February 1998 Global Temperatures Reach Unprecedented Levels

Guest Post

The satellite-measured temperature of the lower troposphere—the layer of Earth’s atmosphere that’s closest to the surface—has risen about 0.75 deg C (more than 1.3 deg F) in less than a year in 1997 and 1998, astounding climate scientists from around the world and confirming that man-made greenhouse gases are causing catastrophic global warming.

Figure 1 - Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomalies

“At that rate”, a poultry scientist said, “in just a few years, eggs will cook inside the chickens.”

A paleoclimatologist who plays hockey in his spare time told this reporter, “Tree rings are growing at an unprecedented rate.  Bad for trees, good for hockey sticks.”

I received a Western Union telegram from the director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies.  It read:

February 1998 temperature updates from NASA, NOAA, and UKMO.  WOW!!!  Never Before Seen.  Unprecedented in Thousands of Years.

Figure 2 - Surface Temperature Anomalies

In response to reports of rising sea levels and marine species migrating to land to avoid boiling their brains in the overheated oceans, a representative of the bankrupt fishing industry reports, “People don’t need fishermen anymore, they just go into their backyards and pick up a flounder or two from their gardens.”

“Over the past year or so, global warming has accelerated to never-before-seen rates,” says a lead author of the reports from United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.  “Our climate models told us that we’d soon reach a tipping point. I believe we’ve reached it.”

An “independent researcher”, who requested anonymity, has a different perspective.  As he wrote in a fax:

The recent spike in global surface and lower troposphere temperatures is nothing to be concerned about.  It is how the Earth responds to an El Niño event.

An El Niño is a periodic warming of the surfaces of eastern tropical Pacific.  Changes in weather cause warm subsurface waters in the western tropical Pacific, created by the tropical sun, to rush eastward and rise to the surface of the eastern Pacific along the equator. All of that warm water rising to the surface causes surfaces of the tropical Pacific to warm. Outside of the tropical Pacific, global surfaces warm due to changes in atmospheric circulation caused by the El Niño.

Soon, global surface temperatures will decline as the tropical Pacific goes from El Niño (warm phase) to La Niña (cool phase).  But surface temperatures never return to the earlier values because, after the El Niño, all of the leftover warm water from the El Niño is simply spread around the ocean surfaces.  In effect, an El Niño causes an upward jump in global surface temperatures.  That’s one of the ways Mother Nature has devised to warm the surface of our planet.

That’s far too complex for this reporter to grasp, so I’ll continue to believe man-made greenhouse gases caused the recent spike in global temperatures.

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April 1, 2016 8:35 am

Is switching from natural wooden hockey sticks to blades made from fossil fuels a net sequestration?

Goldrider
Reply to  Rob Dawg
April 1, 2016 3:49 pm

Carbon! We need hockey sticks made from CARBON, like the tennis rackets!

Richard G
Reply to  Goldrider
April 1, 2016 7:55 pm

I’ll take a carbon hockey stick. I can use it to swat away dodgy science papers produced with government grants.

Travis Casey
April 1, 2016 9:15 am

“As he wrote in a fax” HAHA. And my pager alerted me to come read this post.

Reg Nelson
April 1, 2016 9:24 am

1998 was the year that New York became partially submerged and they renamed it New Venice. All of the taxis were replaced with gondolas, and scuba diving in the subways became the hip new thing to do.

MarkW
Reply to  Reg Nelson
April 1, 2016 2:11 pm

Did the remember to de-energize the third rail before letting the scuba divers in there?

Robert
April 1, 2016 1:34 pm

In Oz our BOM (bureau of manipulation) has just announced “warmest March evaaaah” but
Is this adjusted or unadjusted
Since actual records began
Since records began 20 years ago
After factoring in all the above I’m thinking yeah whatever !

April 1, 2016 3:14 pm

This post by the estimable Bob Tisdale is eerily similar to the April Fool’s joke started 30 years ago (and still running) by James Hansen claiming that CAGW was real.
Time for it to stop so we can get back to more important subjects.

Toneb
Reply to  John in Oz
April 1, 2016 10:59 pm

AGW is real. CAGW may or may not be.
It is a term invented by “sceptics” not climate scientists.

AndyG55
Reply to  Toneb
April 2, 2016 4:34 am

Yes, we KNOW the calculated warming of the global surface temperature is MASSIVELY human affected.

AndyG55
Reply to  Toneb
April 2, 2016 4:37 am

And seriously Toneb.. the whole meme of the AGW “climate scientist” is one of predicting catastrophe after catastrophe…….
You know that… EVERYBODY knows that.
So please stop trying to run from that fact, it make you even more stupid than usual.

April 1, 2016 3:53 pm

This is wonderful, Bob. I enjoyed this very much. Can’t wait to pick up a fish or two from my back yard. Chickens laying boiled eggs will save time too. 🙂

TA
April 1, 2016 8:04 pm

Steve Fraser
April 1, 2016 at 7:58 am:
If I read this correctly, now down below,the 1998 peak.
I don’t know, have you seen the latest changes to the surface temperature charts? I saw one the other day that showed 1998, as an also-ran, cooler than subsequent years. 1998 has been demoted.

Paul
April 2, 2016 7:06 am

in the future their may well be equal or greater changes in temperature in the opposite direction.

David L. Hagen
April 2, 2016 2:45 pm

Nonlinearities in patterns of long term ocean warming
Geophys. Res. Lett. 1944-8007 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068041

The ocean dominates the planetary heat budget and takes thousands of years to equilibrate to perturbed surface conditions, yet those long time scales are poorly understood. Here we analyze the ocean response over a range of forcing levels and time scales in a climate model of intermediate complexity and in the CMIP5 model suite. We show that on century to millennia time scales the response time scales, regions of anomalous ocean heat storage, and global thermal expansion depend non-linearly on the forcing level and surface warming. As a consequence, it is problematic to deduce long term from short term heat uptake or scale the heat uptake patterns between scenarios. These results also question simple methods to estimate long term sea level rise from surface temperatures, and the use of deep sea proxies to represent surface temperature changes in past climate.