Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent Second Highest on Record

Guest post by Steven Goddard

According to Rutgers University Global Snow Lab, last week’s Northern Hemisphere winter snow extent was the second highest on record, at 52,166,840 km2.  This was only topped by the second week in February, 1978 at 53,647,305 km2.  Rutgers has kept records continuously for the last 2,227 weeks, so being #2 is quite an accomplishment.

Daily Snow – February 13, 2010 (Day 44)

Source : Rutgers University Global Snow Lab

According to Rutgers University data through mid February, Northern Hemisphere winter snow extent has been increasing at a rate of over 100,000 km2 per year.

As discussed on WUWT, the implication is that Northern Hemisphere snow cover has only extended this far south one other time, since Rutgers University started keeping records.  Additionally, North American snow extent broke its all time record last week. Canada is normally completely covered with snow in the winter (except for Olympic venues) so the implication is that the US had more snow last week than has been seen in at least the last 44 years.

Two of the fundamental precepts of global warming theory are that the tropics are supposed to expand, and the Arctic is supposed to warm disproportionately and shrink.

Expanding tropics ‘a threat to millions’

By Steve Connor, Science Editor The Independent

Monday, 3 December 2007

The tropical belt that girdles the Earth is expanding north and south, which could have dire consequences for large regions of the world where the climate is likely to become more arid or more stormy, scientists have warned in a seminal study published today. Climate change is having a dramatic impact on the tropics by pushing their boundaries towards the poles at an unprecedented rate not foreseen by computer models, which had predicted this sort of poleward movement only by the end of the century.

Arctic Ice Melting at Alarming Pace as Temperatures Rise

New studies show that the region is warming even faster than many scientists had feared

By Thomas Omestad

Posted December 16, 2008

New studies being released this week indicate that climate change is exerting massive and worrying change on the Arctic region—reducing the volume of ice, releasing methane gas into the atmosphere, and dramatically raising air temperatures in some parts of the Arctic.  The findings will give fresh urgency to international deliberations on the next global climate change pact planned for December 2009 in Copenhagen. The studies also will likely intensify international pressure on the incoming Obama administration to embrace major cuts in the emission of greenhouse gases in an effort to help stabilize global temperatures.  NASA scientists will reveal that more than 2 trillion tons of land ice on Greenland and Alaska, along with in Antarctica, have melted since 2003. Satellite measurements suggest half of the loss has come from Greenland. Melting of land ice slowly raises sea levels.

The World Meteorological Organization, a United Nations agency, is also reporting that ice volume in the Arctic this year fell to its lowest recorded level to date.

Experts from the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado will further reveal that temperatures this fall in some Arctic areas north of Alaska were 9 or 10 degrees Fahrenheit above average. The long-predicted phenomenon is known as “Arctic amplification.” As global air temperatures increase, the Arctic tends to show greater changes because the ice pack that once reflected solar heat is reduced in scope. More heat is therefore absorbed. The study is being discussed at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco.

The last time that snow extended this far south was in the 1970s, when climatologists were worried about the onset of an ice age, and some suggested that we needed to melt the polar ice caps by covering them with soot.

The Cooling World

Newsweek, April 28, 1975

Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects. They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve. But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures of stockpiling food or of introducing the variables of climatic uncertainty into economic projections of future food supplies. The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.

Science: Another Ice Age?

Time Magazine Monday, Jun. 24, 1974

Telltale signs are everywhere —from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest.Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F. Although that figure is at best an estimate, it is supported by other convincing data. When Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and his wife Helena analyzed satellite weather data for the Northern Hemisphere, they found that the area of the ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since. Areas of Baffin Island in the Canadian Arctic, for example, were once totally free of any snow in summer; now they are covered year round.

During the 1970s the southern snow cover was seen as a sign of an impending ice age, and the solution was to melt the polar ice caps.  In 2010, the nearly identical snow cover is a sign of out of control global warming and the solution is to shut down modern civilization.

Ice age or a fiery tipping point?  What do readers think?


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263 Comments
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Henry chance
February 17, 2010 10:23 am

Expanding snow and ice coverage. It is observable and in no way supports the claim of melting and sea level rising.

Phillip Bratby
February 17, 2010 10:23 am

Looks like a hockey stick coming up. A dangerous looking one if it continues. Catastrophic snow increases. The governments will know how to stop this global cooling.

steveta_uk
February 17, 2010 10:24 am

As anyone who has seen “The Day After Tomorrow” knows, a sure sign of runaway global warming is a complete global freeze.
Obvious, in’it?

rbateman
February 17, 2010 10:27 am

2010-44 = 1966.
Guess that puts it right back into the last cooling period.
That was quick.
So much for barbecue weather in winter.
AGW ran up the hill to roast a pair of Ice Caps,
AGW fell down, and broke it’s crown, and snow came tumbling after.

February 17, 2010 10:29 am

Here in Lincoln, NE, we’ve had continuous snow cover since the first week of December, over 10 weeks. This is the longest stretch of snow cover in the 18 years I’ve lived here.
And since snow cover limits daytime warming, it hasn’t gone above 45 F in that period (most of the time, of course, it’s far below freezing).

Jon
February 17, 2010 10:38 am

… do you have any data on snow depth? We haven’t had much snow this winter in Newfoundland (so far).

Steve Goddard
February 17, 2010 10:41 am

Cities along the Colorado Front range have had snow cover most of the time since the first week in October. My favorite UEA mail below:

From: Kevin Trenberth
To: Michael Mann
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 08:57:37 -0600
Cc: Stephen H Schneider , Myles Allen , peter stott , “Philip D. Jones” , Benjamin Santer , Tom Wigley , Thomas R Karl , Gavin Schmidt , James Hansen , Michael Oppenheimer
Hi all
Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on record. We had 4 inches of snow. The high the last 2 days was below 30F and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the previous records for these days by 10F. The low was about 18F and also a record low, well below the previous record low. This is January weather (see the Rockies
baseball playoff game was canceled on saturday and then played last night in below freezing weather).

JonesII
February 17, 2010 10:41 am

Just wishful thinking: “Breaking News: Al Gore’s house collapses after a giant snow storm completely covered the Nobel Peace Prize laurate’s residence”

February 17, 2010 10:44 am

The Gore Effect.

February 17, 2010 10:45 am

Steven,
Imagine the entrenched bureaucratic arrogance had we in 1975 put our climate fate in the hands of “scientists.” Their trillion dollar efforts would have apparently yielded such great success by the 1990s we’d be facing dangerous warming. Except this time they’d have had decades of power consolidation with which to implement their will. Thus more trillions later we find ourselves with smug super EPA types taking credit for the last decade of climate stability.
Anthony,
Wouldn’t it be the ultimate irony if your LED hall lights were suddenly illegal?

Steve Goddard
February 17, 2010 10:46 am

jon,
According to Accuweather, Europe is buried in unusually deep snow.
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&article=8

L Nettles
February 17, 2010 10:47 am

You almost the that the weather comes in cycles with extremes followed by reversion toward the mean.

PC
February 17, 2010 10:49 am

Looks like panic has set in over at RealClimate…read the comments
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/02/whatevergate/

Latimer Alder
February 17, 2010 10:49 am

Surely this was retrospectively forecast as part of AGW-theory. Or if it wasn’t it soon will be.
And if it really wasn’t, then its weather…not climate.
Remember : more snow = global warming
Less snow = less precipitation = drought = global warming
Simples!

Darell C. Phillips
February 17, 2010 10:50 am

I don’t know but I keep dreaming of an image of Al Gore surrounded by people pelting him with snowballs…

Ray
February 17, 2010 10:51 am

Maybe this is how ice ages come about.

MattN
February 17, 2010 10:53 am

Haven’t you heard? More snow is a sign the planet is warming!!
This is preciesely what my True Believer(tm) friends telling me. I wish I was kidding.
It’s really incredible how they rationalize….

Gary
February 17, 2010 10:54 am

Let’s keep checking for the onset of spring as evidenced by ice breakup in rivers and other signs. Will the extensive snow cover delay it this year?

James F. Evans
February 17, 2010 10:58 am

Warming: The snow line moves North.
Cooling: The snow line moves South.
Easy to understand.
And next to impossible to justify the idea that Global Warming means more snow farther south.

NickB.
February 17, 2010 11:00 am

Is there an equivalent chart to dec-feb_snow_ext.png for the Southern Hemisphere?

FINN
February 17, 2010 11:02 am

Perhaps this is the beginning of a runaway global cooling effect. The interglacials lasted normally 11,500 years and this interglacial is excactly 11,500 years old.
Ice age is coming and all we can do is put more carbon dioxide to the atmosphere to compensate its devastating effects.

joe
February 17, 2010 11:04 am

Precisely what is expected from Global Warming.
“According to Rutgers University data through mid February, Northern Hemisphere snow extent has been increasing at a rate of over 100,000 km2 per year.”
Dear God! How long do we have, before Global Warming pushes the snow line down to the equator?

JonesII
February 17, 2010 11:06 am

After big snows big melts and big floods follow..unless it happens an improbable repetition of a “year without a summer”.
Let’s wait and see. Any forecasts?

The ghost of Big Jim Cooley
February 17, 2010 11:08 am

realclimate have posted a thread on the UK TV coverage about-face. Instead of getting their usual support they seem to be getting some stick for not correcting the ridiculous warming scare stories of the past. Join in! http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/02/whatevergate/comment-page-3/#comment-160840

L Nettles
February 17, 2010 11:11 am

You would almost think that weather comes in cycles with extremes followed by reversions towards the mean. Its a radical idea I know.

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