wednesday, half day closing…_

Reply to  Jeroen B.
March 2, 2022 9:19 am

This article is so important, that I posted it on my Facebook page.

This article should be sent to all your WOKE friends who believe there is a so called “Climate Crisis”.

Reply to  Jeroen B.
March 2, 2022 12:03 pm

(20+) Canadian Energy Centre | Facebook
 
Cancelling Keystone XL was always a bad idea. After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, many US lawmakers are demanding a do over.

To grow oilsands production, we must bring back the income tax and royalty changes I initiated – 100% CCA rate and 25% DNP Royalty with a 1% minimum until payout – The federal NDP and Libs killed the tax and Stelmach killed the royalty. The Stelmach sliding scale Royalty sterilizes oilsands growth due to inflation.

Richard M
March 2, 2022 6:26 am

The US government is one of the biggest sources of climate disinformation. Probably only secondary to the UN IPCC. They continue to treat climate as a top down energy forcing when in fact it is just the opposite, the energy from the sun first warms the atmospheric boundary layer which then warms the rest of the atmosphere.

The claims of a increased downwelling energy forcing is nonsense. Skeptics need to quit supporting this nonsense. The downwelling energy is just part of an overall net increase in upward flowing energy driven by increases in non condensing greenhouse gases.

That’s right. The 3.7 W/m2 of energy that is supposed to warm the planet only exists in computations by cherry picking one part of the data. When all the data is considered it must be added to the upward flowing energy to space which then causes it to disappear into a net increase in upward IR radiation.

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Richard M
March 2, 2022 8:16 am

“….part of an overall net increase in upward flowing ….”
Doesn’t make sense.

Richard M
Reply to  DMacKenzie
March 2, 2022 6:55 pm

Sorry I wasn’t more clear. When you increase CO2 you get increases in both upward and downward radiation. The net radiation is what is left when you account for radiation in both directions. In our atmosphere this net radiation is upward. Hence, cherry picking just the downward radiation, as is done by climate science, is meaningless. Only net radiation is important.

Laws of Nature
Reply to  Richard M
March 2, 2022 9:57 am

I agree!
In particular to the statement that the strong CO2-Feedback so far only exists in models.

I also tried to go through the statements above sorting them into

  • plain insulting (“climate denier” was/is a rather disgusting insult adapted from holocaust denial)

More to the point, the article from R. McKitrick last year about critical mistakes how
the attribution is denied any discussion from alarmists.

  • just inconsequential “And at the same time, powerful vested interests have skillfully manipulated the narrative to prevent or stall action

I believe it is true for both sides of the debate, there are benefactors of the current
status quo, energy companies without restrictions as well as alarmists sitting at
the honey pots, we want to ban all of that, right? See for example using the Cape Ghir
Series as pure temperature proxy for Fig 1 in the SPM IPCC6 as reported by
S.McIntyre, beside showing at least 10x the trend in recent decades than during
middle age or Roman warm period, in stark contrast to known history and data
(a very clear example for “have skillfully manipulated the narrative” )

  • and questionable (wrong or implausible)

reach 100% clean electricity by 2035, and to reach net-zero emissions by 2050″
or
Sea-level rise threatens the safety and security of the United States”
There is no way the US grid can transform that quickly and while coastal areas might be
affected by sea level rise, in a good estimate it will be less of a threat in the next 78 years
than it was in the last 122.

My point here being that once you are done sorting through these statements and remove the insults, hot air and overconfident facts (of which I only saw these two statements)
There is nothing left at all.
It looks like the reported outcome proofs this meeting utterly pointless.

LoN

Pillage Idiot
March 2, 2022 6:30 am

During the 2020 discussions about Russian gas pipelines, I believe that one of the German energy ministers declared that they trusted Putin far more than they trusted Trump.

Essentially all of the western media constantly bashed Trump and gave him worse press than a military-expansionist dictator. I am amazed at all of the people in the world that are easily influenced by obviously facile propaganda.

(I guess I shouldn’t be surprised. The exact same phenomenon occurs on global press coverage calling CAGW an existential threat to humanity.)

Reply to  Pillage Idiot
March 2, 2022 8:48 am

Trump didn’t exactly halt the climate cult did he.

Reply to  Mike Haseler (aka Scottish Sceptic)
March 2, 2022 9:39 am

Trump tried too, (he viewed it as a hoax) but even most republicans are woke about climate and actually believe this shit!!!

jeffery p
Reply to  Mike Haseler (aka Scottish Sceptic)
March 2, 2022 9:44 am

He tried. The open and covert resistance met by Trump is inconceivable. While he was not an effective communicator, whatever he did say or do was distorted.

Roger Knights
Reply to  jeffery p
March 4, 2022 2:46 am

He turned down Happer’s request for a red team, so he failed.

Willem post
Reply to  Pillage Idiot
March 2, 2022 12:11 pm

A NEW WAY TO MAKE WIND AND SOLAR MORE ATTRACTIVE

Just create a massive shortage of oil, gas and coal, such as by means of a war, and their spot prices will go up, and wind and solar, supported by expensive batteries, etc., will FINALLY become attractive, even without HUGE subsidies.

Germany is using the Ukraine war as an excuse to keep nuclear plants in service for at least 10 years, because it will take that long to partially replace Russian pipeline gas with LNG

The LNG will sell at astronomical spot prices of $40 to $50/million Btu, vs US Spot prices at $5/million Btu.
 
Natural Gas Price in Europe Smashes All-time High
https://www.rt.com/business/551028-european-gas-price-soars/

European natural gas futures spiked above $2,200 per 1,000 cubic meters on Wednesday for the first time in market history. The escalating crisis between Russia and Ukraine has raised fears of supply shortages.

Because 1000 m3 contains 1000 x 35.315 ft3/m3 x 1000 Btu/ft3 = 35,315,000 Btu, the futures price becomes $2,200/35.315 million Btu = $62.30/million Btu, versus the US spot price at $4.5/million Btu

The April gas futures at the TTF hub in the Netherlands soared from around $1,500 to $2,226 per 1,000 cubic meters, or $213 per megawatt-hour (341,200 Btu) in household terms by 09:30 GMT, hitting an all-time high, data from the London ICE exchange shows.

The spike in prices follows sanctions placed on Russia by a number of Western states due to Moscow’s military operation in Ukraine.

A huge increase in applications is raising the price by the minute, Kaushal Ramesh, senior analyst at Rystad Energy, told Vesti.

He said it had also been affected by fears of supply outages due to 1) possible damage to infrastructure in Ukraine, through which the majority of Russian gas is delivered to Europe, and 2) the possibility of supply restrictions on Russian oil and gas.

It looks like anything made in Europe will become very expensive, far more expensive than if that same product were made in the US.

The US/UK-led NATO, baiting Putin to start a war in Ukraine, is one way for the US to become more competitive in international markets, at the expense of Russia, and the EU, and everyone else.

THE UKRAINE PLOT IS THICKENING WITH GERMANY AND FRANCE BARELY IN LOCKSTEP WITH US/UK-LED NATO
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/the-plot-is-thickening

The gas shortage condition would be in place for up to 10 years, because it would take that long to build up additional:
 
– Gas production capacity, elsewhere in the world, to replace Russia’s 200 bcm/y of pipeline gas.
– LNG production plants and sending ports
– LNG carriers; average capacity 170,000 cubic meter of LNG
– LNG receiving ports and gasification plants
– Connections to existing onshore pipe systems, all while:
 
1) EU inflation would be off-the-charts
2) EU exports would dwindle.
 
NOTE: The above production and infrastructure build-ups would be in addition to what is required for the projected world-market growth of LNG

Tom.1
March 2, 2022 6:30 am

It seems to me that if we are going to subsidize wind and solar it should be on the basis of being able to supply energy continuously. Intermittent energy is simply a non-starter.

jeffery p
Reply to  Tom.1
March 2, 2022 8:16 am

Why would you subsidize something if it actually worked?

H B
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 9:44 am

That’s the suggestion make it be 24/7 to meet the definition of working

Mac
Reply to  H B
March 2, 2022 3:53 pm

Ask Bill Clinton, He said depends on what the definition of is is during his Monica problems. A definition of working should be no problem for him!

Scissor
Reply to  Tom.1
March 2, 2022 10:51 am

Something isn’t exactly sustainable either if it needs to be land filled at its end of life.

David Sulik
March 2, 2022 6:47 am

Sounds like you approve of the Obama-Biden installed Neo-KnotZs that are running Ukraine by lauding them as brave.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 7:54 am

where in Russia were you born?
Nazis think the Germans are the master race- so how can any Ukrainians be Nazis?

strange that the Ruskies accuse the Ukrainians of being Nazis- when they just bombed the Holocaust Memorial in Kiev

of course there are crazies in Ukraine as there are in every country- so what? At least even those crazies don’t sit at the end of a 50′ long table while their guest sits at the other end- proving to me that Putin has totally lost his marbles

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 9:43 am

Putin reminds me of Howard Hughes during his last days in Las Vegas.

Howard Hughes became completely paranoid of everything, like Putin is now.

jeffery p
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 9:47 am

Joseph, I may yet be wrong about Russia, Ukraine and the west. Western Europe has stood up against Putin much more than I anticipated. The US is still led by a doddering, drooling old fool, however, and the most effective non-military action against Putin is still off the table.

I hope the Ukrainians can hold on and make Putin pay for his aggressions.

Derg
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 9:50 am

“ strange that the Ruskies accuse the Ukrainians of being Nazis- when they just bombed the Holocaust Memorial in Kiev”

Is there proof of that or could it be propaganda?

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 10:32 am

yes, and Putin is still saying it’s not an invasion and there are no civilian casualties- I presume you agree with him
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=bombing+of+holocaust+memorial+in+Kiev

you could have googled it if you weren’t in love with Putin

Derg
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 10:54 am

Dude after watching the Middle East propaganda I have no idea who to believe. Do you remember Benghazi being started by an internet video? I do and nearly drove off the road laughing when I heard it.

When the globalist are all in on the Putin is bad my senses get heightened.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 1:25 pm

watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3y7XBQG5TzM to learn a lot about Putin

Derg
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 3, 2022 1:19 am

PBS is a huge propaganda machine. Let me try another way, Putin is not good. US CIA is not good. I am not kidding when I write that I have a hard time with both.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Derg
March 3, 2022 2:31 am

fair enough- far more people died as a result of “W” invading Iraq than are going to die in Ukraine- and without that invasion we wouldn’t have gotten ISIS

meiggs
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 5:54 pm

Shirley no propaganda on msm/wuwt!

jeffery p
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 8:15 am

A country with a Jewish president is run by Neo-KnotZs? Are you stupid or what?

Jay Willis
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 8:25 am

Oh come on Jeff and Joseph, it is well known – have a look at Azov Battalion in wikipedia. This organisation was banned as Neo-Nazi in the USA until a few days ago.

The Guardian lauds them:https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/10/azov-far-right-fighters-ukraine-neo-nazis

Please learn a little bit of history – recent history at that. Perhaps have a look at Stone’s documentary about ukraine called Ukraine on fire.https://www.imdb.com/title/tt5724358/

I’m no fan of putin, but let’s try not to jump the shark on this one.

MarkW
Reply to  Jay Willis
March 2, 2022 8:40 am

There are Nazis in this country as well. That’s not proof that this is a Nazi country or that we are run by them.

bonbon
Reply to  Jay Willis
March 2, 2022 8:55 am

Exactly – here is the voting map of Zelensky’s election. See Lviv, blue Galicia.

http://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/2-9.png

Even the BBC got this right – some very ignorant people around here, I’ll say!

Zelensky got elected by a huge majority to deliver on Minsk Accords. A bit like Trump wanting good relations with Moscow. Just look at what happened – Trump impeached, Zelensky in a terrible trap, a Russian speaker, Jewish, surrounded by outright freaks , beyond belief who ban Russian, are outright white supremacists.

jeffery p
Reply to  bonbon
March 2, 2022 10:06 am

What is your point? What are you trying to prove? What does this have to do with energy policy?

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 10:34 am

I presume that any nation with some Nazis can be invaded by Putin while he sits at the end of that 50′ table with a guest at the other end— man, he’s nuts

jeffery p
Reply to  Jay Willis
March 2, 2022 9:50 am

There are some neo-Nazis in Ukraine therefore Ukraine is a Nazi country. Got it.

Speaking of history, many Ukrainians joined Germany in its fight against the USSR. Many were Nazis, others wanted to be free of Soviet tyranny.

BTW – Putin’s government is can arguably be best described as fascist.

Last edited 7 months ago by jeffery p
MarkW
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 10:27 am

It’s worse than that. The fact that 80 years ago, some Ukranians fought alongside the Nazi’s against the Russians is being taken as proof that the current Ukrainians are Nazis.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 10:37 am

and in the America Revolution- many colonials were loyal to the Crown- so that means America loves monarchies /s

jeffery p
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 11:27 am

King George III was a descendant of a German-born king. Some Germans were Nazis, therefore…

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 1:32 pm

all the major monarchs of Europe were cousins but that didn’t keep them from wars against each other- I suggest it’s just the human race, nasty apes- every “great nation” and empire were ruthless including the USA- all had excuses- they all take losses sooner or later

it’s argued in the UFO community that the reason the USA doesn’t like to talk about UFOs is that it’s understood that whoever masters alien technology will rule the world- best to not mention those alien ships in hangers from Roswell and other locations- that alien technology could be the ultimate defense against ICBMs and hypersonic missiles

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 10:35 am

Right, when the Germans invaded Ukraine, the natives saw them as liberators- not that they liked Nazis but they hated the Russians even more BECAUSE Stalin let several million Ukrainians starve in the ’30s.

MarkW
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 11:30 am

It’s not that they let millions starve, it’s that they caused millions to starve. The starvation was a deliberate policy.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 1:02 pm

Just watched a great video explaining just how corrupt Putin is:

Browder on Putin: When You Believe Your Time Is Almost Up, You Start a War | Amanpour and Company
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3y7XBQG5TzM

Browder was the biggest Western investor in Russia and knows Putin very well.

Derg
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 10:57 am

And the US?

Dude we just went through Governors closing down businesses and letting others stay open because of the Covid.

jeffery p
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 11:29 am

Does that make them Nazis? Every fascist is not a Nazi and every heavy-handed politician is not a fascist.

Do you even know what you are arguing?

MarkW
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 11:31 am

And because of that we need to look the other way when Putin invades a neighboring country?

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 1:07 pm

It’s called Blame the Victim(s). SOP for evil doers.

Derg
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 1:09 pm

Do you look the other way at atrocities in Africa, Middle East, China….🤔

MarkW
Reply to  Derg
March 2, 2022 1:27 pm

Are any of those on a similar scale?
Do they involve invading another country?
Are you actually arguing that if don’t take care of every problem, we should ignore Putin’s atrocities?

Last edited 7 months ago by MarkW
jeffery p
Reply to  Jay Willis
March 2, 2022 9:54 am

Again, don’t take documentaries at face value, especially anything from Oliver Stone. Documentaries aren’t fair or objective. They tell a story from a selected point of view.

Stone typically has an ax to grind and while what he presents maybe arguably truthful, it’s far from the complete truth.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 1:05 pm

best to not trust anything you don’t see with your own eyes- example, a “normal” winter here in central New England- so, should I be terrified of climate change? Of course not- despite all the BS in most of the media- I consider them as crazy as Putin

MarkW
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 8:39 am

Anyone who opposes communists is labeled a Nazi these days.

jeffery p
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 10:10 am

Going back to WW2, the population of the USSR was brutally treated by Nazi Germany. It’s a pure propaganda move on Putin’s part to associate Ukraine with Nazis. I suppose it still has some traction with the Russian people.

MarkW
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 10:29 am

Prior to WW2, the people of the Ukraine were brutally treated by the Russians, so it’s hardly surprising that at least at first they would welcome the Nazis as liberators.

THOMAS ENGLERT
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 11:41 pm

Most of the German military were never in the nazi party NASDAP.

bonbon
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 9:03 am

The lead is totally clueless, or simply lazy.
Focusing on the green slime mold and climate shenanigans dumbs the mind to the point of sleepwalking into WWIII.

Or more likely, some use the climate circus to simply steal the EU market, forcing the EU to buy US high priced LNG, and now Germany $112 billion in arms purchases.

America Defeats Germany for the Third Time in a Century
https://michael-hudson.com/2022/02/america-defeats-germany-for-the-third-time-in-a-century/

jeffery p
Reply to  bonbon
March 2, 2022 10:13 am

If you think that doddering old fool Biden is leading anybody anywhere, you’re more delusional than you seem. America is still leading from behind and Germany is acting in what it believes to be in its national interest.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  bonbon
March 2, 2022 1:12 pm

that link says, “Rejecting mutual disarmament of the Warsaw Pact countries and NATO, there was no “peace dividend.””

Only a fool would have dismantled NATO- unless we had seen that Russia had become a true democracy- then maybe some decades later. But it rapidly became an oligarchy.

MarkW
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 1:33 pm

There may have no “official” disarmament of NATO, but considering the defense budgets of most European countries, they all but disarmed.

Last edited 7 months ago by MarkW
Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 4:35 pm

meanwhile, we hear nothing from the Mediterranean countries- too busy enjoying life, nice weather, good wine- but it would help if they woke up

MarkW
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 6:34 pm

Given the performance of the Italians in WW2, I’d be happy with their moral support.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  MarkW
March 3, 2022 2:28 am

true- but, my ancestors, the Romans conquered much of Europe- I think a few thousand years of all that good wine, spaghetti and daily sex wore them out :-}

they really would much rather make love than war- after all, why take the risk when you have Americans and Brits who like to fight

jeffery p
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 11:05 am

I approve of anybody fighting against Putin’s Russia. The enemy of my enemy is my friend. Russia is the free world’s number two geopolitical enemy. Red China is number one. Iran rounds out the new axis of evil.

MarkW
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 11:33 am

N. Korea would be in that list, except they at least keep their evil within their own borders. On the other hand China, Iran and N. Korea are about the only countries supporting Russia in the United Nations.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 1:18 pm

Funny to see Trevor Noah joke about the German change of heart and their call for a rapid build up of their military while we all cheer.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6C38p7N5h9M&t=572s

Russia Punished & Media Shocked by Invasion in “Relatively Civilized” Ukraine | The Daily Show

rwisrael
Reply to  David Sulik
March 2, 2022 11:25 pm

Of course. It is a well known fact that Nazis always elect Jews to be President.Like Zekinsky.

Gregory Woods
March 2, 2022 6:53 am

RDS

jeffery p
Reply to  Gregory Woods
March 2, 2022 10:28 am

???

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 11:29 am

Russia Derangement Syndrome?? I’m taking a wild guess.

MarkW
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
March 2, 2022 1:35 pm

I remember some around here who were actually questioning whether the Ukraine had even been invaded just a couple of days ago.

Felix
March 2, 2022 7:15 am

Dems will lose the 2022 midterms, and the Republicans will be able to stop his green nonsense, if they have the backbone, but not override his vetoes for any positive legislation, such as reviving Keystone XL, oil leases, etc. It will come down to passing bills Biden wants for signing bills he doesn’t want. I wonder what the political geniuses have in mind, for both categories. I’m sure only that it will not help.

jeffery p
Reply to  Felix
March 2, 2022 7:39 am

Dems will lose the 2022 midterms, and the Republicans will be able to stop his green nonsense…

Never underestimate the ability of the Republican party to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Also never underestimate the ability of Republicans to blow it when given an opportunity to lead.

At least we can look forward to gridlock. While gridlock isn’t progress, it’s better than anything the Democrats or progressives can offer us.

Felix
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 7:50 am

My only real hope is that Dems lose the midterms so badly that it scares them and emboldens the Republicans enough to do something right rather than just try to entrench themselves.

Burgher King
Reply to  Felix
March 2, 2022 8:20 am

Felix, don’t count your takeover elections before they’re hatched.

A Republican takeover of the Congress isn’t a certainty. There isn’t enough time between now and November 8th to institute the systemic reforms all across the country needed to deal with election fraud.

The Dems are even now using the lessons learned from the 2020 election to improve their vote fraud machine for the 2022 and 2024 election cycles.

The only means the Republicans now have for countering the Dems vote fraud machine is to deploy many thousands of poll watchers and election worker volunteers in every nook and cranny of the nation’s entire election management system.

These Republican poll watchers and election worker volunteers will be under direct and constant pressure from their Democratic Party counterparts.

If evidence of vote fraud is being discovered and exposed by MAGA Republicans before, during, and after November 8th, the Democrats will accuse the Republicans of criminal interference with the election.

The RINO Republicans will act true to form and will join the Democrats in pushing these allegations against the MAGA Republicans.

Corrupt police and corrupt agents of the FBI will be standing by ready to descend on any Republican poll watcher or election worker who discovers suspicious activity and will arrest anyone who reports evidence of vote fraud.

If we thought 2020 was bad, we haven’t seen anything yet.

Drake
Reply to  Felix
March 2, 2022 8:28 am

If the Republicans pass ONE PAGE bills in plain English that even Democrat voters can understand and send them to Brandon to sign, then when he refuses to sign them he and the Democrats can be defined for what they truly stand for.

Also true for what the Senate Democrats filibuster. Their votes will be on record, for example, on refusing to approve the Keystone pipeline over Brandon’s revocation of the permit and license granted under existing laws.

MANY one page bills brought to the House and Senate for votes rapidly, one a day for MONTHS. Include bills on partial birth abortion, killing babies after birth like Northam, the former VA governor supported. Get the baby killers on record.

And as part of the supposed one a year budget reconciliation bill, remove student loans from federal control or liability. That is how Nancy, Obama and Harry made student loans federal, in a budget reconciliation bill. And many other budget savings, including elimination of liberal full employment spending programs.

TonyG
Reply to  Drake
March 2, 2022 11:28 am

If the Republicans pass ONE PAGE bills in plain English

If ANY legislator even proposed something like that, it would be a miracle.

griff
Reply to  Felix
March 3, 2022 1:10 am

And the next Republican candidate for president is?

Gerald
March 2, 2022 7:17 am

The Ukraine war blows up the Green Energy delusion. Green Energy means PV-cells and wind turbines backed up by gas. Since gas turbines can be switched on and off qickly (which is not possible with coal or nuclear) to back up the unreliable Green Energy. But nobody cared where the gas should come from. For the EU its shown in the graph. App. 40% Russia, 20% Norway, quite stable over the recent years. But what really dropped is the domestic production. From 24% in 2015 to meager 9% in 2021. That’s the result if you ban fracking and scare away every potential investments in fossile energy by threatening to shut it completely down in a few years. For the moment it’s just compensated by LNG (from 8% up to 18%) mostly from Qatar and US. But replacing Russias 40% share is simply impossible and well known by Putin. 40% is just the overall EU share, especially in the CEE countries (Germany, Austria, Hungary eg.) the share of Russian gas even 60% or more.
“Bidenland” may lack some realism, but it’s still far away from the loss of realism level in the EU.

Bild_2022-03-02_160456.png
jeffery p
March 2, 2022 7:34 am

President FJB Brandon has always been the Forest Gump of the Democrats (without the likeability, or modicum of common sense) in that he always goes whichever way the wind blows. Currently, the driving force in the party is from the progressive big green money bags. The man ain’t smart, but he is smart enough to not cut off his funding.

Brad-DXT
Reply to  jeffery p
March 2, 2022 9:49 am

He’s also smart enough to eliminate political opponents like the Ukraine attorney filing a complaint against him.
comment image

Frank from NoVA
Reply to  Brad-DXT
March 2, 2022 1:18 pm

If Brandon’s family had a place at the trough of Ukrainian corruption, it’s not surprising they’d want to see the place leveled before a Republican Congress had a chance to poke around.

March 2, 2022 7:35 am

With inflation so high, interest rates so low, governments freezing accounts, why would anybody have money in banks beyond what’s needed month to month? Invest it in energy stocks!

If we were properly focused on energy security, greenhouse gas emissions would be a moot point.

The Northern Hemisphere climate was much more extreme in previous centuries. The past 150 years have been unusually kind. We are not prepared for reversion to the mean.

The reason I voted for Johnson instead of Clinton was because she would’ve been the greatest gift to Russia and OPEC ever imagined. Well, before Biden anyway.

The status quo is far more dangerous than Trump ever was.

Biden can also write as many leases as he wants now, after such reckless moves no one can trust him on energy. He has brought too much uncertainty.

https://mobile.twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1497253139837190144

#AntiFragileEnergy #GreenNuclearDeal #HighlyFlexibleNaturalGas #IncineratePlasticPollution #WasteToEnergy

Last edited 7 months ago by aaron
Drake
Reply to  aaron
March 2, 2022 8:44 am

TRUMP! dangerous?

Provide ONE example of him being dangerous to the US.

Think Abraham accords, less dangerous for US.
Moving US embassy to Jerusalem, SO SCARRY, but net better relations and lead to Abraham accords.
China tariffs attempting to bring manufacturing home, that was scary.
Building a wall on the southern boarder, that was way scarier then terrorists, human trafficking and drugs coming in now.
Prosecuting US university researchers who fraudulently applied for grant funding by NOT providing information on their ChiCom co researchers. BTW Brandon’s DOJ just dropped all pending cases and greatly increased the requirement co consider prosecuting the cases. TRUMP!’s DOJ got convictions of the ComSimps, so was not an overreach as Brandon’s DOJ claims, but when you are bought and paid for by the ChiComs, you do their bidding always.

So aaron, why the BS “The status quo is far more dangerous than Trump ever was” when TRUMP! was never dangerous to anyone but the entrenched swamp creatures.

Do you support the swamp creatures, is that it?

March 2, 2022 7:37 am

Biden can also write as many leases as he wants now, after such reckless moves no one can trust him on energy. He brought too much uncertainty.

H. D. Hoese
March 2, 2022 7:41 am

Andrea Dutton, Professor of Geoscience from the University of Wisconsin: “Sea-level rise threatens the safety and security of the United States. It’s as if we have an army ringing our coastlines, advancing farther each year than the previous year, taking more land as it goes. We would not tolerate that; yet we are allowing sea level to rise unabated.” Dutton needs to be taken on a real seaside tour–Bay of Fundy through Louisiana to Mexico.

When the Sea Grant program started, Midwestern US states wanted into it. May have been a Wisconsin university that came up the argument that they were perfectly situated for the program being half way between the Atlantic and Pacific. An older marine biologist was afraid Sea Grant would attract those poorly trained in the subject. They even got in on claiming that there were estuaries in the Great Lake area. Seems like he was prescient.

An interesting aside as I was looking for a word in a dictionary ran across this at the top of a page, need to use ‘de-’ for many things nowadays. deStalinization–“discrediting Stalin and his policies.” ‘Deestuarinize Midwest,’ nah, better term somewhere.

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  H. D. Hoese
March 2, 2022 1:20 pm

Dutton’s metaphore is painfully ironic considering the 2+ million human army that invaded across our borders just last year, not to mention the 150,000 Russians invading the Ukraine right now.

The warmunistas love to wield the war talk. They are on record demanding World War III. It’s all been a big, wonderful war for them for years. We’re now reaping the poison they’ve sown.

Last edited 7 months ago by Mike Dubrasich
Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 7:49 am

anyone wanting to see just how bad Russian’s economy is going to collapse, watch:
RUSSIA – Massive WRITE OFFS & LOSS OF TRADE Have Started as Business World Axes Trade with Russia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vT5Bg61qjdU

the speaker is a British economist (?) who offers a high level analysis of economic issues world wide- no fancy graphics- just him talking- this video points out just how bad Russia is going to be feeling in short order

no doubt Putin had no idea…. and when I saw him at that extremely long table- with one or more persons at the other end- the depth of his insanity is now obvious

if anyone here does twitter- and I know most regulars here don’t- they could start a new thread- something like “#dump_Putin”- if one like that doesn’t already exist- I bet it’ll have 100 million subscribers in days

bonbon
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 2, 2022 9:07 am

You are projecting your own insanity and ignorance, kinda like the CO2 Climatologists do all the time.
That loss of rationality actually helps Dr. Mann et al. See how they run, three blind mice.

tomep16616
March 2, 2022 7:50 am

Sadly it’s not even dawned on these buffoons that if you have your own energy industry from resource to product you don’t need to “pick and choose partnerships”

Duane
March 2, 2022 7:51 am

Presidents have little to nothing to do with fossil fuel production and distribution – that is entirely set by the private markets. Indeed, nearly all of the “energy independence” of the US was achieved long before Trump entered office in 2017, while Presidents Bush and Obama were in office – almost entirely due to fracking of oil and gas on private lands. Most gas production due to fracking comes from private oil leases, not government.

Actually, the largest drop in oil and gas production in history in the US occurred under Trump – a nearly instantaneous reduction of 30% took place in April 2020 .. not because of anything Trump did or didn’t do, but entirely because of COVID and the COVID induced massive worldwide recession which also depressed demand by 30% almost instantaneously in April 2020. American oil producers then found themselves greatly lagging demand in a recovering economy by the time Trump left office.

Again, Presidents don’t control markets. Markets control themselves.

Any non-communist should understand that basic concept of supply vs. demand – a law that’s never been repealed by any politician anywhere on Earth in history.

DMacKenzie
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 8:22 am

But governments can impose royalty costs, carbon taxes, and sales restrictions that move the point at which the supply/demand curves intersect…..and presidents can cancel million BPD pipelines on a whim.

Duane
Reply to  DMacKenzie
March 2, 2022 12:38 pm

There are no royalty costs imposed by government on the vast majority of US oil production which comes from private lands. The landowners of course earn royalties. Again it is the market that sets the bar. Government royalties are set to be competitive with private royalties, in the US anyway.

MarkW
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 8:44 am

Presidents control whether production is permitted on federal lands.
Presidents have a lot of influence on regulations that control what happens on private lands.
Your hatred of Trump has grown to the point where you have to find reasons to believe that anything good that happened while he was president couldn’t have anything to do with him.

BobM
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 10:27 am

“Presidents control whether production is permitted on federal lands.”

And whenever a pipeline crosses our border into Canada or Mexico, etc., including rules and regs on nearly anything that comes into the country.

Duane
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 12:42 pm

Actually, no the President does not directly or even indirectly control production from the small minority of US oil and gas production from Federal lands. Government leasing is controlled under Federal law, enacted by Congresses of both parties over many decades.

The notion that Presidents control much of anything at all is bogus – every President holds little power to manage anything, and to the extent a President does have power, that power is curtailed by the courts. A President can muck things up for a short time, but they’re quickly overruled by the courts. Virtually every Executive Order is challenged in the Federal courts. And in case you didn’t notice, Conservative Republicans have constituted the majority of our Federal judges and justices at all levels for the last 50 years.

MarkW
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 1:37 pm

TDS is such a sad disease.

Drake
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 9:02 am

You provide the argument for where Presidents CAN can control OUTPUT. Then OUTPUT, you know “supply” can provide price relief when demand rises.

So lets review Democrat talking points on oil and gas:

For years (decades now) Dems have been saying that drilling in ANWAR will not effect prices any time soon, and ROOTS Psaki just said on Sephanopoulos’ show that the Keystone pipeline “won’t provide oil to help us now”, but of course, without Obama, for years having held up the issuance of the permit, and Brandon, revoking the permit on day 1, oil WOULD be flowing through that pipeline NOW. And if ANWAR drilling, the leases revoked by Obama HAD been allowed, additional oil WOULD be flowing through the Alaskan pipeline from ANWAR NOW. BTW did you know that if more drilling is NOT done soon on the north slope, they won’t have enough oil to push through the line and they may need to shut it down? Didn’t think so.

The numerous leases denied by Brandon and Obama, and permits revoked by both, have restricted the drilling of wells on FEDERAL lands so we don’t, to a large extent, have any idea how much recoverable oil and gas is available on those leases.

So your the “POTUS can’t” is pure BS. Try again.

Duane
Reply to  Drake
March 2, 2022 12:45 pm

It’s got nothing to do with parties or Presidents. This is not a knock on any President of either party, it is simply reality.

There is no spigot that any President controls that controls the supply of oil and gas in America. Presidents have no such power, and never had. Markets supply nearly 100% of the control, and what little government control there is is set by Congress, not the President.

Better go back to middle school and retake your Civics classes. You obviously are ignorant.

bizzarogriff
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 3:36 pm

Well, Duane, the ignorance may not be all from one side of the discussion. The current pmotus (prime moron of the US) HAS issued executive orders that: 1. Restrict development and exploration on federal lands, 2. Increase the regulatory burden and cost of any fossil fuel operations (cost of carbon recalculations), and 3. restrict the transport of both raw and processed fossil fuel products. All of this affects the FUTURES market directly, and as such, affects current pricing. All our hair-sniffer in chief has to do is make more of similar proclamations to affect the futures market.

Drake
Reply to  bizzarogriff
March 2, 2022 6:57 pm

Why would you say “the ignorance may not be all from one side of the discussion”? It is all from one side, Duane’s side.

Bizzarogriff, you need to read all the posts again. Duane IS a political leftist hack who knows not of what he is speaking regarding the power the POTUS has. He is using the old, “I know so much” attitude he apparently suckered you into believing his crap.

He is trying to give Democrats cover for the failure of this country to be energy independent, 100% the fault of liberals and democrats like Duane.

Drake
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 6:47 pm

Nice Duane, everything about obstructing oil and gas development in the US has to do with politics, Democrat politics. Reading your other comments to those who responded to your post makes clear.

You are a Democrat or other similar leftist and ignorant of what you are ranting on

I (and others since my last post) clearly explained HOW a POTUS can control and interfere with the production of oil and gas on federal lands and the licensing of pipelines, etc.

Your statement that the control is set by congress is correct but incomplete. The rest of the story is that congress gave the POTUS, and to some extent the swamp, the ability to approve or block pipelines or leases etc., so your ignorance is showing.

And as to turning on or off a spigot, you idjit, Brandon just authorized the release of 30 million barrels of oil from the strategic POLITICAL petroleum reserve, so spigot controlled and opened, maroon. And that use of the reserve does have a political component, only democrats use it for political reasons. I will leave YOU to do the research, you obviously need the practice.

Grow up, you have been schooled.

Meab
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 10:15 am

DuhWayne, Presidents can kill the means to move fossil fuels to refineries and the market, as in what demented Joe Biden did to the Keystone XL pipeline. Killing the pipeline will directly affect North American fossil fuel production. Claim that it doesn’t and you’re a liar.

Duane
Reply to  Meab
March 2, 2022 12:46 pm

No Presidents cannot kill anything. There is no power of any President to shut down a pipeline that is operational, nor can a President prevent a new pipeline from operating that does not traverse Federal lands, and most pipelines traverse only private or state lands. Most oil and gas production, and 100% of refining, takes place on private lands.

meab
Reply to  Duane
March 2, 2022 6:14 pm

You’re lying, DuhWayne. Demented Joe Biden personally shut down the Keystone XL by revoking a permit issued by President Trump.

Drake
Reply to  meab
March 2, 2022 7:04 pm

He is just a leftist hack. He knows almost all pipelines over 50 miles long end up passing over federal property.

He is laying a smokescreen to cover the responsibility of leftists and democrats like him for the failure of this country to be energy independent. The failure lays on the backs of Democrats and their associated socialist/communist/Marxist brethren. The only question is which is Duane, Marxist? Communist? Socialist? Or just a run on the mill Democrat?

observa
March 2, 2022 7:54 am

Today, we bring this richer, more complete integration of physical and social sciences to the White House. . . . It’s time to understand and fight the delayism that has already cost us so dearly.

Nice touch from PR there to substitute delayism for denialism but old habits die hard and we get the picture-

It’s clear that a variety of special interests have had a vested interest in sowing doubt on climate change and feeding denialism and delay.

You have to get the new corporate line really hunkered down and everyone singing from the same hymn sheet before the full pitch promo release.

pochas94
March 2, 2022 8:31 am

We need to have well researched criteria for a functioning brain, which all candidates for public office need to meet.

Andyhce
Reply to  pochas94
March 2, 2022 10:18 am

maybe sometime in the next thousand years

Peter W
Reply to  pochas94
March 2, 2022 12:22 pm

Given the various outputs from our Universities these days, I really have to wonder where we will find any functioning brains.

Charlie
March 2, 2022 8:32 am

I’m astonished that a German Green has said something sensible. Greens are terminally stupid, and I doubt British Greens have changed their position one iota.

bonbon
Reply to  Charlie
March 2, 2022 9:09 am

Watch their shadow, or their feet!
$112 billion for new military spending announced between the notes, went right by ya?

griff
Reply to  Charlie
March 3, 2022 1:09 am

The bloomberg report is only a partial one…

Other news sites report German govt accelerating green roll out.

March 2, 2022 8:47 am

It’s been obvious for several years that no matter what we sceptics say, the covid climate cult will just carry on regardless. The people get the governments they deserve and with the majority not giving a dam about the appalling climate cult and their evil attacks on fossil fuels and society, … and voting in the bandwagoneering politicians pushing the climate cult, it was inevitable that sooner or later the brown stuff would hit the fan.

The Dark Lord
March 2, 2022 8:50 am

and just guess where Germany gets a huge percentage of their coal ? … why Russia of course …

fretslider
March 2, 2022 8:59 am

Look out of your window and see there is no climate crisis

philincalifornia
Reply to  fretslider
March 2, 2022 10:36 am

Most people, they look out their window and they can see climate change is real.

From the ugly, lying pig Dessler:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/02/17/dessler-on-the-joe-rogan-experience-oy/

There are windows, and then there are windows.

bonbon
Reply to  fretslider
March 2, 2022 12:11 pm

Many look out their Windows all the time : look at the sea level rising….

img100.jpg
griff
Reply to  fretslider
March 3, 2022 1:04 am

I wouldn’t try that in NSW…

Or in Argentina, where the smoke from the fires brought on by the drought obscures the view… or in drought stricken Africa.

I guess in parts of western Canada, Germany and China you’d see the ongoing clear up from last years devastating rain/floods…

Here in the UK it is already well into Spring, early than ever…

so are you looking out on a blank wall, or something?

MarkW
Reply to  griff
March 3, 2022 6:20 am

Once again, griff actually believes that climate started 30 years ago.

Michael in Dublin
March 2, 2022 9:00 am

This is a serious problem in the third world and Africa in particular.

This was illustrated in an article published today about the poor country of Namibia:

Oil and gas firms that recently made oil discoveries off the coast of Namibia have been “harassed” out of South Africa because it wants to be an “island of angels in a sea of poverty”, mineral resources and energy minister Gwede Mantashe said this week.

Sadly this minister is right but his cabinet opposes him.

bonbon
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
March 2, 2022 9:29 am

Africa is about to be hit by the sanctions imposed on Russia. Wheat and fertilizer are already way down.
So famine is highly likely.
Statement by the Permanent Representative Ambassador Ronaldo Costa
Filho in the Security Council Debate on the Question of Ukraine
27 February 2022

https://sistemas.mre.gov.br/kitweb/datafiles/Delbrasonu/en-us/file/2022%2002%2027%20-%20BR%20-%20Ukraine%20CSNU(1).pdf

copy link text, for some reason WUWT scrambles it.

Last edited 7 months ago by bonbon
Drake
Reply to  bonbon
March 2, 2022 7:10 pm

If the US would end the ethanol scam and repurpose the land suitable for wheat that is used for corn for that fraud, there would be plenty of wheat to make up for that lost from Russia and Ukraine. And everyone using gasoline in there cars would get a mile or 2 more a gallon.

AND, if this war isn’t over before spring planting season, Ukraine might not have much of a wheat crop this year.

Burgher King
March 2, 2022 10:03 am

For an accurate analysis of the roots of Putin’s war on Ukraine, and where it is now heading, watch Tucker Carlson’s eight minute interview with Colonel Douglas Macgregor from last night:

https://youtu.be/uRi_TCehkBY

It is clear that the quick collapse of Ukrainian resistance which Putin was hoping for will not happen. Russia will now go Full Stalin on Ukraine. Russia’s defeat of Ukraine is now inevitable, and at huge cost to both sides.

Putin’s apparent plan is to fully conquer Ukraine east of the Dnieper River plus Kiev, doing so with China’s buy-in and permission. He will then offer Zelensky and Biden a deal where Russia keeps eastern Ukraine while western Ukraine survives as a neutral country without EU and NATO membership.

Zelensky, Biden, and NATO have no choice at this point but to accept this kind of deal if they want to avoid even larger losses in their political and military positions.

But if Zelensky, Biden, and NATO refuse, if they attempt to prolong the war by feeding more weapons and more supplies in to Ukraine, Putin will then take the western half of Ukraine and will move substantial military forces to the borders of the NATO countries.

Western sanctions on Russia will have their effect, certainly. That said, China has much to gain if it bails Russia out. Russia and China now have every reason to cooperate with each other economically and geopolitically.

Russia will suffer greatly in the short term. No doubt about it. But for the long term, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping are betting that the benefits of the Ukraine invasion will far exceed its huge near term costs.

This will become especially apparent if and when China moves on Taiwan.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Burgher King
March 2, 2022 10:54 am

I think if Putin tries to take all of Ukraine, then he is going to run up against the NATO nations, and some of those nations are not as reluctant to use force against Russia, as is the Biden administration, so NATO and Putin may get involved whether the U.S. likes it or not.

What will Biden do if Putin attacks Poland or another NATO nation? Will Putin’s threat to use nukes leave Biden paralyzed the way he is paralyzed into inaction over the atrocities occurring in Ukraine right now?

Does Biden and NATO have a red line? How many innocent people need to be murdered before there is any movement out of Biden or NATO?

Last edited 7 months ago by Tom Abbott
Burgher King
Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 2, 2022 6:51 pm

Tom Abbott: “I think if Putin tries to take all of Ukraine, then he is going to run up against the NATO nations, and some of those nations are not as reluctant to use force against Russia, as is the Biden administration, so NATO and Putin may get involved whether the U.S. likes it or not.”

The great bulk of NATO’s nominal combat power resides in the United States. Only a few of NATO’s members have been willing to keep their spending obligations to the alliance current, the biggest holdout being Germany.

Any direct use of force against Russia by the armed forces of any NATO nation will result in a large conventional war between NATO and Russia. Russia is much better prepared to fight such a war than is the NATO alliance.

As things stand right now, any explicit threat of a direct use of force by any NATO nation against Russia is a completely empty threat. Putin knows this, we know this.

Tom Abbott: “What will Biden do if Putin attacks Poland or another NATO nation? Will Putin’s threat to use nukes leave Biden paralyzed the way he is paralyzed into inaction over the atrocities occurring in Ukraine right now?”

It’s not in the cards that Putin will attack Poland or any other NATO nation unless and until Russia suffers direct military attacks from a NATO nation.

As for anyone using nukes in this war, it is an axiom of nuclear calculus, based on many years of wargaming, that any use of a nuclear weapon by any side in a regional conflict such as we are seeing in Ukraine will quickly escalate into a full scale nuclear war between the adversaries.

Tom Abbott: “Does Biden and NATO have a red line? How many innocent people need to be murdered before there is any movement out of Biden or NATO?”

Putin has the initiative at this point. He has the upper hand for now. How long he and his generals can maintain the upper hand in the current situation is not easy to predict.

I will also point out here that if China has its own plan to take Taiwan in the very near term future, this action would have the effect of reducing NATO pressure on Russia simply for the fact that the US, which controls the bulk of NATO’s combat power, would be tied up fighting a war in the far western Pacific.

Last edited 7 months ago by Burgher King
Tom Abbott
Reply to  Burgher King
March 3, 2022 3:09 am

“Any direct use of force against Russia by the armed forces of any NATO nation will result in a large conventional war between NATO and Russia. Russia is much better prepared to fight such a war than is the NATO alliance.”

I wouldn’t say that at all. Have you been watching the poor performance of the Russian military in Ukraine? They can’t even fight at night.

“It’s not in the cards that Putin will attack Poland or any other NATO nation unless and until Russia suffers direct military attacks from a NATO nation.”

Or until Russian troops attack some NATO nation’s efforts to resupply Ukraine. The NATO nations will respond to such an attack and here we go.

“As for anyone using nukes in this war, it is an axiom of nuclear calculus, based on many years of wargaming, that any use of a nuclear weapon by any side in a regional conflict such as we are seeing in Ukraine will quickly escalate into a full scale nuclear war between the adversaries.”

I think that’s correct. Putin should think about that. If Putin starts a nuclear war, Putin will be one of the casualties. If I were the American president, I would send Putin a picture of Putin’s house, and pictures of Putin’s relaitves houses. Like Trump did with the Taliban leader. The Taliban leader got the message. We know where you live and you are not immune from attack.

MarkW
Reply to  Burgher King
March 2, 2022 11:38 am

If Putin doesn’t take all of the Ukraine now, it’s because he realizes he can’t. On the other hand, after laying low a few years, he’ll be able to come back and get the rest, and the same scenario we are seeing now will play out again. Just as it did when he took the Crimea. It will continue to play out until either Putin dies, or someone decides to call Putin’s bluffs.

Burgher King
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 12:26 pm

As I said earlier, it is likely Putin will will offer Zelensky, Biden, and NATO a deal where Russia keeps eastern Ukraine while western Ukraine survives as a neutral country without EU and NATO membership.

Putin will tell them that they if accept his deal, and if Zelensky agrees not to engage in a post war insurgency, then hostilities will end. But if his offer is rejected, he will then escalate the war still further and will take all of Ukraine in a campaign which might last eight to ten weeks before his victory is complete.

What happens next If Zelenski, Biden, and NATO reject Putin’s deal in the belief that Russia’s military forces aren’t capable of quickly taking all of Ukraine in an extended campaign which might last those eight to ten weeks?

If Putin’s deal is rejected, he will call their bluff and take advantage of his currently advantageous military position to unleash the full conventional military power of Russia and will pay whatever price must be paid to conquer all of Ukraine.

China would very probably support Putin in widening the war, stepping in with financial and economic aid, thus permanently cementing their budding alliance.

Xi Jinping is as much of a criminal dictator as is Vladimir Putin. But neither one of them is insane in the way Hitler was insane. In any case, birds of a feather flock together, especially so when they have mutually reinforcing economic and geopolitical interests.

MarkW
Reply to  Burgher King
March 2, 2022 1:39 pm

And as I said earlier, yes the hostilities will end.

For now.

They will resume as soon as Putin is ready to take the rest of the Ukraine.

Carving up Czechoslovakia put off WWII as well. For a few months.

Last edited 7 months ago by MarkW
Burgher King
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 6:25 pm

Putin can’t halt the invasion without losing negotiating leverage with the west. Hostilities may slow down somewhat if negotiations resume but won’t come to a complete halt.

Combat action won’t take a complete pause at any point in the next few weeks until and unless Zelensky and the West accede to Russia’s terms for ending the war.

It’s not likely Zelensky and the west will cave in. It appears that Biden’s people and the EU believe that with enough economic pressure placed against Russia, they can effect a regime change in that country.

This is a forlorn hope if there ever was one. Putin, his generals, and his circle of oligarchs know that if they don’t succeed in Ukraine, they are done. So they will do what they have to do to succeed.

MarkW
Reply to  Burgher King
March 3, 2022 6:22 am

Even if they do succeed, if the cost is too high, they are done. The cost is already way higher than they predicted.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Burgher King
March 3, 2022 3:14 am

“Putin will tell them that they if accept his deal, and if Zelensky agrees not to engage in a post war insurgency,”

As if Zelensky could guarantee that. There will be an insurgency.

Vuk
Reply to  MarkW
March 2, 2022 1:43 pm

Putin alive or dead, makes no difference. There are enough hot heads among Russian parliamentarians and generals that will never give up Kiev and a large part of eastern Ukraine. City of Kiev is a cradle of Russian nation, religion, state and culture. Perhaps it may be a bit harder for an average American than European to understand.

Last edited 7 months ago by Vuk
Tom Abbott
Reply to  Vuk
March 3, 2022 3:17 am

“City of Kiev is a cradle of Russian nation, religion, state and culture.”

The city the Russians are currently destroying? They don’t think much of their history, do they.

Retired_Engineer_Jim
March 2, 2022 11:26 am

A Biden Advisor was being interviewed on CNN today. The commentator asked if, in the face of potential energy supply problems, couldn’t we ramp up extracting fossil fuels in the US for a while, to protect the consumer. The adviser stated that it would be a bad idea, that we should implement President Biden’s proposed plan to pay folks to ease the pain of high energy prices. The commentator actually interrupted him, a Democrat, and asked if he was proposing that the Build Back Better Plan be reintroduced. He said no, that the President realized it had to be broken up into smaller pieces. He then diverted, and started talking about the presssing need for child care in the US, …

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Retired_Engineer_Jim
March 3, 2022 3:18 am

Biden is determined to destroy the fossil fuel industry. Which means he is determined to destroy the United States.

Old.George
March 2, 2022 11:37 am

Energy is Civilization.
Without energy civilization collapses. Without oil and gas or nuclear civilization returns to the stone age. No heat, no air conditioning, no vehicles. And yet, somehow, the powers that be are against oil and gas and nuclear.

Vuk
March 2, 2022 1:13 pm

“Sympathy for the outnumbered and outgunned defenders of Kyiv has led to the exaggeration of Russian setbacks, misunderstanding of Russian strategy, and even baseless claims from amateur psychoanalysts that Putin has lost his mind.” says Bill Roggio, Senior Fellow and Editor of Foundation for Defense of Democracies. 

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2022/03/02/putin-not-crazy-russian-invasion-not-failing/

Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7
March 2, 2022 1:50 pm

See here for Michael Shellenberger‘s take on the energy policies that enabled Russian expansion:

The former KGB agent knows Russia produces 11 million barrels of oil per day but only uses 3.4 million. He knows Russia now produces over 700 billion cubic meters of gas a year but only uses around 400 billion. Russia mines 800 million tons of coal each year but uses 300.

That’s how Russia ends up supplying about 20 percent of Europe’s oil, 40 percent of its gas, and 20 percent of its coal. 

The math is simple. A child could do it.

Unless of course the child is named Greta Thunberg.

Trivia quiz: which nation has the largest proven oil reserves? — Hint: it’s not Saudi Arabia or any other gulf state, nor is it Russia or the US.

Answer: Venezuela.

Question: why with oil at $110/bbl. does Venezuela top the world’s misery index with over 94% of the population living in poverty and over 75% in extreme poverty?

Answer: because under Chávez and Maduro Venezuela has followed the same socialist policies The Squad and Bernie Sanders “progressives” want to impose on the US.

The math is simple. A child could do it.

Unless of course the child is named Joe Biden.

Vuk
Reply to  Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7
March 2, 2022 2:09 pm

Russia also produces 40% of the world’s palladium (used in everything from catalytic converters to electronics to dental equipment) but uses only small fraction of it.
It also extracts about quarter of the world’s titanium sponge which is the major source of titanium, one of the strongest metals.  Titanium is used in military vehicles, arms manufacture, nuclear power stations, aircraft and shipbuilding, and drilling equipment. 

Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7
Reply to  Vuk
March 2, 2022 3:03 pm

Indeed. When Lockheed was developing the SR-71 there was no domestic supply of titanium. So the CIA arranged a chain of shell companies and bought the necessary titanium from the Soviet Union.

Sort of like how Russia acquired 50% of US uranium production through a Canadian shell company (Uranium One) and its board chairman and major Clinton Foundation donor Ian Telfer.

Capitalists will indeed sell you the rope you can use to hang them, and the Clintons will be happy to provide the introductions for a fee.

Hutches Hunches
March 2, 2022 2:46 pm

It seems quite likely that the Democrat will not abandon their Green New deal until many people have lost their lives due to totally unrealistic and fanciful energy policies that cannot sustain life itself, much less the viable modern society we now have.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Hutches Hunches
March 3, 2022 3:20 am

Or until the next election.

ResourceGuy
March 2, 2022 7:07 pm

Bidenland is lobbyist-advovacy-donor land. There is no country there.

griff
March 3, 2022 12:59 am

Most of the headlines are ‘Germany accelerates Green rollout…’

Tom Abbott
Reply to  griff
March 3, 2022 3:22 am

“Germany accelerates Green rollout”

Doubles down on stupid.

One of these days, this stupidity will be obvious to everyone.

Geoff Sherrington
March 3, 2022 3:24 am

As a 5th gen Aussie, if a mob like the EU or NATO tried to make me answer to them, I could be grateful for the intervention of a stronger power.
Why was it so immediately and forcefully broadcast that Putin was the only Bad Player? How much of this depiction is propaganda and how much is real?
Does anyone else here have a feeling that many countries do not mind if Putin succeeds modestly because Ukrainian leadership needs a regime change? Was not son of Pontus doing illegal deals with them? Were mnot ordinary Ukrainians getting a raw deal before borders were crossed?
I have no special knowledge. But it is not all that clear cut. Geoff S

MarkW
Reply to  Geoff Sherrington
March 3, 2022 6:25 am

If having a corrupt administration was sufficient motivation for invasion, then at least 3/4ths of the countries in the world need to be invaded. If corruption is the standard, the Russia is way more corrupt than Ukraine.

Putin is the Bad Player, because he’s the only one sending troops to steal territory and kill people, and this is at least the third time he’s done it.

Last edited 6 months ago by MarkW
c1ue
March 3, 2022 5:51 am

What is interesting right now, IMO, is that our Glorious Leaders in the West have decided that high energy prices are great because they will justify a faster transition to wind and solar PV.
So there is no reason for regular people to expect relief, any time soon, on massive utility and gas pump costs.

ResourceGuy
March 3, 2022 11:39 am
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