Heaviest Snowfall in a Century Hits Moscow – WWF has logic fail

Snow_100YR_RUSSIA

UPDATE: See a new related story here.

From the Moscow Times

By Roland Oliphant

The heaviest snowfall in a century brought Moscow and the surrounding region to a near standstill and left hundreds of people without power, officials said Tuesday.

And with snowfall set to continue at least until the end of the week, the authorities are bracing for more chaos on the roads.

“There hasn’t been such a winter in 100 years,” Pyotr Biryukov, deputy mayor for residential issues, said Tuesday in comments carried by Interfax. “The snow this year has already reached one and a half times the climatic norm,” he said.

The capital has seen 216 centimeters of snow fall since the beginning of winter, Biryukov said. 

Average snowfall in Moscow is 152 centimeters a year. Biryukov said the city saw 26 centimeters in the 24 hours preceding his Tuesday afternoon news conference and has seen 36 centimeters since the beginning of February.

The heavy snowfall that struck the city Monday quickly led to chaos on the roads. The Yandex Probki traffic monitoring service reached a full 10 points, and on Monday evening it issued the seldom-seen warning that “it’s quicker to walk.”

Read more: http://www.themoscowtimes.com/news/article/heaviest-snowfall-in-a-century-hits-moscow/475102.html#ixzz2K4m8i13z

In a similar story here

The WWF in Russia blames the exceptional winter weather on global warming: 

Whether or not Blinkin is right about the tires, City Hall would be well-advised to give the massive snowfall some serious thought. Scientists say such extreme weather is only likely to increase.

“The weather we’ve seen in the past couple of days completely fits with the tendency that was identified a couple of years ago, that we are going to to see much stronger, intensive bursts of precipitation in the future,” said Alexei Kokorin, director of the climate and energy program at WWF Russia. “In the summer, we will probably see stronger bursts of rain.”

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Gaia is angry, send more money to Pachauri@wwf.ru

Seriously though, the logic fail here by the WWF spokesman is typical for clueless zealots. If global warming caused this snowfall event, what caused the heavy snow 100 years ago when CO2 levels were below Hansen’s “safe” 350ppm?

Inquiring minds want to know.

UPDATE: The popular warmist theory is that reduced summer sea ice causes the enhanced snow effect, and that sea ice reduction is caused by global warming, but it isn’t cut and dried proof. Then there is the months-long lag problem between reduced sea ice and weather.

From a previous WUWT essay by Willis Eschenbach, I repost this graph. Find the correlation between Arctic sea ice and Snow area.

Figure 2. Arctic sea ice area (blue) and Northern Hemisphere snow area (red).  Upper panel shows actual data. Lower panel shows the anomalies of the same data, with the same units (note different scales). The R^2 of the snow and ice anomalies is 0.01, meaninglessly small. The R^2 of the first differences of the anomalies is 0.004, equally insignificant. Neither of these are significantly improved by lags of up to ± 6 months. SNOW DATA ICE DATA

Willis wrote then:

I’m not going to say a whole lot about this graph. It is clear that in general the arctic ice area has been decreasing for twenty years or so. It is equally clear that the northern hemisphere snowfall has not been increasing for the last twenty years. Finally, it is clear that there is no statistical relationship between decreased ice and increased snow.

UPDATE2: Speaking of statistical relationships, here’s a couple.

The graph below plots annual snowfall vs December to April temperature, for all Colorado USHCN stations which have been continuously active since at least 1920.

USHCN_Colorado_snow_vs_temp

The Colorado USHCN Stations plotted are:

BOULDER, CANON CITY, CHEESMAN, CHEYENNE WELLS, DEL NORTE 2E, DILLON 1 E, EADS, FT COLLINS, FT MORGAN, FRUITA, GUNNISON 3SW, HERMIT 7 ESE, LAMAR, LAS ANIMAS, MANASSA, MONTROSE #2, ROCKY FORD 2 SE. STEAMBOAT SPRINGS, TRINIDAD, and WRAY

And for those that would say that is too small a sample size, let’s take it up a notch. Below is all USHCN station temperature for December-April in the CONUS versus snowfall.

USHCN_Snowfall_VS_Dec-Apr

Here is all USHCN stations annual temperature in the CONUS versus snowfall.

USHCN_Temp_vs-Snowfall

Clearly increased snowfall and decreased temperature correlate. The three graphs above were plotted by Steve Goddard.

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Chris B
February 5, 2013 5:15 pm

“Seriously though, the logic fail here by the WWF spokesman is typical for clueless zealots. If global warming caused this snowfall event, what caused the heavy snow 100 years ago when CO2 levels were below Hansen’s “safe” 350ppm?
Inquiring minds want to know.”
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This was the wrong kind of snow?

kim
February 5, 2013 5:19 pm

What caused it? Why Rasputin’s thingie. Hey, it caused it this time, too.
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Chris Beal @NJ_Snow_Fan
February 5, 2013 5:20 pm

Got to love it ,Blame Global Warming on Everything today. When are they going to give in and just say Global Cooling is the cause. Dam Broke Governments and everyone thinks the can get rich like Al Gore did. Party is over and the last ones in the house will go to jail that are not wearing white collars.LOL

Robert of Ottawa
February 5, 2013 5:24 pm

Oh so lame, oh so lame. You probably think this is about you, AGW. WWF into a cloud of snow…
Carley Simons anyone?

albertalad
February 5, 2013 5:24 pm

Go figure! Global Warming snow. Only possibly down the rabbit hole. The Brits are having a fun winter. Here in northern Alberta we’re experiencing more minus thirties than God Himself intended. How do you fight insanity? Where is truth? Who even care about truth anymore outside to the great folks on this site and a few others. WWF? Maybe someone should tell them all that ice on both poles was indeed snow at one time. Or was it Global Warming snow? Heck, now I’m confused.

February 5, 2013 5:25 pm

This is unconventional snow, you know – the kind Global Warming causes – lol.

Robert of Ottawa
February 5, 2013 5:26 pm

I am going to, in public situations, robustly proclaim Global Warming as the cause of whatever the problem is. Do it. Ridicule is the best weapon.

David J. Ameling
February 5, 2013 5:34 pm

I think we are experiencing lake effect snow. That is the less ice coverage in the Arctic ocean the more moisture there is available to produce snow. There is a theory that glaciation did not occur until the South Americam continent ran into the North American continrnt. This forced the Gulf stream north, warming the polar oceans causing more ice free water to produce more lake effect snow. The more snow the greater the albedo and more cooling. More glaciers.

Ben Darren Hillicoss
February 5, 2013 5:35 pm

I was in Moscow 16 years ago, in September, It snow twice in the 5 days we were there in 1996….wasn’t there even more globle warming then??….HHMMM
how can anyone be so short sighted to not see natural variation in the climate…my favorite media weather cast “worst WHATEVER in 100 years” then blame it on CAGW…lord help us

Greg House
February 5, 2013 5:41 pm

If I was a warmist, I would say: “please, guys, we warmists do not say that global warming means always and everywhere, what we mean is an overall trend. There can be snow or record snow or cold waves, all this can happen, we have no problem with that, because we look at the overall trend and still see warming since the 19th century. Therefore your examples do not refute our concept.”

pokerguy
February 5, 2013 5:41 pm

We’re going to have to wait a year or two. They can blame warmth on gw, floods and drought and even localized snow and cold evidently. The one thing they can’t blame gw is actual global cooling. Won’t be long now.

February 5, 2013 5:43 pm

It seems there has been a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event which disrupted the polar vortex and send cold air (normally confined further North) down over Northern Europe. On the other side Canada appears to have missed this and has been exceptionally warm.
It will be interesting to see how things progress from here but one thing’s for sure, extending stronger burts of rain in summer from this event is clueless.

Glen Michel
February 5, 2013 5:49 pm

It only took 12 years of ” elevated”temperatures for this so called record fall to occur. So unremarkable in the context of medium term events. WWF has no sense of perspective; try talking to their foot soldiers sometime and you will quickly gauge their lack of real life experiences.

Pamela Gray
February 5, 2013 5:50 pm

“The Day After Tomorrow” will be revisited. It was funny then. Still funny. Idiots.

February 5, 2013 5:56 pm

Why is Atlantic Ocean moisture dominating N. Hemisphere climate feedbacks? (It is hard for me to imagine that the poorly understood *by me* contrast between a Warm AMO/ Cold PDO would enable such a pivoting of whether phenomena given the expanse of their source regions especially when the Pacific, I am told, is presenting, with its recent el nino, la nina inconstance a general La nada effect (whatever that means)

John Bell
February 5, 2013 6:01 pm

They renamed global warming to climate change to protect for the possiblilty that the climate might cool, and now because weather is always changing then that means that climate is always changing which makes them look correct. We MUST keep asking how climate can change without the intermediate step of warming. We must stop their campaign.

Mooloo
February 5, 2013 6:04 pm

Until recently Wikipedia was crediting Moscow will much less snow than normal, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_of_Moscow while hinting strongly it was due to climate change being particularly strong there. The recent heat waves get a good mention. That is in line with
http://www.climateadaptation.eu/russia/en#climate-change saying mean snow depth is decreasing in the region due to climate change.
But that’s the joy of AGW, isn’t it? It causes less snow, right up to the moment it causes more snow.

LamontT
February 5, 2013 6:07 pm

So let me get this right. It is freezing with more snow than normal in Russia because the climate has warmed. … …. …. Right…. and I have a bridge you can buy.

Mike
February 5, 2013 6:10 pm

What starts out as a joke among skeptics is plagiarized by the warmists as being real.
Global warming is everything. As for pokerbuys comment that “The one thing they can’t blame gw is actual global cooling”, give it time and be prepared to be amazed by how alarmists will prove that global warming causes cooling.

Bob
February 5, 2013 6:12 pm

Harsh winter every century and it is global warming? Lot of snow and I’m sure they are suffering, but I lived east of lake Michigan, so it’s not all that much snow.

Rick Bradford
February 5, 2013 6:15 pm

There is no doubt that Man-Made Global Warming is true — last night I ordered a pizza and there was a clear image of a polar bear visible between the anchovies. What more proof do you need? /sarc

MichaelS
February 5, 2013 6:19 pm

@TimTheToolMan – I don’t know what part of Canada has been experiencing exceptionally warm weather because here in Ottawa we’ve been in a deep freeze since January 21st.

rogerknights
February 5, 2013 6:23 pm

If warmists say, as they sometimes do, that AGW theory predicted these sort of extreme events, the response should be:
Yes, but only later, after more warming had occurred.

geran
February 5, 2013 6:25 pm

Greg House says:
February 5, 2013 at 5:41 pm
If I was a warmist, I would say: “please, guys, we warmists do not say that global warming means always and everywhere, what we mean is an overall trend. There can be snow or record snow or cold waves, all this can happen, we have no problem with that, because we look at the overall trend and still see warming since the 19th century. Therefore your examples do not refute our concept.”
Sadly Greg, the warmists do not “look at the overall trend”. They want to define the “trend”, and then declare it is warming. And, in a global warming “trend”, you would not have recurring “new” record lows.
But, the battle continues because belief systems are not vacated easily.

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