Guest essay by Eric Worrall
h/t JoNova – The Ecologist speculates that the aim of the ISIS terrorists, who have claimed responsibility for the recent Paris terrorist atrocity, might have been aimed at protecting ISIS’ oil business from an anticipated new climate agreement.
According to The Ecologist;
Is it a coincidence that the terrorist outrage in Paris was committed weeks before COP21, the biggest climate conference since 2009? Perhaps, writes Oliver Tickell. But failure to reach a strong climate agreement now looks more probable. And that’s an outcome that would suit ISIS – which makes $500m a year from oil sales – together with other oil producers.
But we must also ask: Why Paris? And why now?
Yes, France has been especially active in its air strikes against ISIS in Syria. And yes, there there is a huge reservoir of discontent among the socially excluded youth of the banlieue, the concrete jungle of impoverished outer suburbs that surround Paris and other big cities – where ISIS can perhaps find willing recruits to its ranks.
But is that all? In just a few weeks time, the COP21 climate conference will take place, in Paris, the biggest such event since COP15 in Copenhagen six years ago. The event offers the world a desperately needed opportunity to reduce its carbon emissions and limit global warming to 2C.
And that’s surely something the attackers, or at least their (presumably) ISIS commanders, must know all about.
Read more: The Ecologist
This line of reasoning is deeply flawed. ISIS are not a legitimate supplier of oil, they are oil smugglers. If a future climate agreement were to place a prohibition on oil, or slap on a massive global carbon tax, the black market price of oil would skyrocket – groups like ISIS would make a fortune, helping oil consumers avoid carbon taxes which legitimate providers would have to pay. It seems much more likely that ISIS didn’t know or didn’t care about the COP 21 climate conference, or who knows – perhaps the recent atrocity was just a prelude, a distraction from a much bigger planned attack on world leaders, when they gather in Paris.