Long-time WUWT readers will recognize the title as being a spoof on the infamous line about snow uttered by Dr. David Viner of the University of East Anglia some years ago in the Independent (now deleted, but preserved here) where he claimed in an article Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past by Charles Onians:
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
Less than a year ago, the New York Times claimed in a headline: California Braces for Unending Drought and the phrase “permanent drought” was in use in the media.
Wired claimed: Thanks El Niño, But California’s Drought Is Probably Forever The Sacramento Bee wailed: Opinion: What if California’s drought is permanent? Over at Salon, where they know better than everybody about everything, they claimed: “It could last decades”: 5 shocking facts about California’s drought
Now we have headlines like: Drenched: How L.A. went from bone-dry to 216% of normal rainfall in four months
The drought map, is shrinking compared to a year ago. Only 11 percent of California remains in severe drought, less than 1 percent of California now in ‘extreme’ drought, and most of Northern California is drought free:
Source: http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA
According to the California Dept. of Water Resources, 8 of 10 major reservoirs are above the 100% mark for historical averages:
Source: http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/products/rescond.pdf
And much of the USA is drought free now:
When less than two years ago, NYT said:
Droughts appear to be intensifying over much of the West and Southwest as a result of global warming. Over the past decade, droughts in some regions have rivaled the epic dry spells of the 1930s and 1950s.
Looks like the doomsayers were wrong…again.
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ruyhrstjktdyke
That would be an ecumenical matter.
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-jzeWPaWjWrY/URpFj-BGapI/AAAAAAAACYA/lu4Ed9Nlse8/s1600/father_ted2.jpg
And more significant rains and snow heading to CA in the next two weeks. Many areas of the Sierra have already reached their normal snowfall totals for the entire winter with a good 8-12 weeks to go in the season.
We are well over 150% of normal precipitation in much of the State and over 200% in many. We have simultanious floor watch / flood warnings with the claim of drought in the drought maps (and last year was normal rainfall too). Why? The broken Palmer Drought Index creates the drought map from computer models that adjust the rainfall based on the (cooked?) temperatures. Oh, and it doesn’t handle snow or frozen ground right…
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2017/02/09/yet-more-flooding-drought-in-california/
The Sierra Snowpack which last year was at “historic lows” is now 180% of normal…..
California is adjacent to and the southern part of the state is in – the 4th largest Desert on Earth.
Since the 1960’s, Southern California’s population has gone up by some 18 ++ million people.
The State has added NO water storage since then. What do they expect?
I know I’m preaching to the converted, but it is just astonishing to listen to the “crickets” on the anti growth left keep chirping.
CALIFORNIA SNOW REPORT
http://www.onthesnow.com/california/skireport.html
a few years ago i recall seeing a reporter in Memphis showing how low the mississippi river was and saying “that barge you see could be the LAST BARGE EVER on this river”.
That reminds me of an alarmist reporter at Three Mile Island who said “I can see the radioactive steam dripping down the cooling towers”. Only three errors in one sentence.
Regional Snow Analyses: Western Coastal
Snow Water Equivalent
http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/Western_Coastal/nsm_swe/201702/nsm_swe_2017021005_Western_Coastal.jpg
And the Colorado River basin is at about 160% of normal snow-pack, maybe a little late-season surfing on the standing waves at Needles!
Mark : “standing waves at Needles” . That’s a joke , right ? I pulled up Google Earth to see if I could find them .
They do surf the standing waves in the St Lawrence in Montreal .
Where did the daft idea of a permanent drought come from anyway? I mean, which climate scientists were promoting it? Oh, it’s self-confessed f****ster Peter Gleick.
Best comment of the day.
He has lots of useful idiots standing with him.
useful idiot: In political jargon, a useful idiot is a person perceived as a propagandist for a cause whose goals they are not fully aware of, and who is used cynically by the leaders of the cause.
In LA-LA Land, “permanent” means more than two years in duration.
For Griff, 3 months is enough to qualify as permanent.
I thought it meant it was still trending up on Twitter …
Careful Mark,
Much like Moldywart, Griff knows when his name is mentioned and will apparate into the thread
That’s Beetlejuice
Kinda like a Hollywood marriage.
“Kinda like a Hollywood marriage.”
And with about as much substance.
There is a Scottish adjective which may have it’s origin with Peter Gleick: glaikit – stupid, foolish, not very bright, thoughtless, vacant.
Just stick a sandwich board on the NY slimes HQ with the admonition of “The End is near!”.
It would be more honest.
Agreed. Every day these people look more and more like the guy on the corner with the “The End is Near” sign. It’s disturbing to see such deterioration.
I wish I could remember the movie, but the was being accosted by a man wearing an “The end is near” signs. Just then the closing credits started to roll.
the PROTAGANIST was being accosted
When we had our big drought here in Texas a few years ago, the doomsayers were saying the same thing. “Get ready Texas, this is how it’s going to be from now on.” But then we got a lot of rain and now we’re fine and all they wanted to talk about was California for some reason.
Looking at the drought map, I guess they’ll move onto Oklahoma next.
Did you say “Oklahoma?” Their drought is surely caused by fracking…
Earthquakes are caused by fracking. Droughts are caused by earthquakes.
Oklahoma is actually in pretty good shape as far as drought goes. We haven’t had a lot of rain over the past few months, in some areas, but we have gotten enough to keep things green, and the rains usually pick up around this time of year or a little later.
Great winter around here. One fairly cold snap, and that’s about it. So far. Although it wouldn’t be out of the question to get a huge snowfall around here in the near future.
And bananas can be employed to prevent earthquakes my liege.
Don’t go feeling too sorry for all the alarmists, they’ll have plenty of flooding stories to blame on CO₂ to keep their dream alive.
Wait for it now and let us know when you hear it. RECORD SNOW FALLS DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE!!! Does anyone doubt it?
No. CC is a non-falsifiable statement.
It has already occurred: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/10/11/japan-bom-global-warming-will-cause-heavier-snowfall/
You try and tell people here in CA that the drought of 1975-77 was much worse or that the precipitation of seasons as recent as 2010/11 were even heavier (so far) than this winter’s and it can’t stand up to the continual manmade armageddon meme that’s being pounded into their heads.
CA’s weather is a long list of extremes interposed with everything in-between. There is average but there is no normal.
“There is average but there is no normal.” – Love it.
same thing with people, there is an average height, weight, etc. but almost NOBODY fits those parameters…….
Anthropogenic weight change? People are becoming more and more obese, right?
That’s what I’ve been saying for years on this site. Some things can be termed “normal,” like human body temperature, or 20/20 vision. Significant departure from those norms is harmful, even dangerous. Such norms are derived from long-term observations, including effects of deviations.
Climate doesn’t have norms. It has averages, and it has a long-term history in many places. Average rainfall here in central Virginia is about a tenth of an inch per day. So is a day with no rain abnormal? How absurd! How about a full inch of rain–is that abnormal, since it is ten times the average? Again, absurd. There are no true norms in climate or weather; there are averages and departures from them. (It is of interest how few days actually are average.) So–yes, thanks, harkin1–there is average but there is no normal.
“There is average but there is no normal.”
What a great line! The left-leaning climate statisticians will have a melt-down trying to understand that despite the obvious truth. After all, they live in a world of computer models rather than the world we all live in, the real one.
climate change, like any other religion, is for people who don’t understand math.
“…a long list of extremes interposed with everything in-between.”
Just like Australia, but milder ?
Almost exactly like Australia. We even have eucalyptus… but need more teddy bears in them 🙂
I’m a native Californian. Drove inland from Sydney to the Back ‘O Burk, then back out through the mountains to Melbourne. Lots of it is indistinguishable from California. Toss in New Zealand for the Sierra Nevada mountain analog and you’ve got the whole place (with a bit of Oregon South Island).
Both are Mediterranean climate with inland deserts. Major difference is just the animals. Heck, some of the 1800s era farm towns inland were just like old towns here. Same styles of brickwork and boardwalks. Cowboy culture a match too.
In the last 2000 years CA has had one 10 year drought and one 50 year drought.
Drought, rain, mudslides, forest fires, floods, rock slides, avalanches, wealth, poverty, politics, you name it, everything in CA is extreme.
But they are climate scientists….
Whichever way the trend is going…it’s permanent
$billions…and all they can do is extend a trend
Eventually the doomsayers will be correct 🙂
Looking at the long term you can see periods with hundreds of years of low rain. Who knows if they will repeat or if it was a one off? It does seem that humans moved in mass to California just around the time that it got wetter. Here’s hoping Mr Watts has a nice green lawn.
Leading the country, as California politicians so often say they do, is best done without the clown suit they are currently wearing.
Pamela, yes, that’s a circus act than needs to go away.
Who’s wearing a clown suit? That would be South Australia with over 40 degree C heat and rolling blackouts because the wind isn’t generating enough power. They had enough coal fired power, but shut it down and destroyed it.
Victoria and New South Wales are following suit. The government in NSW today said people should not use unnecessary appliances, like air conditioning. In 40 degree heat, they think people will stop using aircon because of their green virtue signalling?
Actually, a clown suit is highly appropriate for these leaders.
Californian’s have NO IDEA the sort of drought that Mother Nature can dish out naturally. How about 200 years of drought?
http://www.hcn.org/issues/44.22/underwater-forest-reveals-the-story-of-a-historic-megadrought
Nice link. Global warming in California/Nevada appears to have been an ongoing problem for several thousand years already. A long history of wetter ‘wets’ and drier ‘drys’ interspaced with some drier wets and even some wetter drys. The history of global warming is much worse than we thought.
“This botanic relic is one of several medieval trees, ranging from 68 to 100 feet tall, standing upright at the bottom of the lake. They grew during a 200-year megadrought in the Sierra Nevada between the 9th and 12th centuries, when precipitation in the area fell to less than 60 percent of the average between 1969 and 1992. …There are also three older trees, which drowned between 18 and 35 centuries ago, standing upright on the lake floor, which suggests that severe droughts struck even further back in time.”
You have a point. Many Kalifornians are uneducated, and many more have lived all their lives in cities, having no idea of what happens in 99% (fake stat) of the world. Very little association with reality, as TV news and a few liberal rags tell them a twisted version of what is happening in the world. Our food magically appears in grocery stores, electrical power and water have always been here and will always be here. We don’t need no stinking dams, just cut supplies to those greedy farmers. If we build a bullet train between two cities no one visits, people will come. (Uh – that won’t further strain the above listed resources… because they’re magical.) We want more people from Central America to move here, but we don’t want more housing because it will destroy our hiking trails – for those 30 people who aren’t basking on the beach.
I love Kalifornia.
If I can just convince my wife to sell and get the hell out of here….
Um,
In California, children just aren’t going to know what reality is.
Too late. By about 10 years.
Ah, anthropogenic reality change. ARC is taking gullibles in national public radios all around the Earth.
40
Perhaps Steve Jobs’ reality distortion field rubbed off on a few too many.
Here are some things to know about the Drought Monitor map.
First, they define drought in percentiles. The first 2 percentiles are labeled Exceptional Drought, the next 3 Extreme, the next 5 Severe, the next 10 Moderate, the next 10 Abnormally Dry. That adds up to 30 percent.
Second, they label drought regions as long term (L), short term (S) or both (SL). For SL regions, the drought rating (the color on the map) is the max of the two types.
Third, they don’t publish the separate short term and long term maps, so some things cannot be determined exactly.
So, putting all this together, 30 percent of the US should be colored some color for short term and 30 percent for long term. Count the SL regions double and the colored areas should add up to 60 percent of the US.
So in effect the definition of drought is relative? ie even if the area where I am has been rained on for several weeks, if everywhere else has been rained on harder I am in a drought area? That is what percentiles do.
Climate alarmism is not about the past or even the present. It’s about the future and the imminent catastrophes that await. Present “fails” bother them not because climate alarmism exists and thrives in future-oriented fears.
They live in a virtual reality created by computer models that reminds me of something like the movie ‘The Matrix’ but even less believable. They have nothing to fear but the fear of reality itself and Donald Trump of course.
I’m now a climate alarmist. I’m alarmed at how rogue climate has gone relative to climate scientist forecasts.
The soothsayers of doom must be growing tired of being correct all the time.
Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
Do any of these experts and profiteers of climate doom and gloom ever apologise, retract or say that they simply got it wrong and really have no idea what the chaotic climate system is doing and will ever do?
No, of course they don’t, because climate alarmists think that their hearts are in the right place such that any alarmist behaviour is ok.
These wreckless dud-predictions cost the taxpayer (other people’s money) trillions in a what is now a trillion dollar industry.
So no, you won’t hear any retraction or apology because too many jobs, reputations and ‘money’ are now at stake.
In the picture at the top of this post Jerry Brown is using the earpiece to listen to some Donna Summers slow-jams from the late 1970’s and thinking “I was really into Linda then, but this stuff is good …”
Maybe.
More likely…..
Brown: …………….. uh, could you repeat that, please?
Office assistant: B…… r ……. o……. W …….. n.
Brown: W! THAT was the letter I needed. I always forget, “u” or “w” I think to myself. Thanks!
Here’s what the forecaster at mammothweather.com had to say about all the snow CA is getting this winter.
“Snow-plow driver are weary. Not only do they have a schedule to keep during storms, but in-between storms they have to create snow storage for the next storm. Many are so exhausted working around the clock that they are numb. We have a man power loader driver shortage. There are opportunities now, for some, that want to work in Mammoth, that knows how to drive snow removal equipment. We also have a big-big shortage of snow shoveler’s. Many are making at and over $30.00 per hour. Got shovels? Call any of local roofers. They are looking for bodies to shovel. One more issue….You will also have to find a place to live which is a challenge in itself.”
Apparently the California Water Resource Board knows something we don’t because just this Wed. they voted to extend the existing water conservation rules.
https://www.newsdeeply.com/water/articles/2017/02/09/despite-floods-california-extends-drought-regulations
Once again those skeptical of climate hype and doom, rooted in rational thought and historical understanding of how extreme climate actually is, are proven correct Once again the climate consensus is proven wrong.