Surprising: Researchers correlate rheumatoid arthritis and giant cell arteritis with solar cycles

From the DOE/Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratorysolarcycle_soho

What began as a chat between husband and wife has evolved into an intriguing scientific discovery. The results, published in May in BMJ (formerly British Medical Journal) Open, show a “highly significant” correlation between periodic solar storms and incidences of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and giant cell arteritis (GCA), two potentially debilitating autoimmune diseases. The findings by a rare collaboration of physicists and medical researchers suggest a relationship between the solar outbursts and the incidence of these diseases that could lead to preventive measures if a causal link can be established.

RA and GCA are autoimmune conditions in which the body mistakenly attacks its own organs and tissues. RA inflames and swells joints and can cause crippling damage if left untreated. In GCA, the autoimmune disease results in inflammation of the wall of arteries, leading to headaches, jaw pain, vision problems and even blindness in severe cases.

Inspiring this study were conversations between Simon Wing, a Johns Hopkins University physicist and first author of the paper, and his wife, Lisa Rider, deputy unit chief of the Environmental Autoimmunity Group at the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences in the National Institutes of Health, and a coauthor. Rider spotted data from the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, showing that cases of RA and GCA followed close to 10-year cycles. “That got me curious,” Wing recalled. “Only a few things in nature have a periodicity of about 10-11 years and the solar cycle is one of them.”

Wing teamed with physicist Jay Johnson of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, a long-time collaborator, to investigate further. When the physicists tracked the incidence of RA and GCA cases compiled by Mayo Clinic researchers, the results suggested “more than a coincidental connection,” said Eric Matteson, chair of the division of rheumatology at the Mayo Clinic, and a coauthor. This work drew upon previous space physics research supported by the DOE Office of Science.

The findings found increased incidents of RA and GCA to be in periodic concert with the cycle of magnetic activity of the sun. During the solar cycle, dramatic changes that can affect space weather near Earth take place in the sun. At the solar maximum, for example, an increased number of outbursts called coronal mass ejections hurl millions of tons of magnetic and electrically charged plasma gas against the Earth’s magnetosphere, the magnetic field that surrounds the planet. This contact whips up geomagnetic disturbances that can disrupt cell phone service, damage satellites and knock out power grids. More importantly, during the declining phase of the solar maximum high-speed streams develop in the solar wind that is made up of plasma that flows from the sun. These streams continuously buffet Earth’s magnetosphere, producing enhanced geomagnetic activity at high Earth latitudes.

The research, which tracked correlations of the diseases with both geomagnetic activity and extreme ultraviolet (EUV) solar radiation, focused on cases recorded in Olmsted County, Minnesota, the home of the Mayo Clinic, over more than five decades. The physicists compared the data with indices of EUV radiation for the years 1950 through 2007 and indices of geomagnetic activity from 1966 through 2007. Included were all 207 cases of GCA and all 1,179 cases of RA occurring in Olmsted County during the periods and collected in a long-term study led by Sherine Gabriel, then of the Mayo Clinic and now dean of the Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School.

Correlations proved to be strongest between the diseases and geomagnetic activity. GCA incidence — defined as the number of new cases per capita per year in the county — regularly peaked within one year of the most intense geomagnetic activity, while RA incidence fell to a minimum within one year of the least intense activity. Correlations with the EUV indices were seen to be less robust and showed a significantly longer response time.

The findings were consistent with previous studies of the geographic distribution of RA cases in the United States. Such research found a greater incidence of the disease in sections of the country that are more likely to be affected by geomagnetic activity. For example, the heaviest incidence lay along geographic latitudes on the East Coast that were below those on the West Coast. This asymmetry may reflect the fact that high geomagnetic latitudes — areas most subject to geomagnetic activity — swing lower on the East Coast than on the opposite side of the country. While Washington, D.C., lies just 1 degree farther north than San Francisco geographically, for example, the U.S. capital is 7 degrees farther north in terms of geomagnetic latitude.

Although the authors make no claim to a causal explanation for their findings, they identify five characteristics of the disease occurrence that are not obviously explained by any of the currently leading hypotheses. These include the east-west asymmetries of the RA and GCA outbreaks and the periodicities of the incidences in concert with the solar cycle. Among the possible causal pathways the authors consider are reduced production of the hormone melatonin, an anti-inflammatory mediator with immune-enhancing effects, and increased formation of free radicals in susceptible individuals. A study of 142 electrical power workers found that excretion of melatonin — a proxy used to estimate production of the hormone — was reduced by 21 percent on days with increased geomagnetic activity.

Confirming a causal link between outbreaks of RA and GCA and geomagnetic activity would be an important step towards developing strategies for mitigating the impact of the activity on susceptible individuals. These strategies could include relocating to lower latitudes and developing methods to counteract direct causal agents that may be controlled by geomagnetic activity. For now, say the authors, their findings warrant further investigations covering longer time periods, additional locations and other autoimmune diseases.

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TedL
June 16, 2015 6:04 pm

Multiple sclerosis is a common auto-immune disease. It shows a latitudinal pattern of prevalence, with greater incidence at higher latitudes, as do many other diseases, which suggests that their prevalence is related to sun exposure and sufficiency of the “sunshine vitamin,” vitamin D. This article discusses MS and is free to read. The abstract can be found on PubMed.
Mult Scler Int. 2014;2014:124578. doi: 10.1155/2014/124578. Epub 2014 Feb 16.
Spatial analysis of global prevalence of multiple sclerosis suggests need for an updated prevalence scale.
Wade BJ1.
Author information
Abstract
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating disease of the central nervous system with an unknown aetiology. MS has a geographic pattern of prevalence with high prevalence rates between 45 degrees and 65 degrees north. In much of the northern hemisphere, there exists a prevalence gradient, with increasing prevalence from south to north. While genetics may partially explain the latitudinal gradient, it is not strong enough to exclude exogenous variables. Kurtzke initially came up with a three-zone scale for low, medium, and high prevalence zones. He defined high as 30 or more per 100,000, medium as 5-29 per 100,000, and low as less than 5 per 100,000. In this study, 131 geographic datasets (geocases) were spatially analyzed to determine whether the existing global prevalence scale needed to be updated. The mean prevalence rate was 67.83/100,000 with rates ranging from 350/100,000 to 0/100,000. The results of this study suggest that the commonly referenced scale for global MS prevalence needs to be updated with added zones to reflect significantly higher prevalence rates in some areas of the world. We suggest a five-zone scale: very high (170-350), high (70-170), medium (38-70), low (13-38), and very low (0-13).
PMID:
24693432
[PubMed]
PMCID:
PMC3945785
Free PMC Article

Yirgach
June 16, 2015 6:27 pm

Sometimes you just gotta wonder as to how much research has been wasted due to the herd instinct.
If it wasn’t for some unherdable individuals, then things like plate tectonics, cloud formation by cosmic rays, etc might never have been investigated in a timely matter.
Then again, what young modern researcher in their right mind would ever pursue an investigation into something which could end their career?

June 16, 2015 6:46 pm

Perhaps what’s going on here is that during magnetic storms there is an increased incidence of people banging their fists against the wall in frustration at their mobile phone, computer or TV not working. O wait – it goes back to the 50’s?

RossP
June 16, 2015 6:51 pm

I wouldn’t knock these guys. This is what science should be about. They have found something interesting and they are looking into it. They are not claiming anything , yet. They are going look further. They may or may not come up with anything new.
I found this recently. Good for a laugh and shows you can find data , trends and comparisons in all sorts of things.
http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

Reply to  RossP
June 17, 2015 9:29 am

“The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not Eureka! (I found it!) but rather, ‘hmm… that’s funny…'”
– Isaac Asimov

Admin
June 16, 2015 7:13 pm

They should study a subset of people who identify their profession as “welder” to test the melatonin theory.
I get a noticeable sun tan from exposure to ultraviolet from a welding arc even after just a few minutes of welding.

Anthony S
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 16, 2015 8:12 pm

I doubt you would see a correlation there, as welders wear lots of heavy insulating gear to prevent thermal burns and sunburn from the UV, an dto help prevent getting shocked by the arc current.

Patrick
Reply to  Eric Worrall
June 17, 2015 2:07 am

Protective gear is there for a reason. Even so, sometimes you get a molten hot ball of metal burning through the crotch of that gear, gets you jumping about a bit!

June 16, 2015 10:04 pm

Since my mother, 20 years older than me, has crippling rheumatoid arthritis and twenty years younger, I have none, I’m thankful the link isn’t causal.

Ed Zuiderwijk
Reply to  Mark
June 17, 2015 12:53 am

But perhaps you ought to suggest to her to take a vitamin D supplement?

Patrick
Reply to  Ed Zuiderwijk
June 17, 2015 2:05 am

Vitamin D can be abosrbed to the body from exposure to sunlight. My former wife, who is African, needed Vit D supplements even in the sunny land of Australia I call home.

Grant
June 16, 2015 10:51 pm

Must be some long term studies of people taking Vitamin D supplements. Wonder how they fair…..

AndyE
June 16, 2015 10:58 pm

When it comes to this sort of discussion we all look for black or white, either/or, sort of answers, and we all cannot help referring to our own personal, individual experiences. We all talk blithely about, and know intellectually, that each of us human individuals is genetically unique. Therefore we should at all times remember that we can only ever hope to understand life and nature by observing trends and recording any findings dispassionately. These scientific findings seem to me so interesting and valuable. They serve to emphasise the point that everything in our physical world, seen and unseen, will have an influence on each and every atom in our bodies and on each and every atom in our environment. The result will be, and must be, chaotic. Our existence is chaos – let us accept that resignedly and happily.

Admad
June 17, 2015 12:23 am

But this is unprecedented! Something that’s not caused by CO2? Say it ain’t so

paqyfelyc
June 17, 2015 12:26 am

there are some many disease and syndromes than some of them are bound to correlates with solar cycle.
And likewise, the other way around, there are so many thing which correlation with arthritis COULD be tested, that you are bound to find one ; maybe cabbage production, R Vs D ratio in senate, coal production in china, or …
You just have to test enough correlation to find one…
That is the trouble explaining “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False”, and the trick behind the “eat chocolate to lose weight” sting.

Patrick
June 17, 2015 12:33 am

Is it too hard to consider? If we consider the lunar cycle of 28 days correlates well with the average menstural cycle of women, which is also 28 days.

Ed Zuiderwijk
Reply to  Patrick
June 17, 2015 12:45 am

Dogs and cats will disagree with you.

Patrick
Reply to  Patrick
June 17, 2015 2:02 am

Last time I checked cats and dogs were not women. But having said that women can be catish.

steverichards1984
June 17, 2015 1:26 am

It is a shame that some are lambasting this research – ‘ridiculously small study’,
‘we know it has no effect’, ‘my mother has this’, ‘I have that’.
I am sorry but this is an initial study, using data that was available to the researchers, and has produced interesting results.
So interesting, I suspect that international collaboration is already underway, to amass a large multi-country dataset, to see if this proposed relationship stands up.
With a large dataset, researchers could test for genetic commonalities, age, sex, location, work, diet and medical history.
It’s the way research goes, start small, and increase in size if you find something……

Dodgy Geezer
June 17, 2015 2:47 am

It DOES seem important to note the correlation and causation are SOMETIMES connected, and SOMETIMES not.
This web site, which illustrates the fact, should be essential viewing for ALL researchers…
http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

rtj1211
June 17, 2015 4:03 am

I don’t see why humans shouldn’t respond to geomagnetic variations: plants certainly seem to.
Far finer market gardeners than I have noted that seed germination is significantly affected by lunar cycles (optimal germination and vigour often occurs when sowing 2 days prior to full moon) and I have certainly seen my best growth ever of lettuce and radish by following such strictures. The biodynamic movement has arisen from such observations/hypotheses. The Schumann resonances provide a physical starting point for trying to discover whether there is any truth to these interesting conjectures.
WE are after all a species which evolved on a planet subject to variations in geomagnetic activity due to solar/lunar/cosmic ray influences.
It should not be beyond the bounds of possibility to conclude that evolution favoured species that could take advantage of such physical characteristics and the fact that certain downsides also exist does not imply that there is not evolutionary advantage in being capable of responding to such variations in nature……..

ozspeaksup
June 17, 2015 4:30 am

I have severe RA, I am one of the not so rare who do NOT show the RA gene.
I find it funny that many are ridiculing this when our bodies DO contain iron/copper which reacts to magnetism, another reason the MRI fella who did a scan on me admitted they really didnt know what long term effects of such will be.
pretty big insult to the cells copping the shifting field if you think about it.
I have days when even though its fine weather I am less than mobile
Ive noted they correlate to incoming CME . and I get migraines well before the barometer starts to swing prior to storms, as well as hips aching before rain
and that HAS been linked to changes in barometric pressure .
and a comment to the believers in HPV vax..its an admitted Fact BY the pharmas(merk) that if you HAVE the HPV strains they vax for..and many many do..young or not, then the INcreased risk OF cancer is well over 40%
if youre dumb enough to believe the hype then I guess youre too daft to insist your daughters get tested for it prior to vaxxing?
majority of human HPV is actually taken care of BY the body itself in 90 days or so.
a serious look at the real volume of proven to be hpv caused cancers..is damned low!
smarter nations have banned it now due to large volumes of serious reactions inc death.
IF> you believe and want it, fine, but NOT for young kids and as close to mandatory as makes no difference by social indoctrination and scaring them.

Patrick
Reply to  ozspeaksup
June 17, 2015 4:35 am

Talking of iron in the human body. I suffer from hemochromatosis, iron rich blood. My count is over 1300. So not only can a nail be made from my blood, but a whole bag full!

TedL
Reply to  Patrick
June 17, 2015 6:38 am

Patrick – above you mentioned you have psoriasis. Check out this article. The daily dose of Vitamin D is pharmacological, to say the least, but the results impressive compared to all other treatments of psoriasis. Again, the article is free at PubMed.
Dermatoendocrinol. 2013 Jan 1;5(1):222-34. doi: 10.4161/derm.24808.
A pilot study assessing the effect of prolonged administration of high daily doses of vitamin D on the clinical course of vitiligo and psoriasis.
Finamor DC1, Sinigaglia-Coimbra R1, Neves LC2, Gutierrez M3, Silva JJ1, Torres LD1, Surano F1, Neto DJ4, Novo NF5, Juliano Y5, Lopes AC6, Coimbra CG1.
Author information
Abstract
Autoimmunity has been associated with vitamin D deficiency and resistance, with gene polymorphisms related to vitamin D metabolism frequently described in affected patients. High doses of vitamin D3 may conceivably compensate for inherited resistance to its biological effects. This study aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of prolonged high-dose vitamin D3 treatment of patients with psoriasis and vitiligo. Nine patients with psoriasis and 16 patients with vitiligo received vitamin D3 35,000 IU once daily for six months in association with a low-calcium diet (avoiding dairy products and calcium-enriched foods like oat, rice or soya “milk”) and hydration (minimum 2.5 L daily). All psoriasis patients were scored according to “Psoriasis Area and Severity Index” (PASI) at baseline and after treatment. Evaluation of clinical response of vitiligo patients required a quartile grading scale. All patients presented low vitamin D status (serum 25(OH)D3 ≤ 30 ng/mL) at baseline. After treatment 25(OH)D3 levels significantly increased (from 14.9 ± 7.4 to 106.3 ± 31.9 ng/mL and from 18.4 ± 8.9 to 132.5 ± 37.0 ng/mL) and PTH levels significantly decreased (from 57.8 ± 16.7 to 28.9 ± 8.2 pg/mL and from 55.3 ± 25.0 to 25.4 ± 10.7 pg/mL) in patients with psoriasis and vitiligo respectively. PTH and 25(OH)D3 serum concentrations correlated inversely. The PASI score significantly improved in all nine patients with psoriasis. Fourteen of 16 patients with vitiligo had 25-75% repigmentation. Serum urea, creatinine and calcium (total and ionized) did not change and urinary calcium excretion increased within the normal range. High-dose vitamin D3 therapy may be effective and safe for vitiligo and psoriasis patients.
KEYWORDS:
25(OH)D3; autoimmunity; calcium; high dose; psoriasis; toxicity; treatment; vitamin D; vitiligo
PMID:
24494059
[PubMed]
PMCID:
PMC3897595
Free PMC Article

ulriclyons
June 17, 2015 5:38 am

I have noted for a number of years that my pompholyx eczema flares up within a day or two of faster solar wind bursts. I also suspect that more serious health problems arise from proton bursts.

Paul Sarmiento
June 17, 2015 8:10 am

So it seems that the magnetic therapies are not so quacky after all.

johann wundersamer
June 17, 2015 8:53 am

‘a “highly significant” correlation between periodic solar storms and incidences of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and giant cell arteritis (GCA)’
____
by all means no – everybody knows arthritis is connected to meat consumption:
crystall aggregation of
uric acid
qui bono – wer profitiert von den Lügen.
Climate, the whore of science.
____
stunned. Hans

johann wundersamer
June 17, 2015 9:43 am

btw, which scientist is engaged in reducing uric acid in all day meals.
not that much gold medals blinking.
not that much science on duty.
Hans
/ that’s called Stachanow Award: everybody knows Stachanow gets the award, so why engage /
[?? .mod]

June 17, 2015 9:44 am

This discussion reminds me of something I have not remembered in decades. My first job was that of an outside plant engineer for a utility. We had construction crews constantly digging and backifilling trenches in the process of laying new cables. They claimed it was well-known that if the trench were dug around the time of a full moon, and backfilled close to a new moon, the dirt would mound on top and need to be heavily tamped down or removed to level the ste. OTOH, if the trench were dug during the new moon and backfilled close to a full moon, it would be depressed, requiring additional dirt brought in for leveling.
These guys were definitely not interested in any fancy theories; they were only concerned with the equipment and materials required for the project at hand.
Anyone else hear of odd observations like this?

john
Reply to  Jtom
June 17, 2015 10:58 am

Eating rice rather than potatoes.

Reply to  Jtom
June 17, 2015 11:33 am

Yes!
Back in the eighties my father bought some land in a rural area of West Central Florida.
I eventually ended up constructing a huge plant nursery on a part of the property, and I remember and think about, to this day, how all the locals around there would constantly be warning us about stuff to make sure to do or not do.
One was to never build a fence when the moon was waxing!
Something about the posts not being able to “set” properly.
I was in college at the time, studying all manner of natural sciences, including astronomy and physical geography.
Needless to say I was highly skeptical of this belief, and not yet diplomatic enough in my interactions with people to be low key about my skepticism (Still working on that, as it happens!).
Like, wtf was going to happen? The Earth would spit out the posts like a used toothpick?
I kind of got the idea that thus ” fact” was so deeply planted(!) in the bumkin lore that it is possible no one would, and hence had, ever tried it to see, thus confirming that only fences built while the moon was waning are still standing.

Reply to  menicholas
June 17, 2015 11:41 am

And please, no guff about water tables and tides and the buoyancy of wood!

taz1999
Reply to  menicholas
June 18, 2015 10:13 am

So when you dug posts for the nursery did you comply or defy the conventional wisdom? Or maybe did the job when needed and didn’t notice any result?? Seems hard to believe that people that install fences for a living take half the month off.
I’m almost, but not quite curious enough to dig a couple of test trenches in the back yard.

taz1999
Reply to  Jtom
June 17, 2015 11:55 am

Hmm, sand tides (Florida anyway) Sounds a bit dubious to me but getting experimental evidence would seem to be straight forward. No models please.
I don’t believe in government (tax) funding generally but if they are going to do it then it’s off the wall stuff like this that might lead to something really cool. Enough “me too” studies, it’s tough to find new stuff in old places. Electric universe, Expanding Earth, X-planet. All may end up whack job hypothesis but who knows what oblique discoveries could be made.
I’d like to see paleo-microbiology. (never say impossible…though this seemingly borders on it) 40 years ago in biology books when cell parts are pictured as blobs it was easy to convince yourself that one blob could mutate to another blob. This many technology years later you look at structures that bring nutrients, expel waste and even how virus get in and multiply and Wow, It gets harder to believe that a series of chemical reactions spontaneously self replicated and/or where the hurdles get jumped to form these complicated structures. May be a mystery lost to time but boy it could shed some light.

June 17, 2015 9:45 am

Ste = site

john
Reply to  Jtom
June 17, 2015 11:03 am

just my UIRL added

June 17, 2015 11:18 am

“Jethro, can you pass me my jug of rheumatiz medicine?
My bones is acting up again. Think it’s gonna hail.”

Editor
June 17, 2015 3:19 pm

Sun (UV) exposure is a well known immune system activator – people with Lupus are advised to wear sun protection year-round and high factors when in the sun.

gh
June 18, 2015 5:19 am

Electromagnetic radiation affects melatonin production, so why not geomagnetic radiation?
http://www.feb.se/EMFguru/Research/emf-emr/EMR-Reduces-Melatonin.htm

Patrick Bols
June 18, 2015 7:00 am

interesting correlation. Makes me wonder if the unusual high incidence of MS in Colorado can be linked into solar cycles as well. As you know, we have over 300 sunny days and live at high altitude.