New paper: The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate

Just two explanatory variables (GHG and AMO) still account for 93% of the temperature variance. Dr. Leif Svalgaard sends word of this article in Geophysical Research letters by Petr Chylek,…

March solar activity, down slightly, still lower than last solar cycle 23

The solar data from the NOAA Space Weather prediction center has been posted, and like the global temperature, there isn’t much change. Sunspot numbers are down slightly, but still up…

Presser tomorrow at the National Press Club for the NIPCC

Tomorrow, 9:00am Press Conference with the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) is holding a press conference tomorrow morning, Wednesday, April 9,…

Soil microbe GHG feedback 'less dire than previously thought'

From the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis The tiniest greenhouse gas emitters Climate feedbacks from decomposition by soil microbes are one of the biggest uncertainties facing climate modelers. A…

Claim: Climate Models Underestimate Costs to Future Generations

One wonders how they can make claims like that when we see models vs reality like this: Future generations will have to pay more for today’s carbon emissions than what…

Lewandowsky says we must fear uncertainty, and act on it, because, science

Guest essay by Eric Worrall Stephan Lewandowsky (of retracted Recursive Fury fame ) has just released a paper supporting the “precautionary principle” (h/t JoNova). According to Lewandowsky, the more uncertain…

'Correcting' Trenberth et al.

(See the note below before taking this post seriously – Anthony) Guest essay by Steven Wilde Here we see the classic energy budget analysis supporting the hypothesis that the surface…

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 1 – The Initial Processes of the El Niño

The title of the post, of course, assumes that an El Niño event will form this year and carry over into the next. This post is intended for persons new…

Permafrost fear

From Florida State University  and the department of we’ve heard all this before comes this story Researchers: Permafrost thawing could accelerate global warming TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — A team of researchers…