Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Serial failed futurist Paul Ehrlich has warned that Australia will become a third world country, if we Australians don’t abandon one of our main sources of national income.
According to The Guardian;
Q&A: mining will turn Australia into a third-world country, says ecologist Paul Ehrlich
Ehrlich warns ‘you are destroying your life support systems here’ and says his prediction of a 90% chance civilisation will collapse in 50 years is based on ‘gut feeling’
Australia is “working to become a third-world country” through its economic dependence on mining natural resources for export and reliance on coalmining, according to doomsday ecologist Paul Ehrlich.
Ehrlich made the prediction on the ABC’s Q&A program on Monday night, after dismissing the views of other panellists on the question of whether Australia was overpopulated as “mostly nonsense, unfortunately,” and before praising the economic theories of electronics retailer Dick Smith.
“Talk to your ecologist,” Ehrlich said. “You are destroying your life support systems here. You are working at it really hard. You are also working to become a third-world country, because your specialisation of course is to take your raw materials, like your coal, which will destroy the world of your grandchildren and great-grandchildren, and ship of as much of it unprocessed as you possibly can out to the rest of the world.”
Ehrlich told host Tony Jones, who seemed to be struggling to manage the octogenarian academic, that his prediction of a 90% chance civilisation would collapse in 50 years was based on a “gut feeling”, and freely admitted that a number of his predictions, such as the prediction the United Kingdom would be a small group of impoverished islands occupied by 70 million hungry people by the year 2000, hadn’t quite borne out.
Its good that Ehrlich is researching whether the rumbling of his digestive tract is a more reliable predictor of future events, than whatever he used to do. In fact, I must commend Ehrlich on choosing to study his own gut, rather than the entrails of slaughtered animals, to produce his forecasts – Ehrlich’s method seems a lot tidier and less wasteful than the ancient Roman method of fortune telling, and will in all likelihood produce predictions which are at least as reliable as an IPCC climate projection.
Will become a 3rd World Country? Will?
It already is. Its just the utter arrogance of Australians that blinds them from the truth. Australia is a developing country and has been from since the first Aborigine arrived. Secondary industries that were once thriving are being killed off (take a look at the now non-existent car industry), and high-technology is imported, renamed/rebadged/retagged and hugely price inflated (which Australians so deliriously call “added value”) more so than exported. Third world countries have economies that are largely based upon primary industry and retail/commercial services, and that is what Australia is, a fancy Third World country.
When a country doesn’t know how build or create anything, and always realizes on foreigners to do the more sophisticated works, or imprisons refugees and their children on islands and in far away deserts, or worse yet sells their unwanted responsibilities to other countries, you’ve got a Third World country.
So what has Australia invented on note around the world?
1. First commercial successful rotary lawn mower.
2. Refrigerator.
3. Torpedo: as in underwater missile.
4. Electric Drill.
5. First full-length feature film.
6. Armoured Tank: yes the one they use in war, it was an Australian that came up with the design.
7. Marino wool: as from the Marino sheep.
8. Dual flush toilet
9. Polymeric Bank Notes.
10. Wi-Fi.
But…
Australia doesn’t even know how to make a refrigerator any more, they are all imported today, I recommend LG. Considering how much war is going on in the war you’d think being the creator of the torpedo and tank, you would have made a killing…so to speak (apologies for the bad pun). Electric drills? Makita, they’re imported too. First full-length movie? Hollywood, Bollywood, Australian movies are terrible. Marino wool? take a look at the exports, in another 20 years, the marino sheep will be extinct. Dual flush toilet? Go to San Francisco and smell the success of dual-flush toilets, its the fastest way to turn a society back into the medieval. Polymeric Bank notes, ah yes my favourite, you do know that the only way to dispose of them is by burning them? And that’s where the problem only begins, for the burnt gases are carcinogenic! Furthermore, have you ever tried using old polymer banknotes in hot climes, they are very difficult to use and can disintegrate in you hand (by that I mean it is not dissolving it is really falling apart , this has happened to me once! Try getting the note replaced….not going to happen! They shrivel up! I would add a photo here to show you what I mean, but that isn’t allowed. So just google it! You will see! Polymeric notes DESTROY YOUR WEALTH!
And for Wi-Fi. Knowing how the CSIRO operates, I used to work there as a grad student many years ago, read this:
http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2012/04/how-the-aussie-government-invented-wifi-and-sued-its-way-to-430-million/
it will give you a better appreciation how things are really done in Australia, using lies/lawyers/governments. That’s only arstechnica, and they are writing with reserve, for fear of law suits. The truth is far far darker. In short, if the CSIRO can be credited for WiFi, then Heddy Lamar should be getting all the royalties. In short, the CSIRO did absolutely nothing more than Heddy Lamar!
All Australia is, is a big island, with a plentiful supply of minerals, sand, and racists. Oh and a lot of hard working immigrants who carry the WASPs. And that’s about it.
Actually, Australia has invented a wheel AU 2001100012 on top of the things above, but not the torpedo.
Torpedo was invented by a fellow Croat, and an Austrian naval officer. So with all due respect I must remind you that there are no kangaroos in Austria 😆
Not to jump all over you or anything, but I have studied the history of inventions for quite some time.
Although the first practical vapor compression refrigerator was built in Australia, the inventor was a recent immigrant from Great Britain.
And the concept already had a long history.
It was not like the light bulb exactly, as there were numerous “firsts” in between the machines that Harrison built and when the first recognizable home units were built by a guy from Indiana, and when the first built in freezers became available for home use.
Just sayin’.
Lies, lies, lies! Those were all invented by an American named Al Gore.
Oh of course. Australians are such raaacists that they’ve successfully established a multi-ethnic society that has absorbed waves of different peoples. My siblings and I all married the children of non-English speaking WW2 reffos. Such racists. I have an Asian daughter-in-law. Clearly we raised our children to tbe racists too!
Oz will become a Third World Country if it doesn’t imprison “refugees”, illegal immigrants and their children on islands and is faraway deserts. Simples.
Why is it that the rules seem only to be there for the WASPs?
A good probiotic and an occasional dose of pepto should
help out with that “gut feeling” of scientific methodology.
Perhaps a colonoscopy would help although the only thing they may find is his head.
I don’t think doctors can help a person who thinks with his arse.
Predictions of doom are popular. Imagine you are sick in bed with the flu. You feel miserable. But then you hear that an explosion levelled your workplace. Even if the report is false, you suddenly feel better.
A nut job perhaps but a very clever nut job. These doomsday prophets are little more than accomplished con artists who have crafted successful careers predicting the end of days over and over. That they are catastrophically wrong every time is irrelevant. Rather the bigger the miss the more it enhances their reputation. Small claims go unnoticed. Global extinction event predictions…now THAT gets people’s attention. And by the time the predicted extinction event date passes without a whimper, our heroes have already shifted attention to a new apocalypse. Read Michael Crichton’s “State of Fear” for a primer on how this is done.
Sorry Dorian, but someone who confuses ” realizes” with “relies” (third paragraph) forfeits any right to serious consideration.
Telboy …. Anyone who doesn’t recognize the working of autocorrect ….
Sure Telboy, and letting a typo slip through proves a person is a numbskull too, right?
People who live in glass ” homes”, the ones that can’t manage to get their quotes in the correct location, shouldn’t be forfeiting the rights of anyone else.
Another Timothy Leary.
completely ridiculous survey, but note how the Coalition voters will listen to the Turnbull vibe and change their minds!
3 Nov: SMH: Peter Hannam: CSIRO survey: Most Coalition voters reject humans to blame for climate change
Barely one in four Coalition voters accepts climate change is mostly caused by humans, with more than half of Liberal voters believing changes to global temperatures are natural, according to a CSIRO survey.
The wide-ranging report, which summarised the findings of five surveys of Australian attitudes from 2010 to 2014 before the program was axed earlier this year, was released without fanfare on Tuesday.
As in previous years, just under 80 per cent of respondents accepted the climate was changing, with human activity viewed as accounting for 62 per cent of the change.
Assessments of the cause, though, appear closely tied to political leanings…
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, unlike his predecessor Tony Abbott, has spoken out strongly in defence of science particularly as it relates to climate change, and is expected to re-state the case for action at the Paris climate summit starting at the end of the month…
Andy Pitman, Director of ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science at the University of NSW, predicted that many Coalition voters will take their cue from the new PM and shift their views…
“My experience of the public service and right the way through to some media outlets, they absolutely listen to the vibe from the top and respond to it,” he said…
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/csiro-survey-most-coalition-voters-reject-humans-to-blame-for-climate-change-20151103-gkpgf8.html
Given how poor his predictions have been I’d say that reflects badly on those that continue to believe this man’s disastrous predictions.
A fair number of contributions to the Guardian seem to written by people who not in touch with reality!
I love when ecoloons and Climate Liars like Ehrlich, who has his head so far up his arse that he couldn’t see his way out of a paper bag pretend to care about what happens to economies, either locally or worldwide, since it is their own anti-hydrocarbon policies which are, and will continue to torpedo said economies.
Like many Guardian contributors he has never run any that involved using his own money!
I thought the ding bats or is it wombats were all in the bush in oz.
Ridiculous!
But no more ridiculous than the idea being pushed by some here that Ehrlich’s ravings are due to his octogenarian status.
There are plenty of examples of older men having sensible ideas in relation to climate change for example (e.g. the physicist Freeman Dyson) and there are many examples of younger men having science-moving ideas.
I submit that age is not the factor which determines whether one is a fruit loop.
That is down to the way one thinks, the way one was educated, what one’s prejudices are etc etc.
I am 70. That does not seem to have caused me to change my mind in relation to rubbish science (think climate alarmism here). Nor has it caused my mind so far to become closed to persuasion on the basis of the evidence. Surely it is not possible that in another 10 years (should I survive so long) my thought processes will become moribund; logic will desert me; the very physical structure of my brain will alter so that I no longer can determine which set of facts or evidence put to me are correct or more likely to be correct, and which are not.
Balderdash!
So let us have no more of this age based analysis. The evidence is that it is wrong. If you are going to be stupid, you will be stupid no matter what the age you have attained.
In general agree, however being young and stupid is more forgivable and understandable than being old and stupid, which Ehrlich certainly is.
Who is dumber, the fool, or those who give airtime to these fools over and over again?
That really is the nub of this whole lunatic boondoggle, the bloody media and their utter irresponsibility and unquestioning behaviour.
Who will pick up the mining slack, China or India?
warns ‘you are destroying your life support systems here’ and says his prediction of a 90% chance civilisation will collapse in 50 years is based on
My ‘gut feeling’ is that Ehrlich is an empty headed loon who makes a living by scaring people with dire predictions. The difference being my “gut feeling” has much more evidence behind it than Erlichs.
Sure, civilization could collapse in 50 years, or 500 or 20 or 2000. Predictions like these are a dime a dozen from climate zealots, religious zealots, and misc zealots. Unfortunately opportunists like Ehrlich actually get paid more than a dime for worthless predictions.
Alx November 3, 2015 at 5:14 am
Hey!… I resemble that remark.
Would like to see popular media do a good retrospective on Erlich and his many failed predictions. As to the post using Erlich vs Trump as a means to smear a US political party you don’t know our system. Anyone can claim membership at anytime. It’s very informal. Sanders is not even a registered Democrat.
True, you are a member when you say you are.
I think he is more of a tool….
There are only five industries in the entire world that create original wealth, mining is one of them, and all of them are under attack by the lunatic left. The crazies would turn the entire world into a third world backwater.
Why do they continue to give malthusian scare mongers with totally failed track record a platform to sell their message of doom time after time. The guy belongs in a mental institution.
Because they serve a useful function for the Warmunist enlightened ones, warning us of dire consequences unless we do their bidding.
The world would be a much better place if the mothers of people like Ehrlich and Gore and Obama had been enthusiastic supporters of late term abortion and had used it for themselves.
If a country becomes a third world when they run out of fossil fuels, surely wont the same thing happen if they do it voluntarily ?
Only faster
And with more inequalities on the way down
A 90% gut feeling, is the a consensus gut feeling? I believe this gut feeling will produce nothing but crap yet again.
I mean, sure – he sounds like a loon. But the key point is Q&A did not bring him on as a nut to be mocked – they deserve that for people of Christian beliefs and conservative politicians. He was picked as a guest because they actually believe this tripe on TheirABC.
“A gut feeling?” I think it is a bit further down the intestinal tract, close to the exit.
“… freely admitted that a number of his predictions, such as the prediction the United Kingdom would be a small group of impoverished islands occupied by 70 million hungry people by the year 2000, hadn’t quite borne out.”
Yeah, but he was close, right?
I mean, in the morning when they just wake up, they are hungry people are they not?
And they are islands.
And the year 2000 happened.
I think we are being entirely too hard on this obviously gifted individual.
Now, I’m basing this on my “gut feeling”, something I often get right before I, uh, eliminate solid waste.
I think it is a fair assumption, given his track record, that if Pal Ehrlich has a “gut feeling” civilisation will collapse then civilisation will enter a period of unprecedented prosperity and good fortune.