BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012
…SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC…
…TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…32.5N 74.8W
ABOUT 305 MI…490 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST…FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/H…BUT BERYL
SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF
BERYL SHOULD BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE
WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE…HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. THESE TIDES MAY CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING.
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOCAL FORECAST
OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA…GEORGIA…AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 AM EDT.
Just to add to the unlikeliness of it all is that the Georgia coast is one the rarest places for landfall. Most hurricanes start to curve away from the mainland before they get there. This is not to say Georgia isn’t damaged by hurricanes – the rainy remnants of storms can move in from the south or southwest and make a general mess of things.
I think excitement can be a little muted this is only expected to be a Force 8 gale on the Beaufort Scale. Described as: “Some twigs broken from trees. Cars veer on road. Progress on foot is seriously impeded.”
Well, TLH needs the rain, but I hate a blown BBQ, I’m going all Memphis Style this year too.
🙁
This is the 2nd named storm before the Atlantic season officially begins on June 1. Expect stories linking this to global warming…
Once again a name is given to a subtropical storm. Padding the predictions again.
What is it with that area of the Gulf Stream this year?
these are not typical weather days anymore though. weather patterns, unusual heat, unusual cold in places and many other crazy weather patterns are the norm now. this will move inland through georgia and florida. we could use the rain anyways.
MM I see 45 mph there, back when I lived in Cornwall, England we had winds steady at 100 mph and gusts of 120, that took down the national grid for 3 days so this seems mild, if the trees are not used to winds then it may be a problem, the cornish trees often get 45 mph and stay firm but now Im in Ontario that wind with some gusts would have trees down.
OK, so I looked and cannot find. Must be members of the choom gang over at NHC.
If this is what it’s to be like with the new guy in charge, I will do my own forecasting.
When politics meets weather, the public pays. Your insurance rate is figured on the number of “named storms”.
This storm is pretty convenient… Georgia and Florida are about the only places left in the US right now under “exceptional drought” conditions. This weak rain-dropping storm is perhaps the best possible way for an “early hurricane” to happen.
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/monitor.html
It is a SUBTROPICAL STORM not a tropical storm.
Run away! Run Away!
let’s see if the winds ever hit 50
TOM in Florida is right again.
HAH! .. Whatever … When I lived in Fargo, ND, we often played golf in winds that high. Sheesh, give me a break.
Doe this warrant a special posting? 45mph winds are a fine spring day in the UK.
.
Beautiful weather here today but hot and humid as expected at this time of year, scheduled for landfall tomorrow.
Give me a break. When I lived in Fargo, ND, we used to play golf in winds that high. Sheeesh… It’s ALWAYS that windy there.
And the remnents of TD Bud linger off the west coast of Mexico. Typhoon Sanvu arcs across the western Pacific Ocean.
“…SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC…” Excuse me, excepting spelling … What about SW part of N Atlantic… Bizarre error…?
Put a low pressure formation east of the Rockies and a high pressure west, and 100+ mph winds are typical. No storm, just pressure differential evening out. Seems worst Boulder, CO to Laramie, WY; seasonally, April and October. Have to chuckle at the gale/hurricane force winds.
Good -they could use the rain over there.
This seems to be an odd little storm – moving SW — of possible flooding and otherwise of little interest except to those in small boats.
The NWS reports (in all CAPS) includes this oddity:
“.NEXT UPDATE…
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 12 PM EDT…OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.”
12 PM might have been defined by the NWS but I don’t know what that is. In the strict sense of reporting time, these two – 12 AM & 12 PM – are frequently seen, confused except in rare context**, and are equally meaningless and undefined.
**The report this is in was posted at 9:50 AM, so the next update is expected at Noon.
Ask a dozen or so average folks as to what 12 PM means and check how many think that is Midnight. The logic is that 1 PM is an hour after Noon so as the numbers of hours increases to 12, that ought to be the last of the PMs. Not so. 11:59:59+ PM is the largest, then it goes to Midnight.
I’m on the coast of GA , and we could use the rain . The first storm of the season was a joke , not even name worthy , in my opinion . We had a thunderstorm this week that dumped more rain in twenty minutes than that storm did in an entire day .
Dang it! So that’s what happened to our cool weather during May along the mid-Atlantic. I know it’s normal that we hit our first days in the ninetiesF during Memorial day weekend. (Made for miserable Memorial Day parades as a kid in Scouts since we’d stand/march for hours on black asphalt paved streets).
Been nice and cool this year. Humid some days, but easily bearable. All of a sudden the humidity is climbing and the temps are near ninety (32.22C, unless I want to use the CAGW round up confusion, then it’s near 33C). A subtropical low pressure system is driving the South’s already used and discarded moist muggy hot air up to the northern states. Hmmm, maybe after this week’s past news, maybe Penn State needs some more hot air to replace what they’ve used up… Shame it’s not the state pen that needs it, maybe soon… I wonder if inmates are allowed to tweet?
Our NOAA forecast doesn’t show any storm impacts on our area. I wonder what the weather alarum shows are going to say? After last year’s
monster, er,massive, er,huge, er,dangerous, er, threateninghurricane, er, tropical storm I just can imagine how the pretty people doom and gloom shows are going to start off our hurricane season?I was surprised that this was a “B” storm. I guess I missed the terrible “A” storm. Weather service needs to review the “Boy Who Cried ‘Wolf'” story – their posturing could get people killed.