California's train of super-soaker storms analysed – more on the way

Extreme rain events fueled by the current strong El Nino have started to affect California. NASA estimated rainfall over a period of 7 days while NASA/NOAA’s GOES Project created a satellite animation showing the storms affecting the region over the period of Jan. 5 through Jan 7.

An animation NOAA’s GOES-West satellite imagery from Jan. 5 through Jan 7 shows the progression of storm systems in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that hit southern California and generated flooding and mudslides. The animation was created at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.

This animation NOAA’s GOES-West satellite imagery from Jan. 5 through Jan 7 shows the progression of storm systems in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that hit southern California and generated flooding and mudslides. TRT: 00:42 Credits: NASA/NOAA GOES Project

An estimate of rainfall totals from December 31, 2015 to the morning (EST) on January 6, 2016 was made using data from NASA’s Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) for a series of storms moving over the Eastern Pacific toward the U.S. West coast. Global precipitation estimates are provided by IMERG through the use of data from satellites in the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission constellation and is calibrated with measurements from the GPM Core Observatory as well as rain gauge networks around the world. GPM is a satellite managed by both NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency.

california_imerg_rain_31dec15-6jan16_0
An estimate of rainfall totals from Dec. 31, 2015 to Jan. 6, 2016 was made using data from NASA’s IMERG for a series of storms showed highest rainfall totals over the eastern Pacific Ocean (purple) more than 4.5 inches (114.3 mm) and highest totals near Lake Tahoe and the west central Nevada border (red) over 4 inches (101.6 mm). Credits: NASA/JAXA/SSAI, Hal Pierce

The IMERG data showed highest rainfall totals over the eastern Pacific Ocean of more than 4.5 inches (114.3 mm) and highest totals over land near Lake Tahoe and the west central Nevada border at more than 4 inches (101.6 mm).

The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) creates a merged precipitation product from the GPM constellation of satellites. These satellites include DMSPs from the U.S. Department of Defense, GCOM-W from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Megha-Tropiques from the Centre National D’etudies Spatiales (CNES) and Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), NOAA series from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Suomi-NPP from NOAA-NASA, and MetOps from the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT).  All of the instruments (radiometers) onboard the constellation partners are intercalibrated with information from the GPM Core Observatory’s GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) and Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR).

The precipitation shown in the IMERG product along the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada Mountains is providing snowfall that is crucial to alleviating the drought driven low water reserves in California.

On Jan. 8, NWS Weather Prediction Center in College Park Md. noted that the upper-level low pressure area is forecast to move across the Four Corners region, bringing snow to the higher terrain of the Southwest and to portions of the southern and central Rockies. Portions of the Mogollon Rim as well as the Rockies in southern Colorado and northern New Mexico have the potential for heavy snow, with snowfall amounts of one foot possible at the highest elevations.

Another Pacific frontal system is approaching the West Coast to bring rain and high elevation snows to the West Coast states. For updated forecasts, visit the National Weather Service website at: www.weather.gov.


 

Here is the latest satellite image (as of this writing) showing the next system lined up for California, it is expected to hit on Tuesday night:

sat_pacific_640x480

To animate the image, click here

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

74 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
jbird
January 11, 2016 3:56 pm

As I understand the theory concerning solar minimums, a weakening of the electromagnetic field of the sun allows cosmic rays to penetrate further into the Earth’s atmosphere. This is supposed to result in an increase in clouds and precipitation that eventually have a cooling effect upon the Earth’s surface. If that is so, how are the effects of a reduction in solar electromagnetic energy separated out from the effects of an El Nino event?
It seems as if the El Nino and La Nina events have sort of taken over in the imaginations of people who post here, and the solar minimum isn’t referenced much these days even though it appears to be continuing. Shouldn’t increased cold, rain and snow still be expected for the foreseeable future? Just saying.

Reply to  jbird
January 11, 2016 4:35 pm

I think that the combination of a strong La Nina intersecting with the solar changes during a gm event is where we will see the full effects of what a gm can do. That time should be close at hand by my reckoning. I think the ENSO regions could return to neutral by the end of next month.

January 11, 2016 4:04 pm

Just to show that Nino is a bit of a skep and fails to read all the literature every year, Eastern Australia has been pretty damp, with handy rains over drought areas and the odd flood.
Mind you, after all the fire and heat from sister Nina back in 1939, I’d say the whole ENSO family is a bit careless with the data and the literature. Sometimes they follow the script, other times…

Stan
January 11, 2016 4:23 pm

These are not “extreme” rain events. They are quite common.

Marcus
January 11, 2016 4:35 pm

Governor MoonBeam is only worried about saving the Delta Smelt…also known as….BAIT !!

High Treason
January 11, 2016 8:30 pm

Here in Australia, climate hysteria(along with a complicit socialist regime) resulted in an expensive white elephant desalination plant for Sydney which has never been used. It cost $500,000 per day to maintain. A lot of money to flush down the toilet for nothing.

Michael C
January 11, 2016 9:27 pm

4.5 inches – ‘super-soaker storms’ ??? Maybe if they last just 4 hours

James at 48
January 14, 2016 9:03 am

Huge false alarm here. One good week but sort of one and done, and now the fronts are mainly weak ones that don’t make it past Monterey County.