Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Scientists are worried that in 100 years, the effect on global temperature might almost be measurable, if the USA pulls out of the Paris Agreement.
Scientists explain what will happen if Donald Trump pulls out of Paris climate change agreement
The Earth will get dangerously warm even sooner if the U.S pulls out of pledge to cut carbon dioxide pollution
Seth Borenstein Saturday 27 May 2017 22:48 BST
Earth is likely to hit more dangerous levels of warming even sooner if the US pulls back from its pledge to cut carbon dioxide pollution, scientists said. That’s because America contributes so much to rising temperatures.
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Calculations suggest it could result in emissions of up to 3 billion tonnes of additional carbon dioxide in the air a year. When it adds up year after year, scientists said that is enough to melt ice sheets faster, raise seas higher and trigger more extreme weather.
“If we lag, the noose tightens,” said Princeton University climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer, co-editor of the peer-reviewed journal Climatic Change.
One expert group ran a worst-case computer simulation of what would happen if the U.S. does not curb emissions, but other nations do meet their targets. It found that America would add as much as half a degree of warming (0.3 degrees Celsius) to the globe by the end of century.
Scientists are split on how reasonable and likely that scenario is.
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Another computer simulation team put the effect of the U.S. pulling out somewhere between 0.1 to 0.2 degrees Celsius (.18 to .36 degrees Fahrenheit).
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The scientists interviewed by The Independent are also worried a US walkout might trigger a general walkout, which speaks volumes about the alleged international commitment to climate action.
But the impact of the US contribution to climate change is clear. Even if we accept exaggerated climate models, all that international angst, all that politicking and doom mongering, all those US jobs at risk, to deliver a temperature shift so tiny that it will take a century to even have a chance of detecting it.
President Trump, tear up that useless job destroying Paris Agreement.
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Pulling out of Paris is necessary but not sufficient. Like the Lernaean Hydra, the green monster will grow more heads after you cut one off. The administration needs to have a plan for on-going actions to continuously retake ground lost over the years. As another WUWT article indicates today, there is not going to be a single great ‘victory’ just as there was no single great ‘defeat’ in the many years that have led us into this dreadful situation where science has been so deeply corrupted in the pursuit of a green political chimera.
Scott Pruitt will probably already have an appropriate scheme in mind, but he needs support to help gather some momentum after a Paris Clexit.
Trump is an achiever! I bet he can get 10 degrees of warming over the past 15,000 years simply by ordering his minions to make it so.
Leftists and CAGW grant hounds are so comical…
All the empirical evidence and physics show US’ Paris Agreement withdrawal would (at the most) add 0.02C of beneficial gloooobal waaaarming recovery to the earth, over the next 83 years…
Why, that’s a warming trend of 0.00271C per decade! Oh, the humanity!
0.02C…. over 83 years….. Good grief, Charley Brown… How will humans possibly survive such an onslaught of horrendous heat??
“Nick Says ” It is total emissions. “
Yes. But none of us can, solo, reduce total emissions. We can cooperate to do that. We can’t effectively cooperate if it is enshrined that one group can continue to emit twice as much as others. And that has to be worked on a per capita basis. We can’t expect the US to reduce emissions to the same total tonnage as Denmark. Nor China”
Seems Nick has finally admitted it has nothing at all to do with saving the world from catastrophic global warming. It all has to do with fairness. Consider: MSM has promulgated the narrative that adding “X” amount of more CO2 to the atmosphere will kill almost all life on the planet (which is basically parroting what the CAGW Climate Scientists are claiming will happen), However, Nick appears to believe the earth will be just fine if China adds 4 “X” more CO2 to the atmosphere as long as the US cuts back by 0.1″X”, such that China and the US reach per capita parity. Nick, on one hand, sure seems according to your types we are all going to die if China reaches US parity, so guess to Progressives/Dems it only matters if it’s the US that kills off the world and it’s inhabitants. I therefore must conclude that even you do not seem to believe that China and India adding massive amounts of CO2 to the atmosphere is much of a problem. Their CO2 apparently has little to no affect on the planet and will NOT kill anyone, right? If the CAGW types are right, then per capita CO2 is totally irrelevant to saving life on the planet, yet that is all they really seem to be interested in. Maybe the CAGW types could argue that it wasn’t fair that the US got to use up ALL the CO2 budget, but none-the-less, according to them it is already ALL USED UP!! Anymore kills us all, not just anymore from the US.
Delve deeper into the science and learn about thermalization and the Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution of energy among gas molecules. CO2 has no effect on climate, has never had and will never have. It does not matter who puts CO2 into the air or how much. The increasing water vapor however . . .
These so-called ‘forecasts’ of such minuscule temperature changes so far ahead from effects that have never been properly quantified except by models that do not even now forecast the present condition show just how unscientific the present science is.
Trump should most certainly exit the Paris agreement and for a renewable period of five years, require equal funding to both sides of the scientific debate and enforce peer review from both sides too. Learned societies should then be required to give equal status to authors of presentations from both sides for that same period.
I predict 3.0C temperature rise if he doesn’t.
this is old study from 2014, writers of this and newer study are saying that Trump didnt unsterstood their study and that White House took “better” ideas from old study, from new study it is 0,6 to 1,1 C
A little math:
air layer is difficult soils: 4r^ 2.pi = 5,7.10^ 17 kg., and CO2 per year is increasing 3. 10 ^ 9 kg., the ratio is 3: 5.7.10 ^ 8.
Second, it is important that climate change is caused by the mutual relations of the planets and the sun, as modern science does not understand. Tramp intuitively realizes the error of all claims on all conferences. It is necessary to confirm what I am announcing and there will be no fear of global warming, but we’ll know for all time as the climate changes.