…"perhaps a conspiracy is unnecessary where a carrot will suffice"

We recently had a story about the UK Met Office putting out a petition amongst scientists (even non-climatologists) to prop up the image of the CRU. Some scientists said they felt “pressured” to sign.

This story explains how they might feel that way.

WUWT reader Norris Hall commented on this thread: Americans belief of global warming sinking – below 50% for the first time in 2 years

… it is possible that this is just a big conspiracy by climate scientist around the world to boost their cause and make themselves more important. Though I find it hard to believe that thousands of scientists…all agreed to promote bogus science …Pretty hard to do without being discovered.

To which Paul Vaughan responded as follows:

Actually not so hard.

Personal anecdote:

Last spring when I was shopping around for a new source of funding, after having my funding slashed to zero 15 days after going public with a finding about natural climate variations, I kept running into funding application instructions of the following variety:

Successful candidates will:

1) Demonstrate AGW.

2) Demonstrate the catastrophic consequences of AGW.

3) Explore policy implications stemming from 1 & 2.

Follow the money — perhaps a conspiracy is unnecessary where a carrot will suffice.

Opposing toxic pollution is not synonymous with supporting AGW.

From Planet Gore: This confirms the stories that I’ve been hearing over the last few years.

New maxim: The Carrot Train

h/t to Planet Gore, who got it from Bishop Hill, who got it from comments here on WUWT

Sometimes there’s so much happening on WUWT, it is impossible to take it all in.

Thanks guys!

Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
0 0 votes
Article Rating
227 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
KevinM
December 11, 2009 9:50 am

Produce the documents!

Ray
December 11, 2009 9:52 am

I would think that the funding agencies are very careful as to how they define the applicable research topics. They can use “climate change”, “adaptation to climate change”, “global warming” or even “climate model development”. These are all normal topics to do research in since they could also be of natural occurrence.
The decision to fund this or that researcher depends on people. Unfortunately, if those people have an agenda to promote AGW over Natural Global Warming (NGW) or Natural Climate Change (NCC), they would surely favor those with such proposals. In any case, if they do have an agenda to promote AGW, the second round of research will surely be affected by the results and conclusions of the first round.
What would be needed is another whistleblower that would release such correspondence from people making the decisions to grant or no-grant.

David
December 11, 2009 9:53 am

Another one,
DOE National Institute for Climatic Change Research, http://niccr.nau.edu/forms.html
“Research should:
(1) answer important questions about potential effects of climatic change on the structure and functioning of terrestrial ecosystems within the 50 states or District of Columbia;
(2) evaluate or improve the understanding and prediction of potential effects of climatic change on the future geographic distribution of U.S. terrestrial ecosystems at the regional scale;
(3) use measurements of contemporary exchanges of mass and energy between the atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems to answer important questions about possible effects of an altered terrestrial carbon cycle and/or surface energy exchange on global and/or regional climate; or
(4) use synthesis of existing experimental or observational data, or modeling, to answer important questions about potential effects of
climatic change on U.S. ecological systems and/or feedbacks from U.S. terrestrial ecosystems to climate at the regional scale.”

Pofarmer
December 11, 2009 9:55 am

personally I think wind turbines are fine as they are completely takedownable should we in the UK solve the electricity crisis, b
Except for the million pounds or so of concrete and steel at the base.

December 11, 2009 9:55 am

A better analogy might be, pigs at the trough. Here’s a picture courtesy of the UK govt. http://gallery.nen.gov.uk/gallery_images/0701/0000/0102/100_6563_mid.jpg :
Note it didn’ take a conspiracy to get these interests assembled. They got their of their own accord. And most look happy to be there.

December 11, 2009 10:02 am

CERN:
Exact the same story here.
first part
“By National PostFebruary 23, 2007
Jasper Kirkby is a superb scientist, but he has been a lousy politician. In 1998, anticipating he’d be leading a path-breaking experiment into the sun’s role in global warming, he made the mistake of stating that the sun and cosmic rays “will probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole of the increase in the Earth’s temperature that we have seen in the last century.” Global warming, he theorized, may be part of a natural cycle in the Earth’s temperature.
Dr. Kirkby was immediately condemned by climate scientists for minimizing the role of human beings in global warming. Stories in the media disparaged Dr. Kirkby by citing scientists who feared oil-industry lobbyists would use his statements to discredit the greenhouse effect. And the funding approval for Dr. Kirkby’s path-breaking experiment — seemingly a sure thing when he first announced his proposal– was put on ice.
Dr. Kirkby was stunned, and not just because the experiment he was about to run had support within his scientific institute, and was widely expected to have profound significance. Dr. Kirkby was also stunned because his institute is CERN, and science performed at CERN had never before seemed so vulnerable to whims of government funders.” http://www.canada.com/story.html?id=975f250d-ca5d-4f40-b687-a1672ed1f684 (more klik link)
The research is now years later underway en the found :
correlation between cosmic-ray intensity and amount cloud cover http://public.web.cern.ch/public/en/Research/CLOUD-en.html
J. Kirkby 2009 de slides bij de CERN video http://indico.cern.ch/materialDisplay.py?materialId=slides&confId=52576 and CERN talk
http://cdsweb.cern.ch/record/1181073/

Phil A
December 11, 2009 10:05 am

http://www.guardian.co.uk/education/2007/jul/06/research.highereducation
“Researchers working on the social and economic impact of climate change will get more money “as a matter of urgency”, the council said.
More fellowships in this area will be funded to help researchers tackle the problems outlined by the inter-governmental panel on climate change and the Stern review.
The fellowships will cover the economics of climate change, securing effective international collective action, impacts of climate change on international development and poverty and how to change behaviour. A call for bids is due out shortly.”

tallbloke
December 11, 2009 10:06 am

Walt The Physicist (07:52:08) :
May I suggest: the centralized government funding of science is the culprit. What’s instead?

Independent research.
Oh noes! Lack of common standards! Open peer review! Relativism!!
The HORROR!!!
🙂

December 11, 2009 10:10 am

I sympathize with Mr. Vaughan. He wanted to get his “experience out” in the public. However, in this “environment” we do need to produce “prima facia” evidence. (Such as PDF’s of grant application instructions which say something similar to the above.)
It would make Climategate^2
Please note how the ACTUAL SEGMENTS OF CODE from CRU not only betray the biases, fudge factors, manipulations to “get the result we want”..
BUT they also show how SHODDY the work is.
We can run with that and should.

Phil A
December 11, 2009 10:14 am

Intergenerational justice?
“Two ESRC Funded Studentships on Equity and Climate Change
Applications are invited for two fully funded 3 year PhD studentship based in the Department of Politics and International Relations to begin in October 2009. The students will be supervised by Professor Simon Caney. The subject-matter of the two studentships is as follows:
* ‘Intergenerational Equity and Climate Change’. This studentship examines the question: What principles of intergenerational justice should be adopted in the case of climate change? Climate change has considerable long term implications and as such raises a number of important questions of intergenerational equity. Relevant questions include: What is the nature of the claims of future generations? Do future people have rights? Is it legitimate to discount the interests of future generations and if so why? How should current generations balance the interests of the contemporary global poor in development and the interests of future people in not suffering from climate change?”
And don’t forget Big Oil, always funding those deniers…
http://www.shellspringboard.org/

April E. Coggins
December 11, 2009 10:18 am

Nation Science Foundation “Where discoveries begin”
http://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2010/nsf10503/nsf10503.pdf (page 5)
At the system end of the continuum, emphasis will be placed on proposals that advance our knowledge of important arctic environmental processes, the relationships among the various components of the arctic system, and the changes occurring in the cycles of water, carbon and energy in the Arctic and their connectivity to similar processes in lower latitudes with priority on subjects relating to environmental change in the Arctic.

December 11, 2009 10:19 am

There has been anecdotal evidence of this happening for years. You cannot study the mating habits of the lesser-spotted three-toed wavy-crested newt, without adding ‘and its affect on Global Warming’.
It would be nice to have actual incidences of this happening.
.

AdderW
December 11, 2009 10:20 am

Man Made global warming – Man made climate change – The latest urban legend.

John Galt
December 11, 2009 10:21 am

Isn’t it odd that AFTER a conspiracy is EXPOSED, the defenders of the conspiracy say it can’t be a huge conspiracy involving thousands of people because, if it was a huge conspiracy involving thousands of people, it would be EXPOSED.
Hmmm, I think the premise just ran into itself.

Hank Hancock
December 11, 2009 10:25 am

Note: The above links I posted line wrap which breaks the link, to navigate to the grant proposal, highlight and copy both lines then paste them into your browser.

B. Smith
December 11, 2009 10:25 am

Anthony,
I cam across this well-written article in the Jerusalem Post. I thinks it’s well-worth reading.
Think Again: Beware of religious fanatics
Dec. 10, 2009
Jonathan Rosenblum , THE JERUSALEM POST
Excerpt:
– “BENJAMIN FRANKLIN once said that two things should never be viewed in production – sausage and the news. We can now add to that list scientific consensus. An Internet hacker recently released thousands of e-mails to and from researchers at the University of East Anglia’s (UEA) Climate Research Unit (CRU), one of four official repositories for world temperature data.
Scientific consensus, the e-mails reveal, is a tautology: According to global warming alarmists, anyone who expresses any degree of skepticism is by definition not a serious scientist.
In one released e-mail, Phil Jones, head of the CRU, and Michael Mann, the lead author of the third report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), discuss ways to delegitimize Climate Journal, whose editor has published peer-reviewed articles by global warming “skeptics.” Jones assures Mann that one way or another he and a colleague will prevent two such articles from appearing in the next report of the IPCC, “even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is.”
Science depends on a willingness to continually retest hypotheses against the available data. Yet the UEA researchers did everything possible to prevent such testing, including destroying the raw data. The CRU’s temperature data is “adjusted” to account for different means of collection at various stations around the world. When researchers sought the raw data to examine those adjustments, Jones and colleagues first resisted and eventually destroyed much of the data. Other e-mails speak of deleting all correspondence related to the preparation of the fourth IPCC report.
One e-mail speaks of “trick[ing]” the data to hide the lack of global warming since 1998, despite the continual rise in carbon dioxide emissions. In an e-mail from UEA, a researcher laments, “The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment, and it is a travesty that we can’t.” But no such doubts about the climate models, upon which predictions of catastrophe are predicated, were ever expressed publicly. Another e-mail discusses strategies to obscure the uncomfortable fact that for long periods within the last thousand years, way before any human industrial activity, the earth was far warmer than today.
THE E-MAILS, opined The Sunday Times of London, constitute not a “smoking gun, but a mushroom cloud” in terms of the doubts cast on the so-called global warming consensus. The chicanery revealed does not disprove the theories of the global warming alarmists, but it makes a mockery of the notion that there is a scientific consensus. Yet with the exception of Fox News, the UEA e-mails went unmentioned for days by America’s mainstream media. When The New York Times was finally forced to do so, it adopted the stance of the “wizard of Oz” telling Dorothy to ignore the man behind the curtain manipulating the dials.
Such efforts to create a consensus by diktat are old hat. In 2001, when Cambridge University Press published Bjorn Lomborg’s The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World, the scientific establishment went into overdrive to discredit the work. Lomborg argued that the dangers of global warming were vastly overstated, and the costs of the measures proposed to reverse it drastically out of proportion to any danger.
Nature, Science and Scientific American published scathing editorials denouncing the book. Only Nature permitted a letter to the editor (not from Lomborg himself) responding. Science and Scientific American initially refused to publish any responses, and Scientific American threatened legal action if Lomborg continued to post its review and his response on his Web site. Though Skeptical Environmentalist had been peer-reviewed by three leading earth scientists prior to publication, one leading scientist demanded the firing of the Cambridge University Press editor responsible for the book’s publication.
David Schoenbrod, a law professor and former attorney with the Environmental Defense Fund, reviewing the Lomborg controversy in Commentary (September 2002), concluded that Lomborg had refuted seven out of the nine allegations of factual error made in Scientific American’s scathing review, and that the other two were trivial and had no impact on his conclusions. Indeed, the 11-page Scientific American review had more demonstrable factual errors than Lomborg’s 500 page book.” –
[url]http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1260447408290&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FPrinter[/url]

Phil A
December 11, 2009 10:25 am

Having browsed around a fair few research offers, it’s not so much that they’re offering money for people to prove AGW, but rather that AGW is taken as given and they’re offering people (lots of) money to investigate the consequences. Or even where they are researching basic science, it’s still firmly under this umbrella assumption.
A good example might be http://www.noc.soton.ac.uk/rapid/rapid.php
Nobody would quibble at an attempt to improve our understanding of the effect of Atlantic circulation on climate. But put in a context of “The programme aims to improve our ability to quantify the probability and magnitude of future rapid change in climate” one gets a quite different impression of the overall research objective – especially when it’s all lumped under a programme title of “Rapid Climate Change”.
This is where the money is – lump it in with “gatekeepers” on the peer review process and it’s no wonder they can pretend there’s a “consensus”.

Michael
December 11, 2009 10:38 am

Has anyone thought about bombing the antarctic to break off the ice so it floats around the world cooling the planet?

Jack Green
December 11, 2009 10:39 am

Just look at the list of people on this web page and you see the money to be made. I have one question: why are there investment bankers on the list?
http://www.areday.net/areday2009.html
Yep. Lots of green to be made. I’m not hearing much from these folks lately except the science is settled. When was it settled? What settled it? Hmmmm.

RoyFOMR
December 11, 2009 10:40 am

John Bowman (08:49:35) :
This essay in Time Higer Education is a must read.
http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/story.asp?sectioncode=26&storycode=409454&c=2
You’re right John. Martin Cohen an editor of the Philosopher and an environmental activist (FOF) has produced one of the clearest articles disputing the case for AGW that I’ve ever read!
This is a must read.

April E. Coggins
December 11, 2009 10:42 am

Nation Science Foundation “Where discoveries begin”
http://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2010/nsf10512/nsf10512.pdf (page 3)
“The need for public literacy in the geosciences has never been more critical. Daily, Americans learn about threats to the Earth,such as the peril of global climate change and the increasing frequency of natural and manmade hazards.”
This is in their instructions for submitting a grant proposal.

John Galt
December 11, 2009 10:49 am

Shawn Sene (08:42:35) :
First of all, a conspiracy with a few thousands members is very comprehendable.
Secondly, most “climate” scientists, especially among the IPCC, are not even involved with the proving of man-made global warming (not climate change, because they weren’t trying to prove cooling) Most are invovled with the effect of a warmer world not the cause.
Lastly, we know that the data was manipulated and maintained by a rather smaller set of scientists. Methods of interpretation of data was handled by the same people. Anyone outside this group who doesn’t know the data was purposely bad, would come to the conclusion that the world was warming and man most likely was causing it.

Exactly right. Most AGW/Climate Change is not involved in the actual causes of climate change. The cause is presumed. They take the projections creating elsewhere and then make educated guesses on what the consequences will be.

B. Smith
December 11, 2009 10:51 am

The interview with professor Bob Carter was exemplary! The interviewer did and excellent job asking relevant questions and did an outstanding job just shutting up and letting professor Carter answer his questions.
I think Professor Carter is the one scientist who should be on point for blowing up the “consensus on AGW” dogma. I would love to see him discuss AGW science with the likes of Mann, Briffa, Watson or Schmidt. His measured, yet animated and very scholarly demeanor with his incredible grasp of the science would DESTROY the aforementioned prima donnas.
I would pay good money to attend professor Carter’s lectures.
If you missed it: [url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgaeyMa3jyU&feature=player_embedded[/url]

December 11, 2009 10:52 am

Is God trying to send a message?
The forecast for Copenhagen:
http://www.worldweather.org/173/c00190.htm