'Settled science' – paper claims the Universe is static, not expanding

big-bang-8[1]New evidence, based on detailed measurements of the size and brightness of hundreds of galaxies, using The Tolman test for surface brightness, indicates that the Universe is not expanding after all. I’m betting that somewhere, some activist is trying to figure out an angle to blame climate change. (h/t to Roy Spencer)

From Sci-News.com:  Universe is Not Expanding After All, Scientists Say

In their study, the scientists tested one of the striking predictions of the Big Bang theory – that ordinary geometry does not work at great distances.

In the space around us, on Earth, in the Solar System and our Milky Way Galaxy, as similar objects get farther away, they look fainter and smaller. Their surface brightness, that is the brightness per unit area, remains constant.

In contrast, the Big Bang theory tells us that in an expanding Universe objects actually should appear fainter but bigger. Thus in this theory, the surface brightness decreases with the distance. In addition, the light is stretched as the Universe expanded, further dimming the light.

So in an expanding Universe the most distant galaxies should have hundreds of times dimmer surface brightness than similar nearby galaxies, making them actually undetectable with present-day telescopes.

But that is not what observations show, as demonstrated by this new study published in the International Journal of Modern Physics D.

The scientists carefully compared the size and brightness of about a thousand nearby and extremely distant galaxies. They chose the most luminous spiral galaxies for comparisons, matching the average luminosity of the near and far samples.

Contrary to the prediction of the Big Bang theory, they found that the surface brightnesses of the near and far galaxies are identical.

Full story: http://www.sci-news.com/astronomy/science-universe-not-expanding-01940.html

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Physicist Luboš Motl isn’t impressed:

It is quite a bold claim but not shocking for those who have the impression based on the experience that these journals published by World Scientific are not exactly prestigious – or credible, for that matter. The sloppy design of the journal website and the absence of any TEX in the paper doesn’t increase its attractiveness. The latter disadvantage strengthens your suspicion that the authors write these things because they don’t want to learn the Riemannian geometry, just like they don’t want to learn TEX or anything that requires their brain to work, for that matter.

The point of the paper is that the expanding Universe of modern cosmology should be abandoned because there is a simpler model one may adopt, namely the static, Euclidean universe. Their claim or their argument is that this schookid-friendly assumption is completely compatible with the observations. In particular, it is compatible with the observations of the UV surface brightness of galaxies.

Read more of what he has to say here: http://motls.blogspot.com/2014/05/claims-universe-is-not-expanding.html#more

The cartoon I published Friday might be prescient.

The paper:

UV surface brightness of galaxies from the local universe to z ~ 5

Int. J. Mod. Phys. D DOI: 10.1142/S0218271814500588

Eric J. Lerner, Lawrenceville Plasma Physics, Inc., USA Renato Falomo, INAF–Osservatorio Astronomico di Padova, Italy  Riccardo Scarpa, Instituto de Astrofısica de Canarias, Spain

The Tolman test for surface brightness (SB) dimming was originally proposed as a test for the expansion of the universe. The test, which is independent of the details of the assumed cosmology, is based on comparisons of the SB of identical objects at different cosmological distances. Claims have been made that the Tolman test provides compelling evidence against a static model for the universe. In this paper we reconsider this subject by adopting a static Euclidean universe (SEU) with a linear Hubble relation at all z (which is not the standard Einstein–de Sitter model), resulting in a relation between flux and luminosity that is virtually indistinguishable from the one used for ΛCDM models. Based on the analysis of the UV SB of luminous disk galaxies from HUDF and GALEX datasets, reaching from the local universe to z ~ 5, we show that the SB remains constant as expected in a static universe.

A re-analysis of previously published data used for the Tolman test at lower redshift, when treated within the same framework, confirms the results of the present analysis by extending our claim to elliptical galaxies. We conclude that available observations of galactic SB are consistent with a SEU model.

We do not claim that the consistency of the adopted model with SB data is sufficient by itself to confirm what would be a radical transformation in our understanding of the cosmos. However, we believe this result is more than sufficient reason to examine this combination of hypotheses further.

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May 26, 2014 11:51 pm

george e. smith says:
May 26, 2014 at 6:50 pm

Thanks. Roemer did it from earth in the 1600s. Has anyone done it out in actual space without the earth’s atmosphere? (I know the measurements are relative when used from the position of earth). I was just wondering if anyone has done the measurements using satellites to determine the speed of light within the atmosphere of the heliosphere (and beyond) without earth’s gravity or atmosphere affecting it.

May 27, 2014 12:49 am

policycritic said May 26, 2014 at 11:51 pm

Thanks. Roemer did it from earth in the 1600s. Has anyone done it out in actual space without the earth’s atmosphere? (I know the measurements are relative when used from the position of earth). I was just wondering if anyone has done the measurements using satellites to determine the speed of light within the atmosphere of the heliosphere (and beyond) without earth’s gravity or atmosphere affecting it.

In 1983 the international standard for the meter was redefined in terms of the definition of the second and a defined value for the speed of light. The defined value was chosen to be as consistent as possible with the earlier metrological definitions of the meter and the second. Since then it is not possible to measure the speed of light using the current metrological standards, but one can still measure any anisotropy in its speed, or use an earlier definition of the meter if necessary. So the short answer to your question is “No”.

May 27, 2014 1:05 am

Andyj said May 27, 2014 at 12:28 am

Prof. Brian Cox on Cosmology showed the world, this famous graph on telly the other week.

Well, you can get your “science” from the telly and I’ll get mine from the journals. I suspect that means we don’t have very much to communicate to each other…

bobl
May 27, 2014 1:10 am

Hmm, this brings on a rather unique thought. Redshift could be explained if time were curved, since space is apparently curved, why is it we assume that time is not?

May 27, 2014 4:20 am

@bones
” Leaving aside the fact that this has not been confirmed, please state what existed before about 10^-43 sec.”
According to my calculations, before BICEP2 at 10^-43 sec, there was BICEP1. And before that, BICEP0. Before that, BICEP(-1).
IOW, BICEPs all the way down!

May 27, 2014 4:25 am

@wayne Job
This sounds a lot like Dr. Paul LaViolette’s Sub Quantum Kinetics that involves continual creation of matter, but biased towards where matter has already accumulated. His theory, which makes quantitative predictions, has a number of claimed verifications. (I would discount the so-far unreproduced – AFAIK – “verification” ala Podkletnov).
Oh, yeah. Sub Quantum Kinetics PREDICTS a cosmological red shift!
“Verification (1979 – 1986): Dr. LaViolette checks this photon redshifting prediction by comparing the tired-light non-expanding universe model and the expanding universe model (standard Freidman cosmology) to observational data on four different cosmology tests. He demonstrates that the tired-light model consistently makes a closer fit to observational data on all tests. His findings, which were published in the Astrophysical Journal (1986), confirm the subquantum kinetics tired light prediction and the notion that the universe is cosmologically stationary. These findings undermine a key support of the big bang theory. An update of this evidence is presented in Chapter 7 of Subquantum Kinetics.”
See “Subquantum Kinetics Predictions and their Subsequent Verification”
http://etheric.com/predictions-part-ii-physics-and-astronomy/

palindrom
May 27, 2014 4:59 am

Eric Lerner is a long-time critic of the Big Bang, who wrote a book called “The Big Bang Never Happened”. To anyone who has studied the subject in depth, and who understands the evidence, the book is laughable. He is a crank. The evidence for the big bang is, in reality, overwhelming — in particular, the microwave background spectrum and fine-scale anisotropy is naturally explained by a big bang, and impossible to explain in any other way without resorting to extraordinary contortions. One can go on — the redshift (evidence for the cosmological origins of the redshift has become even more compelling from large surveys such as SDSS), the light element abundance, the baryon acoustic oscillation, the ages of the oldest stars … there’s no reasonable doubt that something like the big bang occurred.
Posting a link to Lerner’s screed to prove that “Science Is Never Settled!” is, I’m afraid, not going to be persuasive to anyone who actually knows the subject. Then again, the whole point of this site is to sow doubt on actual hard-won expertise among people who don’t know any better, so perhaps it’ll serve.

bobl
May 27, 2014 5:34 am

One more thought.
It is interesting to try to reconcile cosmology with quantum physics. I think the continuous creation idea has merit, the big bang is not mutually exclusive to this idea, if the rate of creation is dependant on time or distance. The big bang could be amcomponent of continuous creation running at a much faster rate.
Now the Quantum mechanics.
Let me say from the start that the idea of creation from nothing doesn’t trouble me Qantum physics postulates that particle / antiparticle pairs are being created all the time but the antiparticle rapidly annihilate with a particle such that nett mass doesn’t change. If a particle and antiparticle exist then the nett of that is nothing. Now let’s speculate. What puzzles me is why there is a matter -antimatter imbalance, if the big bang created the universe out of nothing then there should be equal quantities of matter and antimatter, the answer to me is obvious. The big bang created ( at least ) 2 universes a matter and an antimatter universe, in my hypothetical paired universe when an matter/antimatter particle is born to this universe, there are several plausible endings.
1. The antimatter particle annihilate with a matter particle becoming nothing again
2. The antimatter particle tunnels to the antimatter universe and is trapped there, leaving a matter particle in our universe and an antimatter particle in the antiuniverse.
3. Both The antimatter and matter particle remain in our universe at least until scenario 1 happens.
In my hypothetical case the mass expansion rate of both universes is dependant on the statistical probability and the residence time of antimatter before it tunnels to the antiuniverse, which might be affected by say the existence of a nearby singularity. If the vast majority of pairs recombine, then our universe would appear to have nearly constant mass, except where tunneling can occur, that is – in singularities such as black holes AND the big bang. What we see axially streaming from black holes may be matter particles tunneling from the antiuniverse.
Mind you perhaps not so silly, seeing we have missing heat that can tunnel to the bottom of the ocean

palindrom
May 27, 2014 6:30 am

On closer reading, it looks like this whole kerfluffle is due to a misinterpretation of what Lerner et al. actually claim. From their abstract:

We do not claim that the consistency of the adopted model with SB data is sufficient by itself to confirm what would be a radical transformation in our understanding of the cosmos. However, we believe this result is more than sufficient reason to examine this combination of hypotheses further.

So, they’re not claiming in this paper to have shown that the redshift is non-cosmological. They are instead claiming that the Tolman surface-brightness test — which is arguably the weakest argument for cosmological redshifts — is consistent with a static universe.
This is very weak sauce indeed, and basically does nothing to falsify the big bang theory.

milodonharlani
May 27, 2014 6:53 am

bobl says:
May 27, 2014 at 1:10 am
Spacetime curves.

milodonharlani
May 27, 2014 6:59 am

The Pompous Git says:
May 26, 2014 at 9:38 pm
Gravitational redshift does exist, IMO. Expansion can be detected by various means besides red shifts, such as energy density.

Jim G
May 27, 2014 7:00 am

I know how God works. He works in averages. If it was very hot in the beginning, it will be very cold at the end. It has been warm here for 16,000 years, it will get colder. If it has been dry, it will get wet and vice versa. If the universe is infinite and eternal ( and the BB merely a local event), I am not sure how to work and average on infinity, but I am confident that it does average out.

milodonharlani
May 27, 2014 7:02 am

elernerigc says:
May 26, 2014 at 9:05 pm
I asked for your own statement of your position. Why is that hard to do?
It’s not in your paper, as Palindrom reminds us & as I observed above, so please state it rather than linking to statements which might or might not be relevant. I’ve found that people who are reluctant to state their case & support their statements directly tend to feel their case is weak.

milodonharlani
May 27, 2014 7:03 am

Jim G says:
May 27, 2014 at 7:00 am
You’re right about climate. Its swings regress to the mean, which I guess is another way of saying that earth is homeostatic.

Jim G
May 27, 2014 7:12 am

milodonharlani says:
May 27, 2014 at 6:53 am
bobl says:
May 27, 2014 at 1:10 am
“Spacetime curves.”
Some have postulated that possibly only space is curved at very high energy levels where time might be independent. But it is evident at present energy levels that there is no ‘gravity’, in the Newtonian sense, and are no orbits, everything travels in a straight line in curved space unless acted upon by an external force. Time slows down in the presence of mass, but possibly does not, again, at very high energy levels where all mass is still just energy or quarks. Need larger colliders.

Jim G
May 27, 2014 7:25 am

milodonharlani
Unzipping time from space at very high energy levels also takes the speed limit off of C and eliminates length contraction and obviates the need for ‘inflation’.

Jim G
May 27, 2014 7:27 am

milodonharlani says:
May 27, 2014 at 7:03 am
Jim G says:
May 27, 2014 at 7:00 am
“You’re right about climate. Its swings regress to the mean, which I guess is another way of saying that earth is homeostatic.”
Or as Willis would say, ‘self regulating’.

May 27, 2014 7:44 am

I find it difficult if not impossible to determine which horse to back, so to speak. Unless one knows the pedegree, form and function of those doing the theory, experiment and calculations (and thus be as knowledgable and able as they), one cannot really add to the actual debate. One can only way up intuitively the ideas, the seemingly supporting evidence against that seemingly unsupportive or contradictory/falsifying. At the end of the day it seems to come down to what Gell-Mann described as beauty, something simple, elegant and fitting. Once a theory starts to have anomolies that have to be adjusted for it gets uglier. I get the feeling that some heavy weights exist on both sides and wonder to what degree the evidence is able, in its own right, to support either. Or put another way, the evidence, at this level of enquiry, is limited in its supportive/falsifying role. It even requires the assessment of our own minds as to what logic really works. Our mind have trouble with the questions…what is beyond the furthest point (more of the same yeah but what is beyond that and that and that); what existed first and what before that, as in regard of time and of matter; where did it all come from – if something was there where did it come from and what was there before and before and before that…. These seem valid questions, but will never have a final answer because whatever someone tries to answer is still open to the same question, ad infinitum. Like the question of what is infinity – even infinity can’t be infinity because you can add 1 to it. That anything exists is a mystery and what it exists in is another.

May 27, 2014 8:07 am

Sheldrake, in his banned TED talk (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JKHUaNAxsTg) at about 10.50mins talks about the speed of light…..

Robert W Turner
May 27, 2014 8:39 am

Oh no big deal, the BB theory is full of “patches”, meaning wild arm-waiving explanations needed to explain away the inconsistencies of the theory with observations.

May 27, 2014 8:54 am

Sheldrake makes an interesting point – that the speed of light has been fixed and that the metre is defined in terms of the speed of light. Is this true? Wouldn’t this make changes in the speed of light undetectable?

May 27, 2014 9:04 am

I did some calculations a while ago on electric charge. A Feynman lecture/comment alerted me to this so I did the calcs. It goes something like this. If you gathered 1 gram of electrons on the head of a pin say, and positioned it at point A. Then gather the equal and opposite charge on the head of another pin 10 meters distant, the force between them is billions of billions of metric tonnes or x9.81 Newtons. If you take one gathering of charge to the sun, the force is still about 10000N ! between 1g of electrons, say on earth, and an equal but opposite charge on the sun!!!???
Imagine if this was possible – to gather electrons together as said and then have them on a space ship. Sheild it somehow and somehow choose the direct the force to a distant body of positive charge….

alex
May 27, 2014 9:40 am

flatearthers

May 27, 2014 9:43 am

milodonharlani said May 27, 2014 at 6:59 am

Gravitational redshift does exist, IMO. Expansion can be detected by various means besides red shifts, such as energy density.

Yet you agreed with the BBT cosmologist I referred to who said that the only explanation for red shift was expansion of the universe. This would appear to be contradiction.

May 27, 2014 9:50 am

neillusion said May 27, 2014 at 8:54 am

Sheldrake makes an interesting point – that the speed of light has been fixed and that the metre is defined in terms of the speed of light. Is this true? Wouldn’t this make changes in the speed of light undetectable?

A point I also made above:
http://physics.nist.gov/cuu/Units/meter.html