Guest Post by Kip Hansen
I could not let this bit of silliness in the New York Times pass without comment as I have recently spent seven years in the Dominican Republic, doing various charity projects and humanitarian work on everything from a national to neighborhood scale, and specifically worked on projects in the very area mentioned. I tried emailing the author of the piece, Randal C. Archibold, but as of this evening, have received no response.
The story concerns Lago Enriquillo, in the very southwest corner of the Dominican Republic, and Lac Azeui, in the very southeast corner of Haiti, both on the island of Hispaniola.
Of course, as usual, the people mentioned in the story lived on the local mud flats, probably 50 or 100 year flood plains, right up to the edge of the water. Until the advent of government and international NGO help with irrigation schemes, this part of the country was empty desert — with almost no population and no agriculture. The banana plantations and other agriculture there all depend on INDRHI (water resources department) irrigation water only recently available.
Here are excerpts from the NY Times story…the usual unprecedenteds, suicide of a loved one, ‘must be climate change’, quite silly really, except for the local misery.
Rising Tide Is a Mystery That Sinks Island Hopes
By RANDAL C. ARCHIBOLD JAN. 11, 2014
(Ezra Fieser contributed reporting from Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.)
“LAGO ENRIQUILLO, Dominican Republic — Steadily, mysteriously, like in an especially slow science fiction movie, the largest lake in the Caribbean has been rising and rising, devouring tens of thousands of acres of farmland, ranches and whatever else stands in its way.
Lago Enriquillo swallowed Juan Malmolejos’s banana grove. It swamped Teodoro Peña’s yuccas and mango trees. In the low-lying city of Boca de Cachon, the lake so threatens to subsume the entire town that the government has sent the army to rebuild it from scratch on a dusty plain several miles away.
“Jose Joaquin Diaz believes that the lake took the life of his brother, Victor. Victor committed suicide, he said, shortly after returning from a life abroad to see the family cattle farm, the one begun by his grandfather, underwater.”
“He could not believe it was all gone, and the sadness was too much,” Mr. Diaz said, as a couple of men rowed a fishing boat over what had been a pasture.
“Theories abound, but a conclusive answer remains elusive as to why the lake — as well as its nearby sibling in Haiti, Lac Azuei, which now spills over the border between the two on the island of Hispaniola — has risen so much. Researchers say the surge may have few if any precedents worldwide.”
“The lakes, salty vestiges of an ancient oceanic channel known for their crocodiles and iguanas, have always had high and low periods, but researchers believe they have never before gotten this large. The waters began rising a decade ago, and now Enriquillo has nearly doubled in size to about 135 square miles, Mr. Gonzalez said, roughly the size of Atlanta, though relatively light rains in the past year have slowed its expansion. Azuei has grown nearly 40 percent in that time, to about 52 square miles, according to the consortium.”
“The scientists, partly financed by the National Science Foundation, are focusing on changing climate patterns as the main culprit, with a noted rise in rainfall in the area attributed to warming in the Caribbean Sea.”
“In reports, they have noted a series of particularly heavy storms in 2007 and 2008 that swamped the lakes and the watersheds that feed them, though other possible contributing factors are also being studied, including whether new underground springs have emerged.”
“People talk about climate change adaptation, well, this is what’s coming, if it’s coming,” said Yolanda Leon, a Dominican scientist working on the lake research.”
“Olgo Fernandez, the director of the country’s hydraulic resources institute **, waved off the criticism and said the government had carefully planned the new community and plots to ensure the area remains an agriculture hotbed. It will be completed this year, officials said, though on a recent afternoon there was much work left to be done.”
“These will be lands that will produce as well as, if not better than, the lands they previously had,” Mr. Fernandez said.”
** = This is the National Institute for the Development of Water Resources (Instituto Nacional de Desarrollo de los Recursos Hidraulicos – INDRHI) http://tinyurl.com/ltnmsm3
In all this drama, the journalist for the NY Times, apparently writing from the comfort of Mexico City, where he is bureau chief for Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean, failed to mention the most important facts about Lago Enriquillo. It is famous for its ups and downs, water levels rising and falling with the rains and droughts.
Oh, and it is 140 feet below sea level.
Oh, you didn’t get that from the story? That’s because they didn’t mention it. Maybe Mr. Archibold didn’t know, maybe he didn’t think it was important. What that means of course is that any water that comes in, stays in — until it evaporates or is pumped out. They don’t pump it, it is salty as all get out, like the Dead Sea.
I have worked with Mr. Fernandez’s INDRHI on fresh water-well projects in the area and with the Dominican NGO <i>Sur Futuro — Future of the South</i> on reforestation projects. They are quite aware of what the most probable cause there is — deforestation. [The southwest of the DR is known as ‘El Sur — The South’] The hills have been progressively denuded, both in the DR and across the border in Haiti, when it rains, when the hurricanes and tropical storms come, the hills send ALL the water hurling down into the streambeds and rivers, they lead downhill — at the bottom of <b>this</b> watershed is Lago Enriquillo. Once the water arrives down there, it can’t get out again. Milder (yes, check the records for this locality) milder temperatures the last few years have meant less evaporation, adding to the problem. (For local reporting, see http://tinyurl.com/l9co6dv — in Spanish.) There is the added factor, detailed in the Spanish language reporting, the sediments which are washed down in the raging waters from the denuded hills are filling up the lake from the bottom, raising the water level as well. There is not much science being done on this, as far as I can tell, despite the “consortium of scientists”, none is reported in the NY Times piece.
On the social side, you see a whole little town of concrete block homes built on the sand to relocate the citizens of some threatened village on the lake shore. They are horrific — both the original and the replacement — but typical of government solutions in the DR. It is, however, better than the housing the people currently have. Those houses in the photo probably have bathrooms, for instance.
There is, really, no mystery. When you keep adding water to a bathtub, and take less out than comes in, it keeps filling up.
# # # # #
Interesting story.
The fact that it is below sea level, and the accompanying fact that the lake(s) lie along a major fault-line – the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden fault zone (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enriquillo%E2%80%93Plantain_Garden_fault_zone) which was the fault-line affected by the 7.0 magnitude Port-au-Prince earthquake on January 12, 2010, leads me to form the basic conclusion that seawater is permeating through the fault-line and filling the natural depression where the lake(s) is/are – probably increased since the earthquake, much like how the Haida-Gwai hot-springs stopped after the 7.7 magnitude earthquake in November 2012 (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/haida-gwaii-hot-springs-shut-off-by-earthquake-1.1210851).
David in Michigan says:
January 14, 2014 at 9:08 am
The Salrton Sea is probably a bit different. The Salton Sea didn’t even exist until the All American Canal broke in 1905, and for 2 years the entire flow of the Colorado River re-filled the Salton Sink. The last natural lake to occupy the sink was the late Pleistocene Lake Cahuilla…one of several large end-of-Pleistocene lakes that filled the valleys of the Great Basin of which th eGreat Salt Lake is a remnant. The Salton Sea is drying (dying?), as it should to get back to the conditions typical of this nice little interglacial period that the planet is enjoying.
Leon Brozyna says:
January 14, 2014 at 9:08 am
This climate change is so powerful it obviates rational thought. Something terrible is happening; it must be climate change. End of discussion.
Even the obvious isn’t when filtered through the lens of climate change.
It is rather ironic in a way. Classically, as in all the way back to the Greeks, climate was conceived of as a composite of terrain, weather and vegetation. It was the environment experienced while living in a place. It was regarded as a regional geographic property. If the lakes are filling because of deforestation, then the change really IS anthropogenic, and it is a regional change in the climate too. It just has nothing to do with “global climate change.” Just as cities create urban heat islands, converting desert to irrigated agricultural land, and forest to grass land or desert changes climate on local to regional scales. So, yeah, something terrible is happening, it is climate change, and it is caused by human actions, but it is not caused by SUVs and CO2 and has nothing to do with it.
Thank you for showing in a concise and straight post the emptiness, callousness and vileness of this NYT article hidden behind an oh so compassionate tone.
Happy to know that this post will remain here for any NYT reader to re-read and get a better understanding of the reality.
No, it is not deforestation according to NYT, not soil eroding and the resulted sediments washed down by the raging waters.
It is that climate change – that did not really changed in the last 17 years – but the heat hidden in the depth of the oceans since then must have done it.
If the problems are not correctly named the solutions are not addressing the problem.
Would the introduction of high CO2 taxes in the Western World do any help and reduce the water level of Enriquillo lake? No of course not.
Would reforestation help? Probably yes.
But that is not on the “progressives” agenda obviously.
This area is not a particularly safe place to live in under any circumstances. The valley where Lake Enriquillo lies is the local equivalent of the San Andreas fault. It is the border between the North American and Caribbean tectonic plates, and the northern and southern parts of Hispaniola are sliding past each other along the fault .
Reply to Tom O ==> The question of the lake “filling in from the bottom” is one of the major scientific questions, and if you look up a few responses from me you’ll find a link to the master’s thesis from a couple of students from Cornell. They found it difficult to answer this from satellite images (not surprisingly). This area is dry rocky sandy desert hills and steep mountains. Click the link to the NY Times story and see the images….when the tropical storms dump a almost a foot of rain in a day the flash floods drive boulders down the rivers, I’ve watched them take out houses. The boulders probably don’t make it as far as Lago Enriquillo but the sand, soil and smaller stones do.
Reply to Mike Tremblay ==> Yes, the fault line and issues surrounding it are being considered, but not the 210 earthquake, as the problem began to be noticeable back as far as at least 2003 and possibly began before that. Fresh water springs, however, are the suspected culprits, not sea water. Due, I believe, to the distance from the ocean. However, deforestation causing direct additional inflow is still the leading contender.
“Local weather is not climate” but any local changes in water level HAS to be climate change.
Nothing like cherry picking…
Google Earth shows Boca de Cachon at an elevation of -90 feet. One of the lowest places in North America after Death Valley and the Salton Sea. You can see some of the outlying farms on the lake bed to the east at -110 feet being flooded.
A good question is “when was Boca de Cachon founded?”
What kind of moron subscribes to this rot and advertises in glorified campus rag sheets? There are so many news outlets on the internet to check and crosscheck information these days you really have to be lazy to put up this agenda messaging as news. Oh I forgot, lazy and under-informed are still marketing factors involved there.
Reply to TimO ==> If we were having this conversation on Dot Earth, you might have something like “TimO, Phoenix, Az” at the top of your comment, and I could say that this area is a lot like Arizona. Rain the El Sur (the region of the DR we are discussing) depends on the tropical storms of the hurricane season for the most part. Usually they come, sometimes they don’t, and the crops whither and die and the people starve. Far too often they come, boy do they come, and it’s a different kind of disaster, too much all at once. The problem here seems to be that with the deforestation, whatever rain that falls fails to get retained by the soil but instead runs off, taking with it valuable soil, hurrying downhill, and in this case, into Lago Enriquillo. If you use Google Maps you see it doesn’t have far to go, not much distance for the soil and sand to settle out.
FUN NOTE: Lago Enriquillo has salt water crocodiles!
@Kip Hansen – “FUN NOTE: Lago Enriquillo has salt water crocodiles!”
So how did they get there? Crocnados? 😉
Reply to philjourdan ==> I have no flippin’ idea how they got there! (Good question!) Class?
Cry for help! ==> Alright you starry-eyed biologists of the world….how did salt-water crocodiles end up in Lago Enriquillo on Hispaniola? Prize for the first seemingly correct answer == a free copy the the first edition of any book I ever publish (if any).
@Kip, re Salties, from the story, this may be a clue :
“The lakes, salty vestiges of an ancient oceanic channel”.
Remember Salties are an ancient species.
They probably walked there. Crocodylus acutus is the american crocodile. It is native to the Carribean, and so tolerant of salinity it can live completely without fresh water. Lago Enriquillo reportedly has the world’s largest population.
Another gem from the New Scientist! Apparently now urban heat islands also prove climate change.
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn24871-australia-dithers-as-another-heatwave-strikes.html
I am NOT a climate scientist – but recall being amazed when the water level in Lake Victoria (the size of Wales I seem to recall) rose by two metres over only two years in the 1960s when I was resident in Kenya. It then took about forty years to recede to the levels which had existed over the period of 1900 to 1960. Proceedings of the ICE, May 2010, Paper 09-00041 noted a relationship between sunspot activity and lake levels, with a strange disruption over the period 1930 – 1970. It might be worth comparing that experience with events in Hispaniola.
… but the skeptics are winning the debate. (or so I keep hearing)
These days the Warmistas are looking under every rock to discover or fabricate a new crisis or story, as it is their life blood. It’s good to see yet another myth laden misrepresentation being blown out of the water with truthful scientific, on-the-spot reporting.
TonyG:
At January 14, 2014 at 2:42 pm you write
Your tense is wrong.
The skpetics won the debate and their victory was achieved at Copenhagen in December 2009.
It was then decided there would be no successor Treaty to the Kyoto Protocol.
The debate is over but people who benefit from the AGW-scare are trying to keep the zombie AGW-scare moving because it suites their interests. So, skeptics persist in pounding the zombie into the ground because its movements are causing harm (i.e. windfarms, carbon taxes, distorted energy policies, etc.).
Richard
Kate C says: @ur momisugly January 14, 2014 at 1:32 pm
@ur momisuglyKip, re Salties, from the story, this may be a clue :
“The lakes, salty vestiges of an ancient oceanic channel”.
Remember Salties are an ancient species.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
It would be interesting to see if the DNA of these Salties is different than others. They can sort of date when a population was closed of by the number of mutations from common stock.
….
Kip, great article. This is why I read WUWT. There is usually someone around who can give the real story instead of the dreck we get in the news.
Reply to the Salt Water Crocs Issue ==> From the venerable Wiki. “Populations occur from the Atlantic and Pacific coasts of southern Mexico to South America as far as Peru and Venezuela. It also lives within many of the Caribbean islands such as Cuba, Jamaica, Hispaniola, Grand Cayman, Greater Antilles and the West Indies.” “Within the United States, the American crocodile’s distribution is limited to the southern half of Florida .” (where the co-exist with the American alligator) “The habitat of the American crocodile consists largely of coastal areas. It is also found in river systems but has a tendency to prefer some level of salinity, not just tolerance, resulting in the species congregating in brackish lakes, coastal swamps, lagoons, even cays and small islands. Other crocodiles also have tolerance to salt water due to salt glands underneath the tongue, but the American crocodile is the only species other than the saltwater crocodile to commonly live and thrive in saltwater. They can be found on beaches and island formations without any freshwater source, such as some of the many cays and islets across the Bahamas and the Caribbean. They are also found in hypersaline lakes, such as the Lago Enriquillo; one of the largest populations known to exist.”
@kip Hansen, Kate C, and Gail Combs – First I want to thank you for your responses. Although I did not really expect any as the question was both tongue in cheek (reference to the Sharknado movies) and off topic. But you have given a lot of information on the subject, which is one reason I do enjoy this site so much.
I am especially intrigued by Gail’s answer and wonder if there has been a study on the DNA divergence to answer the question of the arrival of the crocodiles in the land locked area. If not, one day I am sure it will be done.
I hope I did not cause any wasted effort due to an apparently failed attempt at a joke.
some days i really love the internet,for every piece of B/S published in the MSM,there are usually hundreds of real experts/eye witnesses on the ground to refute the B/S in spades.
Kip,thank you for an excellent piece,and a big well done for the work you do to improve the lives of others less fortunate than your good self.
Policycritic says:
January 14, 2014 at 9:12 am
Uh. Greed = Demand for bananas.
“…
Oh, and it is 140 feet below sea level.
…”
Oops!
If you have Google Earth you can see what’s happening at the lake — the photomosaic is composed of photography from different years and the changes in the shoreline are very apparent.
Reply to Billy Ruff’n ==> Yes, quite right — and it is clear the the settlements were on mud flats — historic mud flats….but what we can’t see is if the bottom of the lake is coming up due to sedimentation…which I’d like to know….