It's Worse Than We Thought… Again… "Warming may be irreversible by 2017"

Ed Mertin says:
December 6, 2011 at 11:03 pm
@ur momisugly Middleton
The Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program ‘find eruptions by date’ was inoperable for months. Now if you go in there the 1930s are much different. Much less eruptions and VEI levels than what I found before.
Personally, I think you’re nonsense.

My advice to you, is to stop reading Velikovsky, take a few semesters of geology and invest in one of these.
Go to Find a Volcano by Eruption Date and enter “Any Month” for specific years.
Just a random sampling…
1901 There were 29 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1915 There were 36 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1924 There were 44 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1931 There were 35 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1933 There were 49 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1935 There were 42 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1937 There were 43 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1939 There were 50 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1946 There were 38 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1958 There were 54 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1964 There were 55 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1977 There were 64 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1985 There were 54 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
1996 There were 59 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
2007 There were 72 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
2011 There were 56 volcanoes that had confirmed eruptions during this time.
Which volcanic eruptions of the 1930’s have been hidden from the public?
NGDC also maintains a volcano database. It shows 257 Significant Volcanic Events from 1901-2011 (an average of 23 per decade, standard deviation of 5). One decade exceeded 1 SD, the 1980’s (35) and two decades fell below 1 SD, the 1920’s (17) and the 1930’s (16). Is the NGDC also suppressing volcanic eruptions of the 1930’s? How about the 1920’s?
1901 to 1910 : 22 Significant Volcanic Events
1911 to 1920 : 23 Significant Volcanic Events
1921 to 1930 : 17 Significant Volcanic Events
1931 to 1940 : 16 Significant Volcanic Events
1941 to 1950 : 20 Significant Volcanic Events
1951 to 1960 : 28 Significant Volcanic Events
1961 to 1970 : 25 Significant Volcanic Events
1971 to 1980 : 35 Significant Volcanic Events
1981 to 1990 : 24 Significant Volcanic Events
1991 to 2000 : 24 Significant Volcanic Events
2001 to 2010 : 23 Significant Volcanic Events

Faraz says:
December 8, 2011 at 1:47 pm
Global warming is already showing its impact. In the last decade vivid climate change has happened. The whole world have witnessed the disasters in different countries which are basically the impacts of climate change. Various factors are involved for the change in climate system which are called climate forcing mechanisms. These are broadly speaking climate change causes.

That’s so far off the mark, that it’s not even wrong…

FEBRUARY 10, 2011
The Weather Isn’t Getting Weirder
The latest research belies the idea that storms are getting more extreme.
By ANNE JOLIS
Last week a severe storm froze Dallas under a sheet of ice, just in time to disrupt the plans of the tens of thousands of (American) football fans descending on the city for the Super Bowl. On the other side of the globe, Cyclone Yasi slammed northeastern Australia, destroying homes and crops and displacing hundreds of thousands of people.
Some climate alarmists would have us believe that these storms are yet another baleful consequence of man-made CO2 emissions. In addition to the latest weather events, they also point to recent cyclones in Burma, last winter’s fatal chills in Nepal and Bangladesh, December’s blizzards in Britain, and every other drought, typhoon and unseasonable heat wave around the world.
But is it true? To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.
As it happens, the project’s initial findings, published last month, show no evidence of an intensifying weather trend. “In the climate models, the extremes get more extreme as we move into a doubled CO2 world in 100 years,” atmospheric scientist Gilbert Compo, one of the researchers on the project, tells me from his office at the University of Colorado, Boulder. “So we were surprised that none of the three major indices of climate variability that we used show a trend of increased circulation going back to 1871.”
In other words, researchers have yet to find evidence of more-extreme weather patterns over the period, contrary to what the models predict. “There’s no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather,” adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher.
[…]
WSJ

Abstract
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR) project is an international effort to produce a comprehensive global atmospheric circulation dataset spanning the twentieth century, assimilating only surface pressure reports and using observed monthly sea-surface temperature and sea-ice distributions as boundary conditions. It is chiefly motivated by a need to provide an observational dataset with quantified uncertainties for validations of climate model simulations of the twentieth century on all time-scales, with emphasis on the statistics of daily weather.
[…]
It is anticipated that the 20CR dataset will be a valuable resource to the climate research community for both model validations and diagnostic studies. Some surprising results are already evident. For instance, the long-term trends of indices representing the North Atlantic Oscillation, the tropical Pacific Walker Circulation, and the Pacific–North American pattern are weak or non-existent over the full period of record. The long-term trends of zonally averaged precipitation minus evaporation also differ in character from those in climate model simulations of the twentieth century. Copyright © 2011 Royal Meteorological Society and Crown Copyright.
Compo et al., 2011. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137: 1–28. DOI:10.1002/qj.776

“So we were surprised that none of the three major indices of climate variability that we used show a trend of increased circulation going back to 1871.”
Figure 16 from Compo et al., 2011.
“The three major indices of climate variability” show no evidence that climate change is having any effect on extreme weather events…
Which makes sense… Because there is no evidence that climate extremes are increasing either…
NOAA Climate Extremes Index
If we’ve had significant climate change over the last 150 years, the Köppen Climate Classification Map should reflect those changes… Right?
1901-1925 Köppen Climate Classification Map
1951-2000 Köppen Climate Classification Map
I’m sure that if I printed these maps out at full scale and overlaid them on a light table, I could see some differences because climate is always changing… But, eyeballing it, I don’t see much difference between the early 20th century vs. mid-late 20th century climates.