Energy
Michael Bastasch
Eastern China is in the midst of a two decade-long cooling trend, according to a new study, which labeled it a continuation of the “warming hiatus” that global temperatures experienced in the early 21st Century.
“During the past two decades since 1997, eastern China has experienced a warming hiatus punctuated by significant cooling in minimum temperature (Tmin), particularly during early-mid winter,” researchers with the China Meteorological Administration wrote in their July study.
An incredibly strong El Nino warming event largely ended the 15-year global warming “hiatus” in global average temperatures — and the two-decade hiatus in satellite data warming — but not in eastern China.
“There is no evidence indicating a termination of the recent warming hiatus in eastern China,” researchers found. “The question of when the accelerated warming trend will resume needs to be answered by climate model prediction.”
The study found from 1998 to 2013 “the domain-averaged Tmin exhibited the strongest cooling trend and the number of significant cooling stations peaked.” There was “significant cooling” in minimum temperatures through 2016 in northern China, the Yangtze-Huai River Valley and southern China.
“This sustained hiatus gave rise to increasingly frequent and severe cold extremes there,” researchers wrote.
“Concerning its prolonged persistency and great cooling rate, the recent warming hiatus over eastern China deviates much from most historical short-term trends during the past five decades, and thus could be viewed as an outlier against the prevalent warming context,” researchers stated.
The Chinese report comes amid media fervor over a new study claiming a less than 5 percent chance the Earth will avoid “dangerous” levels of global warming by the end of the century.
“The likely range of global temperature increase is 2.0-4.9 [degrees Celsius] and our median forecast is 3.2 C,” Adrian Raftery, the study’s co-author, told CNN.
“Our model is based on data which already show the effect of existing emission mitigation policies,” Raftery said. “Achieving the goal of less than 1.5 C warming will require carbon intensity to decline much faster than in the recent past.”
CNN warned that warming above 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures would result in “[r]ising seas, mass extinctions, super droughts, increased wildfires, intense hurricanes, decreased crops and fresh water and the melting of the Arctic are expected.”
“The impact on human health would be profound,” CNN reported. Rising temperatures and shifts in weather would lead to reduced air quality, food and water contamination, more infections carried by mosquitoes and ticks and stress on mental health.”
CNN reported on Raftery’s study ahead of a town hall the network was holding with former Vice President Al Gore to highlight his new film “An Inconvenient Sequel.”
Follow Michael on Facebook and Twitter
Content created by The Daily Caller News Foundation is available without charge to any eligible news publisher that can provide a large audience. For licensing opportunities of our original content, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
It makes my point that you don’t need a giant network of weather stations for climate warnings. The shape of the curve is identical to the global pause, identical to that of Capetown South Africa, Siberia, Greenland, Paragua ………….Publicized chicanery at the BOM to shore up temperatures when the virgin records show a longer term cooling than anywhere else (southern ocean is cold and Oz is reporting Canadian winter temperatures as we speak. Surely no one believes that this is a local dirty air problem, particularly with the night time temperatures going down so much with all the CO2 in the air. Heck, Beijing’s UHI must be counterweighing the ‘shade’ from smoke (I had Beijing ‘flu’ on three occasions so I agree it’s real). The record from HK shows the same thing and they are in the sea and have cleaner air than Beijing. Japan’s record too shows hiatus. Even EU and US climate stormtroopers are coming back (in recent papers) to there having been a hiatus despite the rookery cookery done by the Karlizers of the temperature to break the pause on the eve of Karl’s retirement.
One benefit of Marohasy’s blowing the whistle on BOM is their ENSO temperatures suddenly dropped, too. The curve looks like it has been held up by a fist holding a rope:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/monitoring/nino3_4.png
you might have to click on it to get the up to date graph
“CNN warned that warming above 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures would result in “[r]ising seas, mass extinctions, super droughts, increased wildfires, intense hurricanes, decreased crops and fresh water and the melting of the Arctic are expected.”
Wow, they mentioned a bunch speculative effects, most exaggerated and some not even happening but failed to even mention the most legit one………..heavier high end rain events/more flooding.
Warm the atmosphere/oceans and the amount of precipitable water available in the atmosphere goes up in many situations. But then, clearly the statement was not based on meteorology or science rooted outside of models programmed by biased humans.
Warmer air ‘holds’ more water.
We are told the Earth has warmed up since the late twentieth century and has been on a temperature plateau in this century if that is true then why has the arctic sea ice not continued to decline at the same rate ,the temperature is the same as when it was declining surely and the Antarctic sea ice also has not declined. We are told confidently that we can measure global temperature to a high precision but we could be fooling ourselves and nature is not fooled by what we believe. Is there any such thing as a global temperature?
> “The question of when the accelerated warming trend will resume needs to be answered by climate model prediction.”
By my count there are at least five logical/mathematical fallacies in that one sentence.
I think there are thermometers in China that need re-educating
Si quieren saber la verdad,les dejo de tarea lo siguiente. Revisen que suceso grandioso se da siempre a fin de siglo y esa es la causa del CALENTAMIENTO. El Calentamiento empieza 15 a 20 años antes de fin de siglo y termina en los primeros 15 a 20 años del nuevo siglo.
Great news from the land of OZ , we have solved our impending energy problems for this summer , our smartest thinkers have found a solution that’s pure genius .
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-08-04/power-bill-discounts-offered-to-switch-off-air-con-sa/8772370
Further proof that we hold the title of Dumbfukistan.
China’s cooling trend is representative of Northern Hemisphere land temperatures. They don’t tamper with temperature records there as the Global Warming Church is not established in China. They are more reliable than NOAA, GISS and CRU climategate data.
BTW why is 2 C warming catastrophic? According to Berkeley Earth, the average land temperature is less than 10 C. If that increases to 12 C by 2100, it’s still pretty cold. Oh I forget we’re still in an ice age!
http://blogs.nature.com/news/files/2012/07/berkeley.jpg
The Age of Snow. 47 million sq. km. of snow excluding Antarctica. That’s larger than the four largest countries combined (Russia, Canada, US, China) Global Warming? More like Global Snowing
http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/images/nhland_season1.png
What if we include Antarctica? The ice sheet is larger than Europe and India combined. The ice volume can bury all land on Earth under 170 feet of ice. When will the ice age end? Oh I forget the glacial period is next. New York under a mile-thick ice! I dream of global warming.
Just keep repeating to yourself that the MWP and LIA were “regional phenomena”, and they will magically go away.
Then replace those unkind thoughts with happy thoughts about a truly “global warming” today that simply prefers to manifest itself as fractions of a degree at the bottom of the ocean depths and slightly less bitterly cold arctic nights. Don’t worry your little brain with why daytime temps don’t seem to be affected, or trying to find elusive tropical hotspots. And China is so very far away that it probably doesn’t really exist anyway. Global is global, and regional is regional, and browbeating that into your friends and neighbors will keep the doubt demons away.
The upper troposphere, tropopause, stratosphere, stratopause, mesosphere and above are getting cooler this century due to the reduced EUV and to a lesser extent UV output from the sun because solar cycles 23 and 24 are very weak solar cycles compared to cycles 21 and 22. EUV and to a lesser extent UV are the high energy photons whose energy mainly gets dispersed in the stratosphere and above through a number of chemical reactions. So naturally, due to lower troposphere heat rising night time temperatures in the lower troposphere are becoming lower. Of course in place like Australia the global warming nutters are homogenising the lower minimums out of the temperature data. But nut jobs aren’t tolerated in China and Russia so their temperature data sets are more likely to be correct.