by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
The NASA A-Train satellite constellation symposium I attended last week in New Orleans was in some sense a celebration of the wide variety of global satellite observations we are now collecting from Earth orbit.
This really is the Golden Age in satellite data collection of the global climate system. While a few A-Train satellites are still to be launched, other older satellite assets in the A-Train are now operating well past their planned lifetimes.
There are no plans to replace many of these one-of-a-kind instruments, so much of what we will learn in the coming years will have to come from the analysis of previously collected data.
Unfortunately — at least in my opinion — the existence of this superb national resource depended upon convincing congress almost 2 decades ago that manmade global warming was a clear and present danger to the world.
Manmade Global Warming as the Justification
Since I believe the majority of what we now view as “climate change” is just part of a natural cycle in the climate system, I argued from the outset that NASA should be also selling “Mission to Planet Earth” as a way to better prepare ourselves for natural climate change — something that history tells us has indeed occurred, and we can be assured will occur again.
But behind the scenes there was a strong push for policy changes that even most of the scientists involved supported — ultimately culminating in the governmental control over how much and the kinds of energy sources humanity would be allowed to use in the future.
Cap and Trade, as well as potential regulation of carbon dioxide emissions by the EPA, are the fruits of the labor of politicians, governmental representatives, bureaucrats, the United Nations, and activist scientists who have used global warming as an excuse to accomplish policy goals that would have never been accomplished on their own merits.
Of course, most who speak out on this issue continue to point to the supposed “scientific consensus” on global warming as the justification, but those of us who knew the players also knew of these other motives.
I am often asked, “So, are you saying there is a conspiracy here?”
No, because the ultimate goals were not a secret. Just a bunch of elitists carrying out plans that the politicians supported — with continuing promises of congressional funding for research that those politicians knew would support Job #1 of government — to stay needed by the people. Many of the scientists involved are just along for a ride on the gravy train. Even I ride that train.
The elitism clearly shows through in the behavior of those who speak out publicly on the need for humanity to change its Earth-destroying ways: Al Gore, James Cameron, Harrison Ford, Julia Roberts, RFK, Jr.
These people apparently believe they are God’s gift to humanity. How else can we explain that they do not see the hypocrisy the rest of the nation sees in their behavior?
Unfortunately, I saw this attitude on a smaller scale at the New Orleans meeting. There are many new, young scientists now joining the ranks. They are being mentored by the older scientists who helped spread the alarm concerning manmade global warming. And they will be rewarded for playing the game.
Or will they?
The Times They Are A-Changin’
How is it that government agencies long ago decided to put all their eggs in the man-made global warming basket? Why have the movers and shakers around the world ignored natural climate change — even going so far as to claim it does not exist?
The only reason I can think of again goes back to their elitist beliefs and desired policy outcomes. The belief that a better-educated few should be allowed power over the less educated masses. That government knows better than the people do.
Tomorrow’s election is widely viewed as a referendum on the proper role of government in people’s lives. There is no question that the founders of our country intended there to be maximum of freedom on the part of individuals and the states, while placing strong limits on the role of the federal government.
Just read the Declaration of Independence if you want to see how pi$!ed off the settlers of the original colonies became at the King of England over his intrusion into their personal affairs.
And global warming legislation is now quite possibly the best opportunity the governments of the world have to increase the role of government in people’s lives.
The Basic Economics of Individual Freedom
Yet, many Americans believe that government can more equitably distribute the wealth generated by a country. This is a laudable goal on the face of it.
Unfortunately, history has taught us that trying to impose equality of outcomes only serves to make people equally miserable.
I like to think that I know something about basic economics. It was the subject of the 6th chapter in my first book –Climate Confusion — which received a nice blurb on the jacket from noted economist Walter Williams.
One of the reasons I am willing to stick my neck out and inform people of the uncertain nature of government-approved global warming science is because the basic economics behind any governmental (or environmental extremist) attempts to restrict personal choice in energy use will end up killing people.
In fact, it already has.
The biggest threat to humanity is poverty. Wealthier is healthier. When governments make energy more expensive, or environmental organizations pressure foreign countries to not build hydroelectric dams, poor people die.
Those already living on the edge are pushed over the edge. Energy is required for everything we do, and artificially raising the price of energy cannot help but destroy wealth generation.
If these elitists really were interested in the poor, they would be doing everything they could to help individuals take control of their own economic destinies. One billion people in the world still do not have electricity.
Worried about population growth? Then encourage the generation of wealth. It is the poor of the world that cause global population growth. The wealthy countries of the world have close to zero population growth.
Of course the main argument against this view is “sustainability”. Can the Earth sustain even more people consuming natural resources?
Interesting how those who ask the question have already gotten theirs, and now want to prevent others from doing the same.
But I would ask, can the world sustain the poverty-stricken? Poor countries have had most of their trees cut down. Imagine if global society collapsed and billions of people had to make do on their own with what they could scavenge from nature.
Now THAT would lead to a pollution problem.
What ensures sustainability is free markets. As natural resources of one type become more scarce, their price goes up, which makes alternatives more attractive. People are incentivized to develop new answers to old technological problems. This is why fossil fuels will never be used up. At some point, they simply will become too expensive to extract.
Mass production by factories and corporations should be embraced, rather than derided. It represents the most efficient way of providing goods and services. Waste is minimized because it hurts competitiveness.
But What About Equality?
Equality of outcomes is an illusion. It can never be achieved…unless we totally destroy the people’s motivation to make a better life for themselves.
A vibrant economy is what maximizes the tax revenue collected by the government. The two largest periods of growth in tax revenue collected by the government occurred after two major tax-CUTTING initiatives: JFK’s in the early 1960’s, and Reagan’s in the early 1980’s.
If you really want to help the poor, then help the country grow economically. Want to make sure the poor are taken care of? Then encourage businesses to grow, which will lead to more jobs. Economic activity is what is needed, and since the tax revenue the government receives is a “piece of the action”, more action means more money for government programs.
And whether we like it or not, the only way to ensure this growth happens is to give business owners and entrepreneurs some hope that their risk-taking and creativity will pay off for them personally in the future.
Yes, in the process, some people will get rich. A few will get obscenely rich. But this only occurs because so many consumers want the goods and services those rich few can offer them.
Call it a necessary evil, if you must. But it is, indeed, necessary. The end result will be more money for the poor, not less.
A New Fight Begins Tomorrow
The basic economics and desire to help the poor that have motivated me to speak out in the last 20 years on global warming policy will, starting tomorrow, be the subject of a national debate regarding the proper role of government in helping its people.
Tomorrow’s election is only the start. From then on, education about the practical importance of economic freedom will be central to that debate.
There is no question that our country has an unsustainable growth in our yearly budget deficits, and our total national debt is staggering. Everyone agrees this must change.
And reducing government expenditures must, of course, be part of the debate.
But increasing tax revenue to help support those programs is ALSO part of the solution. And since the only demonstrated (and sustainable)way to accomplish this is to grow the economy, it requires personal economic freedom.
So, what is the primary role of government in all this? In my opinion, it is two-fold: (1) make sure people play fair, and (2) get out of the way.


Is Spencer an elitist-turned-libertarian?
I look forward to a Democrat bloodbath on Tuesday. I’ll have the beer and popcorn ready for the TV entertainment as the MSM has a collective dump in their drawers over the unfavourable election results.
re: Owen 6:13 pm
Domestically, of course, Norwegians are a very decent, ‘clean living’ people, deriving almost all their electricity from hydro.
But paradoxically, Norway is a petroleum economy:
The petroleum sector (oil & gas) contributes 25% of GDP, 40% of state revenues, 24% of total investment and 50% of total exports.
Without the North Sea oil and gas, I suspect life in Norway would not be quite so benign.
Davidmhoffer
Believers in a deity or not, the right knows that history and climate are cyclical.
They do? What about the man they last trotted out to be president?
An open letter from The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley to Senator John McCain about Climate Science and Policy
http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/10/an_open_letter_from_the_viscou_1.html
Dear Senator McCain, Sir,
YOU CHOSE a visit to a wind-farm in early summer 2008 to devote an entire campaign speech to the reassertion of your belief in the apocalyptic vision of catastrophic anthropogenic climate change – a lurid and fanciful account of imagined future events that was always baseless, was briefly exciting among the less thoughtful species of news commentators and politicians, but is now scientifically discredited. …
(good read on the discredited part)
ELOQUENTLY SAID, Dr. Spencer!
And this part repeated for effect:
“I am often asked, “So, are you saying there is a conspiracy here?”
No, because the ultimate goals were not a secret. Just a bunch of elitists carrying out plans that the politicians supported — with continuing promises of congressional funding for research that those politicians knew would support Job #1 of government — to stay needed by the people. Many of the scientists involved are just along for a ride on the gravy train. Even I ride that train.”
============================
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Ross Barton says:
November 1, 2010 at 3:54 pm
“These figures are compliments of Prof. Paul Krugman, 2009 Nobel prize winner in economics.”
FYI: There is no such thing as a ‘Nobel prize in economics’.
Correct is: ‘The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economy in Memory of Alfred Nobel’.
Brgds/TJ
Smokey says:
November 1, 2010 at 6:11 pm
Why are the big money folks almost all leftists? Status. They’ve already got theirs, they can buy governments, and they do not want a less exclusive big bucks club.
=======================
The truth of the matter….
An oligarchy.
Oh and one last point I neglected in my previous tirade.
Owen, I’m glad to learn that your relatives are doing well. Educated, working, happy employees. There is the fundamental difference between your socialist dream state and a nation fixated on creating a super heated economy. Employees. In one you can earn as good a living as your government sees fit for the education you have and the profession you choose. You can start your own business of course, provided that it does not compete with those sectors of the economy that are socialized and run by government. Your options are limited as a consequence. In the other, you are not burdened by the cost of a social safety net, and have a far broader range of choices in regard to controlling your own destiny and being responsible for the outcome, good or bad. Be critical all you want of the mindset, but consider that it is that self reliance and drive toward a super heated economy that produced the telephone, the television, the electric light bulb, automobiles, airplanes, computers, and oh yes… that clever medium that you are using right now to tell us how much better socialism is, the internet.
Ed Murphy;
Davidmhoffer
Believers in a deity or not, the right knows that history and climate are cyclical.
They do? What about the man they last trotted out to be president?>>
Candidates are not chosen on a single issue. Further, climate was not even the top issue two years ago and today it has fallen even further. I generalized, and presenting as an example a candidate for president who bought into the scam says nothing about the general view of the party membership, which in turn is not necessarily representative of those citizens who hold a right of centre view in general. It was also two years ago, much has changed, and I spoke of the present. Your comment reminds me of the technique used to reconstruct climate from tree rings. You take cores from a couple of hundred trees, examine each one closely, and when you find a single tree somewhere in Siberia that shows the earth to be warming, you quickly get rid of all the other cores and scream LOOK AT THIS! PROOF! Well, maybe not exactly the same, Mann at least kept six other cores to try and make it look good. 7 trees representing all the other billions of trees on the planet is believable, but just one? C’mon.
savethesharks says:
November 1, 2010 at 11:17 pm
Not even an oligarchy. We are going back towards feudalism.
Note the political families to the front, and the old money behind banks.
Every now and then a maverick may appear and slay a dragon or so, like Soros and Bill Gates, and since dowries are not in fashion they get their rewards direct in status.
I think free markets have a “date by” and we are presently in a time loop where nothing is settled. I will prophecy:
a) Either there will be an expressed WWIII( the US and allies are waging continuous wars). In this case we will be back to square number one, black markets to free markets as WWII showed us in Europe
b) Or the robots will take over all production, fusion and thorium reactors will give plenty of free energy. The analogue are the feudal times when the elite amused themselves with science and art and smart enterprises and the labor was carried by the serfs.
Robots will be the serfs and a new value system will have to be found for the hoi polloi. Pay attention to what is happening with nanotechnology and robots.
Already the dole is one expression of the lack of real jobs and the need to support people somehow, though it is due to the outsourcing of manufacture to China. In this second future, everybody will be on the dole 🙂 and smart people will have to compete for the interesting jobs.
Now, David, what I wish to point out to all of you is… follow the money on the people on the ballot and John McCain has plenty of that dirty, filthy leftist Heinz wealth in his personal piggy bank.
He married into it.
“Yet, many Americans believe that government can more equitably distribute the wealth generated by a country. This is a laudable goal on the face of it.”
No, from everone according to their ability, to everyone according to their needs, is pure evil. How will you motivate people to provide according to their ability when you cannot give them material incentives? By force, which is why every socialist country have been such horrid experiences with labour camps and severly restricted personal freedoms. Wealth distribution anywhere but on the margin is evil.
Thank you.
This comment thread is most educational and entertaining read of 2010.
I wish there was as much passion in countering the bad science of CO2 as a pollutant and a significant greenhouse gas as there is about the politics of science.
Nothing I read here changed my votes for tomorrow.
Again, a sincere thanks for the fascinating read from Dr. Spencer’s first line to the last line of comments.
Re: Ed Murphy (11:10 pm), thanks for that link.
Monckton eloquently states it all and not just the science.
Dr. Spencer: Quote>But I would ask, can the world sustain the poverty-stricken? Poor countries have had most of their trees cut down. Imagine if global society collapsed and billions of people had to make do on their own with what they could scavenge from nature.< unquote.
———————————————————————————–
I get this suspicion that what the rich elite, preaching CAGW, are actually aiming for is the total annihilation of the poor of the world by energy strangulation, thus reducing the population by 1 billion people…..two billion…… while in the process reducing others from the lower middle classes towards poverty and again anihilating these…. until the world population is reduced to just 1 billion people. This onebillion would of course include them, the rich elite I mean and the gravy-train 'science' staff and Pachauri's hands on the steam throttle.
You know, books havebeen written advocating mass sterilisation on the premise that the planet cannot sustain more than a billion homo sapiens……………..another form of eugenics?
For those upthread who were asking about the “C” in CAGW: CAGW used to stand for Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. It now stands for Citizens Against Government Waste.
It’s fantastic that Dr. Spencer is talking about individual freedom, increasing role of government in people’s lives, and free markets. Yes, to understand the politics and economics behind the man-made warming dogma, the political science behind their “climate science” should be studied.
I wholeheartedly second that motion. Welcome and thanks for the reminder of what many natural-born folks take for granted.
Well it’s way too late to get into this thread (158 comments already). Besides, the polls open here soon, and I will be first in the door.
Just a reminder to everyone, it has taken 100 years for the progressives/socialists to turn America from the home of the brave to a welfare state where close to 50% of the voters are feeding off the other 50%.
This election cannot fix everything, it will take at least a generation. And although we can expect a political tidal wave and we can afford to revel in it a bit, we must turn our attention to those Congressional seats we failed to gain, and those Senate and Governorships that come up in future cycles. Even if we miss a few Senate seats, six years is not that long and we’ll get them next time. I just suggest one thing, only voting for people that intend on respecting the Constitution.
So let’s go take out the trash!
RE: Ed Murphy says @ur momisugly November 2, 2010 at 12:28 am
John KERRY is married to Theresa Heinz not John McCain.
John McCain is married to Cindy Hensley.
davidmhoffer says:
November 1, 2010 at 10:32 pm
Tell me, how many Norwegian troops are there in South Korea helping out? Swedish? Danish? German? Well, you probably help out in other trouble spots in the world instead like Afghanistan. Oh wait, that’s almost all Americans plus some Canadians. There’s other countries there too of course, happy to help out… as long as there’s no fighting, they only send small numbers of troops for non combat roles.
=============================================================
I trust you aren’t including the British in your rant. The latest figures from the MoD state that there have been 342 British fatalities in Afghanistan against the number quoted by the CBC website which gives the number of Canadian fatalities as 152.
Apologies if this sounds as though it’s a kind of macho league table of deaths; it’s not meant to be that, it’s just making the point that your criticism of non-US participants in Afghanistan is somewhat misplaced, at least in some respects.
I love the US and visit it every year, mainly because of the NFL. One live game per year is not enough for me. Go Raiders!
Bubbagyro 4:41:
Alfred Nobel’s middle name was Bernhard, not Lord.
James Sexton 6:52pm:
Norway isn’t in the European Union.
Amino Acids in Meteorites 8:03pm:
There is a not-inconsiderable British contingent fighting in Afghanistan.
DaveF 3:49 am
Yeh Dave, thanks for the clarity, but I was responding to this comment,“My relatives in Norway live under a government that is far closer to socialism than the USA has ever been. Ditto for Sweden, Denmark, Germany, Finland, etc. These countries are ahead of the US …..blather, blather, …” I hope you can see how I was been inclusive rather than errantly selective.
Mr Green Genes says:
November 2, 2010 at 2:44 am
“I trust you aren’t including the British in your rant. The latest figures from the MoD state that there have been 342 British fatalities in Afghanistan against the number quoted by the CBC website which gives the number of Canadian fatalities as 152.”
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Of course, I can’t speak for anyone else here, but were I to rant about Europe or things European, our British cousins would be an understood exception to the rule. And no, I don’t consider that remembering fallen soldiers as an expression of machismo. God forbid that they would be forgotten.
davidmhoffer says:
November 1, 2010 at 10:32 pm
Thank you.
I have recently completed a review on international development – investments from the private sector and official aid run to $250 billion per annum, with about equal amounts in the two sectors. Most official aid goes to help national budgets. Less than 10% of that aid or investment reaches the poorest 2 billion people without adequate food and water, with impoverished soils, poor sanitation, poor health and virtually no role in the wider economy. These people rely on subsistence agriculture and are very vulnerable to climate change (largely natural, as I see it).
The flow of development assistance whether private or governmental over the past decade or more has not significantly altered this situation – hence the revised Millennium Development Goals and reviews of how inward investment and aid is targeted.
The only aid organisations that I, as an ecologist, feel have a real handle on this dreadful indictment of humanity are the private foundations and NGOs – with the Christians doing by far the best job on the ground (I am no fan of organised religion). These groups are a very small percentage of the whole aid flow but the only ones to focus on the actual real needs of the poor: stable soil, clean water, sanitation and ecologically sustainable agriculture as well as an intact culture, solid and safe community, surrounded by intact biodiversity. I would say about 1% of global aid gets to the grass-roots and meets these needs.
Now the gear is shifting. The development model wants to get these people ‘out of poverty’ and into the global economy. That means leaving the land – which is then industrialised for agricultural production, moving to the city, living in abject squalor and maybe having a job, but afflicted by favella and shanty-town violence, drugs, prostitution and ill-health – with a dream of one day escaping the drudgery of some production line. In this model the economy grows – and the bulk of overseas aid is aimed at fostering that growth. China now leads in this kind of development aid in Africa. Climate change mitigation projects – biofuels especially, add to this process and trillions of ‘aid’ dollars are eagerly expected.
What these people need is to adapt to the inevitable changes of climate and fossil fuel prices. It should be obvious that none of this is sustainable – it all has depended upon cheap fossil fuels and that era is over. Only the leading philanthropic organisations can see beyond this model – and US philanthropy is bigger than the rest combined (and official aid lower) and because they have an independent and caring mindset (I think the Gates foundation misses the mark, but Warren Buffet’s son hits the target – can’t remember his name, and he gets on with it, without fanfare, at the grass-roots level).
That said – plus the fact that I love America, visit as often as I can, and have some of my closest friends and associates there – people who have given a huge amount for the cause of public safety and ecological integrity, I want to add a counterbalance to much of the postings above –
The wealth of the USA and Canada and Mexico (with some of the highest paid CEOs) is fundamentally based upon an invasive land-grab and sustained genocide of indigenous peoples who were moved off the land by puritanical religious hypocrits who would readily trade human rights for mining rights to further their own elitist control and eventual economic domination. The US is now the global superpower, yet is afraid of its own shadow and dwells in deep insecurity, projecting its military power across the globe ostensibly to protect its national interests (secure lines of fuel and raw materials). And every western country (including Japan, India and China) benefits from this, most especially my own.
More of the same development model is not what ‘the poor’ need. The global economy is unstable and the climate is changing. There are some good models being developed where money is not the only part of the equation – in fact, for some communities, it can be very damaging and they need protection from ‘economic’ development.
It is my fervent wish, irrespective of democrat or republican outcomes, that America uses the undoubted resources of its wealth, caring and intelligence to lead in new models of development – but to do so it needs to drop the myopic American Dream, take a long hard look at its history, re-examne its military mode of operation and commit to making the whole world a better place – not in its own image, but in terms of what very different communities need.
davidmhoffer says:
November 1, 2010 at 10:32 pm
For Owen
(and the rest of the American bashers)
Great post David…
But the problem is that everyone and his brother wants the USA to help out in times of trouble, but commence US-bashing once the troubles are over…1st world war, 2nd world war, cold war..islamic terrorism…tsunamis… earthquakes.. famines….. you name it, everyone wants the US’s help but nobody really helps out in international conflicts, save maybe, for the UK.
But consider this.. The UN is considering accepting IRAN on some UN committee for the advancment of woman….we might just as well put in a wild tiger in the penn to protect the sheep. The UN is Man’s enemy no. 1 and unfortunately the US is financing it big..