Wall Street Journal: Climate Skeptics Should Back a Carbon Tax, Just in Case

chelyabinsk-asteroid-fireball
Chelyabinsk meteor (2013) seen by dashcam video in Russia

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

The Wall Street Journal thinks skeptics should embrace a carbon tax as a kind of insurance policy, against the possibility we are wrong about climate change. But what about risks arising from the neglected monitoring of real problems?

Why Climate Skeptics Should Support a Carbon Tax

Even if you’re skeptical, you should probably still back a carbon tax. When you consider the range of things that could happen, odds are the country will still be better off.

Here’s why.

It’s an insurance policy. How certain are you that human-caused global warming is not causing irreversible harm? Let’s say 90%. That means you accept that there’s a 10% risk of serious economic damage. That’s enough to merit some sort of insurance policy. After all, attacks by unfriendly countries and terrorists are also pretty unlikely, but the U.S. still takes extensive and costly precautions against them.

Adopting a carbon tax now, especially if its revenues are used to reduce other, growth-damaging taxes, is a pretty cheap insurance policy. It is a much lighter burden on growth than command-and-control regulations or green-energy subsidies. It can also be implemented gradually so that the growth effect isn’t felt for a long time.

Read more (paywalled): http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/10/03/why-climate-skeptics-should-support-a-carbon-tax/

My objection to this line of reasoning is there is simply no compelling evidence that global warming would be a serious problem, even if climate sensitivity is high. A few degrees of warming would not threaten food supplies – at worst farm belts would move a few hundred miles towards polar regions. Some important food production regions, such as the Canadian prairies, would become more productive.

There is also no evidence the economically harmful effect of a carbon tax could be mitigated – as the WSJ itself slyly suggests, with its comment that the tax could be implemented “gradually”, to delay the impact on growth. Punishing businesses which use a lot of energy, and refunding the money to less profitable businesses, is effectively an attack on entrepreneurial success. Under a revenue neutral carbon tax, the undeserving get a slice of the income of the productive.

There are real problems which we probably actually should be taking some kind of “insurance” against – climate change, despite the hype and desperate failed attempts to find genuine “climate refugees”, simply doesn’t qualify as a real problem.

The 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor (seen above) was a near catastrophe which should have served as a wakeup call. Without warning, the people of Chelyabinsk, Russia had a half megaton explosion occur almost directly overhead. Thankfully a long way overhead, or the damage and loss of life would have been severe.

Other recent meteor events, though smaller, are in some ways even scarier – the 2002 Eastern Mediterranean Event, if it had struck a few hours later, over India or Pakistan, could have triggered a nuclear exchange if it was mistaken for a first strike – at the time of the event, India and Pakistan were on the brink of war.

Skywatching for dangerous meteors probably receives at most a few million dollars every year.

Other neglected issues should also be serious concerns. The 2004 Indonesian Tsunami killed an estimated 230,000 people. Better early warning systems, such as those which guard Japanese coasts, would have saved many of those lives. The 2011 Japanese Tsunami killed around 15,894 people, and triggered the Fukushima nuclear disaster – but many lives were saved thanks to sophisticated and well functioning early warning systems.

One day frittering our resources on non issues like climate, while being complacent about a real dangers, will cost us.

Just off the coast of the US North West, there is a looming megaquake. When the 600 mile Cascadia fault triggers, maybe tomorrow, likely in the next thousand years, it will deliver large tsunamis which devastate hundreds of square miles of populated US territory over a long length of coastline, and will likely kill a very large number of Americans – unless American politicians stop spending all their time obsessing about climate, and start to take Earthquakes and Tsunamis as seriously as Japan does.

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1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 1:12 am

It may not be true…but give us your money anyway.
Just another protection racket scam.

Reply to  1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 1:51 am

You could send money to the AGW believing Vatican, their prays would be just as effective, after all they still believe in the miracles.

JohnKnight
Reply to  vukcevic
October 4, 2016 4:31 pm

I don’t get the impression the Vatican they you speak of does . . I think we’re looking at a now faker ridden “Church” . . and I’ve heard the same from several Catholics. The previous Pope is still alive, for instance, and the current one has spoken of retiring.
But more fundamentally, please consider the implications of thinking that God created the earth, “to be inhabited” by us, and including vast amounts of very convenient fuels all over the joint . . but if we make use of them; disastrous consequences!
Not at all in keeping with the words of my Lord or the Book in general . . It’s “Luciferian” thinking to my mind, which is to say just what we were warned of repeatedly; False christs, false doctrines, leading many astray . .

george e. smith
Reply to  vukcevic
October 5, 2016 1:30 pm

I’ll back a carbon tax so long as it is federal treasury funds returned to the taxpayers like me, and not something they collect from us.
I’m doing my best for global warming. I’m not going to eat my hat, but I AM going to eat my fair share of carbon just to get rid of the stuff.
So from now on I’m only going to eat materials that contain carbon. No more zinc pills for me.
G
No Omega 3s either just give me the green shell mussels whole and I will extract the oil in my stomach.

SMC
Reply to  1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 2:51 am

“Just another protection racket scam.”
That pretty much describes any insurance company. They just happen to use bill collectors and lawyers instead on knee cappers and hitman… more civilized that way, I guess.

oeman50
Reply to  SMC
October 4, 2016 9:24 am

The insurance should not cost more than what it is insuring against.

GPHanner
Reply to  SMC
October 4, 2016 10:26 am

A shining example of ignorance.

mairon62
Reply to  SMC
October 4, 2016 10:58 am

Last I checked, insurance companies can’t force you to buy their product…oh wait…they can…but it’s not a “tax”; no, no, no, the SCOTUS said so. Is an “involuntary contribution” an oxymoron?

george e. smith
Reply to  SMC
October 5, 2016 1:34 pm

Insurance companies make money.
Ergo, it has to cost more than what the insure against.
G

Olaf Koenders
Reply to  1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 3:55 am

Yep.. Once a tax is in, no matter what the outcome it’s almost impossible to repeal it. It could never be used for Climate Change©®™ because it’s frittered away on pork bellying and other pointless boondoggles the moment it’s collected.

Samuel C Cogar
Reply to  Olaf Koenders
October 4, 2016 6:01 am

Right, it’ll be frittered away just like the US Social Security Trust Fund ….. which is nothing more than a bunch of IOUs that are kept in a Lock-Box in Parkersburg, WV.

Reply to  Olaf Koenders
October 4, 2016 7:12 am

The WSJ is losing its’ “collective” mind – pass a tax just…because we can do it.

george e. smith
Reply to  Olaf Koenders
October 5, 2016 1:49 pm

It’s worser than that Sam,
Those IOUs are usually called T-bills and such like, and they are backed by the full faith and credit of the USA, which is as shure a source of revenue as there is.
Do you think I care whether those IOUs are paid out of my social security taxes or out of my income taxes. Either way they are the Worsester shure source of revenue as far as I can tell.
g

Reply to  1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 9:58 am

It’s a misapplication of the precautionary principle. Applying precaution consequential to broken science doesn’t fix the science.

MarkW
Reply to  1saveenergy
October 4, 2016 10:12 am

The fact remains that the cost of insurance is still several hundred times greater than the greatest possible damage that might occur from global warming.

george e. smith
Reply to  MarkW
October 5, 2016 1:57 pm

Well Governments who rob Peter to pay Paul are quite often doing so at the urging of Peter, who plans to be first in line to swill at that government trough he tossed Paul into.
G

vieras
October 4, 2016 1:19 am

Well, I’m now even happier that I yesterday cancelled my WSJ subscription. WSJ has been better than other media when it comes to Climate Change or the elections, but I just couldn’t stand the way they were advocating for Clinton.

Bryan A
Reply to  vieras
October 4, 2016 12:26 pm

The only reason I am feeling even slightly dubious about Trump is the simple fact that the National Enuqirer appears to be trying desparately to beatify him

Barbara
Reply to  vieras
October 5, 2016 11:39 am

Environmental Leader, Sept.21, 2011
“Clinton, Branson Launch Major Building Energy Efficiency Projects’
———————————————————————————————
Carbon War Room, May 29, 2015
‘News: Clinton Climate Initiative Partners With Rocky Mountain Institute And Carbon War Room To Advance Renewable Energy In Caribbean Island-Nations’
http://www.carbonwarroom.com/tags/islands
The Carbon War Room and the Rocky Mountain Institute merged in December, 2014.
More information on this topic online.

October 4, 2016 1:28 am

I am disappointed with the Wall Street Journal. “Carbon” taxes are mischevious, both as a new tax and as a regulatory measure, and it is impossible to figure which will be worse. New taxes are rather like giving a stoner teenager an unlimited supply of his favorite drug, as the government shows similar wisdom and restraint with a new revenue source. The regulations could very well prove to be a giant rent-seeking enterprise, with the sort of income shifts seen in Europe. The WSJ must be endorsing Hillary Clinton.

Reply to  Tom Halla
October 4, 2016 1:36 am

An unlimited supply of drugs just makes the teens sleepy or gives them a dirt nap. More money makes government want more money.
The drugs are an individual problem. Theft by government is a general problem.

Trebla
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 4, 2016 7:36 am

If you want to see what happens to a so-called “revenue neutral” tax, just follow the money collected from the big tobacco shakedown a couple of years ago. Once it was in place, the expected collection of $30 billion was immediately converted into tobacco bonds so governments could get their greedy hands on the cash right away. Did that money go to helping smokers kick the habit? Not so much.

Bryan A
Reply to  Trebla
October 4, 2016 2:09 pm

No…smokers are still dying to quit

Richard Petschauer
Reply to  Trebla
October 5, 2016 12:34 pm

Cancer cures smoking.

george e. smith
Reply to  Trebla
October 5, 2016 2:03 pm

Well cigarettes just don’t kill people fast enough; like before they get to breeding age, and launch a new generation of smokers.
G

Wrusssr
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 4, 2016 9:29 am

The real WSJ went away with the Murdoch purchase. He’s the media front man who snapped up the world’s key publications for The City prior to The Propaganda Blitz — twenty years of “war” against terrorist boogeymen who kept rising from the dead (OBL), WMD’s, Gulf War Syndrome, faux “pandemics” that weren’t, scripted “shootings” that aren’t, the appearance of e-bola and zika viruses from thin air, global warming (ne climate change) . . . the list is long.
There is no “media”. Only controlled propaganda, disinformation, spin outlets. The ‘Net keeps the door propped open. At least for now.

Reply to  Tom Halla
October 4, 2016 9:50 am

I discontinued my subscription last month after several WSJ editors began supporting crooked Hillary.

October 4, 2016 1:31 am

The US government spends a lot and acts purportedly against attacks by terrorists? Heckuva job, US government. The US government spends a lot and acts purportedly against attacks by unfriendly countries? Come on. It should be more honest and go back to the correct name for the “Department of Defense”: Department of War. And add something to credit free riding for broke European states. Also, insurance policies involve insurers prudently investing premiums to fund future payouts among other things. Pouring more money uselessly into the maw of the US government does no such thing. To describe as such is rank charlatanism.

October 4, 2016 1:32 am

Climate Change™ is just an advertisement for Corporatism.
http://classicalvalues.com/2016/10/fascism-is-not-coming-to-america/

October 4, 2016 1:36 am

The WSJ argument is somewhat equivalent to the Pascal Wager (see e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_Wager) and it fails for the same reason.
Blaise Pascal argued that a rational person should live as though god exists and seek to believe in god. If god does actually exist, such a person will have only a finite loss (some pleasures, luxury, etc.), whereas they stand to receive infinite gains (as represented by eternity in Heaven) and avoid infinite losses (eternity in Hell). I.e., Pascal’s Wager assumes that there is only one possible god – which means only one religion – and that adopting this religion is a safer bet than rejecting it. But there are thousands of religions and what most of them agree upon is that false believers will fare as badly in the next life as atheists.
Equivalently, supporting carbon tax is not a safer bet: it may be the wrong way to combat the supposed anthropogenic global warming. Or, to put it differently, the IPCC dogma is not the only climate religion available, much less possible.

Ben of Houston
Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
October 4, 2016 5:57 am

I was going to say the same thing. Moreover, they seem to ignore the most obvious fact that their carbon taxes will have tens of billions in economic impacts and effectively no impact on climate (you would need something much stricter, on the order of banning coal power to mate make a meaningful impact). The barest economic analysis shows that the expected return is quite negative.
It’s quite clear that they already decided on their course of action and are attempting to justify it by pretending the benefits are much larger and the costs much less than they really are. Not a bit larger, but they have both of these off by a least an order of magnitude.

BillK
Reply to  Ben of Houston
October 4, 2016 2:31 pm

“tens of billions” in economic impact? “b” is nowhere near “tr” on my keyboard; is it on yours?

kevinmackay
Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
October 4, 2016 6:44 am

I also believe Pascal’s wager is bad motivation. Other than Islam and Christianity, which religions send false believers to a bad end?

MarkW
Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
October 4, 2016 10:16 am

In Pascal’s wager, there is no cost to believing in God.
If you want to propose a carbon tax that doesn’t raise any money, go for it.

JohnKnight
Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
October 4, 2016 1:17 pm

To me (nobody special), it seems many don’t understand the “wager”. It’s a logic/mathematical exercise, with defined conditions . . I remember dealing with it in one or another philosophy class, but it wasn’t treated as a “religious” argument per se.
(From the wiki)
The Wager uses the following logic (excerpts from Pensées, part III, §233):
God is, or God is not. Reason cannot decide between the two alternatives.
A Game is being played… where heads or tails will turn up.
You must wager (it is not optional).
Let us weigh the gain and the loss in wagering that God is. Let us estimate these two chances. If you gain, you gain all; if you lose, you lose nothing.
Wager, then, without hesitation that He is. (…) There is here an infinity of an infinitely happy life to gain, a chance of gain against a finite number of chances of loss, and what you stake is finite. And so our proposition is of infinite force, when there is the finite to stake in a game where there are equal risks of gain and of loss, and the infinite to gain.
But some cannot believe. They should then ‘at least learn your inability to believe…’ and ‘Endeavour then to convince’ themselves.
It makes no sense (that I can see) to speak of this or that God or religion, outside the defined parameters it establishes. It might have some bearing on how one deals with their own situation in regard to the God hypothesis in real life, but does not seem to me to have been an attempt to deal with that sort of real-world scenario.

Ben of Houston
Reply to  JohnKnight
October 4, 2016 1:53 pm

That’s true, JohnKnight. However, attempting to apply an oversimplification to a general and complex problem is precisely what we are complaining about. The comparison to Pascal’s wager is apt because both Pascal and the original story have to ignore some fairly fundamental questions in order to be valid.

JohnKnight
Reply to  JohnKnight
October 4, 2016 2:14 pm

Well, in formal logic one is supposed to “ignore” things outside the premises of the argument itself . . This is perfectly valid logic, for instance;
If; Ben is a man, and, all men are ten feet tall, then; Ben is ten feet tall.

JohnKnight
Reply to  JohnKnight
October 4, 2016 3:28 pm

PS ~ To me, the article in question here is just con artistry, and the employment of a ‘Pascal’s wager’ type logic is indicative artistic license ; )

george e. smith
Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
October 5, 2016 2:12 pm

So you send five ships to sea carrying your cargo, to be sure that one gets through.
So what is Pascal’s solution for what to do if all five of your ships make it through ??
The precautionary principle is a fool’s game, and calling it Pascal’s Wager doesn’t work any better than lipstick.
g

tagerbaek
October 4, 2016 1:51 am

And by WSJ logic, you could argue for insurance against an alien invasion, however unlikely it may be, because the effects would be devastating.
So let’s spend 1.5T dollars per year on alien invasion research. A small price to pay to save humanity.

Reply to  tagerbaek
October 4, 2016 4:08 am

A person after Paul Krugman’s heart! It could be financed easily, with one platinum coin! Per year fiat value $1.5T. What could go wrong?

Robert from oz
Reply to  tagerbaek
October 4, 2016 5:22 am

+€£¥#*^0000

michael hart
October 4, 2016 1:51 am

Wall Street Journal: Climate Skeptics Should Back a Carbon Tax, Just in Case…
Just in case China and India don’t exist?
Or just in case they give toss what we think?

rogerknights
Reply to  michael hart
October 4, 2016 4:39 am

Right. It’s vain to think that what the US does will have much effect on temperature.

October 4, 2016 2:02 am

“Let’s say 90% … ” Let’s say 100% certain it’s a criminal scam.

Barbara Skolaut
Reply to  Martin Clark
October 4, 2016 8:15 am

^^THIS!^^

ClimateOtter
October 4, 2016 2:04 am

The cash grab has already been initiated in Canada. Billions are about to be frittered away for NOTHING gained. Except to make people poorer.

mikewaite
Reply to  ClimateOtter
October 4, 2016 2:45 am

I am curious to know who gets the billions . Surely it cannot simply disappear like the Cheshire Cat leaving just the smile on the face of hedge fund managers.

Don K
Reply to  mikewaite
October 4, 2016 3:50 am

Who gets the billions? The green religious movement probably believes the money is somehow extracted from the Koch Brothers, Warren Buffet and big oil and somehow returned to ordinary citizens. The WSJ OTOH probably believes that the money is paid by energy consumers and goes to the Koch Brothers, Warren Buffet and big oil. I reckon I’d bet with the WSJ on this one.

Barbara
Reply to  ClimateOtter
October 4, 2016 1:35 pm

Now the WSJ is on the carbon band-wagon.
Companies can say yes-yes while at the same time they are making plans to re-locate outside of the U.S. which IMHO, Ford did. Also keeps ENGOs away from them and avoids bad publicity for companies.
The up-coming election will determine the future and how businesses will react to the outcome of the U.S. election may be revealed.
The U.S. power grid is more fragile than people think it is?

October 4, 2016 2:07 am

The insurance model does not to the climate change scenario but the extortion model does.

Reply to  chaamjamal
October 4, 2016 3:30 am

The insurance model does not conform to the climate change scenario but the extortion model does.

phaedo
October 4, 2016 2:09 am

If a carbon tax were implemented world wide and AGW is show to be utter nonsense would the carbon tax be repealed?

ClimateOtter
Reply to  phaedo
October 4, 2016 3:22 am

After the Johnstown flood in PA they instituted a ‘temporary’ 25-cent tax on all bottles of liquor to help the people who had been displaced / lost everything in the flood. A hundred years later, that tax is still in place.

Griff
Reply to  ClimateOtter
October 4, 2016 7:13 am

UK income tax was also a temporary measure for the duration of the war -the Napoleonic war!

MarkW
Reply to  ClimateOtter
October 4, 2016 10:19 am

A tax on telegraphs (later expanded to phone service) was put in place to help fund the Spanish/American war. It was only recently repealed.

gbaikie
October 4, 2016 2:20 am

“My objection to this line of reasoning is there is simply no compelling evidence that global warming would be a serious problem, even if climate sensitivity is high.”
My objection is that carbon tax is in no conceivable manner an insurance policy.
The idea that the Wall Street Journal imagines it could be just demonstrates how screwy an institution can get.
The government appears to be clueless in terms doing anything effective to reduce CO2 emission.
No government action taken by any government in the world has reduced CO2 emissions, and governments have wasted trillions of dollars of public money making poor decisions in this regard.
It would insurance policy like handing out free alcohol to drunks is insurance policy.
The government nonsense seems based upon the idea that if you force the cost of energy to increase one reduces CO2 emission. That is a retarded idea.

cedarhill
October 4, 2016 2:32 am

For just a modest fraction of the subsidies and grants to build “green renewable” energy, the US could build proton beam therapy centers across the nation to treat breast, prostate and other cancers. Do an internet search on proton beam therapy to understand how it will revolutionize cancer treatments.
Just one tiny example of miss-allocated funding that only enrich the politicians and the grifters.

David S
October 4, 2016 3:00 am

If you think that renewables will make no difference then a carbon tax is even more bizarre. If you think renewable subsidies and climate change grants are rorted they will look honest endeavour compared to the shiftiness that will be associated with a carbon tax. If one looks at insurance risk all normal people take a look at the cost and compare that with the risk as to whether to self insure. In these circumstances I place the risk at a fraction of 1percent and even $1 spent insuring against that risk as $1 too much. Not only should skeptics be against a carbon tax so should warmists. A carbon tax is another means to rip people off.

Editor
October 4, 2016 3:15 am

The argument that carbon tax revenue can be used to cut other taxes is a common , but fallacious one.
The whole point of the tax is to reduce, and eventually eliminate, the use of fossil fuels. Therefore, carbon tax revenue will quickly decline. Meantime we are instead stuck with expensive renewable energy.
There is one other black hole in the argument. Just effect on emissions will such gradual tax have? My guess is half of naff all.
If global warming really is such a problem, we should be taking drastic worldwide and direct action to cut emissions, not fiddling around at the edges with feel good but ineffective changes

Editor
Reply to  Paul Homewood
October 4, 2016 3:18 am

Just “what” effect, I should say!

Hugs
Reply to  Paul Homewood
October 4, 2016 3:49 am

In Finland gasoline is taxed so that 75% of its price (€1.40) is taxes.

Therefore, carbon tax revenue will quickly decline.

Oh, it won’t, because the status quo of tax revenue is so important. So raising the new tax is out of question because that would cause diminishing total revenue. Lowering the tax is out of question, because it would require serious tax raises elsewhere => status quo is protected.
I think taxing energy is bad for the poor people, but Greens don’t really care about that.

October 4, 2016 3:16 am

For the record, carbon taxes are imbecilic. Earth’s atmosphere is clearly CO2-deficient. See this, by Greenpeace co-founder Dr. Patrick Moore:
https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2016/06/moore-positive-impact-of-human-co2-emissions.pdf
Glad to see the January 1700 Cascadia tsunami mentioned. The disastrous 2005 SE Asia tsunami vertical height was about 20 feet. The 1700 tsunami vertical height was about 200 feet. Yup.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/07/20/claim-huge-earthquake-overdue-pacific-north-west/#comment-1998282
I posted this March 12, 2011 in the Vancouver Sun.
http://www.pressreader.com/canada/the-vancouver-sun/20110312/295137268925180/TextView
_____________________
During this (2005 major tsunami) event, Japan residents got 10 to 15 minutes warning to move to higher ground. The tsunami alarm was issued 3 minutes after the earthquake occurred.
If the Cascadia fault ruptured, the folks at Tofino would get about that much warning, assuming our tsunami warning system worked perfectly.
In Vancouver, they would get about 30 minutes warning. Ever try to evacuate Surrey and Delta in 30 minutes? Yeah, that’ll work.
_________________________________________
A tsunami wave moves over the open ocean at speeds over 700 km/h (500 mph).
http://news.cnet.com/8301-11386_3-20042318-76.html
The tsunami warning system worked Friday, with the agency alerting people to imminent tsunamis within three minutes of the quake, and the first waves struck 10 to 15 minutes later. The alert may have saved hundreds of lives, as some residents were able to flee to higher ground.
Read more: http://news.cnet.com/8301-11386_3-20042318-76.html#ixzz1GPmFesDo

Bryan A
Reply to  Allan M.R. MacRae
October 4, 2016 2:13 pm

All that is needed is a fleet of city wide blimpies. Report to your Sky-Loft station and receive safety.
Of course a number of buildings designed over 30 stories could house a vast number of residents in a fairly confined space and be well above High Water

Crispin in Waterloo
October 4, 2016 3:18 am

There is an excellent piece worth tracking down from McKitrick on the carbon price. Basically he says that the carbon tax should not cause more social damage than the social cost of carbon (SCC) (even when ignoring completely the social benefits of carbon). The social cost of a tax is called the Marginal Cost of Public Funds, which is to say, the cost to the local economy if another $1 is raised by applying a tax.
I am really sure these advocates have never considered how to determine the carbon tax rate, as I have only read about how the SCC should be the tax rate applied. But it is not nearly that simple.
First all other carbon abatement measures have to be removed or it is double (or triple) taxation, and not a free market. Second, the SCC number should be divided by the MCPF so that the tax does not cause more harm than the benefit of preventing the SCC. The value for Alberta is $1.40 and for Ontario $6.30. That is the MCPF number. If the SCC is $25 then the carbon tax should not be higher than 25/1.4 and 25/5.3 in those respective provinces, or else there will be more social harm from the tax than from the carbon dioxide.
It is time to bring some serious financial people into the conversation. McKitrick also says that the worst thing to finance with a tax, even if properly and carefully raised, is to invest in something that requires subsidies like wind of solar PV because they just makes the social cost worse.
I am pretty sure no one calculated the marginal cost of public funds for windmills. If the subsidy is 75%, long term, and the cost is $4m, then that is $3m x 6.3 = $18.9m worth of social cost for having applied that amount of money in the form of public subsidies to a money-losing venture. There is no way the social benefit to Ontario will ever amount to $18.9m per windmill.
Suppose the effective subsidy was only 50% per windmill. If the subsidy were raised using the SCC value per ton, then the harm to the economy would be $2m x 6.3 = $12.6m per windmill. There are hundreds and hundreds of them just in my area. Add to that the cost of the gas-fired back-up power stations ($3.8bn) with the built-in cost of those taxes, $23.94bn (because that was not raise by a ‘carbon tax’), and you start to see the insanity of destroying the economy by raising taxes to pay subsidies.
Worse, a windmill doesn’t actually save any energy in the first place. That has been discussed elsewhere. That is part of the scam. It doesn’t save anything except the unviable wind energy business. It is time to start calculating the social cost of windmills.
The subsidy on solar PV is more than 90%, long term. For every $1bn invested in solar PV in Ontario, the cost to the economy is 1.0 x 0.9 x 6.3 = $5.7bn because the money cannot be used for other things like creating jobs, educating immigrants, delivering health or building infrastructure.

Reply to  Crispin in Waterloo
October 4, 2016 2:24 pm

I had no idea Canadians educated their immigrants. Something new every day…

Reply to  Bartleby
October 6, 2016 1:10 am

Immigrants get a range of training. from language skills. to Canadian history and geography and job training. They cannot pass their citizenship test without knowing the story of Canada and one of our two official languages.

LewSkannen
October 4, 2016 3:35 am

Any entity which is not actively conservative eventually gets taken over by the left. All charities, all NGO’s all public institutions like schools, universities, news broadcasters… on it goes.

Roger Graves
October 4, 2016 3:40 am

BC, Canada has had a carbon tax of $30/ton since 2011, which results in a tax of 6.67 cents per litre, or about 25 cents per US gallon, at the gas pump. Since this is well within the range of day to day price variation in gasoline, the effect it has had on gas consumption is next to zero.Most people buy gas because they have to, not because they want to spend their time joyriding around the countryside. Consequently, the only effect of the BC carbon tax is to increase the government tax bite without any noticeable effect on gas consumption.
The real reason for carbon taxes is to raise government income without infuriating the electorate. Governments are always short of money for their social engineering schemes, particularly when an election is looming and they need to bribe the voters with their own money. They could always raise money the old-fashioned way by raising income tax or sales tax, but this doesn’t go down well with the voters. Bringing in a carbon tax (“we’re only doing this for your own good”) is a much less politically risky way of raising money.

Bill Illis
Reply to  Roger Graves
October 4, 2016 4:45 am

Yesterday, the Canadian government announced it would implement a Carbon tax which rises to $50 per ton by 2022.
That works out to $38 billion across the country and would be 10 times higher than the biggest tax increase in Canadian history. This is supposed to be offset by other tax reductions and/or renewable energy programs and/or new spending and/or just kept in the province’s pockets.
This would be one of the more significant Carbon tax schemes implemented anywhere in the world (coming from a country which previously didn’t care much about global warming). It was also a surprise announcement.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/liberals-to-set-carbon-price-at-10-a-tonne-in-2018-rising-to-50-by-2022/article32206937/

MarkG
Reply to  Bill Illis
October 4, 2016 6:32 am

” It was also a surprise announcement.”
Come on. They knew the Boy King was a Liberal when they elected him.
Liberals raising taxes is hardly a surprise.
My guess is that ‘Anyone but Harper!’ brigade will be yelling ‘Anyone but the Boy King!’ by the next election.

Reply to  Bill Illis
October 4, 2016 7:46 pm

As far as Canada is concerned with a measly 36 million people (smaller than California) is it’s immense carbon sink. But hey are we getting any money from India?

MarkG
Reply to  Roger Graves
October 4, 2016 6:40 am

“Bringing in a carbon tax (“we’re only doing this for your own good”) is a much less politically risky way of raising money.”
Until they realize they’re losing their jobs because companies can’t afford to operate in a country that artificially increases the cost of energy.
A ‘carbon tax’ increases the cost of just about everything in the economy. It’s one of the worst possible ways to raise money.

MarkW
Reply to  MarkG
October 4, 2016 10:24 am

Next step will be to demonize any and all companies that move production to cheaper countries, with the whine that evil businessmen who care more about profits than people are shipping OUR jobs overseas.

Barbara
Reply to  MarkG
October 4, 2016 7:55 pm

They have bought into the idea to put a carbon tax on the whole country to prevent “carbon leakage” or businesses moving to other provinces that don’t have carbon taxes.
Result will be businesses moving to other countries.

Reply to  Roger Graves
October 4, 2016 8:12 am

According to this article, BC’s fossil fuel consumption has decreased 14%, because of the carbon tax. Therefore, all of Canada should have the same tax.
B.C. has shown carbon tax can work
As provincial environment ministers were meeting in Montreal Monday to work out a carbon-pricing agreement with federal Environment Minister Catherine McKenna, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau dropped a bombshell in the House of Commons.
Provinces and territories will implement carbon pricing by 2018 or the federal government will do it for them, he said.
http://www.timescolonist.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-b-c-has-shown-carbon-tax-can-work-1.2357147

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 10:23 am

And the 14% reduction had nothing to do with the economic downturn.
In Ontario, taxing people $50 causes 50 x 6.3 in damage and costs (see explanation above). That is $315 in economic damage for a ‘benefit’ of an (estimated) $20 in benefits. Per ton of CO2. No individual could have thought up something this stupid. It takes a committee.

MarkW
Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 10:25 am

Most of that 14%, came from reduced economic activity.

Janice Moore
Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 10:26 am

A “Carbon” tax INCREASES THE COST OF DOING BUSINESS for just about every sector of an economy.
Costs more to get products to the retailer = higher prices => inflation => poverty.
Costs more to run a factory = job loss or fewer new jobs created => fewer goods bought => jobs lost in retail => poverty.
And on and on.
(and lower sales taxes and lower payroll taxes and corporate income taxes and — whoa! what happened to all those “government” funds??! — Great. We’re broke.)
One day, you run out of other people’s money.
And you live like your average Russian….. or you look like Cuba…..or….. like Detroit.
TAXES KILL JOBS
{Supporting scholarly cite:

What actually followed the cuts in tax rates in the 1920’s were rising output, rising employment to produce that output, rising incomes as aresult and rising tax revenues for the government because of the rising incomes, even though the tax rates had been lowered. Another consequence was that people in higher income brackets not only paid a larger total amount of taxes, but a higher percentage of all taxes, after what have been called “tax cuts for the rich.” There were somewhat similar results in later years…

Thomas Sowell
Source: http://www.tsowell.com/images/Hoover%20Proof.pdf (“Trickle Down” Theory and “Tax Cuts for the Rich”page 3).}

Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 1:25 pm

Don’t forget Willis E pointing out the increase of cross border traffic, when BC’s carbon tax went into effect.
Everybody who goes to Blaine or Bellingham, still comes back with a full gas tank.

Barbara
Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 7:24 pm

And some with one or two extra 10 gallon containers full of gas or diesel. Have seen this many times.

Reply to  Cam_S
October 4, 2016 8:07 pm

Barbara and it isn’t only gasoline or diesel, milk, beer, liquor and other goods are bought by the millions of dollars without most taxes.!

Wim Röst
October 4, 2016 3:42 am

Travelling from LA California to Key West I followed the Caribbean Coast up to Key West. I was astonished about the nearly complete lack of protection against hurricane flooding. Tens of thousands homes at the coast, nearly at sea level and often without any protection at all….. Unbelievable. As a child I learned that water is a very strong and a very dangerous enemy which you have got to fight together. And that you have got to fight that danger BEFORE the water is there.
It would be wiser when the Wall Street Journal would have suggested to spend the money to a danger that is real and already exists. ‘Matthew’ should have wakened them up.
And when they are awakened, I would suggest them to check the real facts about the climate too.

Alan the Brit
October 4, 2016 3:50 am

“The 2011 Japanese Tsunami killed around 15,894 people, ” that’s a rather curious approximation of considerable accuracy!!!! Must be total BS imho!!!

Don K
Reply to  Alan the Brit
October 4, 2016 4:05 am

That’s 15894 victims confirmed dead in one way or another. As of a year after the quake there were still nearly 500 unidentified bodies and nearly 4000 missing

Ben of Houston
Reply to  Alan the Brit
October 4, 2016 6:07 am

Well, people are countable, significant things. There are huge records concerning each one, and after they are missing for a certain length of time, they are officially considered dead. Furthermore, each person is assigned an official cause of death.
Human death rates from incidents are probably our most accurate, consistent, and well tracked parameters in history. Things only get messy when you assign blame to something other than those official causes of death (this man died of heart failure: do you blame weight, smoking, genetics, or chance?).

H.R.
Reply to  Ben of Houston
October 4, 2016 9:20 am

Ben, there is only one cause of death and that is when a person quits breathing. If you want to live forever, keep breathing.

paulatmisterbees
October 4, 2016 3:51 am

Every tax presents an opportunity for elite politicians and institutions ( like WSJ and friends) to wet their beaks in the cash flow. The ‘best’ tax is the kind that disguises itself inside an ‘evil’ corporate product.
Carbon taxes have absolutely nothing to do with carbon. They are the ideal corruption vehicle; buried in hated energy companies, spawned in ecophobia, with unmeasurable benefits.
Sweet!

Notanist
October 4, 2016 3:59 am

“…It’s an insurance policy. How certain are you…”
Perfectly reasonable, its why my family donates tithes, offerings, and in one case sacrifices a goat once a year to an assortment of the world’s more popular gods. Just in case, you know.

Ed Zuiderwijk
October 4, 2016 3:59 am

And unbelievers like me should nevertheless buy indulgences on the off chance that there is a hereafter and a vengeful god?
The medieval mindset appears to be closely connected to “climate science”.

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