Here’s an artist’s idea of what the intense volcanic activity in ancient Siberia might have looked like. Many scientists suggest that effects of this volcanism, which lasted some 60,000 years, may have triggered the extinction of most living species. Image: JOSÉ-LUIS OLIVARES/MIT

Claim: Global Warming Tipping Points Caused the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

According to a study, The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, an extreme spike of global warming which occurred 55 million years ago, was not just caused by volcanism and geological upheaval.

‘Tipping points’ in Earth’s system triggered rapid climate change 55 million years ago, research shows

by  University of Exeter

Scientists have uncovered a fascinating new insight into what caused one of the most rapid and dramatic instances of climate change in the history of the Earth.

A team of researchers, led by Dr. Sev Kender from the University of Exeter, have made a pivotal breakthrough in the cause behind the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) – an extreme global warming event that lasted for around 150 thousand years which saw significant temperature rises. 

Although previous studies have suggested volcanic activity contributed to the vast CO2emissions that drove the rapid climate change, the trigger for event is less clear.

In the new study, the researchers have identified elevated levels of mercury just before and at the outset of the PETM—which could be caused by expansive volcanic activity—in samples taken from sedimentary cores in the North Sea. 

Crucially, the research of the rock samples also showed that in the early stages of the PETM, there was a significant drop in mercury levels—suggested at least one other carbon reservoir released significant greenhouse gasses as the phenomenon took hold. 

The research indicates the existence of tipping points in the Earth’s System—which could trigger the release of additional carbon reservoirs that drove the Earth’s climate to unprecedented high temperatures.

Read more: https://phys.org/news/2021-08-earth-triggered-rapid-climate-million.html

The abstract of the study;

Paleocene/Eocene carbon feedbacks triggered by volcanic activity

Sev KenderKara BogusGunver K. PedersenKaren DybkjærTamsin A. MatherErica MarianiAndy RidgwellJames B. RidingThomas WagnerStephen P. Hesselbo & Melanie J. Leng 

Abstract

The Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) was a period of geologically-rapid carbon release and global warming ~56 million years ago. Although modelling, outcrop and proxy records suggest volcanic carbon release occurred, it has not yet been possible to identify the PETM trigger, or if multiple reservoirs of carbon were involved. Here we report elevated levels of mercury relative to organic carbon—a proxy for volcanism—directly preceding and within the early PETM from two North Sea sedimentary cores, signifying pulsed volcanism from the North Atlantic Igneous Province likely provided the trigger and subsequently sustained elevated CO2. However, the PETM onset coincides with a mercury low, suggesting at least one other carbon reservoir released significant greenhouse gases in response to initial warming. Our results support the existence of ‘tipping points’ in the Earth system, which can trigger release of additional carbon reservoirs and drive Earth’s climate into a hotter state.

Read more: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25536-0

To be fair, unlike some studies, the authors of this study warn upfront in the main body of their paper that it is difficult to draw inferences from events which occurred during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum which are relevant to modern times.

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Tom Abbott
September 2, 2021 8:01 pm

From the article: “The research indicates the existence of tipping points in the Earth’s System—which could trigger the release of additional carbon reservoirs that drove the Earth’s climate to unprecedented high temperatures.”

Well, if Dr. Happer is correct about CO2 being almost saturated at the current CO2 level of 420ppm, it seems that any levels of CO2 much above current levels, would have little effect on the atmospheric temperatures.

Methinks the alarmists are going to have to find something else other than CO2 for the temperatue control knob.

Reply to  Tom Abbott
September 3, 2021 12:20 pm

I don’t know why WUWT are not posting the new paper by Van Wijngaarden and Happer, which shows comprehensive saturation.

https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2021/09/01/greenhouse-saturation-research-could-kill-the-climate-emergency/

Michael S. Kelly
September 3, 2021 4:25 am

“In the new study, the researchers have identified elevated levels of mercury just before and at the outset of the PETM—which could be caused by expansive volcanic activity—in samples taken from sedimentary cores in the North Sea.”

Or…the elevated levels of mercury could have been from all of the thermometers popping at the new high temperatures, like you see in old movies. They might be reversing cause and effect, here.

john harmsworth
September 3, 2021 7:49 am

Sure, sure. Tipping points. So how did it cool down again in 150,000 years? They can un-tip too? Sounds lie the climate is one of those rocking bird-that-drinks things. They involve alcohol, too.

Richard Page
Reply to  john harmsworth
September 3, 2021 3:39 pm

I think it’s more like a very slow pendulum but anything that helps!

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