By Paul Homewood
Originally, it was thought to be the coldest spring since 1962.
Winter? Teesdale in County Durham blanketed in snow on May 23 in what is likely to be Britain’s coldest spring since 1962
According to the Central England Temperature Series, England has just experienced its coldest Spring since 1891. The average mean temperature of 6.87C ranks the 31st coldest on records starting in 1659, and is 2 degrees lower than the 1981-2010 average of 8.9C.
The 5-Year average has dropped to 8.9C, a level commonly seen in the 1940’s and 50’s. Although the cold Spring has been due in large part to the exceptionally cold weather in March, which was the coldest since 1892, both April and May have also been much colder than normal.
| CET | Warmer/(Colder) v 1981-2010 | |
| March 2013 | 2.7 | (3.9) |
| April 2013 | 7.5 | (1.0) |
| May 2013 | 10.4 | (1.3) |
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
The 12-Month running average continues to drop, and at 8.9C is well below the levels seen for the last decade, and 1.0C lower than the 1981-2010 annual average.
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In a few years children living in Brittan will be amazed when they experience rain.
Since CO2 raises the temperatures, and, unfortunately, plants use CO2, why not remove all plants from England; then they will be warmer!!! If they burn all the vegetation, more CO2 and more heat, the best of both worlds…
/sarc
Not sure about others, but I seem to be reading a lot of anecdotal information from people that the part of the world they are living in has been very cold this year. UK, Spain, France (snow in Pyrenees in June?). I also travel a lot with my work – quite a few people in the USA have told me it has been very cold in parts of the USA too, and Canada.
Would it be a worthwhile exercise on WUWT to “crowdsource” all these anecdotes and actually colloate links to the data showing, region by region, whether it is cooler (or warmer than usual). Otherwise, despite all these reports of cold, when the massaged global temperature numbers come out it will apparently still be warming. It would be nice if that were pre-empted.
The minimums of the longer solar cycles are deeper and more severe or colder than the short ones. There are 50- 60 and 110-120 years and even longer climate cycles that emerge from sun/ocean interface. We just came out of the 30 year warm cycle and are now heading into 30 years of colder weather. The 110-120 climate cycles which seem to correlate with periods of low solar sunspot activity last troughed around 1890, 1780, 1670, 1560. and 1450 .These periods could be clearly seen in the graph previously posted by Tony Brown on WUWT web page Significant cooling followed these dates in the past. We are now entering the start of the trough period of this longer 110-120 year climate cycle, like 1880-1910 which tends to be colder than the typical 30 year cool cycle trough. This is the climate pattern that followed a long solar cycle followed by three short but low solar cycles. The year 2015 will also be 200 years since the Dalton Minimum or the end of the 200 year solar cycle which again tends to be deeper and colder than the 60 year or 100-120 year minimums. The December of 2010 , March 2013 and the spring of 2013 are all typical temperatures during the past similar deeper minimums.
Thus the weather will be getting progressively colder for the next several decades. The 2013/2014 winter will be colder than the last winter and the subsequent winter 2014/2015 may be colder still. The winters will stay cooler for the next several decades.
Too right Stephen Wilde…I have been reading your postings on the Climate Realists site for years and confim your previous posts regarding the jet stream.
Damn coooold..
We’ve had two weeks of the warmest weather in europe and I live in Northernest most part of Sweden(okay not really but really far up north). Must mean theres been cold overall in europe?
Although our warmth was exceptional, 29C in the shade on Friday. Wut.
ON a point of order, if you want to discuss CET (which is fine), don’t head up the article with a picture of Teesdale, which is not part of the CET area, but is in fact considerably further north.
I agree, the two are linked, but it’s unscientific and this site is merciless when warmists do similar things.
If it gets any warmer, we’ll all freeze to death….
Also record cold in Paris for the French Open tennis.
Paul Homewood said: “If they had forecast a colder than normal Spring, the 3/5ths would have been below the climatic average, whereas it was sat right in the centre of it.”
Thank Paul,
I think I’m misunderstanding the temperature summary, taking “near average” to mean the middle three fifths (obviously more likely than either the highest or lowest fifth) when perhaps it just means the middle fifth. Or maybe it doesn’t relate to the five categories at all.
Robert Wykoff says:
And the cold weather is fully consistent with and caused by…wait for it….wait for it….
——————————–
Like the kid in class with their hand up “I know. I know. Pick me”……..Climate Disruption. Isn’t it?
In reply to:
RESnape says:
June 3, 2013 at 3:04 am
No matter what the evidence depicts the UK still has a clown, namely Ed Davey (limp wristed Liberal) frothing at the mouth over yet more cuts in Co2 emissions. You know he and his acolytes have lost the argument when they descend into name calling!
William:
I concur with your statement. Name calling is the last resort, used when scientific analysis, observation, basic economics (estimate of costs compared to benefits, limitations of deficit spending, and the public’s willingness to accept massive job losses, for no significant benefits), and engineering reality does not support ones position.
It is difficult to even imagine how global cooling will affect the conversations.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22745578
Critics fear that the measure (William: The ‘Energy Bill’) will make UK power prices uncompetitive and divert investment from other industries. (William: US electrical power costs are 37% less than Europe, the Energy Bill, will make result in economic collapse, not less competitiveness.) They say the UK should not commit itself to a “green” economy while there is no comprehensive global climate agreement obliging all nations to follow suit.
William:
Note basic analysis indicates there is no significant reduction in CO2 emissions from the massive spending on soft green energy: Wind, solar, and biofuel. The only viable option if there was a warming problem, which there is not, is a massive conversion to nuclear power. (See new documentary produced by climate alarmist US news station CNN and converted environmentalists) China is putting two coal fired power plants into service every week; India one per week. The developing world is developing. The UK politicians need to take a trip to India and China. If the EU jumps off the green economic cliff, will the US, China, and India also agree to jump off the same scam cliff? Perhaps the developing world will when Hades freezes over.
http://www.rollingstone.com/movies/videos/environmentalists-go-pro-nuclear-in-pandoras-promise-trailer-20130430
The chancellor thinks the UK’s energy future lies with an expansion of power from gas. (William: That clearly is just blinker type thinking. All green thinking politicians should threaten to jump up and down; followed by sever name calling if there is any more of that crazy talk.)
The speech at a Met Office event in London takes place as 55 organisations from green groups to manufacturing bodies issued a joint statement calling on MPs to vote in favour of the 2030 decarbonisation amendment. (William: Oh dear, is it possible there are some groups that could profit from the green scams?)
It says: “We represent different parts of society but are united in the belief that the Energy Bill represents a major opportunity to put the UK firmly on track to becoming a world leading low-carbon economy, boost employment (William: The EU has the highest unemployment in its history, with four countries facing bankruptcy. It there another alternative to spending money on green scams?) and show genuine leadership (William: The green leaders are the producers of pandaros’ box, at least they acknowledge engineering and economic reality) in the fight against dangerous climate change.”
The list of signatories includes SSE electricity, the Royal Society of Arts and Commerce; Dong Energy; Renewable UK; the Carbon Capture and Storage Association; the Solar Trade Association, the Renewable Energy Association; Business in the Community; the Church of Scotland; the National Farmers Union and the TUC.
An additional 50 organisations have also added their support.
The organisations believe that fixing a clean electricity target will drive investment in renewable industries that will create jobs and wealth in the UK.
RESnape says:
June 3, 2013 at 3:04 am
From your link:
… In a speech, the Lib Dem minister [Davey] will complain that right-wing newspapers are undermining science for political ends …
…The speech [by Energy Secretary Davey] at a Met Office event in London takes place as 55 organisations from green groups to manufacturing bodies issued a joint statement calling on MPs to vote in favour of the 2030 decarbonisation amendment.
I expect the irony of complaining about skeptics ‘undermining science for political ends’ will be lost on Ed Davey as he stands in front of the green groups and other organizations whom the government pays to lobby itself.
Someone commented on skiing in Aviemore a couple weeks ago. Latest I ever skied it (~20 years ago) was late March.
richard verney says:
June 3, 2013 at 12:15 am
the British Government has an eye-popping budget deficit – which it is reducing mightily.
Down in FY 2012-2103 to £120,600,000,000
From – for FY 2011-2012 – £120,900,000,000
SEE –
THREE HUNDRED MILLION POUNDS DOWN!
[stlll borrowing 120 billion . . . .]
Each year is about £2,000 per person that they’ve borrowed.
Which we have to pay back.
So – no money for mitigation.
If the cold happens to kill pesky pensioners – bleeding the state [nearly wrote ‘white’] dry, then the bleeding heart liberals will accept an unfortunate consequence of their monomaniacal obsession with ‘green’ [watermelon green?!] energy.
aND
Mike jarosz says:
June 3, 2013 at 4:30 am
I’m starting to wonder how a country that has survived so long could allow itself to be tortured by a government that thinks the world climate( which they cannot effect) is more important than the quality of life of it’s citizens. Are none of the “finest hour” folks still around? People you don’t have to put up with this crap. Throw the bastards out.
We’d love to – but as the alternatives are Ed – content-free – Milibean and his semi-house-trained Balls of Debts – or the Ineffable Farage, we’re between a rock and a hard place.
The whole system stinks.
Selection, Election [in 70% non-marginal seats], re-election – all now largely in the paws of the functionaries . . . .
Auto
I had my cast iron stove firebox going quite a bit this Spring in the north woods of Wisconsin. It amazes me that anyone wants to limit the use of heating options to save the climate. The discovery of fire was essential to preventing our extinction due to the challenges of climate. My lake was formed by the passing glaciers that also left boulders that are so massive they remain all around our area. It appears the forces of the universe do not wait for man’s proclamations of today.
GavinPartridge says:
June 2, 2013 at 2:06 pm
“The 1962 idea come’s from the UK temperature series – Which only goes back to 1910”
A thought has crossed my mind. Does that UK temperature series recognize that the UK changed from 1922 on, to include only Northern Ireland rather than the whole island of Ireland, along with Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and how, if at all, has this change been taken into account? How do you homogenize such a series, where the geographic coverage changes at some point?
Her Majesty’s civil servants have not always displayed a clear understanding even of the distinction between Great Britain and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. For many years, and possibly even still today (I’ve not had to fill out a UK Landing Card for some time so I have not examined one recently) the UK Landing card asked for an address in le Royaume-Uni in the French translation on the card, but in Grossbritannien in the German translation on the same card. So an address in Northern Ireland should have been included by a French speaker but omitted by a German speaker!
William Astley is quite correct. (June 3, 2.10 am) However, during the ice age proper, Southern Australia did have more rain and Aborigines lived around Lake Mungo that had lots of lakes and water holes, and also the mainland as it now, was joined to New Guinea and Tasmania, as the sea levels were much lower. Also a point that the rain forests were less prominent. In fact most tree cover was reduced in the higher altitudes. Although little glacial cover all but possibly in parts of Tasmania and in the Snowy mountains. Aboriginal dream time stories, relate to the big wave, (tsunami’s perhaps or when the seas started to encroach the land) a volcanic eruption down south (5,000 years ago approximately) and the dingo never reached Tasmania as around 4,000 years ago it had also separated from the mainland. The Gulf of Carpentaria didn’t exist then either, nor Monsoonal weather patterns up North. It changed the economy of the Aborigines. The sea was closer to land, and up North, more wild birds, fish and shell fish to hunt, etc. Most Aboriginal tribes/clans had seasonal camps then and moved closer to the ocean or estuaries. And what we call the big wet, that still affects the Northern regions.
If you study ancient history, the Alps did experience a melt, (1970) when a volcanic eruption covered the ice and snow with brown dust, and this encouraged the melt, uncovering the mummified body of the ice-man. Or Ortzi. He was dated to around 3,500 BC., and had remained covered for approximate 5,000 years.
I also think as posters have mentioned, that Great Britain, also includes the off shore islands and particularly the Hebrides that still have solar nights and days. (I wonder how solar would thrive there).
O/T It is amazing that Tim Flannery has not turned up to 4 Senate meetings and when the coalition run this country cum September, then he will be the first to be sacked.
Early June on the Northern Tablelands. I am sitting in my study, it is 12 Noon, and I admit my hands are cold, but I am rugged up slightly as we don’t heat our house, we let the sun do that, but I can see my breath in the air, especially after drinking a cup of hot coffee. Amazingly, touch wood, I do suffer from rhinitis, but we rarely get colds or the flu. Possibly because as my mum used to tell me in England, don’t go out of the warmth into the cold without sufficient clothes. My GCE ‘O’ levels were presented by one of the team who scaled Everest, and he spoke about how they didn’t get colds in high cold altitudes, but as soon as they returned home, they did. I don’t know why, but I would assume our immune systems work harder in cold weather. Bit of trivia. But if you live in a hot house, then the outside temps will hit you more than if the temps are kept fairly even so your body can adjust well. During the WWII and into the 1950s we had some awful summers and winters. (My Irish mum blamed the atom bombs). Our long school vacation started in mid-late July and went on to early September. We would sometimes joke, about Indian summers, because during our school break the weather was rainy and cold, and come September the weather was great, after we returned to school.
bushbunny says:
————————-
I enjoyed your posts. Reminded me of our long summer breaks in the North of England (and after school building of bonfires for Guy Fawkes night on Nov. 5th).
On the colds though – probably not a whole lot of rhinoviruses above 20,000 feet in the Himalayas. That’s one place where the polymerase chain reaction might have a problem finding a genome – unless Yetis get colds ….
…. (smiley face).
Re Mike jarosz says @ur momisugly June 3, 2013 at 4:30 am
“Throw the bastards out”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Philw(UK) says @ur momisugly June 3, 2013 at 5:03 am
.. an replace with whom exaclty? LibDem, Tories and Labour all have the same policy with regards the ridiculous “Climate Change Act”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
How about UKIP?
James Delingpole: Nadine Dorries wants to be the first joint Ukip/Conservative candidate: good idea
At least you have a viable new party, we Yanks are stuck with the Demi-RATS and ReBOOBlicans.
Hi again, well in Oz, we have the Nationals/Liberals coalition gaining immense popularity in my region, New England, after 10 years of Independent Tony Windsor who lost some when he sided with the ALP/Greens in a hung parliament, climate change/carbon tax and NBN (Optic fibre) but we have a preferential 2 PP voting system, and that can affect who is finally elected. Watch what happens on Sept 14th if not before, we think there will be a coalition (Nats/Libs) government installed. And Tim Flannery is first on the chopping block. Ironically, he lives in a cottage on the edge of Hawkesbury River outside Sydney. I was thinking of buying the place years ago, until I found the only easy way to gain access was by boat. Didn’t seem to worry him when he announced sea level rises, eh? But our debt, is amounting to 30,million dollars PER DAY. That’s more than 1 million dollars per day per capita, including children. The ALP/Greens government are not concerned as they feel our country’s assets can cope with the debt. They’ve mortgaged our country and every citizen who lives there, hoping the mining and carbon tax will fill in the black hole. What a bleedin’ laugh, these jokers who can’t do their sums nor have any idea, that Internationally, China is buying up all our water resources and large farms, and probably is one of our biggest creditors. Debt if not managed, manages you!
bbunny;
Cold has nothing to do with colds, and your math is way off. By a ratio of year/day. The million bucks per capita is annual, not daily.