Dr. Jeff Masters gets caught up in the full on media stupidity

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45229295/ns/us_news-christian_science_monitor/t/warming-temps-eyed-factor-alaska-storm/

click for the original story

The major winter storm in Alaska mentioned overnight on WUWT, while weaker than the previous record storm 1974, gets pegged as being “aided and abetted by global warming”:

While the storm is weaker than the ’74 event, it appears to fit into a long-term pattern with a global-warming connection.

Dr. Masters notes that several studies over the past several years have documented an increase in the number of these intense wintry storms in the northern hemisphere over the past century, with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s, as the global climate has warmed.

With this sort of “journalism” it will soon come to pass that any significant weather event, anytime, will be connected to global warming climate change climate disruption. Sheesh, the stupid, it burns.

And where’s the proof? There is none, it is pure speculation, and not even good speculation at that.And as we see time and time again, when somebody speculates on these events, the analysis shows otherwise.

  • Tornadoes linked to global warming-  FALSE
  • Hurricanes linked to global warming-  FALSE
  • Flooding linked to global warming-  FALSE
  • Increased deaths due to storminess in the era of global warming- FALSE

I’ve said it before, and it bears repeating: how do we know the number and intensity measurements of storms aren’t due to reporting bias? 100 years ago, if when such a storm rolled in, did we have satellites, weather networks, and insta-launch web opinion to tell us it was connected to warming coming out of the little ice age? No. Were we even aware of such storms? Maybe – weeks or months later, if they got reported at all.

And what about this statement?

Dr. Masters notes that several studies over the past several years have documented an increase in the number of these intense wintry storms in the northern hemisphere over the past century, with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s, as the global climate has warmed.

What happened in the 1960’s? Weather satellites, and weather monitoring was standardized in Alaska, thanks to it becoming the 49th state in 1959.

And what’s on the NWS page for Alaska today? Nothing about it being related to global warming, nor “worst ever” nor “epic”, like we see in the media today. For the NWS in Alaska, it seems to be just another big winter storm.

This bears repeating: Why it seems that severe weather is “getting worse” when the data shows otherwise – a historical perspective

Tell writer Pete Spotts what you think of this here

h/t to WUWT reader A. Scott

UPDATE: 11/09/2011 7PM PST

Commenter Phillip Bradley writes:

…while midlatitude cyclone activity generally decreased from 1960 to the early 1990s, in agreement with previous studies. New findings include the following. 1) The number and intensity of cyclones entering the Arctic from the midlatitudes has increased, suggesting a shift of storm tracks into the Arctic, particularly in summer. 2) Positive tendencies of midlatitude cyclone activity before and after the 1960–93 period of decreasing activity.

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017%3C2300%3ACAIVOA%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Masters’ claim of,

…an increase in the number of these intense wintry storms in the northern hemisphere over the past century, with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s

Looks to be false.

I examined the paper and made this excerpt from Zhang et al 2004:

Doesn’t look like any significant trend to me. They write in the paper:

The trajectory counts of cyclones originating in the two regions also show signatures consistent with the CAI variability in the Arctic region (Fig. 11b). Specifically, there was a generally increasing tendency from 1955 to 1980 and a decreasing tendency after 1980 for both types of cyclones.

UPDATE2: 7:45PM PST – The NWS is now making claims of a Cat3 hurricane equivalent in this KTUU-TV news story:

Really? Where?

One the places cited in many news stories as being a problem spot is Kivalina. There’s not even any Cat1 winds there: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/PAVL.html

And Weather Underground sure doesn’t look all that bad, no hurricane force winds on this map:

The worst I found was Tin City, which briefly had Cat1 level winds:

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/PATC.html

UPDATE3: 8:15PM PST – the climb-down, no Cat 3 hurricane here:

Earlier today (see comment from John below for full text)

932 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

…ALASKA WEST COAST TO BE HIT BY ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE BERING

 SEA STORMS ON RECORD…

A POWERFUL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM OF NEAR RECORD OR

 RECORD MAGNITUDE IS BEARING DOWN ON THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA.

Now…

WWAK82 PAFG 100330 SPSWCZ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK

630 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011 

...

...STRONG STORM CONTINUES TO BUFFET WESTERN ALASKA...

THE STRONG STORM WHICH HAS BEEN BATTERING WESTERN ALASKA MOVED

NORTH OF THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA LATE WEDNESDAY AND IS ONLY SLOWLY

WEAKENING. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CURVE NORTHWEST REACHING

WRANGELL ISLAND LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE HARD HITTING WEATHER WITH THIS STORM IS FAR FROM OVER AS SEA

LEVELS RISE EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING OVER NORTON SOUND...THE BERING

STRAIT...AND THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM POINT HOPE

SOUTH. WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY.

THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS OF TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY HAVE

DIMINISHED TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH...BUT

THIS DIRECTION FAVORS MUCH MORE MOVEMENT OF SEA WATER INTO THE

COASTAL COMMUNITIES RAISING THE WATER LEVEL SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE

THE TIDES.

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS SO FAR:

BUCKLAND........56 MPH AT  316AM WED

CAPE LISBURNE...81 MPH AT  700AM WED

CAPE ROMANZOF...60 MPH AT  300AM WED

DEERING.........61 MPH AT  319AM WED

EMMONAK.........62 MPH AT 1100PM TUE

GAMBELL.........74 MPH AT  600PM TUE

GOLOVIN.........64 MPH AT 1200AM WED

KIANA...........54 MPH AT  715AM WED

KIVALINA........71 MPH AT  323AM WED

KOTZEBUE........74 MPH AT  600AM WED

KOYUK...........41 MPH AT  800AM WED

MARSHALL........64 MPH AT 1100PM TUE

NOATAK..........62 MPH AT 1036AM WED

NOME............61 MPH AT  900PM TUE

NOORVIK.........67 MPH AT  423AM WED

POINT HOPE......78 MPH AT  500AM WED

RED DOG MINE....48 MPH AT  935AM WED

SAINT MARYS.....61 MPH AT  900PM TUE

ST MICHAEL......68 MPH AT 1200AM WED

SAVOONGA........76 MPH AT  700PM TUE

SCAMMON BAY.....72 MPH AT  800PM TUE

SHAKTOOLIK......64 MPH AT  115AM WED

SHISHMAREF......57 MPH AT 1216AM WED

SHUNGNAK........69 MPH AT  900AM WED

TELLER..........71 MPH AT  600AM WED

TIN CITY........85 MPH AT 1200AM WED

UNALAKLEET......66 MPH AT 1200AM WED

WALES...........89 MPH AT  142AM WED
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Leon Brozyna

When you look at the current hurricanetropical storm season, are we to blame the low number of hurricanes, compared to the high number of tropical storms, on climate change?

It must make Dr. Masters feel better to make such a pronouncement in the face of mounting evidence to the contrary. I can see no other reason…for if it were thought out, such a statement would never be made. “with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s, as the global climate has warmed.” Or, as the population of hippies increased, or any other sixties-related increase….This is a completely speculative conclusion!

AlaskaHound

If you’ve looked at the NWS current Alaska weather map with all its reporting stations, the storm did not materialize to the scary level reported yesterday and this morning.
The wind storm we experienced last week here in the upper Copper River Basin of Alaska made this current storm look and feel like a spring breeze.
http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/wx/current.html

Steve Allen

Ridiculous levels of stupidity abound within the man-made-global warming worship clique.

An Inquirer

Looking at SST anomalies, there is a lot of blue around Alaska. Of course, with conducive environments, systems can still pick up plenty of water vapor when the ocean is cooler than normal, but global warming is not contributing to this uptake in water vapor!

Werner Brozek

“While the storm is weaker than the ’74 event, it appears to fit into a long-term pattern with a global-warming connection.”
The RSS data for October just came out and the value for October, 2011 was 0.089. Unless I missed it, only one year was colder for October since 1995 and that was in 1999 at 0.077.
The other article said: “The storm is the product of warm air in the Pacific Ocean tapping into the cold air off Siberia”
Perhaps if it was not so cold, the “cold air off Siberia” would be warmer and the temperature differential would not have been as great and the storm would not have been as big.

It seems this sort of quackery is surfacing more and more. I think the PR guys have focus grouped this one and figger it’s a winner. Even the supposed weather experts at Environmentalcase Canada see connections between weather and climate. Trolls everywhere are making similar claims. I guess the hive has sent out dispatches to all their drones, commanding them to spread the party line.

GeologyJim

This is little more than the “chorus” effect, wherein journalists (I use the term loosely) assert certainty based on the fact that many others have uttered similar stuff.
Doesn’t make it any more true – never has – never will.
Actual data and credible proxies (like fossil forests exposed beneath receding glaciers) show that past times were far warmer than today and somehow >>99% of everything survived.
Storms have always been storms – local, intense, and spatially sporadic. No Big Deal.

Robert Morris

What do you do? How do you deal with so many people who see the world not as it is, not even with the rosy glow of optimism, but rather through the brown smear of pessimistic spectacles?

Schitzree

Well of course the Climate Alarmists are crying over this storm… the need SOMETHING to point to. This year’s Hurricane season certainly didn’t live up to their hype.

I hope they keep it up and get louder and louder.
When you keep consuming after the “receptor” has passed its point of tolerance and adaptation, the consumed substance gets more and more unpleasant and unwanted.
Works with everything. Alcohol, tobacco, cocaine, marijuana, sex, porn, apocalyptic cults.

Bruce of Newcastle

Hmm, 1974.
Cyclone Tracy destroyed Darwin (and I mean destroyed, none of this Irene wussiness)
A monster la Nina flooded Brisbane…repeated this year in the terrible Qld floods (now how on Earth could that possibly have happened?)
I didn’t have to go to school for a whole week as floods made the road impassable (yay!)
We had about a zillion newspaper articles on the danger of a new ice age starting next week.
Obviously global warming.

Bruce

“While the storm is weaker than the ’74 event”
Weaker = Global Warming?
Does that mean if it was stronger it would NOT be evidence of … ha ha ha. Who am I kidding?Everything is evidence of global warming.

Doug in Seattle

Thankfully as we enter our third colder winter in a row most people have learned to just ignore this type of hype. I expect that must be frightening to the true believers.

Philip Bradley

while midlatitude cyclone activity generally decreased from 1960 to the early 1990s, in agreement with previous studies. New findings include the following. 1) The number and intensity of cyclones entering the Arctic from the midlatitudes has increased, suggesting a shift of storm tracks into the Arctic, particularly in summer. 2) Positive tendencies of midlatitude cyclone activity before and after the 1960–93 period of decreasing activity.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017%3C2300%3ACAIVOA%3E2.0.CO%3B2
Masters’ claim of,
an increase in the number of these intense wintry storms in the northern hemisphere over the past century, with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s
Looks to be false.

Latitude

The storm is the product of warm air in the Pacific Ocean tapping into the cold air off Siberia,
=====================================
The air coming off Siberia is colder than normal……………
but then Dr Masters is right……global warming causes more cold and snow……./snark
…what an indoctrinated brain washed moron

Owen

@Schitzree Now don’t go jinxing this perfectly good Hurricane season we’ve been having. It still goes to 1 Dec, we’ve got three weeks to get through! I like my Hurricane season very tropical stormish: it brings rain without the wind and storm surge damage.

TomRude

Ahhh the more intense storms due to global warming… LOL

It continually leaves me wondering…….. are these people intentionally lying to people or are they just that stupid?

John

You wrote –
And what’s on the NWS page for Alaska today? Nothing about it being related to global warming, nor “worst ever” nor “epic”, like we see in the media today. For the NWS in Alaska, it seems to be just another big winter storm.
They actually wrote this prior to the storm:
932 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011
…ALASKA WEST COAST TO BE HIT BY ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE BERING
SEA STORMS ON RECORD…
A POWERFUL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM OF NEAR RECORD OR
RECORD MAGNITUDE IS BEARING DOWN ON THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA.
AT 9 AM THIS MORNING THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED ABOUT 600
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. THE STORM IS FORECAST
TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE CENTER
MOVING ACROSS THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY
THE STORM WILL TAKE A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA.
THE STORM WILL BRING EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS TO ALL OF THE
ALASKA WEST COAST BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON OVER ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AND BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEST COAST…ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION OVER MANY PARTS OF THE
COASTLINE. THE WIND WILL PUSH LARGE AMOUNTS OF WATER INTO NORTON
SOUND…RAISING SEA LEVELS TO 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN NORTON
SOUND AND ALONG THE BERING STRAIT COAST. THE EXTREMELY STRONG
WINDS WILL PRODUCE HIGH WAVES WHICH WILL PUSH THE HIGH WATER
FARTHER INLAND.
OVER THE BERING STRAIT COAST AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND…
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 75 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
GUSTS OF 90 TO 100 MPH. ALONG THE CHUKCHI COAST…WIND
SPEEDS OF 65 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 90 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. IN THE NOME AREA…SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS
60 MPH ARE EXPECTED…WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. ALMOST ALL OTHER
AREAS OF THE WEST COAST WILL EXPERIENCE MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS
OF AT LEAST 50 TO 60 MPH.
WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
1. THE BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT
ROMANOF…ESPECIALLY THE WEST FACING SHORES.
2. ALL AREAS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SHORE OF NORTON
SOUND WESTWARD TO AND INCLUDING THE BERING STRAIT COAST
AND LITTLE DIOMEDE ISLAND.
3. SOUTH AND WEST FACING COASTLINE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
4. THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN TO POINT HOPE.
THIS INCLUDES THE VILLAGES OF NOME AND KIVALINA WHERE
MAJOR DAMAGE FROM COASTAL FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS
IS EXPECTED. THE VILLAGE OF SAVOONGA ON THE NORTH SHORE
OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL BE PROTECTED FROM COASTAL
FLOODING BUT WILL EXPERIENCE EXTREMELY STRONG AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
ADDITIONALLY…HIGH SEA LEVELS IN NORTON SOUND WILL CAUSE
COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORE.
THE STORM WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
OVER MOST AREAS OF THE WESTERN ALASKA MAINLAND…WITH VISIBILITY
REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO SEEK SHELTER NOW AND POSTPONE TRAVEL INTO THE BACK COUNTRY
UNTIL THE STORM ABATES.
ALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD SEEK SAFETY IN PORT IMMEDIATELY
IF THEY HAVE NOT ALREADY DONE SO. IN AREAS WHERE BEACH
EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED…SMALL BOATS
AND PERSONAL PROPERTY SHOULD BE MOVED WELL AWAY FROM THE
SHORE AND TO HIGHER GROUND.
AGAIN…THIS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING
STORM OF AN EPIC MAGNITUDE RARELY EXPERIENCED. ALL PEOPLE
IN THE AREA SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SAFEGUARD THEIR LIVES
AND PROPERTY.
=====================================================================
REPLY: Thanks, I can’t find that now. Do you have a URL? Note the wind speeds in the updates – Anthony

wayne

How could such pass the editors… oh wait, what editors?

pat

O/T but weather-related:
the UK govt’s CAGW policies cause energy bills to skyrocket, and then…..
10 Nov: UK Daily Mail: Give your winter fuel handouts to the poor, wealthy pensioners are told
2,700 older Britons die each winter because they cannot afford to heat their homes
Despite sky-high energy prices, the Government has cut winter fuel payments this year from £400 to £300 for the over-80s, and £250 to £200 for all other pensioners…
Lib Dem MP Tessa Munt called on David Cameron during Prime Minister’s Questions yesterday to support efforts to make it easier for people to donate by including information on the appeal in letters sent out to advise of payments. Mr Cameron agreed to look at the idea, but warned: ‘I would not want to see any pressure put on people to do something that might not be in their best interests.’ …
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2059665/Give-winter-fuel-handouts-poor-wealthy-pensioners-told.html

Rick Bradford

Dr Masters cries “Doctor, save my baby!”

Brian H

And so Climate Disruption fizzles on. The yawners just keep on comin’!

Jack

Didn’t you run an article about how storms need to cross over colder water to build intensity?

Frank K.

This is yet another reason why I DON’T use the Weather Underground. “Wunderground” went down hill anyway with their “new” format, and one of the worst radar presentations anywhere, so I made the switch long ago to Intellicast.com. I really don’t care what Jeff Masters says anymore – it’s all too predictable – and I likewise do NOT want to enrich him (Jeff Masters) by utilizing his weather website.

John West

You Republicans are obviously mentally deficient not to understand that the world is coming to an end …… unless we pay Al Gore. /Sarc

John Trigge

I’ll see your “increase in the number of these intense wintry storms” and raise by my “Report tips bumper crop – The fourth largest crop in the state’s history has been forecast this year” in South Australia (Adelaide Advertiser 10Nov11).
Why is it that the do-gooders wish to change the world to their idea of perfection with no regard for the 99.99% that don’t live where they are and will have negative effects from the changes they want to foist on everyone?
No doubt the warmists will dismiss AGW as causing the bumper crop while accepting the storms are caused by the same effect.

Justa Joe

Wow… the world would be such a placid place without anthropogenic CO2.

Paul Westhaver

Masters ought to revisit his history…. the “global warming” that he cited as the contributor to the 1974 event was actually global cooling according to a contemporaneous news article in NewsWeek April 1975.
http://denisdutton.com/newsweek_coolingworld.pdf
Loser.

RossP

Bruce of Newcastle —you are right. add to your examples , the last time the flod gates in the lower Mississippi were opened ( before this year ) was in the early 1970’s ( not sure if it was 1974). Time to do some more research on weather events of 1973/4.

Manfred

“… with a marked upward swing beginning in the mid-1960s, as the global climate has warmed…”
No upswing in the 1960s, but also the global climate did not warm in or around the 1960s.
The opposite is true the downturn in temperatures led to publications like this:
http://denisdutton.com/newsweek_coolingworld.pdf

Ask why is it so?

last night in Melbourne (Australia) we had a severe storm warning and workers were sent home early to avoid this threatening event. We checked the yard and the house, everything was secure, we were ready. The sky grew dark, the rain pelted down for a couple of hours and then it passed. What storm, a bit of wind and rain ain’t no storm. Talk about panic the masses for no good reason. Reminds me of something, now what is it, ah its gone. I’m sure I’ll remember what it is, later.

Jesse

Off Topic – Joe Paterno was fired from Penn State today yet Michael Mann keeps drawing a salary. Amazing!

jonjermey

Well, they can’t blame the atomic tests any more — they’ve got to find a scapegoat somewhere.

@ John says: November 9, 2011 at 6:24 pm
I’ve gone and searched the NWS database and can find no mention of word ‘epic’ as described in the comment you provided that we are to assume came from the NWS.
I did however search the internet and found several other journalists making the pronouncement that the NWS did use those words but none of them provide a link to that warning or wording.
I did stumble upon an article from Jim Spencer, a author for KXAN, an Austin based news agency.
You can find that article here:
http://blogs.kxan.com/2011/11/09/alaska-coast-pounded-by-epic-storm/
Jim Spencer also provides no link of the NWS alert warning, yet the article is presented to resemble a NWS warning.
At the end of that article we find these words:

AGAIN…THIS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING
STORM OF AN EPIC MAGNITUDE RARELY EXPERIENCED. ALL PEOPLE
IN THE AREA SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SAFEGUARD THEIR LIVES
AND PROPERTY.
(NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE)

But having researched those words both on several search engines and from the NOAA database, I returned 5 matches from that blockquote, but when I link to those publications, the words epic or rarely experience DO NOT show up on those web pages.
Im not certain, but since the NWS uses BING to handle queries for searches, I can only speculate how Bing or Google arrive at putting quotes and addresses together.
Just more of the same drivel from other alarmist journalists.
So I’ve sent a e-mail to Joe Stephens and asked him to provide the link where he got that NWS message and provide it to me.
I would also like to ask the gentleman I am addressing, John, to provide the proper link that the NWS used to make that announcement.
Otherwise, this is a clear message of lies and just another example of propaganda that has surfaced to discredit the skeptic.
My God gentlemen, I think we have shaken someones money-maker.
Way to go !

We here in the central plains know a little about wind. We can have winds as strong as those listed above on pleasant sunny days! Monday, with our earthquakes, we had tornadoes and straight winds of over 90 mph. I think it makes as much sense to blame earthquakes on global warming as it does arctic storms.

Pamela Gray

I used to think that wisdom was wasted on the youth. Now I think wisdom is being wasted on climate scientists.

chuck nolan

The earth constantly goes through natural events, some of them are disasters.
That’s why when disasters happen in nature most thinking people call them “natural disasters.”

I’ve also noticed that Dr. Master’s site has been leaning more towards alarm-ism recently – so much so that people have suggested a name chance to AGWunderground…

William McClenney

Shades of Irene perhaps?????

crosspatch

What powers storms like this is convection. That is warm air rising in cooler air. So the engine is the difference in temperature between the surface and that at high altitude. The greater the difference, the stronger the convection. In other words, put a pot of water in a sauna, and you will get very weak convection from the surface of the water. Put that same pot of hot water in a freezer and you will get very strong convection.
So, yes, if you increase surface temperatures, that would tend to increase the strength of convection all other things being equal (for example, if the temperature at high altitude is the same). But that tells only one side of the equation. If the temperatures at altitude are cooler, you will get increased convection and stronger storms with no change in surface temps. What matters is the difference between the two. So upper atmosphere cooling has basically the same impact as surface warming.
Now go here: http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/amsutemps.html and select Channel 5 (14,000 feet) temperatures. Draw the graph and then select 2008 and 2009 (in addition to the preselected 2010 and 2011) and you will notice that the current global temperatures at 14,000 feet are currently very cold. In fact, the are at record cold temperatures since measurements have been taken by satellite. So what we have here is a record difference in temperatures between the surface and the air aloft. That is going to create the conditions for some pretty strong convection and some pretty strong storms to form if all other conditions are right.
So while it is true that surface warming CAN increase storms, that is only true if the upper atmosphere remains cool. Warming the surface is one way to increase the difference. But in this case what is happening is the air aloft is very cold allowing greater convection with a stable surface temperature.

C’mon folks…
‘Cause everbody knows,
That the warmer it gets
The more that it snows.
Now Algore is a jerk
And Mann is a liar
But this cold snowy warming
Proves the earth’s in a fryer.

Neil Jones

All these arguments about weather reminded me of this
http://youtu.be/xUAsD0OWKg4

Mark

I was watching this pretty closely yesterday and observed that the lowest pressure occurred at PAGM (Gambell AK) a small island off of the mainland. The strongest winds I saw there were at 0536Z with winds sustained at 53G63 knots. The altimeter though bottomed out between 1016Z-1056Z at A2821. Only saw a low that low while stationed in Iceland.
Teller airport (PATE) came pretty close at 0919Z with sustained winds 17055G62KTS

D. Patterson

I thought I saw the NWS special warning statement while looking on the nws.noaa.gov website for other weather warnings on the Pacific Coast that day, but I cannot find such a web page now to confirm or refute it.
Some of the news reports to see are:

UPI. U.S. News. ‘Epic’ storm threatens western Alaska. Published: Nov. 8, 2011 at 10:38 PM.
“This will be an extremely dangerous and life-threatening storm of an epic magnitude rarely experienced,” the National Weather Service said.
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2011/11/08/Epic-storm-threatens-western-Alaska/UPI-86391320763346/

Alaska braces for “epic” storm; evacuations begin. By Yereth Rosen | Reuters – 17 hrs ago
http://news.yahoo.com/alaska-braces-epic-storm-evacuations-begin-020349170.html

Surge coming after Alaska coast hit by major storm Hurricane-force winds cause damage overnight in area’s largest town
msnbc.com staff and news service reports
updated 11/9/2011 10:13:23 PM ET 2011-11-10T03:13:23

The MSNBC news stories quote Jeff Osiensky talking about the threat of the storm reaching a Category 3 intensity. Other NWS/NOAA commentators talk about Global Warming removing the kind of ice cover which afforded protection in the 1974 storm, readiness to declare a state of emergency, and related alarms for this storm.

Mark

Also, that report from the NWS isn’t the 2 minuted average of sustained winds…it is the highest gust. The actual ob from 11Z states:
PATC 091055Z AUTO 13061G70KT 3/4SM M03/M06
And the specials from earlier:
PATC SP 1035 AWOS MM 3/4 25/20/1362G69
PATC SP 1015 AWOS MM 3/4 25/20 1362G70
I found this on JAAWIN, raw trends. You can probably also find it on ADDS under METARS. So, what this tells me is that, according to local observations taken by official observing devices, there were no hurricane force winds.

D. Patterson

It should also be remembered how the naval convoys during WWII (1939–1945) experienced dangerous hurricane force weather in the North Atlantic, before the claimed onslaught of increases in atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide were supposed to have changed the global climate and storm patterns.

Lawrie Ayres

Now that the globe is cooling what will the alarmists try next?

wayne Job

Durban needs a some real proof and this storm was a godsend, sadly it turned out to be a storm in a tea cup. What a shame even the CO2 outputs from developed countries are pointing in the wrong direction. Parody and satire from non believers is a sign that the warmists have ran their course. The pathetic releases of their information of late trying to link everything that happens to AGW gives me pause that perhaps I should feel pity for these misguided people.
Then I remember the cost and the brain washing of children and feel an emotion that is some what less than pity.