I got a chuckle out of this new buzzword that NOAA has created in this press release: “climate disasters”. Personally, I think they’ve been caught up the disaster hype.
Why?
Well, because the term is undefined. It isn’t even in NOAA’s own glossary of meteorological terms, seen here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/box/glossary.htm or in the main glossary here: http://weather.gov/glossary/index.php?letter=c
The AMS glossary doesn’t define it either: http://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary/search?p=1&query=%22climate+disaster%22&submit=Search
Unable to find term ‘”climate disaster”‘
Nor the Weather Channel: http://www.weather.com/glossary/c.html
NSIDC, that home of that master of disaster “the Arctic is Screaming” Dr. Mark Serreze, doesn’t have it either: http://nsidc.org/arcticmet/glossary/
Why, even the National Climatic Data Center, author of this press release, doesn’t have it:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/ctl/glossary.html
So what is a “climate disaster”? Something apparently just made up on the spot to sound scary to apply to the “weather is not climate unless we say it is” meme.
NOAA: 2011 a year of climate extremes in the United States
NOAA announces two additional severe weather events reached $1 billion damage threshold, raising 2011’s billion-dollar disaster count from 12 to 14 events
January 19, 2012
Selected Annual Climate Records for 2011 – Green dots show the wettest, yellow dots the driest, red dots the warmest and blue dots the coolest records.High Resolution (Credit: NOAA)
According to NOAA scientists, 2011 was a record-breaking year for climate extremes, as much of the United States faced historic levels of heat, precipitation, flooding and severe weather, while La Niña events at both ends of the year impacted weather patterns at home and around the world.
NOAA’s annual analysis of U.S. and global conditions, conducted by scientists at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center, reports that the average temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 53.8 degrees F, 1.0 degree F above the 20th century average, making it the 23rd warmest year on record. Precipitation across the nation averaged near normal, masking record-breaking extremes in both drought and precipitation.
On a global scale, La Niña events helped keep the average global temperature below recent trends. As a result, 2011 tied with 1997 for the 11th warmest year on record. It was the second coolest year of the 21st century to date, and tied with the second warmest year of the 20th century.
Key highlights of the report include:
U.S. weather and climate disasters
- NOAA has identified two additional events in 2011 that caused an economic impact of $1 billion or greater, bringing the total number of major billion-dollar weather and climate disasters to 14 (not including the pre-Halloween snowstorm in the Northeast, which is still being analyzed).
From extreme drought, heat waves and floods to unprecedented tornado outbreaks, hurricanes, wildfires and winter storms, a record 14 weather and climate disasters in 2011 each caused $1 billion or more in damages — and most regrettably, loss of human lives and property.High Resolution (Credit: NOAA)
- Tropical Storm Lee, which made landfall on the Gulf Coast on September 2, caused wind and flood damage across the Southeast, but considerably more damage to housing, business and infrastructure from record flooding across the Northeast states, especially Pennsylvania and New York. The storm occurred in an area that had experienced high rainfall from Hurricane Irene barely a week earlier.
- A Rockies and Midwest severe weather outbreak, which occurred July 10-14, included tornadoes, hail and high winds. Much of the damage was from wind, hail, and flooding impacts to homes, business, and agriculture.
Nationally
- Warmer-than-normal temperatures were anchored across the South, Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. Delaware had its warmest year on record, while Texas had its second warmest year on record. The U.S. has observed a long-term temperature increase of about 0.12 degrees F per decade since 1895.
- Summer (June-August) 2011 was the second warmest on record for the Lower 48, with an average temperature of 74.5 degrees F, just 0.1 degree F below the record-warm summer of 1936. The epicenter of the heat was the Southern Plains, where Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas all had their warmest summer on record. The 3-month average temperatures for both Oklahoma (86.9 degrees F) and Texas (86.7 degrees F) surpassed the previous record for warmest summer in any state.
- With the exception of Vermont, each state in the contiguous U.S. had at least one location that exceeded 100 degrees F. Summertime temperatures have increased across the U.S. at an average rate of 0.11 degrees F per decade. Much of this trend is due to increases in minimum temperatures (“overnight lows”), with minimum temperature extremes becoming increasingly commonplace in recent decades.
- Despite a “near normal” national precipitation average, regional precipitation outcomes varied wildly. Texas, ravaged by exceptional drought for most of 2011, had its driest year on record. In contrast, seven states in the Ohio Valley and Northeast — Connecticut, Indiana, Kentucky, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania — had their wettest year on record.
- The past nine years have been particularly wet across the Northeast region – since 2003, the annual precipitation for the region is 48.96 inches, 7.88 inches above the 20th century average. Precipitation averaged across the U.S. is increasing at a rate of about 0.18 inches per decade.
- Precipitation extremes and impacts were most prevalent during spring (March – May) 2011. Across the northern U.S., ten states were record wet, and an additional 11 states had spring precipitation totals ranking among their top ten wettest. These precipitation extremes, combined with meltwater from a near-record snow pack, contributed to historic flooding along several major rivers across the central United States.
- Meanwhile, drought rapidly intensified in the southern Plains, where Texas had only 2.66 inches of precipitation, its driest spring on record. This led to record breaking drought and wildfires, which devastated the southern Plains. Following 2010, during which drought across the country was nearly erased, the 12 percent of the continental U.S. in the most severe category of drought (D4) during July 2011 was the highest in the U.S. Drought Monitor era (1999-2011).
- The spring brought a record breaking tornado season to the United States. Over 1,150 tornadoes were confirmed during the March-May period. The 551 tornado-related fatalities during the year were the most in the 62-year period of record. The deadliest tornado outbreak on record (April 25-28th) and the deadliest single tornado (Joplin, Missouri) contributed to the high fatality count.
Globally
- This year tied 1997 as the 11th warmest year since records began in 1880. The annual global combined land and ocean surface temperature was 0.92 degrees F above the 20th century average of 57.0 degrees F. This marks the 35th consecutive year, since 1976, that the yearly global temperature was above average. The warmest years on record were 2010 and 2005, which were 1.15 degrees F above average.
- Separately, the 2011 global average land surface temperature was 1.49 degrees F above the 20th century average of 47.3 degrees F and ranked as the eighth warmest on record. The 2011 global average ocean temperature was 0.72 degrees F above the 20th century average of 60.9 degrees F and ranked as the 11th warmest on record.
- Including 2011, all eleven years of the 21st century so far (2001-2011) rank among the 13 warmest in the 132-year period of record. Only one year during the 20th century, 1998, was warmer than 2011.
- La Niña, which is defined by cooler-than-normal waters in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean that affects weather patterns around the globe, was present during much of 2011. A relatively strong phase of La Niña opened the year, dissipated in the spring before re-emerging in October and lasted through the end of the year. When compared to previous La Niña years, the 2011 global surface temperature was the warmest observed.
- The 2011 globally-averaged precipitation over land was the second wettest year on record, behind 2010. Precipitation varied greatly across the globe. La Niña contributed to severe drought in the Horn of Africa and to Australia’s third wettest year in its 112-year period of record.
- Arctic sea ice extent was below average for all of 2011, and has been since June 2000, a span of 127 consecutive months. Both the maximum ice extent (5.65 million square miles on March 7th) and the minimum extent (1.67 million square miles on September 9th) were the second smallest of the satellite era.
- For the second year running, NCDC asked a panel of climate scientists to determine and rank the year’s ten most significant climate events, for both the United States and for the planet, to include record drought in East Africa and record flooding in Thailand and Australia. The results are at http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/climate-monitoring.
Scientists, researchers and leaders in government and industry use NOAA’s monthly and annual reports to help track trends and other changes in the world’s climate. This climate service has a wide range of practical uses, from helping farmers know what and when to plant, to guiding resource managers’ critical decisions about water, energy and other vital assets.
NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources.
h/t to Dr. Ryan Maue
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OK. How about a “NOAA”? Defined as an individual or an entity masquerading as scientific but being in reality a dishonest self-serving fearmongering extortionist.
Or it could also be used as a verb. Like they really NOAA about AGW, don’t they?
Another ‘scientific’ story on climate disasters got published today as well … what a coincidence!
http://www.popsci.com/node/59882/?cmpid=enews011912&spPodID=020
I wonder what the correlation is if you regressed the combined wettest and driest US data versus lat. / lon.? Seems odd most of them would group right along the line from Texas through New England.
Just had this forwarded to me:
An Interior spokesman said the White House would release more details this afternoon.
NOAA conducts oversight of marine mammals, some endangered species and offshore oil and gas drilling and other coastal developments. While NOAA has no organic legislation, it was not immediately clear whether the president would need congressional approval for the move.
“As it turns out, the Interior Department is in charge of salmon in fresh water, but the Commerce Department handles them in saltwater,” Obama said this afternoon, echoing a joke he delivered at last year’s State of the Union speech. “No business or nonprofit leader would allow this kind of duplication or unnecessary complexity in their operations. So why is it OK in our government? It’s not. It has to change.”
Obama asked Congress to grant him authority that past presidents, as recently as Ronald Reagan, have received in order to streamline and consolidate government agencies.
“Let me be clear: I will only use this authority for reforms that result in more efficiency, better service and a leaner government,” he said.
Previous administrations have had discussions about moving NOAA to Interior to create one resource agency. But NOAA officials in the past have quietly opposed the idea. NOAA has some autonomy within the Commerce Department, and the agency’s leaders could have less control when under a new department.
Some oceans advocates have feared what would happen to the agency if swallowed into Interior, which carries the dual mandate to protect and develop the nation’s resources.
Obama proposed merging into one agency Commerce’s core business and trade functions, the Small Business Administration, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, the Export-Import Bank, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation and the U.S. Trade and Development Agency.
Reporters Allison Winter and Jason Plautz contributed.
Steve Glomb, Director
Office of Restoration and Damage Assessment
U.S. Department of the Interior
phone and e-mail redacted
The word “disaster” only applies to people. The climate is just the climate. Just like the weather or the waves in the ocean. What is wrong with these people that they must anthropomorphize everything? I thought we’d gotten past the stage where people were at the center of the universe. Apparently not.
1. WHITE HOUSE:
Parts of NOAA to be transferred to Interior
Sorry, cut and paste is above my current skill level
Phil Taylor, E&E reporter
Published: Friday, January 13, 2012
Elements of the Commerce Department agency that oversees everything from daily weather forecasts to storm warnings, climate monitoring and fisheries management would be transferred to the Interior Department under an ambitious plan of government consolidation announced by the president today.
In an address, President Obama proposed merging six government agencies that primarily oversee business and trade into one, a move designed to “help businesses grow, save businesses time and save taxpayer dollars.”
As part of the plan, some functions of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration would be transferred to Interior, an agency charged with managing energy development, recreation, wildlife and other resources on roughly one-fifth of the nation’s land and virtually all of its oceans.
A White House spokesman today said the president intends to merge “elements” of NOAA into Interior.
An Interior spokesman said the White House would release more details this afternoon.
NOAA conducts oversight of marine mammals, some endangered species and offshore oil and gas drilling and other coastal developments. While NOAA has no organic legislation, it was not immediately clear whether the president would need congressional approval for the move.
“As it turns out, the Interior Department is in charge of salmon in fresh water, but the Commerce Department handles them in saltwater,” Obama said this afternoon, echoing a joke he delivered at last year’s State of the Union speech. “No business or nonprofit leader would allow this kind of duplication or unnecessary complexity in their operations. So why is it OK in our government? It’s not. It has to change.”
Obama asked Congress to grant him authority that past presidents, as recently as Ronald Reagan, have received in order to streamline and consolidate government agencies.
“Let me be clear: I will only use this authority for reforms that result in more efficiency, better service and a leaner government,” he said.
Previous administrations have had discussions about moving NOAA to Interior to create one resource agency. But NOAA officials in the past have quietly opposed the idea. NOAA has some autonomy within the Commerce Department, and the agency’s leaders could have less control when under a new department.
Some oceans advocates have feared what would happen to the agency if swallowed into Interior, which carries the dual mandate to protect and develop the nation’s resources.
Obama proposed merging into one agency Commerce’s core business and trade functions, the Small Business Administration, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, the Export-Import Bank, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation and the U.S. Trade and Development Agency.
Reporters Allison Winter and Jason Plautz contributed.
Steve Glomb, Director
Office of Restoration and Damage Assessment
U.S. Department of the Interior
“Precipitation across the nation averaged near normal, masking record-breaking extremes in both drought and precipitation.”
Be afraid, be very afraid….. It’s “near normal”….
I think NOAA has become near nutz….
The Sahara desert is a climate disaster. Ice ages are climate disasters. The rest is just weather.
But…but…It was a disaster! We must do something now!
(And barring actually doing anything, we’ll have to study it more and more so send us money. Lots of money. And, just to be safe, you folks better stop doing anything that actually, you know, makes money. To help with that endeavor, we’ll start by putting a halt to the use of any carbon based energy source.)
***
But seriously, do they index the dollar amounts related to these disasters? Or can what was an awful but ordinary event in the past suddenly become a modern day disaster due to inflation? (If there’s no indexing, can we blame Ben Bernake for the increasing number of disasters?)
This kind of sophistry goes on all the time. It is a political game so don’t play.
In 2005 1 disaster cost $81Billion! Of course Hurricane Katrina was also caused by GlobalWarmingChangeDisasterDestruction!
Climate = the average of Weather over a 10 year period (last I heard).
I’m also guessing that the “climate” referred to here is for the global average?
Oh, what a sudden (averaged) disaster it must be.
Hmmm, does the impact (damage) of the climate also get averaged over a 10 year period over a global surface area scale?
Curiousgeorge said @ur momisugly January 19, 2012 at 3:14 pm
How about: “Mann is the mismeasurer of all things.”
But Kevin Trenberth, director of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., which is a consortium of universities, said it’s hard not to see the hand of man-made global warming behind the extremes.
“Where these events occur is largely driven by natural variability, but the fact that they are breaking records and causing tremendous damage when they do occur is undoubtedly because of the human stimulus,” Trenberth said in an email.
http://www.krgv.com/news/world-not-quite-as-hot-in-2011-ranks-11th-warmest1
From NOAA’s perspective, I believe the CG email release was a “climate disaster.”
Nolene,
That’s the same Kevin Trenberth who wanted to turn the null hypothesis on its head, and make scientific skeptics prove a negative. Nothing occurring now is outside the parameters of natural variability – the null hypothesis – therefore Trenberth’s imaginary alternative hypothesis fails.
But Kevin Trenberth, director of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., which is a consortium of universities, said it’s hard not to see the hand of man-made global warming behind the extremes.
========================
I thought they were trying to ban religion in schools…………….
OCEANS ORGANIZATIONS WITHOUT OCEANS ANALYSIS DATAS: During February 2009, through faxes, letters & E-mails requested to 25 OCEANS ORGANIZATIONS including NOAA for a copy of OCEANS ANALYSIS DATA. Non of them HAD IT SO NON OF THEM REPLIED. The requsted data was for submitting a paper named ” Mushrooming of Desalination Systems in the M..E. & Environmental Disasters Around the World ” to be submitted to DUBROVINIK- 2009 Conference, Corazia.
Without OCEANS Analysis data what types of OCEANS Management Organizations these are?. Publishing a book soon in USA ” Environmental Rapes & H.R. Abuses Lead to Climate Change Control” ( full color- 500 pages )
“Over 1,150 tornadoes were confirmed during the March-May period. ”
Improved detection, IMHO.
@Dale Rainwater. Maue – What we heard today and what we can expect to hear during the upcoming AMS meeting is just more alarmist propaganda served by the “leadership” of NOAA/NWS to justify the Weather Ready Nation initiative (see http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/08/17/noaas-weather-ready-nation/). Extreme is what NOAA defines it to me, apparently. Nothing grounded in science here, just another attempt at milking the taxpayer for more union jobs.
Weather is not climate (except when they say it is), but weather disasters are all climate disasters.
Al Gored says:
January 19, 2012 at 2:53 pm
OK. How about a “NOAA”? Defined as an individual or an entity masquerading as scientific but being in reality a dishonest self-serving fearmongering extortionist.
Or it could also be used as a verb. Like they really NOAA about AGW, don’t they?
=========================
How about a NOAA Award (as in Noah’s Ark) … for hot cold flood drought alarmism?
So what is a “climate disaster”?
I guess NOAA applies the Justice Potter Stewart standard for obscenity, which is that it’s undefinable, but “I know it when I see it.”
Selective application of science driven by an unhealthy mix of politics, paranoia, and public relations. Now, that’s obscene.
Just curious, is the $1 billion damage threshold assessed on whether the damage is repaired by Government or private contractors?
So they went from 12 to 14… that makes sense…
After all, in NOAA’s world, it’s all two by two.
Anyway, if they’re not taking into account both inflation and increased population density in vulnerable areas, then the numbers are completely meaningless.