We’ve also heard that “snow will be a thing of the past” too.
Via Euerkalert and the University of Salamanca, some heated worry, sans UHI, and AMO:
Given the impact of climatic extremes on agriculture and health in Spain, researchers at the University of Salamanca (USAL) have analysed the two factors most representative of these thermal extremes between 1950 and 2006 – warm days and cold nights. The results for mainland Spain show an increase in the number of warm days greater than that for the rest of the planet and a reduction in the number of cold nights.
Few studies to date have focused on climatic extremes and the changes occurring in maximum and minimum temperatures and in warm day and cold night variables. Until now, most research studies had analysed average temperature changes on a global scale. These results indicated an increase “most probably” caused by human factors.
The new study, published in the journal Climatic Change, has made it possible to analyse the causes of the variations in climatic extremes from a physical point of view, in other words “which changes are taking place in the air masses reaching the Iberian Peninsula, as well as sea temperature”, as Concepción Rodríguez, lead author of the study and a researcher at the General and Atmospheric Physics Department at the USAL, tells SINC.
“The results indicate an increasing trend in the frequency of warm days and a reduction in the frequency of cold nights. The trend towards the reduction of cold nights correlates with that obtained at global level, according to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). However, the increase in warm days in mainland Spain is higher than the number obtained globally for the planet as a whole”, the scientist explains.
The atmosphere and oceans are thermometers
In order to explain these differences, the scientific team linked the increase in warm days with climate teleconnection indices, which show the variability of atmospheric and oceanic characteristics. “Warm days are related to atmospheric teleconnection patterns, while cold nights are caused, principally, by the temperature of the sea (in the North Atlantic)”, the researcher adds.
Weather that draws air masses up from the north of Africa is the leading cause of warm days. “The type of weather that causes more cold nights is the depression over the Gulf of Genoa, which brings cold and dry air from central Europe to Spain”, explains Rodríguez, who says that the change in the number of warm days and cold nights is much more pronounced in the south west and north east of the Iberian Peninsula. “One of the most probable causes of these changes is the variation in the surface temperature of the sea in the eastern Atlantic”, she points out.
Last July, the researchers presented their study for the whole of Europe at the Congress on Statistics and Climatology in Edinburgh (Scotland). This study showed a “fairly significant” increase in warm days and nights in summertime.
References:
Rodríguez-Puebla, Concepción; Encinas, Ascensión H.; García-Casado, Luis Alberto; Nieto, Susana. “Trends in warm days and cold nights over the Iberian Peninsula: relationships to large-scale variables” Climatic Change 100(3-4): 667-684, junio de 2010. DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9721-0
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2 Sept: SeattleWeeklyBlog: James Lee, Discovery Channel Hostage Taker, Is From British Columbia?
In 2008, Lee was arrested for disorderly conduct by Montgomery County police after a lengthy protest outside of the company’s headquarters. Lee was upset by what he saw as a pro-capitalist, anti-environmental agenda in Discovery’s shows.
Lee spent thousands of dollars in local newspapers advertising the protest. He also hired homeless people to stand next to him to make it appear as if he had a larger group of demonstrators and threw money into the air while saying “money is nothing, money is trash.”
A website called savetheplanetprotest.com is registered to Lee at an address in Burnaby, British Columbia…
Lee’s website is one long Malthusian rant against overpopulation, immigrants and Discovery’s role in turning the world to shit…
UPDATE: Lee’s manifesto isn’t available online, probably because the server he’s using can’t handle the millions of hits it’s getting right now. But Business Insider managed to copy and paste it before it got overwhelmed by traffic.
(FULL TEXT)..
2. All programs on Discovery Health-TLC must stop encouraging the birth of any more parasitic human infants and the false heroics behind those actions. In those programs’ places, programs encouraging human sterilization and infertility must be pushed. All former pro-birth programs must now push in the direction of stopping human birth, not encouraging it…
http://blogs.seattleweekly.com/dailyweekly/2010/09/james_lee_discovery_channel_ho.php
OT and be careful because it’s on-going and early reports may be inaccurate, but an AGW activist is holding hostages in Md right now. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38957020/ns/us_news-crime_and_courts/
Jeff says:
September 1, 2010 at 1:26 pm
Get him an Al’s kind of massage to calm him down! LOL
For those who read Spanish, skeptical climatologist Antón Uriarte has a blog here (wich I recommend):
http://antonuriarte.blogspot.com/
He has not commented on this new study yet, but I bet he will soon.
The study is behind a pay wall. Has anybody seen it or last year’s presentation at the Congress on Statistics and Climatology in Edinburgh
This is turning into a great blog concerning the reality of human-induced climate change. I thought the post about the science of carbon dioxide’s greenhouse effect was just a detour, but science is becoming a theme here!
Warm days and cold nights eh ! and it’s all due to the surface Temperature (cold) of the sea they suggest.
Well I would add that it could be due to less H2O in the atmosphere; which of course would be a typical result of lower sea Temperatures.
We could make a model; like so:-
🙂 –> /\/\/\/\ – – – – – – – – -> H/O\H + O=C=O – – – – – – – – -> \ | /
Which decodes thusly:- The sun 🙂 on the left (day) supplies short wave energy –> which is captured by and warms the surface /\/\/\/\ which in turn emits LWIR energy – – – – – – – – – > some of which is intercepted by H2O or CO2 or both, including possibly clouds which scatter some of the LWIR allowing only some of it – – – — – – > to escape to space \ | /.
As a result of this delaying process in the escape of the LWIR energy – – – – – – – – – > we have the sun in the meantime, continuing to pour in more short wave energy –> so as a result of this additional input, the Temperature rises. The more of the H2O and CO2 or other GHG or clouds there are to absorb or scatter the LWIR, the more the delay, in exit of energy and the hotter the solar input makes the surface. What could be simpler than that; and yes the legal disclaimer says other thermal processes are also at work.
Now an amazing thing happens at night; That chap on the left 🙂 goes night night, so he stops pouring any more short wave energy –> onto the surface /\/\/\/\; but the LWIR from the surface doesn’t stop; so the surface starts to cool down as the energy escapes. It escapes at exactly the same rate as it was doing at the moment the sun went to sleep; but as the Temperature drops, T^4 also drops, and the rate of emission of the LWIR – – – – – – – – – > starts to diminish slowing down the cooling rate. With no input from the sun, the cooling delay does not result in more solar input, and so higher surface Temperatures; the surface simply cools down.
Now notice one thing about this diagram. The energy comes in from the Left, and it exits to the right according to some (possibly complex) Transfer Function. That Transfer Function changes, if you change the amount of H2O (vapor) or the amount of CO2 or the amount of scattering cloud But the energy ultimately all exits stage right.
There isn’t any FEEDBACK of part of the output, returning to the input; it is a unidirectional gain function; well actually an attenuation function; and the only thing that happens at sundown, is that the input signal shuts off. The system continues to propagate the consequences of the last of the input signal before it shuts off, until it has all exited. Well actually, the propagation delay is quite long (Temperature decay Time Constant) so before the last dregs of output are gone; the input signal turns on again next morning; so the system typically does not return to the no signal ground state completely; before a new signal arrives.
So for those who think that clouds at night are a positive feedback warming “forcing” ; there ins’t any feedback in this sytem; just variations in the (unidirectional) Transfer Function. And averaged over times of Climate (not weather) significance, the net effect of more clouds is less energy collecting on earth; so it cools down; always.
So if the Rain in Spain stops falling on the plain; then yes it is likely to warm up; but that is due to more sunlight collecting during the day; not the lack of cloud warming at night.
Wow, Spain looks spicy hot. I have a feeling the producers of the study, went into a romantic day dream.
In related news, the usual summer heatwave in my old hometown, St. Louis, has broken. Check the forecast and you will see highs in the eighties and seventies for the next five days. This break is two weaks early, at least. We are going to have a very cold winter.
Just a question, isn’t this the place that went overboard erecting bird killing machines that suck energy out of the wind? Less circulation, less convection, less natural cooling maybe?
“Scientific team” says ….
Sounds like a car dealership-a used one. Ha.
“extremes between 1950 and 2006”
7,8,9,10
I was going to go to Spain for a vacation next year, BUT, I don’t want to go to a place that is burning up faster than everywhere else on the planet so I will have to look for a a place that is statistically, on average, burning up less quickly than the rest of the planet.
Mosher was right! I should have been willing to help with the gridded temperatures then I could have calculated my new holiday location quite easily. Now I will have to look for adjustments and do s full scale analysis. Maybe I should just go the arctic — oh wait it’s warming faster than everywhere else. Oh dear! Hmmm, Antarctica? Southern Ocean? — hmm Anthony says no… hmmm Sahara?
This is a strange story because several friends of mine living in Madrid took a course
“driving under snow and ice conditions” and they all bought winter tires for the first time in their life and boy did they need them last winter.
A friend of mine who has a small air strip in the mountains near Madrid had to wait for the end of March this year to get acces because of all the snow from last winter.
I personally think they can stick this report you know where.
“But the current article is about Spain and climate data, and Portugal is not part of the story – Anthony”
References about Iberian Peninsula includes Portugal. One more evidence how things are done at NASA…
There is no possible way CO2 could be warming SST’s to the degree that land temps are warming at night. Where is the CO2 mechanism? This all looks like oceanic and atmospheric oscillations to me, as well as the possibility of heat island contamination.
Uh huh….like that surprise snowstorm on March 8, 2010 of this year in Barcelona….where it never snows.
Within two weeks of the boreal Spring no less.
For all of you who suffered through a hot boreal Summer…enjoy the photos….
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Here some reports about the snow in Madrid.
Freak Snowfall Madrid January 9
http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/World-News/Freak-Snowfall-Shuts-Madrid-Airport-Traffic-In-Spanish-Capital-Brought-To-Standstill/Article/200901215200269
And another report from December 14 2009
http://www.demotix.com/news/203418/heavy-snow-madrid
Damned Skeptic says:
September 1, 2010 at 10:27 am
Impugning a study just because it shows a warming trend without regard to the evidence presented in the study is a non-scientific knee jerk sort of response.
Agreed but when they go on to say ‘However, the increase in warm days in mainland Spain is higher than the number obtained globally for the planet as a whole’ you get that sinking feeling of
‘Oh no not again !!!!’
My daughter lives in Spain and her take on the Spanish weather is that it is actually getting colder! Winter 09-10 she had snow and temperatures at below 0C. This summer had a warm month, July, but August has been wet and cooler. But she only lives there so what does she know.
In the mean time:
Record low temperatures for the date were tied Wednesday at Los Angeles International Airport and Oceanside in San Diego County.
The temperature was 58 degrees at LAX, tying a record set in 1951, the National Weather Service said. Oceanside dropped to 66 degrees, tying a record that has stood since 1914.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/09/record-low-temperatures-lax-ocenside.html
Ref – José Antonio says:
September 1, 2010 at 1:19 pm
Jose’, it’s a global phenom: “Anthroprogenic Global Political Decay”. People are really getting very, very hot under their collars at these crooks. But, I guess we should not be surprised, Climatologists and Politicians have been in bed with each other for years. Disgusting!!!
We need a Hippocratic Oath for Scientists and Politicians and Bankers and Brookers! In it, somewhere, there needs to be a line like: ..”first, do no harm.” (For Climatologists we need a small island off the Northeast Coast of South America; let’s ask the French to manage it.)