Reposted from the NoTricksZone
By P Gosselin on 29. September 2021
Empty gas stocks, windless days, disrupted supply lines, CO2 certificates, soaring inflation, blackouts, bitter cold and other forebode a winter of discontent across Europe.
Recently Bloomberg reported on how Europe was on the path to a severe energy crisis this winter, with risks of blackouts.
Dutch TTF #gas priced in #crudeoil equivalent now trading at $148/barrels . If not arrested soon it will be surging diesel prices next, thereby supporting the middle barrel, and oil prices in general. #OOTT #ONGT pic.twitter.com/QP9aERpho9
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) September 15, 2021
Germany’s N-TV also reports a dire picture, writing “Europe’s gas storage facilities are largely empty, and supplies are not flowing as they should.
Already surging energy prices are forcing the first companies to close factories in Europe, and German companies like BASF and copper producer Aurubis are complaining about extremely high prices for energy sources.
U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs is warning of “almost empty gas storage facilities” and that “Europe faces an acute energy crisis.” Utilities across Europe have already announced massive price hikes.
Another problem, according to N-TV: Companies are struggling to get supplies of raw materials and semi-finished goods. “Inflation in Germany has already climbed to its highest level in almost 30 years.” Prices for raw plastic, for example have skyrocketed since late last year.
Tripled prices
The price of gas in Amsterdam has already more than tripled since the beginning of the year. The reason, according to N-TV, are interrupted supplies from Russia, and production from Europe’s North Sea gas fields “has also been curtailed”! Also “CO2 tax and oil price drive up fuel prices,” reports N-TV.
Phaseout of coal, nuclear worsening the problem
Adding to the European energy supply woes: “Europe has recently experienced an unusual wind lull”, which has forced Germany to ramp up its coal (lignite) fired power generation, which, according to N-TV, “is in the process of being phased out.” The price of burning coal is also more expensive, thanks to the now higher price of CO2 emission certificates.
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But but but COVID. It’s Covid’s fault. CNN article this am blames everything but what’s actually causing this, the green energy cult.
In your last subtitle, ‘Phaseout of coal, nuclear worsening the problem’ You definitely need a comma after the word, ‘Nuclear’, to bring the meaning in line with what you intend. At least I hope you do, or else you are saying Nuclear is part of the problem, rather than the ‘phaseout’ of nuclear.
Ampersands (&) were made for situations needing brevity.
And this is with wind producing the highest power output in 6 months along with demand not being that high.
Current weather forecasts give a reasonable chance that COP26 in Glasgow will take place under a covering of snow and with possibly freezing temperatures unusually early. We can but hope …
Russia has dumped billions and billions into Nordstream2 despite intense US sabotage of the project. All that’s left is the paperwork and the gas gets turned on full blast. Simple as that.
Posa, your ignorance and lack of critical thinking skills are manifest.
Thanks for your impressive insights
Then act on those insights. You will be a better person.
You can’t handle the truth
The truth is that Russian gas can be turned off at any time for political reasons (see China vs Australia). Free market capitalism it ain’t.
Evidently CO2 emission certificates are doing their job of reducing CO2. The problem are certificates contributing to the erosion of quality of life and maybe life itself. And that is just one of the problems.
It takes pain to make change in democratic societies. And I suspect this pain will advance that change. But the leftist creeps will do all they can to continue the pain and misery of energy shortages.
The entire Net Zero project is an entirely imaginary solution to a non-existent problem. The Green New Deal establishment academic “Consensus ” that increasing CO2 will cause dangerous warming is typical of the post -modern left wing anti-capitalist nonsense that passes for U S ,UK and European science these days.
Here is the Abstract to my paper “Net Zero threatens Sustainable Development Goals” which is on the web at
https://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com
” Abstract
This paper begins by reviewing the relationship between CO2 and Millennial temperature cycles. CO2 levels follow temperature changes. CO2 is the dependent variable and there is no calculable consistent relationship between the two. The uncertainties and wide range of out-comes of model calculations of climate radiative forcing arise from the improbable basic assumption that anthropogenic CO2 is the major controller of global temperatures. Earth’s climate is the result of resonances and beats between the phases of cyclic processes of varying wavelengths and amplitudes. At all scales, including the scale of the solar planetary system, sub-sets of oscillating systems develop synchronous behaviors which then produce changing patterns of periodicities in time and space in the emergent data. Solar activity as represented by the Oulu cosmic ray count is here correlated with the Hadsst3 temperatures and is the main driver of global temperatures at Millennial scales. The Millennial pattern is projected forwards to 2037. Earth has just passed the peak of a Millennial cycle and will generally cool until 2680 – 2700. At the same time, and not merely coincidentally, the earth has now reached a new population peak which brought with it an associated covid pandemic, and global poverty and income disparity increases which threaten the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals. During the last major influenza epidemic world population was 1.9 billion. It is now 7.8 billion+/. The establishment science “consensus” that a modelled future increase in CO2 levels and not this actual fourfold population increase is the main threat to human civilization is clearly untenable. The cost of the proposed rapid transition to non- fossil fuels would create an unnecessary, enormously expensive. obstacle in the way of the effort to attain a modern ecologically viable sustainable global economy. We must adapt to the most likely future changes and build back smarter when losses occur. “
It would be helpful if WUWT readers could share this post and comment with their Representatives in Congress first like Manchin to try to permanently stop the just proposed FERC controls on fracking, oil production and refining and also to call for a National Independent Commission to conduct an independent re-examination of the hopelessly flawed “science” which drives the dangerous warming meme. For example the UAH 6.0 TLT satellite data show that there has been no net warming for the last 17 years and Arctic sea ice is now only the 12th lowest in the recent record.
You mean, the flock of RE chickens is finally coming home to roost, all at once?
You don’t say.
What about all these RE NIRVANA promises? Gone with the wind?
Raw chicken for dinner, because of no electricity?
OK, better than no chicken at all, as during WW 2.
Why not have even more wind, solar, and batteries, so when the winds are bullshit for a few weeks, and the sun being bullshit anyway, except in Spain, you can really freeze in the dark, while being hungry, and tired from WALKING to empty stores.
LESSON: Screw around with fossil, in any way, and all hell is sure to break lose, as proven In Texas and California, etc.
In the US, we have RE idiots as well, plus they are supported by an idiot, stolen-election, almost 80-year-old President, who said (when he was not looking at his teleprompter), if we borrow $3.5 TRILLION, and piss it away on mostly social programs, including coddling about 2,000,000 “refugees” in 2021 (more in future years), it will cost us nothing.
Borrow from whom at no interest?
PSnarki tries to explain why Dementia Joe has an empty schedule:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/09/psaki-defends-joe-bidens-empty-schedule-open-visitors-open-going-places-video/
Well, it is simple.
If what is left of his brain is over-stressed, he may go into touchy/ freely mode with little girls and boys, or whomever, or fall asleep in the Oval Office, as he did when the Israeli Prime Minister was sitting nearby.
Where is the Hydrogen economy when we need it?
Phase out fossil now (for window dressing), before it gets here, in a few decades, if ever?
It’s right next to the water burning engines on the back shelf.
OK, guys, go easy on Griff.
He stayed naive, maybe from birth.
Just let him babble, but pay no attention to him, no matter what nuttiness he writes.
Trying to power a modern economy on intermittents (renewables) is a scheme only our enemies could love.
When this article is talking of gas are they referring to petrol or gas gas?
Flatulence.
Natural gas. Not all of it gas gas as it is shipped liquified.
And you aint seen nothing yet-
Solar curtailment: You ain’t seen nothing yet | RenewEconomy
“Clearly the problem is growing more acute requiring longer-term solutions including a number of options considered by CAISO. One promising solution is to enlarge the physical size of the market, therefore increasing the diversity of the generation portfolio.
CAISO has been attempting to enlarge participation in the Energy Imbalance Market (EIM), a real- time market that allows participants outside of California – and non-CAISO stakeholders – to buy and sell energy to balance supply and demand in real-time.”
Welcome to the fallacy of composition: We’ll flog em our unreliables glut and they can back us up with their reliables when we need it.
I propose the following “program” to end the “renewables” lunacy.
Russia Today could not resist ‘Putin’ in the boot to Germany.