Friday Funny Bonus: East Coast Frozen Blizzard Edition

Cartoonist Rick McKee of the Augusta Chronicle sends this global warming related cartoon our way today. It is set for tomorrow’s edition of the paper, dated 2/21 but we get a sneak peek. Thanks Rick!


147 thoughts on “Friday Funny Bonus: East Coast Frozen Blizzard Edition

  1. We got 7″ of global warming on Monday and scheduled to get another 3″ tomorrow. In between we tied an all time low for February.
    I am going to have a $450 electric bill and I would really like some global warming around here.

    • Aw, y’all must live someplace cold. Down here in the sunny, warm South where our children aren’t supposed to see snow already we have set a string of low temperature records — both low lows and low highs — over the last week. The last one I remember was 7 F Thursday evening (froze one of my pipes, which is still thawing as it hasn’t been over freezing since) compared to 13 F as the previous record back in 1979.
      But then, this isn’t surprising. North Carolina has its own temperature records for the last century plus. Back to the late 19th century, NC’s mean temperature is absolutely flat. No warming, no cooling, although there are both warming and cooling spells visible in the record. Not even this cold stretch across February is “unprecedented”, it’s just comparatively rare.
      Now consider — we are supposed to be very close to the peak global temperature “ever” experienced by the Earth. So as it is record-setting cold here and in parts of Europe right now, it must be even warmer elsewhere to compensate. But back in 1850, the only places we had really good thermometric records of temperatures were — Europe and the midwest-to-east Americas, precisely the place where we have lots of cold now.
      Back then these places are used as proxies for extrapolation of their temperatures to the entire globe, because we had no reliable thermometers in the places that are much warmer now to compensate. But now, we have thermometers in those places.
      IMO, this is a major source of error in all of the primary estimates of global temperature. This isn’t an “urban heat island” effect (which they already don’t correct for, or correct for so that it magically further warms the present relative to the past instead of the other way around). This is a “global sampling error” that puts more and more of the weight of past temperature estimates on a smaller and smaller sampled area of the global surface, relying on some sort of interpolating scheme to tell us what the temperature was across the entire Pacific ocean back when there was almost no mid-ocean traffic except for whalers or merchants following carefully defined sea lanes providing almost totally useless measurements of SST where measurements exist at all.
      Suppose that global temperatures in the 1850’s were a mere 0.4 C warmer than e.g. HadCRUT4 asserts that they were (which is right at the bounds of its stated confidence interval, which IMO badly understates the actual probable error given that they don’t correct for either UHI or AFAICT the sparsity of samples for most of the globe back then). Then the total warming from 1850 to the present decreases from around 0.8 C to around 0.4 C, with present day probable errors of around 0.2 C. The entire case for “unprecedented” warming collapses, and the margin for CO_2 driven warming vs natural warming (which are completely mixed and coupled and hence non-separable in any view of the data in any event) shrinks substantially.
      The NC data suggests that this is far from impossible. How, exactly, can it be the case that half of the high temperature records for an entire continent were set in a single decade (the 1930’s) but it is the 2010’s underway that are the warmest years ever? Why aren’t we setting new high temperature records all of the time? How is it that we are still setting low temperature records?
      Two possibilities, of course. One very important one is that the range of supposed global warming — order of 0.5 to 1.0 C from 1850 to the present — is small compared to the year-to-year, day to day fluctuations in surface temperature measured anywhere on the planet. The temperature in NC today will vary from around 10 F (low temperature last night, a record low replacing 12 F set in 1959 but they haven’t gotten around to announcing it yet) to a high predicted to be 53 F tomorrow — a 20 C variation over two days. The range of high vs low temperatures for any given day is enormous. The low temperature record we just set is roughly 1 C colder than the coldest ever recorded here — and is just a bit larger than the ~1 C of supposed global warming from the early 1800s to the present (not observed in this state). The noise in normal weather/climate fluctuations still clearly exceeds the climactic global warming signal — whatever that signal might be. The second is that that signal, obscured in the noise that is at least 2-3 times larger if not more, might be small, and not large, as small or smaller than and possibly swamped by other secular warming or cooling trends that proceed more or less independent of CO_2 forcing. Our true ignorance of the past climate is profound, and very few locations on the globe have a thermometric record of warming from 1850 to the present, because very few locations around the globe had reliable thermometers, reliably sited, reliably measured, isolated from the effects of UHI back in 1850 through to the present, and those that there are cannot resolve a secular local climate shift unforced by CO_2 (caused, perhaps, by cutting down all of the trees and turning vast tracts of forest into farmland, caused by irrigation and the damming of rivers, caused by subtle shifts in the jet stream or variations in the patterns of things like ENSO) from “CO2 forced” local warming.
      One cannot even get good agreement between proxy-derived estimates of global temperature from more than a century ago. Or rather, one can get good agreement — by selecting the proxies you wish to include in the estimate and rejecting the rest. If you simply take the proxy at face value, the signal descends into the noise. Somehow this never is properly reflected in the error estimate from the “selected” proxies.

      • It looks like the House of Representatives will be holding hearings on the temperature adjustments NASA has been making – Any chance you can talk your local congressperson into letting you share some of your insights as testimony before the Science, Space and Technology Committee when they hold the hearings? It would be brilliant if your comments were a part of the congressional record, available for all to see for posterity…

      • rgb…”How, exactly, can it be the case that half of the high temperature records for an entire continent were set in a single decade (the 1930’s)”
        be telling people the LIA ended in 1850

      • So I take it you are not a big fan of the whole idea of a global average temperature anomaly to begin with? That’s where I’m stuck; I think it’s a chimera and the attempt to fabricate one out of completely inadequate data leads to all kinds of absurdities.

  2. But we all know climate change is “real” and that the CO2 causes all that cold and snow, just ask Obama. Do I really need the Sarc tag?

  3. Good one, Rick — thanks for sharing!
    And here is the back story … 😉
    Panel 1: Al Gore dressed in his red parka with faux fur trim waddles out his front door and heads for the train station (to make a statement…. about …. about…… about how holy he is).
    Panel 2: 2 hours later, still searching for the train station, Gore (having not taken a train since he was a little boy in Chattanooga when his Grandpa took him on the Cannonball Express Nostalgia Run) sees smoke. “The train!” Heads that direction.
    Panel 3: 10 feet from above house, realizes his error and the above panel is Gore covering over his incompetence with an inherently ridiculous statement which he sees as very clever (and righteous, to boot).

    • …and, given that 18 people have died by freezing to death this week in Tennessee, if Gore is smart he’ll knock on the door and beg to come in and be warmed by the fire.
      But the really funny thing is that all of the 24 or so people that have died from this single cold snap are, I am completely certain, going to be added to the epidemiological total number of people who have died from “Climate Change” by WHO, and that Climate Change will then miraculously be transmogrified into “Global Warming” by the media and the IPCC, so that in a couple of years they will form part of the argument that global warming is deadly and we must do some very expensive things about it.
      Hard to capture this one in a cartoon, though. It really isn’t very funny.

  4. Actually, a naturally warming world may indeed result in a deep dipping arctic loop in the jet stream. With a warmed East Pacific setting up a semi-permanent high just off the West Coast, the jet stream could become a resistant-to-change deep loop across the US, bringing arctic air into lower latitudes day after day, month after month, freezing rivers and lakes to the extent that ice jams build up and year round glaciers creep towards the land of the living. A naturally warming world does seem to precede an impending ice age. Does this mean it is necessary in order to trigger an ice age encroaching into the deeper reaches of the continental Americas?

    • PG Actually, your reasoning forces one to wonder if you are inadvertently close to what happens. There are two things that come to mind. First, these ice ages seem to be rather localized, including North America, down to subtropical latitudes, Greenland, and extreme northwest Europe, including small areas of high elevation, such as the Alps. Second, your theory sounds something like the concern of the late 1950s and early 1960s that, once the Arctic Ocean completely melts, it would be a source of winter moisture, think Buffalo NY in the winter, eventually resulting in glacier buildup over what is now the Maritimes and areas across what is now the northern Hudson Bay basin. Hmmmmmm.

      • “First, these ice ages seem to be rather localized, including North America, down to subtropical latitudes, Greenland, and extreme northwest Europe, including small areas of high elevation, such as the Alps. Second”
        Sorry, but no, ice ages are global. It gets colder and drier everywhere.

      • Though the ice does not go everywhere or even where one might expect it to be. During the last one much of Alaska was ice free. What I wonder is what the extent of the Arctic ice during the Wisconsin Glaciation looked like since even a good deal of the coast of Alaska was not under the ice sheet. Yes, I understand that the Arctic is sea ice and so such evidence must come from proxies such as drifted sediments and such. Just something that I have wondered about.

      • “During the last one much of Alaska was ice free.”
        Most of Alaska and northeastern Siberia is too dry for glaciers to form, but the mountains of Southern Alaska and the Brooks Range were glaciated.
        “What I wonder is what the extent of the Arctic ice during the Wisconsin Glaciation looked like since even a good deal of the coast of Alaska was not under the ice sheet.”
        The Barents Sea and part of the Kara Sea were covered by a large icecap, the Laptev Sea (which is very shallow) was mostly steppe-tundra. Most of the Parry Archipelago and the shallow areas around Greenland were also covered by ice-caps. The deeper parts of the Arctic Ocean was covered by sea-ice, however at least the Norwegian Sea area was partially ice-free in summer.
        The above applies to the LGM (maximum Wisconsin glaciation c. 20,000 years ago).

      • The majority of all atmospheric H2O vapor flows north/northeast from the equator and as the air temperature decreases it begins to fall as rain and then as snow.
        Thus in glacial times, that moisture will only flow as far northward as the air temperature permits it to remain in suspension.
        Like a Pacific storm blowing across the Rocky Mountains. The moisture therein will not make it very far past the Eastern slopes of the mountains.
        And thus the reason the NE US is being subjected to blizzard conditions. The moisture flowing out of the Gulf is running into the subzero Arctic temperatures and “bingo”.
        And that’s the very reason the LWG produced 1 mile thick ice atop of what is now NYC, Long Island and New England areas.
        The Late Wisconsin Glacier (LWG) covered much of Long Island with ice up to 3,300 feet thick at 18,000 years BP when it stopped advancing.

      • …you are inadvertently close to what happens…

        … or, even, maybe, advertently. Jeeze, the woman is pretty darned smart, and when one states a theory to explain what happens (which she did) it is usually the result of volitional behavior and not an accident.
        And ice ages are not exactly “highly localized” in the sense that I think that you mean. Yes, the poles get much, much colder all the way down into what is currently the temperate zone, and the temperature zone is pushed south to what is now a subtropical zone, but the tropics themselves, while cooler, still remain pretty warm. Which is a good thing, as a true “snowball earth” event where the oceans freeze to the equator would be very, very difficult to reverse.
        However, the Pliestocene record shows the low temperatures of the dominant glacial eras deepening pretty systematically and the span of glaciation vs interglacial lengthening to the current 100,000 year cycle and 10-12 C variation peak interglacial to trough of glaciation. That’s serious stuff, and not “local” by any stretch of the imagination. The overall oceans cooled enough in the Wisconsin that atmospheric CO_2 dropped to around 180 ppm, which is right at the mass extinction point where many plant species can no longer respire at this partial pressure. We do not know enough about the full CO_2 cycle to be able to explain this, or to understand the positive and negative feedbacks associated with it. What we do know is that atmospheric CO_2 is (or was) at or close to geological lows compared to almost the entire time that life has existed on Earth in the last interglacial, and that life is much, much happier at or above 400 ppm than it is at 200 ppm. Who knows, maybe we WILL moderate the next glacial episode. If so, it’s a good thing as a real glaciation would kill literally billions of people in almost no time, and trigger major global wars as the world’s breadbaskets no longer sustained the growing of e.g. wheat.

      • tty: no it gets colder AND is mixed with precipitable water vapor. Cold alone will not create an ice age. And you need the opposite of dry. You have to have a source of wet evaporated water vapor to create the building blocks of glaciers. The likely source of that water vapor is from a large warm body of water and an atmospheric circulation that brings that water vapor into contact with a cold Arctic loop.

      • Can I just point out that a warming world will always precede an Ice Age.
        For any given period, say 100 years, the temperature will either be warming or cooling. If it’s cooling then it’s already descending into the Ice Age, so the only possible temperature trend before an Ice Age sets in is a warming trend. 😉
        The longer term trend in a decent interglacial will be down before the final catastrophic cooling. (Just as it is now.)

      • @ rgbatduke February 21, 2015 at 8:51 am

        Which is a good thing, as a true “snowball earth” event where the oceans freeze to the equator would be very, very difficult to reverse.</blockquote
        I’ve pondered that problem several times and decided …. “maybe not so”.
        Given a “snowball earth” situation the atmospheric H2O vapor would be extremely low, thus no clouds, rain or additional snowfall.
        But, volcanic activity would not be hampered and thus erupting volcanoes in the equatorial zone would be depositing lava and ash atop the ice which would cause it to begin melting (or sublimating) which would eventually “trigger” a per se … snowball earth “spring breakup” of the equatorial ice ….. which would then start eroding toward the higher latitudes.

    • Maybe Pamela, but we 7 decaders have seen this all before. The news talks about “records” being set, but then they say “coldest in 30 years”. That’s hardly a record for many of us.
      Course that “coldest in Washington in 125 years” looked cool. But still, coldest in 125 years – which infers it may have been colder in the late 1800’s when my great grand parents were roaming this continent in parkas. Well actually, exploration records of the time indicate it was much colder in general but there appears to be a lot of cold records in the 30’s when summers were hot. Mother Earth seems to make allowances.
      Quel surprise.
      This is now out of date but interesting.

      • Hi, Pamela,
        Long time no “connect.” You KNOW what I am wondering about. Any “news?”
        Hope you are at peace about the situation, if not JOYFUL (as I long for for you).
        Take care,

      • Wayne said:
        “But still, coldest in 125 years – which infers it may have been colder in the late 1800’s …”
        The “Late 1800s” is a time in which we were still in the Little Ice Age, a period which started roughly ~1200ad and lasted until about 1870, when this rather short period of recent warming actually began. We pretty much know for a fact most temps prelate 1800s were lower. The 1200-1900 period is marked by a couple of attempts at rising temperatures only to see a fall back down, sometimes farther than others.
        That LIA period is something we may want to take another look into though, as it is a period of great drought in the Californiia area. Also, temps ~1400 seem to have rose to levels not that unlike more recent marks, then the LIA continued as if the spike was merely a tease.
        The sun was unbelievably active the last ~100 years, and we saw steady cycling ocean activity. During the LIA though, the sun was quiet and there was an almost uninterrupted run of NegativeCycle/LaNina. Ice core temps show a 1000 year temp spike at ~2000, ~1000, ~0000, and even prior. Its possible these spikes are the result of a repeating sun activity event, activity which affects the ocean cycles, but outside of this repeating spike…
        …we could still be in the Little Ice Age at this time.

    • Well, if you look at geological temperature records, you’d be right on that score. Accelerating ‘global warming’ triggers the next ice age fairly regularly each 100,000 years or so…..

    • Indeed hmmmm…. my understanding is a warming or cooling world becomes evident at the poles. If the world is cooling the increase in temperature CHANGE between equator and poles will result in increased wind speeds creating more unsettled weather. If the world is warming there is a reduction in temperature change between equator and poles reducing wind speeds and creating a more settled and equitable climate. I want global warming. Please. I’m too old for this cold.

    • How much CO2 is over the Pacific Ocean, and how much over and New York?
      What is the relationship between CO2 and the stratospheric polar vortex?

    • Did see an article once that showed the arctic ice free in summer during ice ages. Your idea may be close to the truth. The global warmanista’s keep preaching about the arctic warming, if it is true it is the beginning of the end for north america. Recent analysis of ice cores have shown abrupt drops in temperature in only a few years of 15C. Global warming is not and shall never be a problem.

    • Pamela
      I think it was Lamb that noted that some years ago and it is reasonably easy to see in the old temp records

    • Hi Pamela,
      Hope you are enjoying the GW outside — it’s up to 28 F here. My hot water line finally just unfroze for the first time in three days, so I can run the dishwasher, hooray! And I think it will be a bit of a race to see if its starts to precipitate today before or after it warms up to freezing, that is, whether or not the precip will start falling as solid onto hard frozen ground or liquid to melt the residual ice. I keep looking for snowflakes outside of my window.
      I think part of the answer to your question comes from two things. One is the effect of fully freezing the great lakes — this actually reduces the local humidity in the NW to SE stream, and water vapor is the dominant GHG by a large factor, so nighttime cold temperatures plunge even without air movement in the uber-dry air, which maintains the snow and ice and provides the transition to snow when warmer wetter air comes up from the south as now is occurring and mixes in. This in turn provides a high albedo and large latent heat barrier and further stretches out the cold as we saw this week in NC.
      But the more interesting question is what this is doing to SSTs in the Gulf Stream. As the jet stream carries these super-low temperatures out over the ocean, one expects the sea surface temperatures to drop. At the moment, the usual warm “plume” of the GS is all but absent in the SST color charts for the North Atlantic on WU, although SSTs still rise into the mid-60s a hundred miles off of the NC coast. There is a big open question as to just how stable the GS is and what sorts of alterations of surface temperature would suffice to cause the thermohaline forcings to “switch” it discretely to e.g. a mode where it curves around (say) 500 miles further south than it usually is when it hits Europe. That would put Greenland, Iceland, England, and all of Northern Europe into a stagnant model where equatorial heat is no longer transported up by the GS. This could in turn put the whole region even more into the deep freeze in winter for an extended period of time. One then would have the opportunity to find out just how strong the feedbacks are in the system — more heat would be confined to the tropics, but warming the tropics a small amount would have little effect on the local climate even as it increased the efficiency of global heat loss from the tropics. The heat not being transported north, however, would leave the north getting successively colder, and the possibility of a feedback loop emerges, where the colder the north gets, the colder and weaker the GS gets (and the further south it hits) and the warmer the equatorial waters get to compensate. More tropical moisture mixing with bitterly cold arctic air and one could get a positive feedback glacial refrigerator going.
      There is some evidence that this is very close to what has happened several times in the comparatively recent past, inferred from the Greenland ice cores, which show very sudden transitions from warm/stable to rapid glaciation cold, transitions that are difficult to explain EXCEPT by discrete variations in heat transport, as atmospheric chemistry etc simply doesn’t vary that rapidly even with human help. This is one of several possible explanations for e.g. the Younger Dryas and/or the LIA. Thermohaline transport of oceanic heat is clearly one of the primary determinants of global climate and is one of the least predictable or understood. THT circulates all the way around the globe, a great immersed river of ocean water of varying salinity and temperature, rising here and plunging there, in a thousand year journey that eventually feeds the climate from decades and centuries ago into the changing climate state of today.

      • “But the more interesting question is what this is doing to SSTs in the Gulf Stream.” Since the heat content of the ocean greatly exceeds that of the atmosphere, I would suggest the colder air mass is exerting a very very small affect on the Gulf Stream.

    • Forgive me Robert Frost
      Some say the world will end in fire
      Some say in ice
      But neither group will prove a liar
      It ends in ice that follows fire
      And so the world will perish twice
      A strange dichotomy of fate
      For in destruction fire and ice
      Apart are great
      And would suffice
      Eugene WR Gallun

    • Is dipping jet stream strong negative feedback mechanism? There is lots of land in northern hemisphere. If jet stream dips more of this land is covered in snow for longer periods of time hence we have more albedo.

  5. I recall that there was (is?) a law in Missoula, Montana against fireplace use. I don’t recollect the details, but apparently they had squads of students, activists, and other busybodies prowling the streets to detect miscreants. I know they have a smog problem there, but really… (Anyone have the skinny on this?)

    • inMAGICn, Missoula sits inside a narrow, deep valley enclosed on all sides by high mountains. Each winter, Arctic air incursions frequently fill the valley with cold air, causing inversions which persists for several weeks, several times each winter. These conditions trap fine particulates. The city has restricted wood burning whenever the particulate count exceeds certain preset limits for at least 30 years. When I lived there during the 80’s, during periods when particulate counts were high, wood burning was allowed only using high efficiency wood stoves. (Old fashioned, dirty wood stoves were not restricted during periods of low particulate counts.) Enforcement was accomplished simply by observance of visible smoke issuing from chimneys resulting in a ticket.
      Nowadays, only EPA certified wood stoves are granted installation permits.
      The concern was/is only emission of particulates, not of CO2.

      • Thanks Steve. In the 80’s I was going between Spokane and Anaconda and got the info from local news,. I knew it was particulates, but I still had that frisson thinking of smoke patrols and chimney police. I did HAZMAT at the time and knew the basic reasons, but still…

  6. Global Warming is not Global Warming. {A is not A}
    Thus we have the new theory of logic for the observationally challenged scientists looking for extending their grant flow.

  7. I’m just glad that the thermal insulating blanket in the ceiling / walls of my residence managed to “trap” some heat back in December…. Turned the furnace on once on Christmas day and filled the house with enough “trapped” heat to last the whole winter…. And boy oh boy did I save a bundle on heating costs…
    “Trapping Heat” try it, it’s not just for climate scientists anymore…..
    I’m just afraid that I won’t be able to “shoo” all that of that trapped heat out of the house come June, maybe a bunch of solar powered fans will do the trick ???
    /sarc off
    Cheers, KevinK

    • I keep about 0.06% of the air in my house c02. It is great at trapping heat, cuts my electricy cost in half.

    • Nice lyrics, lenbilan. Here’s my effort (to the tune of Greg Lake’s ‘I believed in Father Christmas’:
      They said that the world was warming / They said we were gonna fry / Take heed of your carbon footprint / Repent for the end is nigh
      And I believed in Global Warming / I fell for a big fat lie / But listen up folks / It’s only a hoax / A joke and a pig in a poke.

  8. Attn: Mr. R. McKee
    You can expect to hear from Mr. Bill Nye, the science guy, correcting you in your use of the term “Global Warming” … with weather this cold, he’ll tell you that the term to use is “climate change” … can’t have us peasants getting the wrong idea ….

    • That just convinces me, yet again, that we skeptics should agree to standardise on the use of the term “global warming”. Doesn’t that just emphasise the stupidity, every time we hear it?

  9. I am trying to imagine next winter.
    Average planetary temperature drops 0.2C, there is media discussion concerning the drop in temperature. Same winter pattern in the US as this winter, record cold temperatures and record snowfall.
    Congressional investigation finds evidence of widespread temperature and sea level data tampering. Sea level has been dropping. There are whistleblowers. Unlike the IRS investigation the I decline to answer the question as the answer might be incriminating will not fly.
    Republicans To Investigate Climate Data Tampering By NASA
    (Come on man. If there has been tampering of the climate data and sea level data the Democrats will/should be interested also.)

    Ha ha!
    Love is in the air
    Everywhere I look[s] around
    Love is in the air
    Every sight[s] and every sound[s]
    And I don’t know if I’m being foolish
    Don’t know if I’m being wise
    But it’s something that I must believe in [AGW, or Tomás de Torquemada at UN IPCC Will Have a Shit Fit]
    And it’s there when I look[s] in[to] your eyes [and I realize….]
    Love is in the air
    In the whisper of the trees
    Love is in the air
    In the thunder of the sea[s]
    And I don’t know if I’m just dreaming
    Don’t know if I feel sane
    But it’s something that I must believe in
    And it’s there when you call out my name [1-800-…]
    Love is in the air [What is the foul Smells?]
    Oh oh oh
    Love is in the air [Does Hes must keep on saying that foul verses?]
    Oh oh oh
    Ha ha

  11. We have met a person who works for an air regulator in our state who has spent the last several years working hard to outlaw fireplaces for “air quality”. Now the interesting thing is their focus is ONLY fireplaces, in the winter time. When asked about possibly regulating fire pits in the summer time (which impact the air quality far worse, at least in our local area, they say their only concern are fireplaces and wood stoves. Seems a bit odd that only that which allows a form of energy independence and back up in cases of thermal emergency draws this person’s ire and attention, while that which creates the actual problem of air quality does not.
    I’m not saying anything here, but then again maybe I am.

    • We have the same do-gooders here. They think a few fireplace fires are a bigger threat than millions of cars on local freeways.
      Before civilization, there were constant fires that never went out. There are still coal seam fires that burn 24/7/365/century. But homeowners who would like to have a cheerful fire on a cold night are demonized.
      It’s the same mind-set that wants to ban plastic bags at grocery stores. IMHO they should be put in straitjackets and locked up for their own good.

      • the bag bans are a laugh
        so we just go BUY bin liners insead of recycling the others. stops/saves exactly?? ZERO
        and those woven nylon ones? far more plastic weight and while they disintegrate I doubt the residues very gaia turns to dust that goes everywhere.

  12. Unless he’s burning coal in that fireplace… that red suit cartoon guy must be from GreenPeace where they don’t understand the carbon cycle.

  13. “A second wave of cold air is forecast to drop southeastward from Canada during the middle and latter part of the week.
    While the cold waves will not be quite as extreme as that already experienced this month, they will prolong winter or delay spring weather, depending on your perspective.
    “Temperatures will average 20-30 degrees below normal over a huge area from the southern Plains to New England during the first blast and then 10-20 degrees below normal over a similar area during the second blast,” Lundberg said.
    The first week or so of March will trend less cold, but temperatures may still average slightly below normal in part of the Midwest and much of the East.””

  14. We’ve had only one round of snow so far but the temps—soooo low (for us, anyway). Something interesting I read in the discussion concerning low temps Fri morning at Wakefield (NWS AKQ site). Their thermometer hit -1F but the ASOS instrument there read 3F and that will be the ‘official temp’. I found it interesting that it was mentioned—a 4 degree difference!

  15. Seen photos in UK newspapers, including one of a frozen Niagara Falls. You have our sympathies!
    Slightly off thread, the Jet Stream is a major influence on our weather and I have been able to forecast the weather with some accuracy by looking at the Jet Stream forecast. 10:00 am here temperature just above freezing but still frosty, beautiful blue skies, not a cloud in sight nor any mention of climate change from the BBC, strange but true!

  16. Well! Mechanicsville, VA, 12 miles NE of Richmond, is nothing like Boston, but we do have our first 5.5″ of snow of the season on the ground. It fell as 5.5″ on Monday night and Tuesday early morning, and it is still there. No melting or thawing except on streets where plowing has exposed the blacktop. So far this week the temp has gone below the RIC (airport) all-time record low three consecutive times, Thursday, Friday, and today. The month so far is averaging 10.4 degrees F below the 30-year RIC average (or “below normal” as some people say). And yes, I know that RIC suffers from UHI, while Mechanicsville doesn’t (or not as much)–but ten degrees’ difference?
    What is normal for temperature? Answering that question would imply that we know what the temp is supposed to be, just as we know human body temperature is normally about 98.6 and normal eyesight is 20/20. Of course, we can’t know that about weather or climate. Since rain often lowers ambient temperature, does that mean a rainy day in summer is abnormal? Actually, an “average” day in terms of mean temperature is not common. I just checked my record for the past year and a half and found eleven (11) “average” days since the end of October 2013, which means the other 450 or so days in that span were either above average or below average in mean temperature. I do get tired of hearing weathermen on TV tell me that the temp outside is “warmer [or colder] than it should be this time of year.” Who gets to tell us what it “should” be?

  17. As also mentioned above, it would appear that the Senate will hold an inquiry into how NASA handles global surface temperature adjustments. Smith v. Heller? Will be interesting.
    Heller/Goddard seems to think that TOBS is a small part of the adjustment issue.
    “TOBS is actually only a small portion of the Final minus Raw adjustments, and is not due to the time when they “take the temperature.” That is misdirection by NCDC intended to confuse people. It is based on the time when the thermometer is reset. Min/max thermometers record the highest and lowest temperatures since the last time they were reset.” Could this be right and, therefore, the time bomb?
    This could be the confrontation of the Century in Climate Change. Mosher will probably appear shortly to try and demolish Heller/Goddard & Co.

    • Well, I think calling it ‘data tampering’ is the wrong approach. I don’t seriously believe that NASA is arbitrarily adjusting temperatures upward & downward. I do think that they are involved in a ‘cognitive bias’ in that the ‘adjustment’ methodology they have developed favors their particular ‘belief’ about what temperatures are doing. If the methodology reports increasing temperatures, it is what they ‘expect’ so they don’t look to ensure that the methodology is correct. On the other hand, if it reports temperatures falling, then they are sparked to think “there must be something wrong” and they modify the methodology. They believe that temperatures are rising so they can’t see a bias towards warming in the adjustments (if any exists).
      When I was a programmer (not a terribly good one, which is why I ended up in software project management – those who can’t do, manage) we always had someone else check our code when looking for a ‘bug’ in our code. It was a well known fact that the programmer was ‘too close’ to the code to readily see his own mistake, we ‘believed’ it was correct, therefore we would have great difficulty finding the error. Another programmer, who had no ‘cognitive bias’ and no stake in whether the code was correct or not, usually saw the problem very quickly.
      I think that is what may be going on at NASA, not purposeful deceit. They would probably benefit from an ‘independent audit’ of the adjustment methodology, although, given the current ‘politicized’ state of the Climate Science arena, that will be had to do.
      Calling it ‘data tampering’ sets up an adversarial atmosphere from the start and isn’t helpful to finding the truth of the matter.

      • If you read essay When Data Isn’t in ebook Blowing Smoke, you will probably reach a different conclusion. There can be no question that many of the changes were deliberate, and progressive greater over time. Not just Heller’s stuff, and not just the US.

  18. Leftist Eco-wackos don’t need to be logical, rational or right, they just need to beliiiiieve their in their delusions passionately…
    Passion is the new logic….

  19. In a piece in the UK Daily Telegraph which starts with Yellowstone bears coming out of hibernation several weeks early, the card-carrying CAGW-believer Geoffrey Lean says:
    “No wonder the bears are confused. Temperatures in the park have been some 10 degrees higher than usual, in what has been one of the warmest winters recorded across the US. Although there have been snowstorms in New England recently, the snowpack in California is only a fifth of average, boding ill for this year’s water supplies for the drought-hit state.”
    Not sure which planet he’s on.

  20. We are already 1.2 meters above average snowfall here. Been out helping clear snow off the roofs of the old folks, and filling their wood boxes. I have noticed that the snow seems less dense and perhaps drier than usual? A lot of people have those wood pellet stoves and are hard pressed to get fuel. Glad I cut down 4 extra cord of wood last spring.

  21. There seems Washington DC is producing a lot of “heated’ CO2, but it’s not helping cold snap.
    (I might as well get my jabs in now before the Obama’s “net neutrality” takes affect.)

  22. If you just looked at events of the past 100 years you’d think you were seeing a re-run of the early 1970s, when cold and snow meant that it was cold and snowy. Now add alarming AGW due to CO2 green-house effects and what explanatory power does it bring? Mary Tyler-Moore would just frown a moment and say, “Are you’re kidding?”

    • This guy is incoherent. It makes no sense to “oppose models”, or their predictions. If you want to debate how to respond to the predicted threats, that’s fine, but don’t oppose scientific evidence. “Right wing philosopher” says it all, I guess.

      • Wow, Barry, that guy may be a kook (didn’t watch the vid),
        but, YOU are REALLY mixed up.
        The failed IPCC models’ “predictions” are not “scientific evidence.”

      • No, Mr. Molyneux makes complete sense, Barry. (You must be an apologist for the “Climate Change” cabal and plugged your ears for the whole 15:42.)
        Since “climate models” don’t model reality (they obviously deviate from real-world observation), they’re pretty useless. To believe otherwise is what’s unscientific!
        Funny how you’d accuse Mr. Molyneux of being a “Right wing philosopher” when he’s actually RIGHT.
        You are dishonest when you write an inaccurate review with the intent of getting people to avoid listening to his scathing rebuke of your climate change religion.

      • By the way, I watched the video. I recommend everybody spend 15 minutes and see why Barry hates the truth.

      • “Barry” is the “other” handle for Pres. B. O. Everyone just keep that in mind as you consider his ramblings. StreetCred nailed it… Maybe “Barry” gets grant $$$ from all of us, via the tax-and-spend processes (another nightmare “model” Mr. B. O. loves). BTW, I use a charcoal grill to cook chicken, steak, and turkey… all yummy and surely encrusted with CO2 stuff, and likely NOT included within the IPCC modeling.

  23. No doubt about it, it’s been a brutal winter here in NH. Aside from a freakish pre-Thanksgiving nor’easter that dumped a foot or more of heavy, wet snow, causing massive power outages, it was relatively snowless until well into January. However, we had plenty of cold weather which kept the snow cover around from that first storm. Now, folks have been busy raking, shoveling, or however else, getting snow off of roofs, especially with yet one more storm (thankfully, relatively small) arriving later today and tonight.

  24. Thanks for the cartoon version of my back yard. Another 15cms tonight. I agree this is like the 1970s. Did some one hit the re-set button?

  25. At -5 degrees this morning on the SOUTHERN New England coast, I’m glad my fireplace is contributing to both indoor and global warming.

  26. Very cold weather is now gripping Eastern and Central North America, all the way down to Florida.
    My friend Joe d’Aleo and colleagues correctly predicted this very cold winter just like they did last winter – unlike Environment Canada and the USA National Weather Service who incorrectly predicted two relatively warm winters and utterly failed last winter and this winter too.
    It is notable that our government weather services not only failed to predict the past two winters with any accuracy, but also apparently failed to learn from their past mistakes.
    This is a serious issue because many more people die during winter than during summer. The real danger to our society is cold weather, and yet too many people in and out of government and politics are obsessed the false threat of alleged global warming.
    Background Information – Europe – I have no data for Canada or the USA
    Many more people die of winter cold than summer heat – there is a factor called the “Coefficient of Seasonal Variation in Mortality”, also called the “Excess WINTER Mortality Rate”. This is the greater percentage of people who die in the four winter months (December thru March) than in the warmer eight months of the year. In Europe, the Excess WINTER Mortality Rate ranges from a low of about 10% in Scandinavian countries that adapt well to the cold, to about 20% in the UK, and up to about to 30% in Portugal. In England and Wales that amounts to about 25,000 excess WINTER deaths per year. In all of Europe these excess winter deaths of real people in an AVERAGE winter probably exceed one-quarter of a million souls.
    Excess Winter Mortality in Europe: a Cross Country Analysis Identifying Key Risk Factors
    Table 1 – Coefficient of seasonal variation in mortality (CSVM) in EU-14 (mean, 1988–97)

    Country    CSVM 95% CI
    Austria    0.14 (0.12 to 0.16)
    Belgium    0.13 (0.09 to 0.17)
    Denmark    0.12 (0.10 to 0.14)
    Finland    0.10 (0.07 to 0.13)
    France     0.13 (0.11 to 0.15)
    Germany    0.11 (0.09 to 0.13)
    Greece     0.18 (0.15 to 0.21)
    Ireland    0.21 (0.18 to 0.24)
    Italy      0.16 (0.14 to 0.18)
    Luxembourg 0.12 (0.08 to 0.16)
    Netherlands 0.11 (0.09 to 0.13)
    Portugal   0.28 (0.25 to 0.31)
    Spain      0.21 (0.19 to 0.23)
    UK         0.18 (0.16 to 0.20)
    Mean       0.16 (0.14 to 0.18)

    [Changed table to text mode with html “pre” format .mod]

  27. Just back from a panic stricken neighbors place. We moved 5 feet of snow off his roof. Great hot chocolate flavoured with baileys. Love East Coast hospitality. Working on sliding hill for the local kids. All of whom were not supposed to know what snow was. They are all mad because the promised warming never happened and are now getting snow duties,

    • Hey sully,
      “Good fences make good neighbours.”
      – Robert Frost
      “Good snow-shovelers make even better neighbours.”
      – Jack Frost
      Thanks for being a good neighbour. 🙂

  28. Comment:
    In an article published in the Calgary Herald in 2002, I (we) predicted a return to naturally-caused global cooling by about 2020-2030. In 2002, Solar Cycle 24 was incorrectly predicted by NASA to be robust and it is clearly a dud, so our prediction could be about a decade too late.
    A revision or our prediction based on a weak SC24 would start natural global cooling by about 2010-2020 – any time now.
    Doug Stanglin and Doyle Rice, USA TODAY 4:56 p.m. EST February 20, 2015
    A bitter, record-setting cold air mass kept its icy grip on much of the central and eastern U.S. on Friday, bringing subzero temperatures and showing no sign of relief next week for winter-weary residents from Florida to New England.
    At least 72 record low temperatures were set Friday morning, all the way from Marquette, Mich. (minus 26 degrees) to Miami (42 degrees).
    In Minnesota, the community of Cotton posted an overnight low of minus 42 degrees, without the wind-chill factor, the National Weather Service reports. In western Pennsylvania, temperatures dipped to minus 18 degrees in some areas.
    “An eddy of the polar vortex is leading to the coldest weather of this recent cold spell, creating a deep layer of bitterly cold air, along with gusty winds,” said meteorologist David Hamrick of the weather service’s Weather Prediction Center.
    Lynchburg, Va., plummeted to minus 11 degrees Friday morning, setting a new all-time record low, the Weather Channel reported. Flint, Mich., tied its all-time record low
    Washington’s Reagan National Airport registered a 6-degree low on Friday, beating a 119-year-old record low for the day of 8 degrees. New York City’s Central Park dipped to 2 degrees, breaking a 1950 mark of 7 degrees.
    Baltimore’s airport posted a low of 2 degrees, besting the previous record of 4 degrees set in 1979.
    Amazingly, at 25 degrees, it was warmer in Anchorage than it was in Atlanta, where the temperature bottomed out at 15 degrees this morning.
    Commuters wait at the Arlington Heights, Ill., Metra train station as a cold snap took hold in the suburbs of Chicago on Feb. 19, 2015. (Photo: Joe Lewnard, Daily Herald, AP)
    After subzero overnight lows from Illinois to western Virginia, highs on Friday are expected to struggle to get out of the teens, according to the weather service.
    Nor is winter ready to give up for the year as February comes to a close. The weather service says the latest band of Arctic air could plunge parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic into deep freezes that haven’t been felt since the mid-1990s.
    As the cold air mass settles in, more moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is forecast to set the stage for what the weather service calls an “ice event” across portions of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys into the early weekend.
    People from New England to the Gulf Coast are coping with some of the coldest temperatures their regions have seen in about 20 years. (Feb. 20) AP
    Sleet and freezing rain is expected from Missouri to northern Georgia, changing over to rain Saturday. On the East Coast, snow will change to a wintry mix and eventually to rain for many areas of the mid-Atlantic.
    “We are very concerned about the added weight triggering a new round of roof collapses in New England and parts of upstate New York,” says AccuWeather Meteorologist Mark Paquette,
    A second wave of cold air is expected to flow out of Canada to the southeast at midweek, bring another round of low temperatures, although not as extreme as this week. says the waves of cold air will “prolong winter or delay spring weather, depending on your perspective.”
    Temperatures in the first week of March will be less cold, but still slightly below normal in parts of the Midwest and much of the East, according to senior meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.
    Contributing: Associated Press

  29. Everyone go open your window and breath deeply in and out several times. The extra CO2 will warm things up in no time flat.
    Of course with all the hot air from D.C one wonders how snow is possible at all anymore.

  30. {thank you Rick McKee of the Augusta Chronicle for the cartoon}
    The person in the red winter coat outside says to the person in the snowed in house, “It’s like you don’t even care that your fireplace is contributing to GLOBAL WARMING”.
    Imagine this is the rest of the cartoon’s story. The guy in the snowed in house looks out at the person in the red winter coat while saying on his cell phone, “Hello, Is this Brian Williams? Well, i’ve got a man outside shouting a fabulized claim, do you want to investigate it?”
    Anyone have other versions of THE REST OF THE STORY?

  31. As I’ve been reading the comments, I’ve noticed very little mention of the western United States. We are having very warm temperatures for this time of year. I live in Utah where it should be pretty cold right now, but I did my shopping errands today in a short sleeve T-shirt. Our snow pack is very depleted. What this means is that while you folks focus on cold places, it is pretty much the same thing as when the warming alarmists point out all the really warm spots. This doesn’t do much for our credibility. We won’t know for years whether this is the beginning of a cooling trend or not. My inclination is to figure that this is just weather, not climate. Perhaps someone can see how it averages out.

    • Mr. Mitchell,
      Re: “We won’t know for years whether this is the beginning of a cooling trend or not.”
      For eighteen years there has been no warming.
      CO2 up — warming stopped.
      AGW game over.
      Rejoice! #(:))

    • “What this means is that while you folks focus on cold places, it is pretty much the same thing as when the warming alarmists point out all the really warm spots.
      I agree, it’s weather, not climate.
      But it’s just so delicious when the weather doesn’t cooperate with the alarmist narrative! 🙂

  32. I’ve got a man outside
    shouting if I darn burn my house for heating I’ll be taxed for ‘unsustainable loss of snowwhite albedo.’
    – You miss an inmate? –

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