Last night, hurricane expert Dr. Ryan Maue noted that the GFS model started to act a bit “loopy” when it came to forecasting the track of Hurricane Matthew.
GFS 00z one of those head-scratchers … it’s a (unlikely possibility but let’s get through the next 48-hours first.
Due to an interaction between the two storms, Matthew may get forced back towards the USA after making a turn to the northeast:
Dr. Roy Spencer noted this morning that NHC had the possibility in their forecast discussion:
This is a large departure from previous forecasts, and the National Hurricane Center’s discussion this morning is just hinting at the new scenario where Matthew does not recurve poleward the way most hurricanes do.
Such unusual hurricane tracks are particularly difficult to forecast, and I suspect the NHC forecasters are beginning to tear their hair out over this storm.
We live in interesting times.