
UPDATE: A cartoon from Josh drawn about a year ago has been added. See below.
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
The United Kingdom Independence Party, the only climate-skeptical party in Britain, has scored a crushing victory in Sunday’s elections to the Duma of the European Union.
Britain’s most true-believing party, the Greens, won one or two new seats, but the second most true-believing party and junior partner in the Children’s Coalition that currently governs at Westminster, the “Liberal” “Democrats” (who are neither), were all but wiped off the map.
The European Duma, like that of Tsar Nicholas II in Russia, has no real power. It cannot even bring forward a Bill, for that vital probouleutic function is the sole right of the unelected Kommissars – the official German name for the tiny, secretive clique of cuisses-de-cuir who wield all real power in the EU behind closed doors.
The Kommissars also – bizarrely – have the power to set aside votes of the elected Duma, which doesn’t even get to vote in the first place without their permission. Democratic it isn’t.
The outgoing Hauptkommissar, Manuel Barroso, is a Maoist – and, like nearly all of the Kommissars, a naïve true-believer in the hard-Left climate-extremist Party Line that is turning Europe into a bankrupt, unconsidered economic backwater.
In the Duma recently (where the Kommissars, though unelected, may sit and speak but not vote), Barroso said there was a “99% consensus” among scientists about the climate. Actually 0.5%, Manuel, baby: read Legates et al., 2013.
Because the Duma is a parliament of eunuchs, UKIP’s couple of dozen members of the European Parliament won’t be able to make very much difference to anything except their bank balances – they all become instant multi-millionaires.
However, after opposition to the EU’s militantly anti-democratic structure and to the mass immigration that has been forced upon Britain as a direct result, UKIP’s third most popular policy with the voters is its opposition to the official EU global-warming story-line.
It was I, as deputy leader of the party in 2009/10, who had the honor of introducing UKIP’s climate policy to the Press. Their reports, as usual, were sneeringly contemptuous. Now the sneers are beginning to falter.
The leadership thought long and hard before adopting the policy. I said we could not lose by adopting a policy that had the twin merits of being true and being otherwise unrepresented in British politics. Private polling confirmed this, so the policy was adopted.
For interest, here – in full – is UKIP’s climate policy as I promulgated it in 2010:
“Global warming: is it just a scam?
“The IPCC’s 1990 First Assessment Report made wildly-exaggerated projections of how global temperature would rise. Yet for the past 15 years [now nigh on 18 years] there has been no statistically-significant “global warming” at all, as a leading IPCC scientist has now admitted. For nine years there has been a rapid cooling trend. None of the IPCC’s computer models predicted that.
“The 1995 Second Assessment Report, in the scientists’ final draft, said five times there was no discernible human influence on climate. Yet one man rewrote the report, replacing all five statements with a single statement saying precisely the opposite. He later said IPCC processes permitted this single-handed rewrite, which has been the official policy ever since.
“The 2001 Third Assessment Report contained a graph contradicting the First Report by falsely abolishing the medieval warm period, which, like the Roman, Minoan, and Holocene optima, and 7500 of the past 11,400 years, and each of the four previous interglacial warm periods, and most of the past 600 million years, was warmer than today. Some 800 scientists from more than 460 institutions in 42 countries over 25 years have written peer-reviewed, learned papers providing evidence that the Middle Ages were warmer than today.
“The 2007 Fourth Assessment Report’s key conclusion that, with 90% confidence, most of the warming since 1950 was manmade is disproven by measurements. A natural decline in global cloud cover from 1983-2001 (Pinker et al., 2005) caused most of that warming.
“The IPCC’s false “90% confidence” estimate was not reached by scientists: it was decided by a show of hands among political representatives who had few scientific qualifications.
“A lead author of the Fourth Assessment Report admits that, “to influence governments”, he knowingly inserted a falsehood to the effect that the Himalayas will be ice-free in 25 years.
“Many other false conclusions of the IPCC were authored not by scientists but by campaigning journalists, members of environmental propaganda groups or IPCC bureaucrats.
“The first table of figures in the IPCC’s 2007 Report did not add up. Bureaucrats had inserted it, overstating tenfold 40 years’ contributions of Greenland and Antarctic ice to sea-level rise.
“The IPCC’s conclusion that CO2 has a major warming effect is false. In the pre-Cambrian era 750 million years ago the Earth was an ice-planet, with glaciers at sea level at the Equator: yet atmospheric CO2 concentration was 300,000 ppmv – 700 times today’s 388 ppmv. If CO2 had the large warming effect the IPCC imagines, the glaciers could not have been there.
“In the Cambrian era 550 million years ago, CO2 concentration was 7000 ppmv (IPCC, 2001): yet that was when the first calcite corals achieved algal symbiosis. In the Jurassic era 175 million years ago, CO2 concentration was 6000 ppmv (IPCC, 2001): yet that was when the first aragonite corals came into existence. While the oceans continue to run over rocks, they must remain pronouncedly alkaline. Ocean “acidification” is a chemical impossibility.
“Many peer-reviewed papers (e.g. Douglass et al., 2004, 2008, 2009; Schwartz, 2007; Monckton, 2008; Lindzen & Choi, 2009) show that the IPCC has exaggerated the warming effect of greenhouse gases up to 7-fold. Without that exaggeration, there is no climate crisis.
“The economics of global warming
“Millions have died of starvation, or are menaced by it, because the world’s governments have unwisely trusted the UN’s climate panel (the IPCC) and the self-serving national scientific institutions that have profiteered by parroting its now-discredited findings.
“The World Bank has reported that three-quarters of the doubling of world food prices that occurred two years ago is directly attributable to the global dash for biofuels.
“Herr Ziegler, the UN’s Right-to-Food Rapporteur, has said that while millions are starving the diversion of farmland from food to biofuels is “a crime against humanity”.
“Lord Stern’s discredited report on climate economics unrealistically adopted a near-zero discount rate for appraisal of “investment” in carbon-dioxide mitigation and doubled the IPCC’s already-exaggerated high-end estimate of the warming to be expected from CO2. Without these grave economic and scientific errors, no case for spending any taxpayers’ money on mitigation of CO2 emissions can be made.
“A carbon-trading scheme that sets a low price for the right to emit a ton of carbon dioxide is merely a tax and does not affect the climate, while a high price drives our jobs and industries overseas to countries which emit more CO2 than us, raising mankind’s global CO2 footprint. The chief profiteers from carbon trading are banks.
“A steelworks at Redcar is closing with the loss of 1700 jobs, because the European carbon-trading scheme has made it uneconomic. Precisely the same steelworks will be re-erected in India. Net effect on the climate: nil. Net effect on British workers’ jobs: catastrophic.
“If we were to shut down the entire global carbon economy altogether, and go back to the Stone Age but without even the right to light a carbon-emitting fire in our caves, it would take 41 years to forestall just 1 C° of “global warming”. The cost is disproportionate.
“Even if the IPCC were right in imagining that a doubling of CO2 concentration will cause as much as 3.26 ± 0.69 C° of “global warming”, adaptation as and if necessary would be orders of magnitude cheaper and more cost-effective than attempting to limit CO2 emissions.
“Global warming gurus humbled
“Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, who chairs IPCC’s climate science panel, is a railroad engineer. The Charity Commission is investigating TERI-Europe, a charity of which Pachauri and his predecessor as IPCC science chairman were trustees. The charity filed false accounts three years running, under-declaring its income by many hundreds of thousands of pounds.
“Dr. “Phil” Jones, director of the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, on which the IPCC has relied for its global temperature record, has stepped down after a whistleblower published emails between him and other leading IPCC scientists revealing manipulation, concealment and intended destruction of scientific results.
“Dr. Jones has admitted that his Unit has lost much of the data on which the IPCC relies. The “Climategate” files show his Unit received millions in increased taxpayer funding so that it could investigate “global warming”.
“Al Gore has made hundreds of millions from “global warming”, and may become the first climate-change billionaire. In 2007 a High Court judge found nine errors in his film serious enough to require 77 pages of corrective guidance to be sent to every school in England.
“On Gore’s notion that sea level would imminently rise by 20 feet (6.1 m), the judge ruled: “The Armageddon scenario that he depicts is not based on any scientific view.” IPCC (2007) projects sea-level rise of 1-2 ft by 2100: Mörner (2004, 2010) projects just 4 ± 4 in.
“Gore said a scientific study had found polar bears dying as they swam to find ice. In fact, Monnett & Gleason (2006) had reported just four bears killed in a bad storm. For 30 years there has been no decline in sea-ice in the Beaufort Sea, where the bears died. There are many times more polar bears today than in 1940.
“Gore said Mount Kilimanjaro’s glacier had lost much of its ice because of “global warming”. In fact, the cause was desiccation of the atmosphere caused by regional cooling (Molg et al., 2003). Mean summit temperature has averaged –7 °C for 30 years and, in that time, summit temperature has never risen above –1.6 °C. The Fürtwängler glacier at the summit began receding in the 1880s, long before mankind could have had any influence over the climate. Half the glacier had gone before Hemingway wrote The Snows of Kilimanjaro in 1936.
“What is to be done
“Royal Commission on global warming science and economics
“UKIP would appoint a Royal Commission on global warming science and economics, under a High Court Judge, with advocates on either side of the case, to examine and cross-examine the science and economics of global warming with all the evidential rigour of a court of law.
“The remit of the Royal Commission would be to decide –
Ø “Whether and to what degree the IPCC has exaggerated climate sensitivity to CO2 or other greenhouse gases;
Ø “Whether and under what conditions, if any, the IPCC’s imagined consequences of the present rate of atmospheric CO2 enrichment will be beneficial or harmful;
Ø “Whether and under what conditions, if any, mitigation of global warming by reducing carbon emissions will be cheaper and more cost-effective than adaptation as, and if, necessary;
Ø “Whether and under what conditions any emissions-trading scheme can make any appreciable difference to the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, and whether and to what degree, if any, any such difference would affect global surface temperature.
“Other climate-change measures
“Pending the report of the Royal Commission, UKIP would immediately –
Ø “Repeal the Climate Change Act, and close the Climate Change Department;
Ø “Halt all UK contributions to the IPCC and to the UN Framework Convention;
Ø “Halt all UK contributions to any EU climate-change policy, including carbon trading;
Ø “Freeze all grant aid for scientific research into “global warming”.
“In any event, UKIP would immediately –
Ø “Commission enough fossil-fuelled and nuclear power stations to meet demand;
Ø “Cease to subsidize wind-farms, on environmental and economic grounds;
Ø “Cease to subsidize any environmental or “global-warming” pressure-groups;
Ø “Forbid public authorities to make any “global-warming”-related expenditure;
Ø “Relate Met Office funding to the accuracy of its forecasts;
Ø “Ban global warming propaganda, such as Gore’s movie, in schools;
Ø “Divert a proportion of the billions now wasted on the non-problem of global warming towards solving the world’s real environmental problems.
“UKIP has been calling for a rational, balanced approach to the climate debate since 2008, when extensive manipulation of scientific data first became clear. There must be an immediate halt to needless expenditure on the basis of a now-disproven hypothesis.
“Given our unprecedented national debt crisis, not a penny must be wasted, not a single job lost to satisfy vociferous but misguided campaigners, often led by ill-informed media celebrities, profiteering big businesses, insurance interests and banks. The correct policy approach to the non-problem of global warming is to have the courage to do nothing.”
If you know of any political party, anywhere, that has a climate policy more vigorously and healthily skeptical than UKIP, let me know in comments.
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John A,
Hear, hear.
Anti-EU parties also did well in other countries:
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/27/world/europe/established-parties-rocked-by-anti-europe-vote.html
Over at the Guardian comments section a commenter said
and I see important parallels with the Guardian’s relentless push on ‘Climate Change’ coverage and their relentless attacks on sceptics. The Guardian appears to dream that it is an important media outlet that sways people. You can’t sway the converted.
CAGW like west antarctic glaciers is past the tipping point as we await its irreversible collapse.
We can only hope.
It’s Memorial day in the USA. Today we honor those brave souls, beginning at Lexington and Concord through til today, those who have made the ultimate sacrifice for MY freedom.
Freedom (from tyranny) is won on the battlefield with blood and life and treasure.
Freedom is lost at the ballot box. Ceded by propaganda fueled ignorance.
A threat to liberty anywhere, is a threat to liberty everywhere.
Memorial Day and the Meaning of Freedom
“Memorial Day provides the political class countless opportunities to ruin an otherwise thoroughly enjoyable holiday weekend. Like clockwork, local congressmen, mayors, city council members, et al. materialize at parades, picnics, and churches to give speeches about “freedom.”
“But what does freedom really mean?
“Just as we should repudiate Junk English in economics, we should demand precision when it comes to the language of political posturing! In other words, we should insist that politicians use defined terms (I’m not holding my breath).
“In essence, freedom is the absence of state coercion./em> Nothing more, but certainly nothing less.
Memorial-Day Message (2014)
“It is the habit on the Memorial Day weekend to thank uniformed men for their sacrifice. And it is the annual custom on Barely A Blog to extend sympathies to the Americans who fight phantoms in far-flung destinations. I’m sorry they’ve been snookered into living, dying and killing for a lie. But I cannot honor that lie, or those who give their lives for it and take the lives of others in America’s many recreational wars. I mourn for them, as I have from day one, but I can’t honor them.
I am sorry for those who’ve enlisted thinking they’d fight for their countrymen and were subjected to one backdoor draft after another in the cause of illegal, unjust wars and assorted informal attacks. My heart hurts for you, but my worshipping at Moloch’s feet will not make you feel better, deep down.
“I honor those sad, sad draftees to Vietnam and to WW II. The first valiant batch had no option; the same goes for the last, which fought a just war. …”
Don’t the Americans have some experience in the British Commonwealth? And we all know the next heir to it, right? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhpNJAKq7dE. Lovely weather today, isn’t it Chris?
RobRoy says:
May 26, 2014 at 11:15 am
Thanks for remembering those fallen in America’s wars. One of our Revolutionary War opponents’ surname will be familiar to readers of this blog.
The Scottish officer of grenadiers linked below was mortally wounded in action at Monmouth in 1778, by grape fired by New England gunners (including relatives of mine) commanded by Eleazer Oswald, a Cornish immigrant. The Continentals lost the chance to destroy the British Army in the northern colonies that day because of the nefarious misdeeds of English-born General Charles Lee, suspected then & now known to have been a traitor.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Monckton
Monckton’s elder brother Robert had been Governor of the Province of New York after the French & Indian War, in which he served, including with Wolfe at Quebec. As Lt. Governor of Nova Scotia, 1755-58, he participated in the notorious expulsion of the Acadians, which ethnic cleansing crime blessed Louisiana with Cajun culture & inspired H. W. Longfellow’s poem Evangeline.
Fascinating, now we have the CAGW deniers raging against UKIP. They deny just about everything that UKIP stands for and even refuse to believe that UKIP will actually bring some common sense into the Climate Fraud debate. I was always of the opinion that they, the CAGW schemers were pointing the finger at us being the ‘deniers’. It appears that now the shoe is on the other foot.
ronds-de-cuir instead of cuisses-de-cuirs
BTW. How are the UKIP negotiations advancing with Front National? Or will also Marine Le Pen wave in Nord-Pas-de-Calais when UK quits the EU? And how will the Scottish and Welsh take it?
Nigel Mirage freely admits he does his level best to avoid debates in the European parliament and tries to avoid involving himself in any way even to the extent of not attending, preferring to take the generous pay and allowances and run. He will no doubt advise his new Euro MPs to do the same and further enrich UKIP’s coffers from the source they hate. This has a couple of interesting aspects. The people who voted for UKIP are probably unaware that they will not be represented by UKIP politicians, and UKIP’s avoidance of engaging with the EU political system will leave the road open for the Tories, Labour and Greens to influence policy coming out of the EU parliament. In the meantime UKIP will continue to sit with far right and extremist groups in the EU, shouting from the sidelines, but making negligible impact on policy. They may have had a marked success in Euro elections, but they are still minnows in the UK political scene and are unlikely to be a force in Parliament for may years, if ever. And that Nigel, is where the power lies. Unfortunately the UK voter has a habit of voting for populist soundbites, but rarely read the manifestos. It’s amazing how many ex-pats living in Europe voted for him. How stupid can they be not to realise that if the glorious leader Nigel had his way, they would lose those rights of work and residency? The words Turkey and Boxing day spring to mind.
Lord Monckton –
A tour de force. You cannot be thanked enough.
I am going to recommend to my local Republican party contacts and my senators and representatives in Congress that they adopt the UKIP climate platform verbatim.
Lisbon treaty is worth reading – to discover the charter of fundamental rights. As a bonus also the right of initiative it seems.
Gareth Phillips says:
Nigel Mirage freely admits he does his level best to avoid debates in the European parliament…
Nonsense. YouTube is filled with clips of Farage debating in the EU parliament. He is extremely entertaining.
UKIP is determinedly not far right or racist. Ir merely recognises the limits to our ability to absorb unlimited numbers with differing cultural priorities and experiences.
If the EU falls into the hands of European extremists which looks more and more likely then our exit as proposed by UKIP becomes even more of an imperative.
UKIP proposes to engage with every nation worldwide of every ethnicity rather than focusing disproportionately on the European attempt to build a new USSR type system with the same democratic deficit and unaccountability.
We in the UK are only going to get one chance to extract ourselves before the whole EU fantasy collapses into insolvency, bitterness and extremism and UKIP provides that exit.
An institution that was supposed to bring everlasting peace to Europe is about to do the opposite.
dbstealey says: May 26, 2014 at 12:36 pm
“He [Farage] is extremely entertaining.”
Indeed. Many laugh wholeheartedly while taking a step to distance themselves from him towards the other opposite where the watermelons reside. That’s less funny to observe in the moderate right MEPs, who are now in majority.
Christopher, please define “cuisses-de-cuir” as you intended it to be understood by one here in Oklahoma where the winds og change are always sweeping down the plains.
Um, UKIP were (or are) not the only party to disavow the belief in AGW. The BNP was the same. They were just like UKIP but more “left wing” i.e. Like the old Labour party.
Friends:
I write to ask for some constraint in this thread by both supporters and opponents of UKIP.
The rapid growth of this new Party has provided better electoral performance than could have been expected and this is good reason for UKIP supporters to rejoice. And that rejoicing is reason for UKIP opponents to promote the fact that UKIP did not win the elections. These responses encourage YahBoo political behaviour.
But if this thread is to have any value then serious and considered opinions need to be shared.
UKIP is the only overtly AGW-sceptic Party in the UK.
UKIP is of the right but not at the far-right like the BNP.
UKIP has had some limited political success and this gives it influence over the major Parties (as the Green Party obtained such influence when it began to have some electoral success).
UKIP needs success in the 2015 General Election if it is to become a serious political force in the UK.
All these issues require discussion which is destroyed by YahBoo such as opinions about the person of Nigel Farage.
Richard
Lets hope UKIP remains committed to the principle: “you have to be for something good before you can be against something bad”
DBStealey. It seems you doubt that Nigel Mirage really has an appalling record of attendance at the European Parliament. Well, the facts are acording to data available on attendance records.
The Independent analysed the attendance record of 55 MEPs from the four main parties and combined it with figures for the number of parliamentary questions they asked, committee reports they were involved in, motions and opinions drafted, and signed written declarations.
The statistics do not include other committee work, or constituency work. These figures were then divided by their estimated total cost to the taxpayer – a figure made up of parliamentary allowances, expenses and salary. Nigel Farage and his deputy, Paul Nuttall, had the worst attendance ratings of any UK politician in Brussels but still managed to cost the taxpayer over £600,000 each in salary and allowances.
Over the last parliament Mr Farage has not drafted or amended a single report and voted just 42 per cent of the time. Mr Nuttall spoke in parliament on average just 10 times a year and asked 24 parliamentary questions.
Mr.Farage claims this is a deliberate policy which reflects his view of the European Parliament.
The partly pseudonymous “JohnA” petulantly complains about my having said or implied that UKIP had won its crushing victory in the 2014 European elections in the UK because of its climate policy. I neither said nor implied that. What I said was that UKIP’s climate skepticism ranked third in the popularity of its policies, after the policies of leaving the European tyranny-by-clerk and of halting uncontrolled immigration.
Nor did I say or imply that UKIP won in 2014 on the basis of its 2010 manifesto (which has not, in fact, been “disowned”, but is being revised, as every manifesto is revised). Opposition to the climate nonsense, a question on which Nigel Farage has gone head-to-head with the unspeakable Barroso in the European Duma, will continue to be an important policy plank for UKIP. I did, however, reproduce UKIP’s 2010 climate policy, “for interest”, and not in any way to imply that UKIP had won because of that policy.
However, it is permissible for me to give some more details of the private polling that was carried out on UKIP’s behalf before it adopted its climate policy. The results showed that of all the issues on which UKIP might take a position but on which it had not already done so, climate skepticism was the one that was most likely to attract widespread support. Since it also has the merit of reflecting the objective truth, UKIP happily adopted the policy and – whether “JohnA” likes it or not – will continue to pursue it.
Whether or not UKIP’s victory is of any interest to the troll “JohnA”, it is of interest to most other readers here, who are happy to discover that in yet another country an avowedly climate-skeptical party has done well in elections. Why, o why, do trolls whine so often and so purposelessly, and with so little legitimate reason?
One of the items that Chris put into UKIP’s 2010 climate policy platform seems to be in error. I’m talking about his reference to:
Before AR5 the IPCC’s attribution claims were always about the degree of certainty that the signal of human caused warming was detectable, not about it explaining any particular amount of observed warming. Here is the statement from AR4’s Summary for Policymakers, page 10:
Others have made statements similar to Lord Monckton’s so maybe I am missing something that was stated elsewhere in AR4, or it could be that a misinterpretation of the above passage somehow got into circulation. If so, one of the circulators is Reuters, which published the following last year just before AR5 was released:
Clearly wrong about SAR and TAR. If there is such a claim in AR4, does anyone know the reference?
Tom Aaiseeitnow says:
May 26, 2014 at 2:03 pm
Christopher, please define “cuisses-de-cuir” as you intended it to be understood by one here in Oklahoma where the winds of change are always sweeping down the plains.
———————————
lemiere jacques says:
May 26, 2014 at 12:00 pm
ronds-de-cuir instead of cuisses-de-cuirs
———————————–
French for “pen-pushers”, a pejorative slang term for bureaucrats. Also see meaning #1:
http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/rond-de-cuir
Impotent in a political sense they may be, but they are unlikely to be eunuchs.