Flu forecasts using weather, not climate

Flu outbreaks predicted with weather forecast techniques BOULDER—Scientists at Columbia University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research have adapted techniques used in modern weather prediction to generate local forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks. By predicting the timing and severity of the outbreaks, this pilot system can eventually help health officials and the general public…

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Speak loudly and carry a busted hockey stick

by Walter Starck (in Quadrant Online) The average temperature for the Earth, or any region or even any specific place is very difficult to determine with any accuracy.  At any given time surface air temperatures around the world range over about 100°C. Even in the same place they can vary by nearly that much seasonally…

Alaska's Columbia Glacier expected to halt retreat in 2020

From the University of Colorado at Boulder more model output, but at least this is a testable hypothesis in the not too distant future. It also points to the fact that there is not a definitive linear relationship between CO2 and individual glacier retreat, if there were, it would continue unabated. The wild and dramatic…