You’ve all heard of a religious “grail quest“, I submit what we have here is an ongoing religious “smear quest”.

The cartoonist (John Cook, purveyor of the laughably named “Skeptical Science”) and the psychologist (Stephan Lewandowsky), the two rightmost people in the photo above, are working together again to smear anyone who has doubts about the severity of the global warming. If making up data for a fake correlation (they never polled any skeptics, only friends) to support the idea that climate skeptics deny the moon landing wasn’t enough, now they are going after HIV and AIDS conspiracy theory. Basically, they think because we reject their ability to perform actual statistical science (by polling a representative population of skeptics instead of friends who support their mindset) that we are now engaged in “counterfactual thinking”. I look at it as psychological projection on their part.
Making up data to support your claims is about as counterfactual as one could possibly imagine, but this seems to be just another case of “anything for the cause” I suppose. They must really hate climate skeptics to stoop this low, that’s about the only thing that makes sense, because this surely isn’t about science, but is clearly an emotional issue for them. Meanwhile, rational thinkers stand back and laugh at the show.
Here’s the latest Lewpaper:
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Recursive fury: Conspiracist ideation in the blogosphere in response to research on conspiracist ideation
- 1Psychology, University of Western Australia, Australia
- 2Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Australia
- 3Psychology, University of Zurich, Switzerland
- 4 Climate Realities Research, Australia
Conspiracist ideation has been repeatedly implicated in the rejection of scientific propositions, although empirical evidence to date has been sparse. A recent study involving visitors to climate blogs found that conspiracist ideation was associated with the rejection of climate science and the rejection of other scientific propositions such as the link between lung cancer and smoking, and between HIV and AIDS (Lewandowsky, Oberauer, & Gignac, in press; LOG12 from here on). This article analyzes the response of the climate blogosphere to the publication of LOG12. We identify and trace the hypotheses that emerged in response to LOG12 and that questioned the validity of the paper’s conclusions. Using established criteria to identify conspiracist ideation, we show that many of the hypotheses exhibited conspiratorial content and counterfactual thinking. For example, whereas hypotheses were initially narrowly focused on LOG12, some ultimately grew in scope to include actors beyond the authors of LOG12, such as university executives, a media organization, and the Australian government. The overall pattern of the blogosphere’s response to LOG12 illustrates the possible role of conspiracist ideation in the rejection of science, although alternative scholarly interpretations may be advanced in the future.
http://www.frontiersin.org/Personality_Science_and_Individual_Differences/10.3389/fpsyg.2013.00073/abstract
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For those of you just joining this discussion, and wondering where the claim of “making up data” comes from, it would be instructive to read the WUWT topic section on Lewandowsky to see how truly bad his work really is:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/category/stephan-lewandowsky/
This entry is of particular interest:
McIntyre takes down Lewandowsky’s fabricated statistical claims
Lewandowsky and Cook are engaging in clearly transparent “Punitive psychology”. The technique was widely used in the Soviet Union to incarcerate dissidents in mental institutions. At the University of Western Australia the walls of the prison are not brick or stone, but walls of censorship, confining the dissident to a limbo where no-one will report what they say for fear of being judged mentally deficient themselves.
A good example of this is equating climate skeptics to pedophiles, something else Lewandowsky was involved in (via an ABC radio show, but he didn’t actually make the claim, the announcer did) but note that he’s made the claims about HIV and AIDS here, even before his latest paper was published. Predetermined conclusion anyone?
The man and his apprentice, John Cook, are shameless in their smear quest. But, they are apparently getting paid handsomely; Jo Nova finds that Lewandowsky has received $1.7 million AU in taxpayer dollars since 2007.
One wonders what sort of incident it will actually take before UWA starts to reject this sort of hateful smearing under the guise of “science”. Maybe when the grants dry up they will look at it differently?
But, let’s give Lewandowsky a chance to explain his reasonings in his own words:
This one is also interesting.
UPDATE: Climate Resistance has a pretty good summary of the issue
But self-evidently, it was the opacity of the first paper (LOG12) and its method that led to the bloggers’ speculation. Had Lewandowsky and his researchers been upfront about which blogs they had approached and when and by whom, there would have been no confusion. But on Lewandowsky’s view, speculation about his methodology counts as ‘conspiracy ideation’, which is to say that wondering out loud about whether or not Lewandowsky had done what he had claimed to have done betrays a similar mode of thought that convinces people that the CIA organised the assassination of JFK.
…
Related articles
- The involvement of conspiracist ideation in science denial (psychologytoday.com)
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Pssst…
I know you’ve heard the rumor that AIDS was really concocted in some government lab, but that part about Al Gore having something to do with it surely can’t be true, nor that part about revenge and being jilted by a Swahili- speaking female impersonator, or…
Con artists rely on using intimidation tactics to silence their critics.
Lewandowsky demonstrates this admirably.
It will be interesting to see what Lewandowsky and gang make of Revkin backing away from the cliamte apocalypse cliff….is Revkin now going to be branded a conspircy kook?
cui bono says, etc. Lewandowsky does social psychology. Some parts of psychology (you probably never have heard of) are considered serious science. Social psychology has a hard time as recently two Dutch social psychologists proved to be involved with data manipulation and fraud. Lewandowsky does not make the situation any better.
I think its a good sign that they are going for the ad-hominem approach. It means they are feeling that they are losing.
Anthony, are you sure such crackpots deserve so much attention?
Crackpots.
Peter Miller says:
February 5, 2013 at 8:14 am
“Perhaps more important, why are we even bothering about this? Cook and Lewandowsky are first order cranks and renowned experts in manipulating facts. No one cares what they say or think and they are an embarrassment to the alarmist cause. We should let them gently fade away to be forgotten in well deserved obscurity.”
If Lewandowsky were not a crank paid by the government for this you would have a point.
for fun everyone after George Monbiot said that co2 is worse than atomic waste from power stations. Of course I posted the link below at the end of his article, they ban my comments now so it will not appear.
http://www.omafra.gov.on.ca/english/crops/facts/00-077.htm
massive co2 producing machines for greenhouses,
just had a flick through of the article above, very interesting-
why we need more co2-
“Since photosynthesis normally occurs only during daylight hours, CO2 addition is not required at night. However, supplementation is recommended during cloudy, dull days to compensate for the lower rate of photosynthesis”
A little OT but was Nuccitelli et al. (2012) ever published?
Yes, mpcraig seems to be right. The psycho crackpot doesn’t seem to know what is counter-factual thinking.
Am I understanding this correctly? The argument appears to go like this:
Dr. Lew: I got data from a bunch of blogs and I see that climate skeptics are conspiracy theorists.
Skeptics: Wow. How’d you come up with that? Can I see the data and methodology and try to reproduce the results? Hmm. Your data source is bad.
Dr. Lew: You’re questioning my results? See! Conspiracy theorists!
Maybe I’m oversimplifying? I tend to lose focus when I have to waste time trying to decode words like ‘ideation’ and ‘counterfactual thinking’, so it’s possible I’ve missed something…
As I noted over on the Bishop, the key thing to remember here is that Lewandowsky is a ‘social scientist’, and for the most part ‘social science’ isn’t science.
” … such as the link between lung cancer and smoking … ”
My educated guess is that this is yet another swipe at skeptic climate scientists. AGW promoters love to toss out variations of the notion that Fred Singer rejects a cancer/cigarettes link, as suggested here http://www.desmogblog.com/no-apology-is-owed-dr-s-fred-singer-and-none-will-be-forthcoming , but in this example, the hilarious problem is that our friends at Desmogblog apparently never read their own “smoking gun” evidence. Although the TobaccoDocs material in that blog – the “research paper” link – are now behind a sign-up wall, but I have the link here http://tobaccodocuments.org/lor/92756807-6876.html , which clearly shows Dr Singer’s draft paper saying in plain English on pg 6, “The health risk from smoking is not the focus of this paper… When its review discovered that existing U.S. studies of lung cancer and ETS did not support its position, the EPA arbitrarily reduced the traditional standard of proof; or “confidence interval ” Only by this manipulation could the EPA claim that its analysis was statistically significant”
Ideation. That’s a rich new term for “WTF”, I do believe.
Hmmmm . . . as sanity starts to return to climate science, as data triumphs over computer models, as thought leaders in the field start to climb down from their years of Fear Mongering, these fools are just plumbing new depths of desperation driven by the concept that their time in the limelight is up, their reputations are toast and their careers are over.
Look up “Chuckleheads” in the dictionary and you’ll find that picture.
To be a good psychologist, personal experience are required …
Attack the messenger, not the message. I notice he didn’t try to review any Lindsen papers.
mct says:
February 5, 2013 at 8:15 am
Never a worse time to be an Aussie.
Sorry?
—
Actually, never a worse time to be an Aussie tax payer.
I imagine that “conspiracist Ideation” can be applied to their “skeptic” project as well.
I suppose next they will go after the bacteria theory of ulcers and the “salt is ok” theory and those who push plate tectonics, too. After all, all you need is a poll.
Richard said:
“Since photosynthesis normally occurs only during daylight hours, CO2 addition is not required at night. However, supplementation is recommended during cloudy, dull days to compensate for the lower rate of photosynthesis”
Not true. Only C3 uses C02 only during the day. C4 plants use it at night as well.
As a physician whose early career and research focused almost exclusively on HIV/AIDS I can state with confidence the following: the fact that my reading of the science or lack thereof clearly calls in to question the oft repeated warnings of dangerous global warming driven by anthropogenic CO2 emissions does not in any way impact my firm belief, again based on scientific evidence that HIV is the cause of AIDS, nor does it blind me to the enormous beneficial impact that understanding has had to those suffering from AIDS through more effective therapies and prevention. Perhaps it is more than coincidental that someone so clearly and personally acquainted with psychological dysfunction is also publishing in the area. Unfortunatley a profound lack of insight makes the writings and ramblings more appropriate for a Lewis Carroll novel than a scientific discussion.
Kent Brockman: Mr. Simpson, how do you respond to the charges that petty vandalism such as graffiti is down eighty percent, while heavy sack beatings are up a shocking nine hundred percent?
Homer Simpson: Aw, you can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. Forty percent of all people know that.
They evidently took classes from Diederik stapel:
“from the bottom to the top there was a general neglect of fundamental scientific standards and methodological requirements”
http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2012/11/final-report-stapel-affair-point.html
Mr. Watts (or anyone else),
I am curious to know why you refer to John Cook as a “cartoonist.” I went to SS’s website to look at his c.v. but that was no help (unsurprisingly) .
His c.v. does have some weasel-like language, to wit: “He studied physics at the University of Queensland, Australia. After graduating, he majored in solar physics in his post-grad honours year.”
In this world of résumé-padding, that could mean almost anything— (e.g., he studied physics [for a week before switching his major to art history] ).
Similarly, “he majored in solar physics in his post-grad honours year” does not exactly inspire confidence in his background.
What is the reason for labeling him a “cartoonist?” I’m genuinely curious and would like to use the same label if I can be persuaded of its accuracy.
@ur momisugly John W. Garrett
See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/09/27/skeptical-science-john-cook-embarrassing-himself/
and
http://www.populartechnology.net/2012/03/truth-about-skeptical-science.html
Crackpots? — The “official” psychological term for that is “psycho-ceramic”.