The Guardian: Climategate was 'a game changer'

Despite regular attempts by head in the sand AGW cheerleaders to make it go away, Climategate continues to affect the path of climate science. This endorsement of the Climategate effect comes from a most unlikely source, The Guardian’s Fred Pearce, who also writes for The New Scientist. Most telling about all of the investigations so far is that they have not interviewed any of the primary investigators that question the methods and data, such as Steve McIntyre.

The investigations thus far are much like having a trial with judge, jury, reporters, spectators, and defendant, but no plaintiff. The plaintiff is locked outside the courtroom sitting in the hall hollering and hoping the jury hears some of what he has to say. Is it any wonder the verdicts keep coming up “not guilty”?

To summarize: it’s a whitewash in the purest sense of the word. I don’t expect career team player Sir Muir Russell’s report to be any different. He’s too much of an familial insider to have the courage to ask the plaintiff to get involved, and he didn’t. But Steve McIntyre is going anyway. Hopefully they’ll have the courage to hear what he has to say and not lock him out in the hallway. – Anthony

‘Climategate’ was ‘a game-changer’ in science reporting, say climatologists

After the hacked emails scandal scientists became ‘more upfront, open and explicit about their uncertainties’

Sir Muir Russell and independent investigation on Climatic  Research Unit, University of East Anglia

Sir Muir Russell’s findings will be published on Wednesday. Photograph: University of Glasgow

Excerpts from the Guardian article:

Science has been changed forever by the so-called “climategate” saga, leading researchers have said ahead of publication of an inquiry into the affair – and mostly it has been changed for the better.

This Wednesday sees the publication of the Muir Russell report into the conduct of scientists from the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU), whose emails caused a furore in November after they were hacked into and published online.

Critics say the emails reveal evasion of freedom of information law, secret deals done during the writing of reports for the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a cover-up of uncertainties in key research findings and the misuse of scientific peer review to silence critics.

But whatever Sir Muir Russell, the chairman of the Judicial Appointments Board for Scotland, concludes on these charges, senior climate scientists say their world has been dramatically changed by the affair.

“The release of the emails was a turning point, a game-changer,” said Mike Hulme, professor of climate change at the University of East Anglia. “The community has been brought up short by the row over their science. Already there is a new tone. Researchers are more upfront, open and explicit about their uncertainties, for instance.”

And there will be other changes, said Hulme. The emails made him reflect how “astonishing” it was that it had been left to individual researchers to police access to the archive of global temperature data collected over the past 160 years. “The primary data should have been properly curated as an archive open to all.” He believes that will now happen.

“Trust has been damaged,” said Hans von Storch of the KGSS Research Centre in Geesthacht, Germany. “People now find it conceivable that scientists cheat and manipulate, and understand that scientists need societal supervision as any other societal institution.”

The climate scientist most associated with efforts to reconciling warring factions, Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology, said the idea of IPCC scientists as “self-appointed oracles, enhanced by the Nobel Prize, is now in tatters”. The outside world now sees that “the science of climate is more complex and uncertain than they have been led to believe”.

Roger Pielke Jr of the University of Colorado agreed that “the climate science community, or at least its most visible and activist wing, appeared to want to go back to waging an all-out war on its perceived political opponents”.

He added: “Such a strategy will simply exacerbate the pathological politicisation of the climate science community.” In reality, he said, “There is no going back to the pre-November 2009 era.”

But greater openness and engagement with their critics will not ensure that climate scientists have an easier time in future, warns Hulme. Back in the lab, a new generation of more sophisticated computer models is failing to reduce the uncertainties in predicting future climate, he says – rather, the reverse. “This is not what the public and politicians expect, so handling and explaining this will be difficult.”

Full story at the Guardian h/t to Tallbloke and WUWT reader Pat

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Richard M
July 7, 2010 5:37 am

You can tell the level of Zilla’s knowledge when he quotes the 97% number. He is now shown to be either intentionally naive or just plain ignorant.
Zilla, the 97% number includes all those that believe that CO2 causes some warming. That includes Lindzen and about 95% of all skeptics. That’s right, most of the people who post here also fall into the 97% number. The number you fail to understand is that ONLY 41% believe in the “C” in CAGW. And, the survey itself was taken before ClimateGate so I’d expect that number would be less today.
If you’re going to post nonsense here you will be called on it.
As for there existing an expert in climate science. Think about it (I know that’s asking a lot). What expertise does it take? How about, in addition to Atmospheric Physics, we throw in biology, oceanography, statistics, meteorology, geology, geography, cosmology, chemistry, paleoarchaeology, and many more. The truth is there is no such thing as an expert. However, if you look at the basics of understanding climate and you find much of it is very simplistic. So, you can easily see why some of the climate scientists started with a simple explanation, ie CO2, while not evening knowing all the factors involved.

July 7, 2010 5:37 am

Sorry, I double posted above
Meanwhile, the climate scientists have just been cleared again
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jul/07/climategate-review-clears-scientists-dishonesty?showallcomments=true#end-of-comments

Latimer Alder
July 7, 2010 8:38 am

@zilla
‘I cannot imagine how anyone thinks that, from the vantage of this blog, anyone is trying to bring Oxford down. Particularly my earnest comments above. Defensive much?’
Perhaps your ‘culture’ is one which doesn’t appreciate irony/sarcasm.
Tough. Get over it.

July 7, 2010 10:09 pm

George Monbiot has accepted the findings of the Muir Russell enquiry
The CRU has been vindicated
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cif-green/2010/jul/07/russell-inquiry-i-was-wrong
So that’s all right then
He’s chairing the debate in London
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jun/30/guardian-debate-climate-science-emails
Steve McIntyre will have a tough job breaking through the complacency

July 7, 2010 10:29 pm

Sometimes the US media refers to “Britain’s prestigious Oxford university”. It always makes me laugh. I try not to be a typical British Guardianite, looking down on our cousins over there, the way Monbiot et al. do, but sometimes it’s hard…

July 7, 2010 11:09 pm

On the ‘experts’ issue raised by ‘Zilla’ above: McKitrick and Essex, authors of the neglected sceptical masterwork ‘Taken By Storm’, could claim to be experts
http://www.takenbystorm.info
McKitrick is a statistics man, and Essex runs a physics department
But they don’t argue from authority – they are more modest
Their book explains to the layman just how fiendishly complicated climate is
Chaos, turbulence, sensitivity to initial conditions… it’s all there
Why there isn’t enough silicon in the universe to build a computer which could accurately model it, even if we understood what we are trying to model
How the IPCC cover themselves by admitting this in a footnote to five hundred pages denying it
There are no ‘experts’
There are political activists
And there are those who know they don’t know and that neither does anyone else

tallbloke
July 7, 2010 11:28 pm

Zilla says:
July 6, 2010 at 10:43 pm (Edit)
I will defer to those who actually have the training in climate science.

Great, shut up and let Christy, Lindzen and Spencer speak then.

Latimer Alder
July 8, 2010 1:42 pm

‘I will defer to those who actually have the training in climate science.’
Umm
Given that ‘climate science’ (if there is indeed such a field) is very very new (<30 years), who trained the supposed Great Gods like Jones, Mann, Schmidt, Hansen etc? There were no gurus for them to learn from
So 'climate science' us really based in what they have made up as they've gone along in their 20 or 30 year career. No necessary harm in that – pioneers in any field are obviously breaking new ground – but it doesn't mean that they are necessarily right. There is no great body of experience stretching back centuries on which they can rely. And is it likely that the first attempts to solve a problem are necessarily the most appropriate?
As a generalisation, knowledge advances by learning from mistakes. When there has been little work done, and when debate has been effectively stifled, is there any wonder that mistakes can be made?
I suspect that with a perpspective of 50 or 100 years, today's efforts to understand the subtleties of climate will be seen as but baby steps along the way. And we will be looked at with anused tolerance…with some brownie points gained for 'trying nicely'

Galane
July 8, 2010 2:52 pm

“After the hacked emails scandal scientists became ‘more upfront, open and explicit about their uncertainties’”
More like the media is finally doing a tiny amount of reporting on all the weasel words that have been in the IPCC and other reports all along.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weasel_word

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