March solar activity, down slightly, still lower than last solar cycle 23

The solar data from the NOAA Space Weather prediction center has been posted, and like the global temperature, there isn’t much change. Sunspot numbers are down slightly, but still up from most of 2012/2013. The double peak looks more prominent.

Latest Sunspot number prediction

Solar radio flux shows a similar double peak pattern.

Latest F10.7 cm flux number prediction

And the Ap Magnetic index is down 6 units, and continues to bump along the bottom compared to the last solar cycle. The solar dynamo continues to be sluggish.

Latest Planetary A-index number prediction

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bushbunny
April 13, 2014 9:39 pm

Hi, cyclone Ita was restricted to Northern Queensland, I live on the Northern Tablelands NSW, Armidale. Quite a long way from the coast too, well 180 kms, and 3,500 ft absl. Thanks for concern Sparks.

April 13, 2014 9:59 pm

bushbunny says:
April 13, 2014 at 9:21 pm
“Are we not arguing against each other?”
Apologies…
bushbunny says
“The magnetic pole changes all the time, according to pilots.”
The compass readings change for pilots all the time when flying through earths magnetic field from one location to another, the evidence for earths magnetic field reversal is geological, and that it takes place on far longer timescales (kinda like climate change, before the term meant anthropogenic.. something something… ), possibly related to a geological timescale.

April 13, 2014 10:13 pm

Sparks says:
April 13, 2014 at 9:31 pm
One 360 degree rotation of a polarity, means one full cycle. It literally is one full cycle.
Here is a real cycle http://www.leif.org/research/Extended-cycle.png

April 13, 2014 10:44 pm

Leif,
Svalgaard 404 strikes again lol 🙂

April 13, 2014 10:50 pm

Sparks says:
April 13, 2014 at 10:44 pm
Svalgaard 404 strikes again
Just checking if you even click on my links. Try again.

April 13, 2014 11:21 pm

lsvalgaard says:
April 13, 2014 at 10:50 pm
Just checking if you even click on my links. Try again.
Ah… That one.. 360 degrees can not be extended, even if you give both polarities 180 degrees each per cycle, it will still be a cycle of 360 degrees.
BTW The bicycle works.. engineers build it!

April 13, 2014 11:23 pm

Sparks says:
April 13, 2014 at 11:21 pm
it will still be a cycle of 360 degrees.
In your mind, perhaps, but it will not be a real physical solar 22-yr cycle

bushbunny
April 13, 2014 11:25 pm

Sparks, I believe you. Thanks for explaining this.

April 14, 2014 12:11 am

lsvalgaard says:
April 13, 2014 at 11:23 pm
“In your mind, perhaps, but it will not be a real physical solar 22-yr cycle”
Magnetic polarities are physically observed only by their interaction, otherwise they are completely unobservable. Remember that.

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