Attempt by AAAS at climate consensus underscores the fact the 'science is not a democracy'

From the “so what?” department and the American Association for the Advancement of Science via Eurekalert:

Thirty-one top scientific societies speak with one voice on global climate change

In a consensus letter to U.S. policymakers, a partnership of 31 leading nonpartisan scientific societies today reaffirmed the reality of human-caused climate change, noting that greenhouse gas emissions “must be substantially reduced” to minimize negative impacts on the global economy, natural resources, and human health.

“Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research concludes that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver,” the collaborative said in its 28 June letter to Members of Congress. “This conclusion is based on multiple independent lines of evidence and the vast body of peer-reviewed science.”

Climate-change impacts in the United States have already included increased threats of extreme weather events, sea-level rise, water scarcity, heat waves, wildfires, and disturbances to ecosystems and animals, the intersociety group reported. “The severity of climate change impacts is increasing and is expected to increase substantially in the coming decades,” the letter added. It cited the scientific consensus of the vast majority of individual climate scientists and virtually every leading scientific organization in the world, including the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the U.S. National Academies, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the American Chemical Society, the American Geophysical Union, the American Meteorological Society, the American Statistical Association, the Ecological Society of America, and the Geological Society of America.

“To reduce the risk of the most severe impacts of climate change, greenhouse gas emissions must be substantially reduced,” the group said, adding that adaptation is also necessary to “address unavoidable consequences for human health and safety, food security, water availability, and national security, among others.”

The 28 June letter, representing a broad range of scientific disciplines, reaffirmed the key climate-change messages in a 2009 letter signed by 18 leading scientific organizations. The letter is being released again, by a larger consortium of 31 scientific organizations, to reassert the scientific consensus on climate change, and to provide objective, authoritative information to policymakers who must work toward solutions.

“Climate change is real and happening now, and the United States urgently needs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,” said AAAS Chief Executive Officer Rush Holt, executive publisher of the Science family of journals. “We must not delay, ignore the evidence, or be fearful of the challenge. America has provided global leadership to successfully confront many environmental problems, from acid rain to the ozone hole, and we can do it again. We owe no less to future generations.”

The 28 June letter was signed by leaders of the following organizations:

American Association for the Advancement of Science

American Chemical Society

American Geophysical Union

American Institute of Biological Sciences

American Meteorological Society

American Public Health Association

American Society of Agronomy

American Society of Ichthyologists and Herpetologists

American Society of Naturalists

American Society of Plant Biologists

American Statistical Association

Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography

Association for Tropical Biology and Conservation

Association of Ecosystem Research Centers

BioQUEST Curriculum Consortium

Botanical Society of America

Consortium for Ocean Leadership

Crop Science Society of America

Ecological Society of America

Entomological Society of America

Geological Society of America

National Association of Marine Laboratories

Natural Science Collections Alliance

Organization of Biological Field Stations

Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics

Society for Mathematical Biology

Society for the Study of Amphibians and Reptiles

Society of Nematologists

Society of Systematic Biologists

Soil Science Society of America

University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

Leaders of participating organizations offered the following comments:

“Climate change has far-reaching implications to everyone on our planet, as it is tied closely with national security, economics, human health, and food security. There is consensus in the scientific community – climate is changing. Now we need policymakers to act, to invest in research to understand the effects of climate change and opportunities to mitigate its drivers, and to adapt to its impacts.”

— RADM Jonathan W. White, USN (Ret.), president and CEO, Consortium for Ocean Leadership

“Climate change poses significant challenges to natural and managed ecosystems. Now is the time for scientists and policy-makers to work together to address the issue of climate change in order to protect agricultural productivity, global food security and environmental resources.”

— Harold van Es, president, Soil Science Society of America

“The environmental, social, and economic challenges posed by climate change are among the most important issues of our time. Comprehensive solutions grounded in understanding of ecological systems – our lands, waters, oceans, and atmosphere — and society are urgently needed. A sustainable future remains possible if we work together and act now.”

— Monica G. Turner, president, Ecological Society of America

“This letter, signed by a diverse set of scientific organizations, conveys the solid scientific consensus view that anthropogenic climate change is occurring. How climate change will manifest for specific geographic regions within the next decade and beyond is a topic of intense research. Statisticians are experts in making decisions when specifics aren’t clear and stand ready to work with decision-makers.”

— Jessica Utts, president, American Statistical Association

“Geological studies have demonstrated that climate has changed repeatedly in the past and that future climate change is inevitable. Understanding the complex processes involved in climate change is necessary for adaptation and mitigation.”

— Jonathan G. Price, Ph.D., CPG, President, Geological Society of America

“The reality of climate change is already upon us, and is affecting not only our lives but that of all life on earth. We must do all that we can to mitigate these effects using scientific knowledge and mobilizing society for action. It is the responsibility of our politicians to move us forward in these actions.”

–Dr. Robin L. Chazdon, executive director of the Association for Tropical Biology and Conservation,

“The phenomenon of human-mediated climate change is not a matter of opinion, but of careful evaluation of data from a vast spectrum of scientific disciplines. What remains unclear is the degree to which climate change will cause environmental, social, and economic havoc. Estimates range from severe to catastrophic. We owe it to our children and to our children’s children to take bold action now so that our descendants do not pay the price for our generation’s greed.”

— Anne D. Yoder, president, Society of Systematic Biologists

“Climate change is one of the most profound challenges facing our society. Consensus on this matter is evident in the diversity of organizations that have signed this letter. Science can be a powerful tool in our efforts to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, and we stand ready to work with policymakers as they deliberate various options for action.”

— Christine McEntee, executive director/CEO of the American Geophysical Union

“Climate influences where plants and animals live. Rapid climate change will force species to find new habitat in hospitable conditions, but many species will not be able to and will go extinct. This isn’t good. It disrupts our ecosystems, which are the source for our food, and clean air and water.”

— Robert Gropp, Ph.D., interim co-executive director, American Institute of Biological Sciences

A PDF of the consensus letter is available at http://www.eurekalert.org/images/2016climateletter6-28-16.pdf

###

Notably absent is the American Physical Society, who had a real internal fight on their hands a few years ago thanks to Hal Lewis.

I wonder if their views changed thanks to the courage of Hal Lewis and others working behind the scenes?

It is instructive to remember what Einstein said about consensus science. When Einstein was told of the publication of a book entitled, ‘100 Authors Against Einstein’,

hundred-authors-against-einstein

He replied:

“Why one hundred? If I were wrong, one would have been enough.”

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152 Comments
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mathewsjw
July 20, 2016 12:39 am

just how many of those 31 scientific organizations are really responsible for predicting climate change or global warming??

Robert from oz
July 20, 2016 1:18 am

So let me get this right , The American Chemical Society thinks that a ph of 8.1 is acidic ?
What do they hand these diplomas to derelicts off the street now ?

simple-touriste
Reply to  Robert from oz
July 22, 2016 12:57 am

“So let me get this right , The American Chemical Society thinks that a ph of 8.1 is acidic ?”
They should get their info about the pH scale from Naomi Oreskes.

rtj1211
July 20, 2016 1:35 am

There’s nothing wrong with consensus if it is based on rigorously gathered, impeccably analysed data.
It’s a bit more challenging when the consensus is: ‘the way to keep this gravy train rolling if for all of us to be given our briefing papers on the official party line and not to deviate from it upon pain of being excommunicated from the congregation for life….’

sciguy54
July 20, 2016 5:38 am

As well noted in previous comments, taking a few moments to read the 31 letters is quite illuminating. They each tell a little tale as to the likely process which led to the final letters as submitted, a process something like:
1. An external agency convinces one or more society leaders that the society should write an official climate consensus statement, and provides previous examples of such ( the 18 letters from 2009?)
2. Society leadership drafts a proposed letter. The original draft might be the extemporaneous product of one person or the result of an extensive and extended collaboration.
3. Depending on the bylaws of the society, the letter is either issued as is, published to the membership with a brief period for comment, subjected to multiple rounds of draft and redraft by a committee of the entire membership, or any possible combination of the above.
In the end, many of the letters are such weak tea that one can only conclude that someone in the society insisted that the organisation sign-on to the consensus, and that others in the organisation put up enough resistance that the resulting letter said little or nothing about the actual science. They are the distilled opinions of the 50 percent plus one of the members who were aware of the proposed letter, who had a strong opinion, and who had enough power to affect its wording.
Twenty-first century science in action.

Shawn Marshall
July 20, 2016 6:11 am

I would venture this statement of lunacy has been prompted by a Whitehouse or Markey or some other sinister operative of the authoritarian totalitarians. If one is a member of these ‘professional’ organizations, why not send them the recent video by Tony Heller which shows conclusively how the data has been deliberately corrupted?

biff33
July 21, 2016 12:16 am

How do they know the cure (mitigation) won’t be worse than the disease (global warming)? They have no means of calculating that, and no expertise with which to find the means. They haven’t even considered the question. Scientists, are they?

Strike
July 21, 2016 4:35 am

Does any of these leaders use the word “manmade” or do they talk about climate change in general?

Jerry
July 29, 2016 9:44 am

You can add to the list; NASA,NSA,WMO,..pretty well ALL major scientific institutions world-wide!!! What will it take for all you nay-sayers to admit it-you’ve been duped and you’ve lost the argument. Suck it up,put on your ‘big boy pants’ and move on. Let’s stop arguing about ‘if’ it’s real and move on to how we are going to deal with it.

Reply to  Jerry
July 29, 2016 9:57 am

What will it take for all you nay-sayers to admit it-you’ve been duped and you’ve lost the argument.

As soon as I see some actual evidence of warming from Co2.

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