We already are well familiar with the shape of the hockey stick, so familiar in fact it has become an icon.
Josh writes:
It has already been concluded by Marcott et al that their results should now show no modern uptick i.e. no Hockey Stick blade. As Richard Drake notes at Climate Audit the new look graph is like a scythe. An appropriate metaphor for those who are now reaping what they sowed for so many years.
Then of course there is the specter of what happens to humanity when the world cools.
Great cartoon Josh. The likes of Marcott and Shakun, Hansen, Mann etc. might be advised to take a look over their shoulder.
Bloke down the pub says:
April 1, 2013 at 11:43 am
Does he come on an horse called Binky?
The rider of a pale horse is death.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_Horsemen_of_the_Apocalypse#Pale_Horse
. . . Revelation 6:7-8 NIV
Or,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pale_Rider
. . . the Clint Eastwood movie.
——————————————-
Josh, well done!
Skiphil says:
April 1, 2013 at 1:38 pm
——————————
Revkin interviews Shakun. Shakun says:
“Our global paleotemperature reconstruction includes a so-called “uptick” in temperatures during the 20th-century.”
and then he says:
“We showed that no temperature variability is preserved in our reconstruction at cycles shorter than 300 years”
And they wonder why we don’t believe in their “science”.
Blackadder figured it out back in the Elizabethan era:
Josh is on a roll…
phlogiston
April 1, 2013 at 3:01 pm
###
SQUEAK
GoatGuy says: April 1, 2013 at 12:20 pm
… At some point, the Chinese will have to be held accountable for their culpability in the Arctic Ice loss saga. Its not CO2… its just hazes and noctilucent-type cloud nucleation enhancement from overloads of SOx aerosols. Thanks China. Y’ bunch of environmentally irresponsible, face-saving, behind-the-curtain cheating bums. Thanks.
Sticks and stones, GoatGuy. An ice free arctic means the Northwest and Northeast Passages will be open, which saves about 2000 miles when they’re shipping goods from China to Europe and the US east coast. All roses, no thorns from their viewpoint.
Love the smile on the grim reaper Josh, made me laugh out loud!
Oh, THAT scythe! I knew they were calling it a scythe but they didn’t have it oriented that way.
Might I humbly suggest that, for the other side of the story, one check out the FAQ on Marcott, et al at RealClimate. The headline writers at the New York Times are nowhere to be found. After reading the comments above, it would appear most have a beef with the latter and not Marcott, et al. JP
If theres any prospect of an ice free Arctic…WHY THE HELL IS RUSSIA INVESTING BILLIONS IN A NEW FLEET OF NUCLEAR ICEBREAKERS?
Nooooo!!!!
You are going to kick off a whole new round of allegations of “Death Threats” amongst any timid little Australian climate ‘scientists’ who see this cartoon!!
Russia has to use icebreakers to maintain navigable channels in Arctic waters along its Northern coastline. Wikipedia may be a poor source but this is not controversial data and I found it in thirty seconds:
“Russia is planning to start building new icebreakers (Project 22220 or ЛК60Я) after 2010. In June 2008 the head of the state nuclear corporation Rosatom, Sergei Kiriyenko, said “It is important to not only use the existing fleet of icebreakers, but also to build new ships, and the first nuclear icebreaker of a new generation will be built by 2015. This should be an icebreaker capable of moving in rivers and seas”, he said. He went on saying that the Iceberg Design Bureau in St. Petersburg would prepare the design of the icebreaker by 2009.[3] According to the BBC the LK-60 (ЛК60Я) will be the biggest nuclear-powered icebreaker that was ever built.[4] Vladimir Putin said in 2010, Russia builds at least three nuclear icebreakers of the new generation in the period from 2012 to 2020. Sergei Kiriyenko, head of the state nuclear corporation Rosatom ordered the responsible operator Atomflot to build up to three nuclear icebreakers until 2016. The construction of a nuclear-powered icebreaker takes eight years, the battery life is about 25 years and can be renewed. According to the Transport Ministry, Russia needs six new icebreakers in the future.”
For anybody to prattle on about a “ice free Arctic” in spite of such abundantly andinstantly accessible realities to the contrary is like someone shoving their fingers in their ears and going “lalalala I dont hear you lalalal”.
Because an ice-free Arctic isn’t going to last year-round, Wamron.
Obviously…
Anthony, are you suggesting that there is no modern warming trend? That is what your comic there suggests.
Great cartoon — so simple yet says so much.
Eugene WR Gallun
omnologos says:
April 1, 2013 at 11:39 am
How far are we from full glaciation?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
It is not full glaciation that is the problem it is the very bumpy ride on the way down. This is the point that everyone who figures the descent into full glaciation is slow and takes thousands of years misses. Those abrupt temperature changes ( up to 16°C) in a few years are a real witch.
WUWT: On “Trap-Speed”, ACC and the SNR
McClenney has gathered together information from several papers that show the climate can change very abruptly Glacial => interglacial in just one year.
WUWT: Can we predict the duration of an interglacial? Perspective by William McClenney on the paper of the same title by: P. C. Tzedakis, E.W. Wolff, L. C. Skinner, V. Brovkin, D. A. Hodell, J. F. McManus, and D. Raynaud
That paper says that the reappearance of the bipolar seesaw means we have ALREADY made the transition
“…thus, the first major reactivation of the bipolar seesaw would probably constitute an indication that the transition to a glacial state had already taken place….”
WUWT: The End Holocene, or How to Make Out Like a ‘Madoff’ Climate Change Insurer
Many thanks to William McClenney for the information. (I am still busy reading the papers)
“Ryan Gainey says:
April 1, 2013 at 8:16 pm
Anthony, are you suggesting that there is no modern warming trend? That is what your comic there suggests.”
There is no modern warming trend using their data. Their century smoothing resolution is too coarse and the warming at present too brief to be visible.
Nice cartoon Josh.
I need a catch phrase.
Return of the Sythe?
Marcottgate and the Lost Blade?
Blade Ruiner?
Blade in a Sling?
Where’s the Blade?
Where has all the warming gone?
Josh, outstanding.
Let’s hope it doesn’t prove too prescient.
The best and brightest of us should get together and buy madagascar and move there and then just let the rest of the world go to hell in a handbasket.
atarsinc:
At April 1, 2013 at 5:35 pm you say
With no humility of any kind I suggest that
(a)
only a fool would trust anything said on that pseudoscience propaganda blog
and
(b)
an advertisement for that blog from an anonymous source is disingenuous and not “humble”.
Marcott et al. is either scientific fraud or gross scientific incompetence,. There are no other possibilities.
You don’t cite any other possibilities because there are none and, instead, you advertise a climate porn cite.
Have you no shame?
Richard
This cartoon highlights what always puzzled me about the import of this paper. If it’s been as hot in the past as it is now, what’s the big deal?
Yet another occasion Michael Mann could have refrained and a Livescience journalist, Tia Ghose, LiveScience Staff Writer case of being in cahoot:
http://news.yahoo.com/just-theory-7-misused-science-words-173348904.html
“4. Skeptic
When people don’t accept human-caused climate change, the media often describes those individuals as “climate skeptics.” But that may give them too much credit, Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University, wrote in an email.
“Simply denying mainstream science based on flimsy, invalid and too-often agenda-driven critiques of science is not skepticism at all. It is contrarianism … or denial,” Mann told LiveScience.
Instead, true skeptics are open to scientific evidence and are willing to evenly assess it.
“All scientists should be skeptics. True skepticism is, as [Carl] Sagan described it, the ‘self-correcting machinery’ of science,” Mann said.”
==
Marcott that one in my books!
John Parsons AKA atarsinc
richardscourtney says:
I’m “a fool”, that I’m “disingenuous” and that I have “no shame”. And what did I do to deserve this bitter, angry ad hominem barrage? I suggested that folks look at what the authors have to say for themselves. I didn’t say to like it, or even believe it. Just take in the information and make up your own mind. If all you want is the echo of your own voice, by all means look no further. JP
@ur momisugly John Parsons: I’m sure any of us following this story (ie everyone reading this thread) has already looked at the FAQ – AND at the critique of its shortcomings and obfuscations already published in various places, inc at Climate Audit.
As for RealClimate, why would anyone trust a source which routinely censors comments and even legitimate corrections of error, when they fail to support the AGW mantra? This censorship alone renders them redundant, for purposes of information or debate.
Why would any of us wish to read anything on a blog where scientists and skilled amateurs we respect for their dedication to revealing the truth, are routinely insulted and blocked? The posting of this ‘FAQ’ – which fails to answer any of the important questions raised esp at CA – behind the most notorious ‘Team’ censorship wall, already tells us all we need to know concerning its integrity.