Energy
More Al Gore because [insert politically incorrect joke or blog policy violation here] ~ctm
From The Daily Caller
Michael Bastasch
Former Vice President Al Gore might have won the 2000 presidential election if the temperature had been slightly higher on election day, according to a new study.
“Based on our model, an increase of only 1°C (1.8°F) may have made Al Gore the 43rd United States President instead of George W. Bush, as Gore would have won in Florida,” researchers wrote in a study published online Wednesday.
“It is often mentioned that ‘the heat is on’ during presidential campaigns, and our findings indeed clarify that temperature matters when it comes to actual voting,” wrote U.S. and European researchers.
Researchers claim they found evidence increases in state-level temperatures from one election day to the next increase voter turnout, and that warmer weather may even help incumbent parties.
“We found that increases in state-level temperatures from one election to another are related to increases in state-level voter turnout, and increases in votes for the incumbent party,” co-author Jasper Van Assche of Ghent University said in a statement.
But the authors note the overall effect of temperature on elections is “relatively small,” but could matter in close election — like the 2000 presidential election.
President George W. Bush eked out a victory against Gore in 2000 after a close recall in Florida. Had it been slightly warmer, Gore may have won, according to the study.
Interestingly enough, both Gore’s global warming films have segments dedicated to his loss in the 2000 election. Maybe more global warming would have helped?
So how credible is this study? All this writer can say is correlation does not equal causation.
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The panhandle of Florida contains a lot of military bases, and they tend to vote Republican. The fact that the news media reported a Gore win BEFORE the poles closed in the panhandle isn’t mentioned. A lot of people heard that and dropped out of line. The vote would have been even less close if that hadn’t happen. The MSM are a piece of …..? Need I say more?
Jim
Lots of things went on in the MSM to try to put Gore in office then (and Hillary this last time).
One thing I’d like to see is a law that an election for a Federal office “results” for a state can’t be declared/called until after all that states polls have closed.
(The Florida panhandle is in a different time zone than the rest of the state.)
“Freedom of the Press”?
When they “declare” a state, they are not expressing an opinion. They are declaring a fact.
If the vote in Florida was that close, why declare that Gore had won before all the polls were closed?
The model shows that Gore voters were fair-weather friends for the Tennessee Democrat.
If pigs could fly, a lot more people would use umbrellas, too.
To think, we came *this close* to finally getting an answer to the question:
“name one negative impact of global warming.”
(But paradoxically, even if the example were available, our opponents couldn’t have brought themselves to name it.)
Gore really does think he won Florida in 2000. That’s what he told one of the late night talk show hosts just last week.
So I guess that makes at least two fantasies Gore takes seriously enough to think they are reality. The Delusion is strong in this one.
Gore tried to cherry-pick the recount. Recount only certain locals rather than the whole state.
PS Anybody know if the temperature in Miami-Dade County was below or above normal that November?
While this study might be correct it is worth pointing out as they did that in a close election almost anything can change the outcome. And the closer the election the more of a role tiny things can play. In the 2000 election Florida was essentially a tie and the winner was determined not by the number of votes but rather by the courts interpretation of which votes should be counted.
Another example would be that Gore would have won if the ballots had been better designed so 5000 or so Palm Beach County residents would have cast their vote for Gore rather than Pat Buchanan by mistake.
Let me clear up some things. First you must realize that the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections was a Democrat and the ballots were approved by the Democrats in charge. In 1996 they had the same problem but because Bill Clinton won Florida by a good margin no one complained. But they did file that info away for use in later elections should there be a close call, which is what happened in 2000. They had an army of lawyers on standby and they descended on Palm Beach County immediately when it looked bad for Gore. Second, the U. S. Supreme Court intervened because the Florida Supreme Court was changing the election law by decree. All election results had to be certified and filed with the Florida Secretary of State by a certain date in accordance with Florida law so that the results could determine which party would select the electors and have them vote and submit that result as prescribed by Federal law. The FSC attempted to change the law and give an unlawful extension to that date which put the Florida vote in jeopardy of not being certified in time for the electors to be selected, vote and certify that result on time. The FSC was almost all Democrats and their purpose was to delay the Florida vote past the Federal deadline thus keeping electoral votes from going to Bush. The FSC had no authority to make changes to the State voting law and thus the USSC stepped in to nullify the FSC interference and uphold the Florida deadline as the law prescribed. That forced Palm Beach County to certify their vote by the lawful deadline without delay.
Nice summary, Tom. I lived in Florida at the time and had to keep telling my relatives elsewhere what was really going on. The liberal MSM just couldn’t except and report the facts. What the FSC tried to do was clearly illegal and blatantly partisan. It was embarrassing.
After the US Supreme Court slapped down the Gore recounts, the Miami Herald actually undertook an effort to recount the Miami-Dade and Broward County under-vote ballots, just as Gore was asking. The process was moot, of course, but this was a very leftist paper, a paper that desired a Gore victory, behaving like a sore loser in a poker game, who, after folding his hand and handing the pot to the winner, also demands to see what card would have been dealt to him had he not folded. Anyway, they did the count, and the result actually transferred a few votes from Gore to Bush, expanding his lead from around 600 votes to more than 1000. Al Gore knows all about this, but he never mentions it.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/media-jan-june01-recount_04-03/
I’d just like to add “Thank you all you stupid Ralph Nader voters in Florida!” And to remind my fellow republicans, conservatives, libertarians, Libertarians, and Republicans, and Independents, too, not to be a stupid Ralph Nader voter when it comes to voting in YOUR next election.
Mickey, the Nader (and Buchanan) voters may have so disliked both Gore and Bush they knew what they were doing.
“Another example would be that Gore would have won if the ballots had been better designed so 5000 or so Palm Beach County residents would have cast their vote for Gore rather than Pat Buchanan by mistake.”
The Left claims those votes were done mistakenly, but how do they explain the thousands of votes Pat Buchanan got the previous time he ran in Florida in the same voting districts? Perhaps those who voted for Buchanan before, decided to vote for him again in 2000.
So how credible is this study?
Correct question is “Who paid for this study?”
In the beginning, when God gave brain to man, they all wanted a new computer model instead.
In the beginning, when God gave brain to man, it was so Man could run models in his head.
Religion was there to make sure they weren’t too destructive…
This sounds like an ideal plot for what used to be called a “B” movie horror film. Anyone fancy putting money into it?
James Bull
I believe the left will eventually achieve their greatest dream by downloading their conciousnesses into computers that will allow them to live forever within their models where they control everything, and there are never any bad consequences for any action. The twist will come when they realize that they have trapped themselves in a universe where the future is always known, there is no chaos, there are no surprises, and they go mad from boredom.
What makes you think they are not already mad?
Well, they did find it in the years after through “improvements”
I guess being a pompous dip $#%^ had nothing to do with it… right…
Now finally Al Gore can blame something on LACK of global warming …..
So there’s a positive correlation between temperature and voting fraud?
Yeah, and I might have won Wimbledon if I could swing a tennis racquet.
+1
If… If a bullfrog had wings…
A bullfrog has no wings. Never had them, never will.
The bullfrog and his weepy minions should just get over it.
But,like hanging chads, they just won’t let go
Gore would have won the presidential election but he lost his home state of Tennessee. Actually, he lost it twice. He was a US Senator until the people of Tennessee, fed up with his lies, voted him out. When he ran for president and the people of Tennessee had another opportunity, we rejected him again. Stockpiling tar and feathers in case he ever comes back.
Thanks for the reminder.
While I recognize that there may have been a few votes (enough to alter the final results) if it had been hotter that day, 1°C is hardly noticeable for a human. I do not believe it. Maybe 10° or 15°…
The Butterfly Theory of Chads is so fascinating.
The blanket assumption being that more turnout would have elected Gore.
Hmmm….
But Floridians could have wrapped themselves in a blanket to go out and vote if it was a cold day.
Maybe it was the lack of a predicted hurricane or other intensifying severe weather that would predict in the future because of our past and present and present CO2 emissions is what caused his past failure?
Oh, wait. Wasn’t the “Ozone Hole” his thing back then?
He lost because he was “out in the ozone”?
Such an outcome could be called a political eclipse and dark omen.
I believe this is positioning for the possibility (probability?) that they will lose “bigly” in November next year.
“It wasn’t the Russians this time – it was Global Climate Change! We need more money! Our credit card address checker is unaccountably down at the moment, but, please – send whatever you can!”