High-level climate conference in Porto, 7-8 September 2018: a special invitation to WUWT readers

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

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Following the successful London climate conference of 2016, Professor Nils-Axel Mörner and Pamela Matlack-Klein are organizing a high-level conference on The basic science of a changing climate at the Facultate de Letras (Humanities Faculty) in the University of Porto, Portugal, for two action-packed days – Friday 7 September and Saturday 8 September 2018.

The website for the conference is https://www.portoconference2018.org/. Registration fees are 30-130 euros a head – remarkably reasonable for conferences of this quality. Special rates have also been arranged for accommodation.

The keynote opening speaker, Professor Christopher Essex of the University of Western Ontario, will talk on how to check whether the models are getting things right. Piers Corbyn will demonstrate that recent extreme weather in Europe is normal: we’ve seen it all before. Nils-Axel Mörner will discuss the ocean circulation in the Atlantic and the Gulf Stream oscillation.

Maria da Assunção Araújo and Pamela Matlack-Klein will describe the Portuguese sea-level project. Michael Limburg of EIKE will ask whether we can trust climate time series. Philip Foster will talk about the Nile as a climate engine. Ray Garnett and Madhave Khandekar will discuss solar variability and its likely future effect on global grain yields.

And that’s just the Friday morning. In the afternoon, Francois Gervais will reveal how estimates of climate sensitivity have been falling. Your own correspondent will discuss his team’s paper, On an error in defining temperature feedback. Camille Veyres will reveal 11 facts you need to know to avoid being deceived about global warming. Jamal Munishi will discuss the connection between equilibrium sensitivity and climate response. Professor Hermann Harde, one of the most knowledgeable of all skeptical scientists, will assess the relative contributions of the Sun and CO2 to global warming. Hans Jelbring will examine regional greenhouse effects.

On Saturday morning, Piers Corbyn will review the mechanisms of climate change. Henri Masson will analyse complexity, causality and dynamics inside the climate system. Pavel Kalenda and his tream will expound how past levels of solar energy can be calculated from continental rocks. Don Easterbrook will discuss climate change and the cause of Little Ice Ages. Roger Tattersall and Stuart Graham will demonstrate that solar and interplanetary forces, not human activity, rule the climate. Jan-Erik Solheim will show that the length of the solar cycle can be used to predict local climate. Harald Yndestad will present the climate clock. Nils-Axel Mörner will talk about planetary oscillation and sea-level change. Nicola Scafetta will present a better understanding of natural climate variability.

On Saturday afternoon, Tom Wysmuller will reveal how the UNESCO International Geosciences Program (IGSP) sea-level predictions have failed. Antonio Silva will show that present sea-level changes pose little risk to coastlines. Professor Cliff Ollier will dismiss the climate-extremists’ fallback position, ocean “acidification”, as a myth. Peter Ridd, recently unfairly dismissed by his university for having dared to question the Party Line by pointing out that most coral-reef science was unduly alarmist, will be talking about the Great Barrier Reef, climate change and science. David Block will discuss salt and albedo. Conor McMenemie will analyse the weather effects of the Nile dam. Madhav Khandekar will look at the connection, if any, between recent cold-weather extremes and global warming. Howard Dewhirst and Robert Heath will present their letter to the Geological Society of London. Aziz Adam will consider the politics of climate change. Benoît Rittaud, a formidable French mathematician with a love of the history of the discipline, will lay out some historical cases of erroneous scientific “consensus”.

As if this feast of intellectual delights were not enough, there will be a closing vin d’honneur featuring port and cheese. Also, there are dark mutterings to the effect that I will play a Schubert piano sonata for the company. Well, you can’t have nowt but fun.

The Porto conference – as you can tell from the very low registration fees – is not being run for profit, but purely for the advancement of true science. It will be a first-rate opportunity not only to hear some of the leading climate researchers who do proper science (and one or two who don’t) but also to meet them and discuss their work. There are some presentations with whose content I know I am going to disagree, and I shall have the opportunity to let the presenters know my concerns. Niklas Mörner takes the commendably scientific view that all who have something to say, whether or not what they say seems right, should be fairly heard and, if necessary, fairly argued with.

To book your place at the conference and get special rates for accommodation close to the conference venue, go to https://www.portoconference2018.org/. Those who would rather not pay the registration fee in advance can pay at the door on the day, though that will cost quite a bit more than paying now. But the organizers will need to know how many are coming, so please register on the conference website as soon as you can. Looking forward to seeing you there!

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J Mac

In other circumstances, I might be sorely tempted. Alas, a ‘surprise necessity’ coincides and is keeping me ‘anchored’. Will a ‘proceedings’ document or videos be published online, summarizing each presentation? More than happy to pay for such…

Best wishes to all presenters and supporters! And “Thanks!” for all of your thorough and hard work providing essential focus on climate science, sans rent-seeking alarmism and hyperbole.

Pameladragon

Yes, we plan to have a ‘Proceedings’ document online and, if all goes well, printed as well. Please contact me via the conference website for more information.

J Mac

Thanks Pameladragon!
Are you attending the conference? If so, please enjoy a refreshing vinho verde for me!

For others who may be attending, you may enjoy the following basic ‘primer’ on the wines of Portugal: https://www.seriouseats.com/2014/06/wine-from-portugual-grapes-best-wines-vinho-verde-dao-douro-wine-on-a-budget.html

Pameladragon

One of my favorite wines of the north! Indeed, I will be there, wrangling speakers.

Duncan Smith

I guess with the frugal entrance fee’s they could not afford Obama, who charges a 1/2 million Euro to speak about climate change. It is his passion, the money does not matter, this just covers his airfare and hotel.
http://portugalresident.com/obama-in-porto-today-to-talk-climate-change%E2%80%A6-for-a-cool-%E2%82%AC500000
http://portugalresident.com/barack-obama-to-receive-%E2%80%9Chalf-a-million-euros%E2%80%9D-to-talk-about-climate-change-in-porto

J Mac

Yes. You can rent Barack Hussein Obama by the hour.
Hmmm…. seems like I have heard of some other denizens of the evening available for ‘rental by the hour’, from an analogous field of employment?

Monckton of Brenchley

Me, I charge only a million.

Mumbles McGuirck

Euros or Pounds Sterling? With Brexit looming that’s an important distinction.

Sadly Jamal Munshi is unable to attend. Dr Ed Berry has kindly voluntered to take his place in the agenda. He will be presenting his paper on “a fatal flaw in global warming science”. Link below.

https://edberry.com/blog/climate-physics/agw-hypothesis/preprint-a-fatal-flaw-in-global-warming-science/

Pameladragon

You will be missed!

Thank you.

u.k.(us)

“30-130 euros a head”
=======
Pardon me, but what exactly is a “Euro” ??

J Mac

At today’s exchange rate, 1 euro = 1.17 $US

RayG

At today’s rates 1 euro = 89p

What does 30 euros get an attendee vs 130 euros?? Do I still get in the room for 30 euros? That’s quite a large difference in prices.
Will we get to ask questions? I guess I could look it up on the website, but I just wanted the short version of the differences…
– JPP

Monckton of Brenchley

Check the conference website for details. As usual, there are different rates for students, those without institutional funding, etc.

Old Englander

Right now I’m paid. By September I’ll have taken early retirement. Do I get the discount rate ?

Serious question, other costs will be down to me.

Whatever the policy, your efforts to organise a “straight science event” with costs cut to the bone are highly commendable. I am used to paying $900 or even more just to register for conferences.

Wiliam Haas

I cannot afford to go and I do not like that idea of using up so much fossil fuel trying to attend. I would like to see them make the presentations available on the Internet for people like me to see.

Monckton of Brenchley

I’m hoping that the presentations will be available online.

Alan Tomalty

Of course while skeptics hold their own conferences on climate change, the climate science industry (which is 10000 times larger than the skeptic side) hold their own extravagant government funded climate conferences which vastly outnumber the skeptic ones. Attached is one from last year

that featured a particularly dangerous PhD. His name is Kevin Anderson and he represents how far your mind has to travel into the land of Alice and Wonderland if you believe in a religion. He is worth watching because , unless you know your enemy; your enemy will overwhelm you.

Alan Tomalty

Did you catch the idea that Jeremy Corbyn (who was mentioned at least twice) is admired by these guys? Jeremy Corbyn is an avowed socialist and the leader of the Opposition party in the UK. Interesting that Jeremy’s brother Piers Corbyn, is one of the best known climate scientist skeptics. What irony! These 2 men (Kevin Anderson and Hugh Hunt) want to take you back to living in a straw hut powered by the sun and wind. I fear it is not a question of; if Jeremy Corbyn wins leadership of the UK, but when?

Susan

Time is not on his side. He’s not getting any younger while he’s waiting.

Mardler

The Corbyn brothers are communists. Piers is a fruitcake.

Corbychev will be PM in 2022 in a landslide far bigger than anything ever seen before. His chancellor of the exchequer will be McDonnell a marxist who is economically illiterate and on record saying he wants “to destroy the entire system” by which he meant the free market economy and democracy. Within three years of that GE the UK will be a communist dictatorship.

Monckton of Brenchley

Yes, the Corbyns are Communists (though, for obvious reasons, they prefer the word “Socialist” these days); but don’t dismiss Piers as a fruitcake just because he’s eccentric. He holds a first-class degree in astrophysics, which is one reason why he is not fooled by the climate establishment. Whatever he says will sound strange but will make excellent scientific sense.

Ulric Lyons

I find Piers’ general outlook very rational and not at all strange. The role of solar activity in driving weather and climate, and the common sense that declining solar is the real climate change threat rather than CO2 driven warming. In comparison the standard view that climate drives weather is highly eccentric. Piers understands that a lot of weather variability would not exist if it were not for the short term solar effects on the jet streams. I strongly influenced his thinking on this back in 2007-2008.
Though I don’t find that those theoretical solar-lunar beat periods make any scientific sense, much like Scafetta’s theoretical Jupiter-Saturn beat periods.

Rob

In exactly the same way that the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation could be considered fruitcakes, this makes no difference to their scientific arguments. When can we get over smearing people’s scientific output based on their opinions on unrelated matters?

Trevor

Alan :
I admire your optimism !
” These 2 men (Kevin Anderson and Hugh Hunt) want to take you back to living in a straw hut powered by the sun and wind.”
Remember this ‘SONG ‘ :
………… “WITH WHAT SHALL I CUT IT DEAR LISA , DEAR LISA ?”
You need A METAL BLADE or MOUNTED FLINT BLADES
mounted into a sickle or a scythe to cut the straw !
So straw huts are NOT an option ! EXCEPT perhaps for THE ELITE ???
These two men are talking CAVES or MUD-BRICK ! Existence-level only !
Wind and Solar Power……..NOT WITHOUT METAL YOU DON’T !
As someone else observed ( Jordan Peterson perhaps ? ) :
“You have to be really well educated to get to be THIS STUPID !”
STILL…….WHILE THEY GO ON RUMINATING…….
….AT LEAST THEY ARE NOT DOING SOMETHING REALLY HARMFUL !!!
LIKE PUTTING THEIR CRASS IDEAS INTO EFFECT !!!

Susan

Having now watched the video I would give Anderson the credit for calling out the climate change conference hypocrisy and the lack of real commitment from those who profess his beliefs.

Alan Tomalty

Yes he looked good in that video but there are other videos that hint at what he really wants to do that will scare the hell out of you.

M__ S__

It’s a nice area to hold a conference. I attended a conference there on geodynamics (tectonic plate motion, earth rotation, etc.) back around 1996.

Carbon Bigfoot

In the 80s my engineering firm completed several chemical process projects for a Dye Manufacturing Company in Newark, NJ. The relevance—there was a significant Portuguese presence in the neighborhood. That included some of the most delightful restaurants featuring Portuguese cuisine—YUM. You attendees are in for a real treat.

u.k.(us)

What, other than the…
“As if this feast of intellectual delights were not enough, there will be a closing vin d’honneur featuring port and cheese. Also, there are dark mutterings to the effect that I will play a Schubert piano sonata for the company.”
….might we get out of this confabulation ?
More of the same for sure, ya playing to win or just playing, there is a difference.

Monckton of Brenchley

Searching for the scientific truth and speaking it when all that one gets in return is vilification is uncomfortable but necessary. Magna est veritas, et praevalet.

u.k.(us)

Sooner the better.

Walter Sobchak

I would love to go to Porto. But I would be lying if I said I would do anything there but quaff the local vintage, which is, IMHO, the nectar of the gods.

Johann Wundersamer

inside the climate system. Pavel Kalenda and his tream will expound

–>

Pavel Kalenda and his team

Johann Wundersamer

“Your own correspondent will discuss his team’s paper, On an error in defining temperature feedback.”
_____________________________________________________

Interesting. This and other needed discussions.

Johann Wundersamer

Raises a smile:

“As if this feast of intellectual delights were not enough” – you’re sure to shoulder that agenda, that bunch of topics.

Wim Röst

Great! I will book! I am sure it will be very interesting and a very nice opportunity to meet many ‘forefront’ people.

(E vai ser muito bom de visitar o Porto de novo! Gostarei!)

Mardler

Piers Corbyn: well known communist and fruitcake, brother of Jeremy leader of the UK Communist Labour Party aka the Labour Party.

I’d love to able to go, but extreme age and a dangerous heart operation in mid August totally rules this out. Full on-line reporting, or perhaps recordings of the proceedings, would be wonderful. I really want to hear these scientists but I shall miss the opportunity of asking them direct questions, of which I have many.
Robin

Robin,

Have had my heart operation too, already 12 years ago and still going strong. So good luck with the operation and come back stronger than before, getting to your century long life…

Sorry, I have to miss that event… The announcement was just a few weeks too late, as we have booked a trip through Brittany the same days…

Would have been interesting to have had a discussion with Dr. Ed Berry about the non-existing “fatal flaw” in the IPCC’s attribution of the CO2 increase in the atmosphere to humans.

According to his web site:
Munshi (2017) shows the “detrended correlation analysis of annual emissions and annual changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide” is zero.

Some problem with that work: by detrending one completely removes the cause of the increase and only looks at the correlation between yearly emissions and the noise around the increase in the atmosphere…

Kev-in-Uk

Thats only a couple of hours from my place – will have to seriously consider going.