David Deming: Another year of global cooling

Falling temperatures are giving climate alarmists chills

Global warming is nowhere to be found. The mean global temperature has not risen in 17 years and has been slowly falling for approximately the past 10 years. In 2013, there were more record-low temperatures than record-high temperatures in the United States.

At the end of the first week in January, a brutal spell of cold weather settled over most of the country. Multiple cold-temperature records were shattered across the country. Some sites experienced frigid conditions not seen since the 19th century. Chicago and New York City broke temperature records set in 1894 and 1896, respectively. These extremes were not singular, but exemplary of conditions throughout much of the continent. Temperatures in Chicago were so cold that a polar bear at the Lincoln Park Zoo had to be taken inside.

The onset of polar conditions over the United States was also a reminder that cold weather in general is more inimical to human welfare than warm weather. The operation of power grids, gas pipelines and oil refineries was disrupted. Passengers on Amtrak trains were left stranded, and thousands of flights were delayed or canceled. By Jan. 7, the media were reporting at least 21 deaths directly related to the cold.

Weather extremes also seem to bring out the lunatic fringe. Of course, when we’re discussing global warming, it’s difficult to tell where the mainstream stops and the fringe begins. We were subjected to the oxymoronic explanation that frigid weather was, in fact, caused by global warming. According to Time magazine, cold temperatures in the United States were a result of global warming forcing the polar vortex southward. But in 1974, the same Time informed us that descent of the polar vortex into temperate zones was a harbinger of a new Ice Age.

Read more: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/jan/16/another-year-of-global-cooling/#ixzz2qfjDI7Pv

Related:

NOAA “state of the climate” report: Contiguous US average temperature plummeted 2.9F in 2013

 

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John Tillman
January 18, 2014 6:02 am

Brad (Griff) says:
January 18, 2014 at 3:28 am
How soon they forget.
This from climatologist Cliff Harris writing a Northern Idaho newspaper account of the Southern Hemisphere winter of 2013:
Our South American friends were…shivering in their coldest, and in some cases, snowiest July in living memory.
More than two feet of snow buried parts of southern Chile in mid July. The Chilean Army was called upon to rescue people trapped by the blizzard. There were several deaths caused by hypothermia across both Chile and Argentina. Flu cases mounted. Livestock losses were widespread in both sheep and cattle.
On July 16, the Antarctic coldwave produced a hard freeze in normally mild Buenos Aires, Argentina. The mercury at the airport dipped to 23 degrees Fahrenheit (minus-5 degrees Celsius) at 6:30 a.m. The sub-freezing temperatures persisted for several days destroying many tropical plants and trees. The Argentine winter wheat also had crop damage from the frosts.
Elsewhere in Argentina, extremely rare measurable snowfalls were noted this July in the wine country of Mendoza. Temperatures plunged to as low as 22 degrees Fahrenheit. Some damage was likely to the grape vines. Snow totals exceeded six inches in places.
On the morning of July 15, the resort beaches of Mar del Plata, quite similar to the beaches in Florida, saw their first snows in living memory along the northeastern coastline of Argentina.
In all, nearly every province of Argentina saw at least a bit of snow in mid July, an unusual event indeed. The town of Tucuman observed its first measurable snowfall since 1921, two inches.
The strong southern winds brought record cold temperatures by July 17-19 into Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay and extreme southern Brazil where the coffee crop was nipped, but not destroyed, by light freezes.
By July 20-21, the frigid Antarctic airmass had done something that few cold fronts ever do, it slipped northward into southeastern Columbia and northwestern Brazil to a point north of the Equator. This has happened less than a dozen times in the past century in South America.
This extremely potent cold front whitened many mountain peaks in the state of Santa Catarina in southeastern Brazil. The town of Urupenia saw its coldest reading ever of 18 degrees Fahrenheit (minus-8 degrees Celsius) on July 18.
Wet snow and sleet were seen in parts of sub-tropical Uruguay on both July 16 and 18. There were many traffic accidents on the slick roadways. Power shortages were reported in both Uruguay and northeastern Argentina during the Antarctic outbreaks. Stores ran out of generators, batteries and winter clothing. Hospitals were packed with patients suffering from upper respiratory illnesses. The airport at Montevideo, Uruguay, reported an all-time record low temperature of 16 degrees Fahrenheit (minus-9 degrees Celsius) on July 17.
Many climatologists blame the new ‘La Nina’ colder sea-surface temperature event in the waters of the east-central Pacific Ocean for the harsh winter of 2013 across South America. It’s my climatological opinion, however, that a colder Antarctic continent is responsible. But, once again, only time will tell.
http://www.cdapress.com/columns/cliff_harris/article_9e9a296f-d417-5a71-9af3-64eec8e2264a.html

bobl
January 18, 2014 6:04 am

M Simon says:
January 18, 2014 at 5:56 am
Fortunately the White House is known as a gang of liars. “If you like your warm, you can keep your warm.”

If only! The ecotards want us to return to a climate that killed half of Europe though, a climate we are a mere 0.7 degrees away from.

Jimbo
January 18, 2014 6:27 am

Warmists are in a hard place. First they told us to expect warmer winters, now they tell us global warming causes colder winters. If the GLOBE cools for a prolonged period of decade[s] they will surely tell us that global warming causes global cooling. I’m not kidding.

“A global cooling event was caused by global warming? Sounds strange. But that is exactly what scientists say happened. ”
http://www.livescience.com/3751-global-warming-chill-planet.html
—————
Letter To Nature – 16 January 1992
Will greenhouse warming lead to Northern Hemisphere ice-sheet growth?
……………The age and distribution of glacial sediments, coupled with marine and terrestrial proxy records of climate, support arguments that initial ice-sheet growth at the beginning of the last glacial cycle occurred at high northern latitudes (65–80° N) under climate conditions rather similar to present. In particular, the conditions most favourable for glacier inception are warm high-latitude oceans, low terrestrial summer temperature and elevated winter temperature. We find that the geological data support the idea that greenhouse warming, which is expected to be most pronounced in the Arctic and in the winter months, coupled with decreasing summer insolation7 may lead to more snow deposition than melting at high northern latitudes8 and thus to ice-sheet growth.
http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1038/355244a0

Others have argued that ice-ages start with global warming! So as you can see no matter what happens, their religion must survive the sceptical onslaught.

Bill_W
January 18, 2014 6:28 am

To see at least some of the adjustments that have been done, they keep them on the websites for NOAA and NASA (GISS). Steven Goddard at Real Science publishes a lot of sarcastic (funny) stuff related to climate and politics. He very often has animations of temperature records before and after adjustments going back to changes they have made over the last 20 or so years. These are bad enough. He also links to the NASA and other websites where he got the data.

pokerguy
January 18, 2014 6:36 am

“According to Time magazine, cold temperatures in the United States were a result of global warming forcing the polar vortex southward. But in 1974, the same Time informed us that descent of the polar vortex into temperate zones was a harbinger of a new Ice Age.”
Don’t like this argument/talking point. The easy rebuttal is “science advances.” Of course the science itself in this case is suspect, but weak arguments make the arguer look weak.

MarkW
January 18, 2014 6:37 am

John Finn says:
January 18, 2014 at 4:24 am
—-
The fact remains that there has been no warming during the last 17 years. The models claim there should have been.
And if that’s the game you want to play then the 0.7C warming over the last 150 years isn’t statistically significant, given the quality and scarcity of climate data in the past. The temperatures taken more than 30 or 40 years ago consisted of two data points, daily highs and daily lows, rounded to the nearest degree centigrade. The idea that we could determine the earth’s temperature from that data to within a tenth of a degree is laughable, and that’s before we consider the fact that only about 10% of the world’s surface area was adequately covered for most of that time. Then we can talk about the maintenance of both the sensors and the areas around them.
Then we can talk about the gaps in the records for many of the stations and how adequately some stations, especially rural ones in areas with especially cold or hot climates were read on a daily basis.
Only for the last 30 years or so can we, with any degree of certainty, state what the average temperature of the planet has been. And for half of that time, there has been no warming at all.

Kelvin Vaughan
January 18, 2014 6:39 am

I was just plotting the monthly anomaly of the CET since 2009 and saw the most warming was in April and October. I downloaded the simsolar oratory and to my surprise the Earth is between the Sun and Uranus in October and between the Sun and Saturn in April. Mars is also between the Sun and Saturn this April. I wonder if April in Central England will be warm this year or is it just a coincidence.

January 18, 2014 7:10 am

Global warming isn’t just in the USA! Look at the global picture this has been a very warm winter all over Europe and Asia. Forget about statistics, the glacier in front of my house in France has receded about a 100 metres in the last 10 years, odd that cooling weather has caused this and every other Glacier to visibly melt and retreat so fast! I was in S. America all of last winter for another unseasonably warm winter, there were a few days of cold weather but overall it was just not cold enough for snow, ski resorts there shut early. Stop blaming erroneous numbers and looking at biased graphs when the evidence is out the window!

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 7:21 am

ConfusedPhoton says: January 18, 2014 at 2:36 am
Cold or freezing weather is not inconsistent with CAGW – just ask Michael Mann he wants to save the polar bear. Perhaps he should start knitting them warm jumpers!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>…
And personally go up to the North Pole to put the jumpers (sweaters) on each Poley Bear. Greenpeace, the WWF and the Sierra Club should also help with the officers leading the way.
Please note I have actually put a sweater on more than one of my goats photo now I am crossing my goats with cashmeres so they can grow their own cashmere sweaters. Much easier.
I am very glad I moved south. Last year was absolutely lovely even if it is a tad bit chilly right now. (27F this morning)

J. Swift
January 18, 2014 7:28 am

Oratory? I think you mean orrery.

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 7:30 am

Brad (Griff) says: January 18, 2014 at 3:28 am
I guess this a Northern hemisphere-centric group. All this talk about the Polar vortex negating the global warming argument, but I see you are silent on the record high temperatures in the Southern hemisphere.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
It has been mentioned several times.
Loopy jets mean you get temp extremes very cold then very high. The Polar vortex coming south is caused by loopy jets.
Here for an example is a recent comment Brent Walker says: January 31, 2013 at 6:56 pm

The Extreme and Far UV emissions provide the energy to create Ozone in the upper stratosphere, mesosphere and lower thermosphere and the various nitrogen oxides in those locations. Over time the more EUV and FUV emissions there are the greater the depth of the Ozone column. The more Ozone there is the more the jet streams move to the poles and the less depth to the Rossby waves (loopiness of the jet stream). What we are seeing at present is a long term reduction of about 40% in the EUV and FUV emissions and a reduction in Ozone resulting even in a hole in the Ozone layer in the last two Northern Hemisphere springs. So the jet streams are migrating towards the equator and the Rossby waves are getting deeper.
If you look at today’s map of the jets streams in both the Northern and Southern hemisphere you will see the jet stream that in the summer normally crosses Australia either just below the continent or at least across Melbourne is currently crossing NSW and Southern Queensland. Also the lower polar jet stream is rising almost from Antarctica to partially link up with the jet stream crossing the continent before diving to below the South Island of New Zealand – in other words a rather extreme loop but one which has caused weather forecasters to suggest there may be some summer snow on the alps in northern Victoria and some rather wild weather in NSW. Also there are parts of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream that appear to have crossed the equator into the Southern Hemisphere in the Pacific. You have to look at both the northern and southern hemisphere jet stream maps to see this.
How the Ozone layer affects the jet streams is not fully understood. But planetary waves and gravity waves are thought to play a part. But it may be as simple as the lower Ozone levels allow more infra-red heat to radiate from Earth into space. This means less is being trapped in the stratosphere and these slightly lower temperatures in the stratosphere then cause a general shift in the jet streams toward the equator where the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere are warmer.
Until recently climate scientists were blaming increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 for causing the gradual migration of jet streams towards the poles in the last three decades of the 20th Century. Given that atmospheric levels of CO2 are still increasing and the jet streams are now moving towards the equator they have had to revise their theories. Also there is no talk of CFC’s affecting the Ozone layer this time….
The ozone level and the Jetstream meridonality are effects of the same cause – the lowered level of EUV / UV short wave radiation from the Sun…

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 7:41 am

AlecM says: January 18, 2014 at 3:17 am
70% of the population are followers…
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
This is why humans can live in cities and cooperate. Leaders are few and far between. Males don’t fight much past the teenage years and are willing to cooperate.

R. Shearer
January 18, 2014 7:42 am

I should like to comment on Urederra’s observation above and ask. Why are so many climate scientists white and uptight?

milodonharlani
January 18, 2014 7:42 am

welovemountains says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
You were clearly in some alternative South America. In the real onè that exists on this planet, last winter was a cold & snow record breaker.

Chris B
January 18, 2014 7:44 am

Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming, Global Warming, Climate Change, Climate Disruption, etc., are all hypotheses, and not Theories, as far as I know, and should not be confused with the poorly named Greenhouse Effect Theory. Calling any of the former a “Theory” lends unjustified credibility.

Alan Robertson
January 18, 2014 7:45 am

M Simon says:
January 18, 2014 at 5:56 am
Steve Case says:
January 18, 2014 at 2:22 am
Yes and it came from the White House:
Fortunately the this White House is known as a gang of liars. “If you like your warm, you can keep your warm.”
________________
fixed

Otter (ClimateOtter on Twitter)
January 18, 2014 7:47 am

‘I was in S. America all of last winter for another unseasonably warm winter, ‘ ~welovemountains.
So. Please tell me that by ‘last winter’ in the southern hemisphere, you mean you were there this past June, July, August?

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 7:51 am

markstoval says: January 18, 2014 at 4:53 am
Can you imagine what the temps would look like if the government data sets where not “adjusted”….I would love to see a long term data set with raw data…
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
If you consider Frank Lanser’s essay on The Original Temperatures Project and his discover of ” Ocean Air Shelter Stations” that are not influenced by the temperature of the oceans then you can look at the movement of the climatic zones (Köppen climate classification) in the interior of the USA for a glimpse of what the climate has been doing in the last century. Köppen Climate Map
With luck Frank will have that thermometer based temperature set fairly soon. He has started presenting the results on the web site http://www.hidethedecline.eu/
Hope that helps.

MattS
January 18, 2014 7:52 am

welovemountains,
“Forget about statistics, the glacier in front of my house in France has receded about a 100 metres in the last 10 years, odd that cooling weather has caused this and every other Glacier to visibly melt and retreat so fast!”
Why on earth would you consider that a bad thing? Would you really prefer to have that glacier advancing on your house?

milodonharlani
January 18, 2014 7:52 am

welovemountains says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
Are you near Grenoble? Talk to these guys about glaciers growing in Asia:
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v5/n5/full/ngeo1450.html
Same as these guys found:
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v5/n5/full/ngeo1450.html
Meanwhile, in North America, likewise:
http://www.dailytech.com/Alaskan+Glaciers+Grow+for+First+Time+in+250+years/article13215.htm
And back in Europe, your local glacier may still be shrinking, but they’re growing in Scandinavia:
http://www.su.se/om-oss/press-media-nyheter/pressrum/kebnekaises-sydtopp-gynnas-av-den-kalla-sommaren-1.97178
Moreover, the biggest mass of land ice on the planet, the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, continues gaining mass, as NASA satellites have shown at least since the start of this century.

Robert in Calgary
January 18, 2014 7:57 am

Brad Griff,
Most of the land on this planet is north of the equator. That matters.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hemisferio_Norte.png
The amount of the Sun’s energy that hits 65 degrees North matters.
http://www.amazon.com/The-Inconvenient-Skeptic-Comprehensive-Climate/dp/0984782915/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1390060549&sr=8-1&keywords=inconvenient+skeptic

milodonharlani
January 18, 2014 8:06 am

MikeB says:
January 18, 2014 at 3:39 am
Interglacials vary in length. The previous one, the Eemian, lasted 16,000 years & was hotter in its early warm phase than the Holocene Climatic Optimum, & warmer than our current apparent global temperature at the same 11,400 year mark now in the Holocene, the present interglacial.

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 8:13 am

welovemountains says: January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
….. I was in S. America all of last winter for another unseasonably warm winter….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
OH?
Gee that is not what the news says of course it is not in English and not reported elsewhere:
1 Sep 13 (2013) – Snowfall in parts of the southern highlands of Peru has killed more than 25,000 animals and destroyed 137 homes, according to the National Institute of Civil Defense (Indeci). link
August 31 2013 – Snowstorms kill 70,000 animals in Bolivia. link
July 23 2013: Record low temperatures hit Chile as fresh snow falls in the Andes link
followed by Chile – One billion dollars damage to fruit crops, October cold worst in 84 years – Emergency declared. link
And it was not just last year.
July 2012 – Freezing temperatures kill 16 in Chile this year link
I could go on but I think you get the message.

milodonharlani
January 18, 2014 8:15 am

Robert in Calgary says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:57 am
Approximate land areas:
NH: 40%
SH: 20% (counting Antarctic ice)
World: 30%

Gail Combs
January 18, 2014 8:27 am

MattS says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:52 am
welovemountains,
“Forget about statistics, the glacier in front of my house in France has receded about a 100 metres in the last 10 years, odd that cooling weather has caused this and every other Glacier to visibly melt and retreat so fast!”
Why on earth would you consider that a bad thing? Would you really prefer to have that glacier advancing on your house?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The warmists never look past there noses. They certainly never bother to look at the past or the big picture.
On glaciers:
Two peer-reviewed papers:

Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic 2010
Miller et al
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research and Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, USA et al
…. Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ~11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3°C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present. Early Holocene summer sea ice limits were substantially smaller than their 20th century average, and the flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean was substantially greater. As summer solar energy decreased in the second half of the Holocene, glaciers re-established or advanced, sea ice expanded

A more recent paper looking at glaciers in Norway.

A new approach for reconstructing glacier variability based on lake sediments recording input from more than one glacier January 2012
…. A multi-proxy numerical analysis demonstrates that it is possible to distinguish a glacier component in the ~ 8000-yr-long record, based on distinct changes in grain size, geochemistry, and magnetic composition…. This signal is …independently tested through a mineral magnetic provenance analysis of catchment samples. Minimum glacier input is indicated between 6700–5700 cal yr BP, probably reflecting a situation when most glaciers in the catchment had melted away, whereas the highest glacier activity is observed around 600 and 200 cal yr BP. During the local Neoglacial interval (~ 4200 cal yr BP until present), five individual periods of significantly reduced glacier extent are identified at ~ 3400, 3000–2700, 2100–2000, 1700–1500, and ~ 900 cal yr BP….

Glaciers may have retreated in the last couple of decades but the authors of BOTH papers simply state that most glaciers likely didn’t exist 6,000 years ago, but the highest period of the glacial activity, that is glacier growth, has been in the past 600 years. This is hardly surprising with ~9% less solar energy.