By Paul Homewood
Originally, it was thought to be the coldest spring since 1962.
Winter? Teesdale in County Durham blanketed in snow on May 23 in what is likely to be Britain’s coldest spring since 1962
According to the Central England Temperature Series, England has just experienced its coldest Spring since 1891. The average mean temperature of 6.87C ranks the 31st coldest on records starting in 1659, and is 2 degrees lower than the 1981-2010 average of 8.9C.
The 5-Year average has dropped to 8.9C, a level commonly seen in the 1940’s and 50’s. Although the cold Spring has been due in large part to the exceptionally cold weather in March, which was the coldest since 1892, both April and May have also been much colder than normal.
| CET | Warmer/(Colder) v 1981-2010 | |
| March 2013 | 2.7 | (3.9) |
| April 2013 | 7.5 | (1.0) |
| May 2013 | 10.4 | (1.3) |
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
The 12-Month running average continues to drop, and at 8.9C is well below the levels seen for the last decade, and 1.0C lower than the 1981-2010 annual average.
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I don’t need to tell any Brits reading this that fuel prices have soared as temperatures have plunged. Here it is in graphical form
http://climatereason.com/Graphs/Graph11.png
Tonyb
Ask EAU researchers to build a new data set – that might work huh?
A comment from Vicky Pope would be interesting in light of her panic driven nonsense linked to above by The Ghost Of Big Jim Cooley.
She even asserts that loss of Arctic sea ice leads to more sunlight entering the water for a warming effect.
More recently it has at last been acknowledged that loss of Arctic ice leads to more loss of energy from the Arctic Ocean to the air.
Will she admit total incompetence?
The comments on the Daily Mail article include this classic. It is so stupid that it’s hard to believe it isn’t a hoax.
‘As others have pointed out, it is the global temperature that is increasing, not necessarilly an increase in all areas but overall an increase. Another product of climate change is unpredictable weather which has been on a massive increase lately with more frequent tornados, hurricanes, tsunamis, etc. I am still amazed that so many people are still claiming climate change is a hoax when most scientists say it is a reality. A lot of scientists who were originally sceptical are now starting to believe in it. A recent report found that 97% of scientific research done on man made climate change over the years pointed to it being real. Despite all the scientific evidence and science community consensus a lot of people are still sceptical. If people have concerns then fair enough but I hope they have researched this properly and aren’t just getting their information from the papers, especially the tabloids.’
– Paul_J , Liverpool, United Kingdom, 01/6/2013 23:46
Sure, you complain it’s cold now. But come August when that British-style 17.5°C heat wave hits and the jumpers come off, you’ll be missing the cold.
BTW, when it was pointed out previously that Britain must have been warmer in the past since the visiting Romans raised grapes for wine, it was said they’re raising grapes now so that can’t be right, except of course that would be with more modern varieties created over centuries of cross-breeding and careful cultivation that likely do better in colder climates.
How are the grapes doing this year?
Similar situation here in Switzerland –
Meteosuisse reports that this Spring had the lowest solar insolation in cities across the country to the North of the Alps (Basel, Zurich and St. Gallen) ever since the homogeneous data series began in 1959.
http://www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/web/fr/climat/climat_aujourdhui/retrospective_saisonniere/Bulletin_climatologique_printemps_2013.html
Across the country, the average temperatures for the 3 mo. period from March through May was between 0.7 and 1.8 degrees Celsius below the 30 y norm (1981-2010). This was the coldest Spring since 1987. We got lots of snow in the mountains last month. There is still plenty of snowpack above 2000m, which is raising the chance for snowslides on the passes and causing rivers to overflow their banks further downstream.
Kurt in Switzerland
Brrr.
goldminor says:
June 2, 2013 at 1:58 pm
Perhaps they should stick to hindcasting. If they get really good at that, then they may be able to build a model that can accurately predict the last 24 hours of weather. Wouldn’t that be useful!!!
================
Odds are that predicting today’s weather tomorrow is more accurate than the Met Office forecast. The entire Met Office can be replaced by looking at the past. If it has rained 10% of the time on say June 5 1900 thru 2012, then there is a 10% chance of rain this June 5, 2013. If it has been sunny 60% of the time, there is a 60% chance of sun this June 5, 2013.
Where the Met Office went off the rails was to assume that climate change meant “warming”, so they built warming into their forecasts, which skewed the results. Now we know that climate change means both warming and cooling, more snow and less snow, more rain and less rain, we can pretty much forecast anything and be right, more or less.
We have had to modify our crop growing for some years now in Wales in the light of colder summers so this is not news as such, but the key is, don’t panic, just adapt to cold weather crops and get used to parsnips, Cabbages, peas and beans and look up old recipes.
I’m still waiting for this projected rise in temps so I can see my MetO approved Mediterranean plants flourish.
I’m still awaiting new research that will link this to arctic sea ice loss and increasing methane levels, come on there must be a correlation there somewhere.
Gareth Phillips says:
June 2, 2013 at 2:59 pm
Leeks!
Symbol of Wales since the Dark Ages Cold Period.
cheshirered says:
June 2, 2013 at 1:55 pm
====
LOL…yes they did
They gave it even odds across the board…..
Hey, Vicky!
The Holocene Climate Optimum lasted thousands of years. The Arctic warmed by up to 4 °C (one study found winter warming of 3 to 9 °C and summer of 2 to 6 °C in northern central Siberia), yet the Greenland Ice Sheet didn’t melt away.
See – owe to Rich says: June 2, 2013 at 1:29 pm
…I thought that a feature of AGW was that one wasn’t supposed to get cold nights?
Richard.
No, that’s Urban Heat Island effect. Cold nights are due to a temporary reduction of TSI when the sun goes down.
It’s a common misconception.
No, no, no! Y’all have it all wrong.
As reported in the reliable and unbiased Huffington Post (ENERGY SECRETARY ERNEST MONIZ: CLIMATE CHANGE IS ‘NOT DEBATABLE’ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/24/energy-secretary-ernest-moniz_n_3332401.html ), our new Energy Secretary, Ernest Moniz, proclaimed at his swearing in:
“I am not interested in debating what is not debatable…”
There! It can’t be colder! Can it? /sarc/
It’s not just England.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/10094497/June-opening-for-French-ski-resort-as-temperatures-plummet-in-Europe.html
“The Pyrenees resort of Porte Puymorens reopened this weekend as plummeting temperatures and rain played havoc with weather across Europe. …………..Slopes were originally shut at the end of the official season in April, but after the coldest spring in France for more than 25 years snow which should have melted weeks ago is still in place.
Ms Pope’s prior certainty, combined with her (presumably) continuing employment, tend to confirm Shaw’s observation with regard to the Professions, and their relationship to the laity 🙂
Although the cold Spring has been due in large part to the exceptionally cold weather in March, which was the coldest since 1892
However globally, the situation for March was very different. Here are the ranks for March on six different data sets. The data sets are: UAH, RSS, HadCRUT4, HadCRUT3, Hadsst2 and GISS. The ranks, based on the assumption that the March anomaly would be the case for the whole year: 9th, 10th, 12th, 12th, 12th and 9th.
Some great stuff from the Met Office blog back in 12 November, 2012.
If we can’t get this latest solar cycle named after Eddy, Britain being an example of the ongoing Minimum, might I suggest:”latest weather gore” or some such???
Winter will soon be a is just a thing of the past. Children won’t know what Winter is.
Express – 8 February 2008
Winter has gone for ever and we should officially bring spring forward instead, one of the country’s most respected gardeners said yesterday……”There is no winter any more despite a cold snap before Christmas. It is nothing like years ago when I was younger. There is a real problem with spring because so much is flowering so early year to year.”
[Dr Nigel Taylor – botanist ]
Guardian, 26 Aug 2006.
“Spring is arriving earlier each year as a result of climate change, the first ‘conclusive proof’ that global warming is altering the timing of the seasons, scientists announced yesterday.”
Hi Homewood, you might want to bookmark these quotes for future reference. They are made by scientists in the past predicting milder winters with less snow. Mentions of spring tool
http://notrickszone.com/2013/04/04/climate-science-humiliated-earlier-model-prognoses-of-warmer-winters-now-todays-laughingstocks/
Proof, if proof were needed, that global warming… etc etc ad on infinitum
“Ultimately, we’re heading into winter and we expect winter to be colder than the rest of the year…” MetOfficeNews
An amazingly intrepid prediction! What profound sagacity! What intellectual brilliance! What deep cognizance! O brave new world, that has such people…innit?
/guess what?