Breaking News Story: CRU has apparently been hacked – hundreds of files released

UPDATE: Response from CRU in interview with another website, see end of this post.

The details on this are still sketchy, we’ll probably never know what went on. But it appears that University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit has been hacked and many many files have been released by the hacker or person unknown.

UPDATED: Original image was for Met Office – corrected This image source: www.cru.uea.ac.uk

I’m currently traveling and writing this from an airport, but here is what I know so far:

An unknown person put postings on some climate skeptic websites that advertised an FTP file on a Russian FTP server, here is the message that was placed on the Air Vent today:

We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to

be kept under wraps.

We hereby release a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents

The file was large, about 61 megabytes, containing hundreds of files.

It contained data, code, and emails from Phil Jones at CRU to and from many people.

I’ve seen the file, it appears to be genuine and from CRU. Others who have seen it concur- it appears genuine. There are so many files it appears unlikely that it is a hoax. The effort would be too great.

Here is some of the emails just posted at Climate Audit on this thread:

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=7801#comments

I’ve redacted email addresses and direct phone numbers for the moment. The emails all have US public universities in the email addresses, making them public/FOIA actionable I believe.


From: Phil Jones

To: mann@vxxxxx.xxx

Subject: Fwd: John L. Daly dead

Date: Thu Jan 29 14:17:01 2004

From: Timo H‰meranta

To:

Subject: John L. Daly dead

Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2004 12:04:28 +0200

X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook, Build 10.0.4510

Importance: Normal

Mike,

In an odd way this is cheering news ! One other thing about the CC paper – just found

another email – is that McKittrick says it is standard practice in Econometrics journals

to give all the data and codes !! According to legal advice IPR overrides this.

Cheers

Phil

“It is with deep sadness that the Daly Family have to announce the sudden death of John

Daly.Condolences may be sent to John’s email account (daly@john-daly.com)

Reported with great sadness

Timo H‰meranta

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Timo H‰meranta, LL.M.

Moderator, Climatesceptics

Martinlaaksontie 42 B 9

01620 Vantaa

Finland, Member State of the European Union

Moderator: timohame@yxxxxx.xxx

Private: timo.hameranta@xxxxx.xx

Home page: [1]personal.inet.fi/koti/hameranta/climate.htm

Moderator of the discussion group “Sceptical Climate Science”

[2]groups.yahoo.com/group/climatesceptics

“To dwell only on horror scenarios of the future

shows only a lack of imagination”. (Kari Enqvist)

“If the facts change, I’ll change my opinion.

What do you do, Sir” (John Maynard Keynes)

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Prof. Phil Jones

Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0)xxxxxx

School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxxxx

University of East Anglia

Norwich Email p.jones@xxx.xx.xx

NR4 7TJ

UK

—————————————————————————-

References

1. http://personal.inet.fi/koti/hameranta/climate.htm

2. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/climatesceptics


From: Phil Jones

To: ray bradley ,mann@xxxxx.xxx, mhughes@xxxx.xxx

Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement

Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 13:31:15 +0000

Cc: k.briffa@xxx.xx.xx,t.osborn@xxxx.xxx

Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm,

Once Tim’s got a diagram here we’ll send that either later today or

first thing tomorrow.

I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps

to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from

1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline. Mike’s series got the annual

land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land

N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999

for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with

data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998.

Thanks for the comments, Ray.

Cheers

Phil

Prof. Phil Jones

Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx

School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx

University of East Anglia

Norwich Email p.jones@xxxx.xxx

NR4 7TJ

UK

—————————————————————————-


From: Jonathan Overpeck

To: “Michael E. Mann”

Subject: letter to Senate

Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:49:31 -0700

Cc: Caspar M Ammann , Raymond Bradley , Keith Briffa , Tom Crowley , Malcolm Hughes , Phil Jones , mann@xxxxx.xxx, jto@xxxxx.xx.xxx, omichael@xxxxx.xxx, Tim Osborn , Kevin Trenberth , Tom Wigley

Hi all – I’m not too comfortable with this, and would rather not sign – at least not

without some real time to think it through and debate the issue. It is unprecedented and

political, and that worries me.

My vote would be that we don’t do this without a careful discussion first.

I think it would be more appropriate for the AGU or some other scientific org to do this –

e.g., in reaffirmation of the AGU statement (or whatever it’s called) on global climate

change.

Think about the next step – someone sends another letter to the Senators, then we respond,

then…

I’m not sure we want to go down this path. It would be much better for the AGU etc to do

it.

What are the precedents and outcomes of similar actions? I can imagine a special-interest

org or group doing this like all sorts of other political actions, but is it something for

scientists to do as individuals?

Just seems strange, and for that reason I’d advise against doing anything with out real

thought, and certainly a strong majority of co-authors in support.

Cheers, Peck

Dear fellow Eos co-authors,

Given the continued assault on the science of climate change by some on Capitol Hill,

Michael and I thought it would be worthwhile to send this letter to various members of

the U.S. Senate, accompanied by a copy of our Eos article.

Can we ask you to consider signing on with Michael and me (providing your preferred

title and affiliation). We would like to get this out ASAP.

Thanks in advance,

Michael M and Michael O

______________________________________________________________

Professor Michael E. Mann

Department of Environmental Sciences, Clark Hall

University of Virginia

Charlottesville, VA 22903

_______________________________________________________________________

e-mail: mann@xxxxxx.xxx Phone: (434) 924-7770 FAX: (434) xxx-xxxxx

http://www.evsc.virginia.edu/faculty/people/mann.shtml

Attachment converted: Macintosh HD:EOS.senate letter-final.doc (WDBN/MSWD) (00055FCF)

Jonathan T. Overpeck

Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth

Professor, Department of Geosciences

Mail and Fedex Address:

Institute for the Study of Planet Earth

715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor

University of Arizona

Tucson, AZ 85721

direct tel: +xxxx

fax: +1 520 792-8795

http://www.geo.arizona.edu/Faculty_Pages/Overpeck.J.html http://www.ispe.arizona.edu/


It appears that the proverbial Climate Science Cat is out of the bag.

Developing story – more later

UPDATE1: Steve McIntyre posted this on Climate Audit, I used a screen cap rtaher than direct link becuase CA is overloaded and slow at the moment.

UPDATE2: Response from CRU h/t to WUWT reader “Nev”

http://briefingroom.typepad.com/the_briefing_room/2009/11/hadleycru-says-leaked-data-is-real.html

The director of Britain’s leading Climate Research Unit, Phil Jones, has told Investigate magazine’s TGIF Edition tonight that his organization has been hacked, and the data flying all over the internet appears to be genuine.

In an exclusive interview, Jones told TGIF, “It was a hacker. We were aware of this about three or four days ago that someone had hacked into our system and taken and copied loads of data files and emails.”

“Have you alerted police”

“Not yet. We were not aware of what had been taken.”

Jones says he was first tipped off to the security breach by colleagues at the website RealClimate.

“Real Climate were given information, but took it down off their site and told me they would send it across to me. They didn’t do that. I only found out it had been released five minutes ago.”

TGIF asked Jones about the controversial email discussing “hiding the decline”, and Jones explained what he was trying to say….

UPDATE3: McIntyre has posted an article by Jean S at climateaudit.org which is terribly overloaded. We have mirrored it.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/20/mikes-nature-trick/


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philw1776
November 19, 2009 2:42 pm

This audience of all should be skeptical of this allegedly hacked data trove. It would not be beyond reason to speculate that folks could ‘bait’ the data with false emails, temperatures, whatever to make gullible AGW skeptics look like fools once the ‘prank’ is admitted. Proceed with caution and guarded enthusiasm.

November 19, 2009 2:43 pm

This is certainly pretty massive. This crap is not good news for the probity and reputation of science more widely. Who can we trust now? All end up diminished.

November 19, 2009 2:45 pm

Climateaudit is down again.
Imagine what Delingpole will make of it.
And EU has new president, determined to impose green tax on all his slaves to save world from climate change.
I was sleepy, but now I am totally fresh.

Jason Lewis
November 19, 2009 2:51 pm

This smells like misinformation to me too. Please be skeptical, guys!

Steve
November 19, 2009 2:52 pm

Interesting to see how much Mr biased-as-heck BBC reporter Richard Black is under the thumb of a Mr Mann….
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2009 16:09:35 -0600
>>> Michael Mann wrote:
>>>> extremely disappointing to see something like this appear on BBC.
>>>> its particularly odd, since climate is usually Richard Black’s beat
>>>> at BBC (and he does a great job). from what I can tell, this guy was
>>>> formerly a weather person at the Met Office.
>>>> We may do something about this on RealClimate, but meanwhile it
>>>> might be appropriate for the Met Office to have a say about this, I
>>>> might ask Richard Black what’s up here?

GW
November 19, 2009 2:54 pm

This stuff could be earth shattering ! Or at least Climate Shattering. This news has to get out to FOX News, Glen Beck and the rest of talk radio to get it out to as much of the public as possible and as soon as possible.
We all know darned well that the TV news networks, ABC ,NBC, CBS and their cable affiliates will not even pick it up, let alone cover it.
If it is as bad as it could be, it might very well be the death blow to AGW !

Hank Henry
November 19, 2009 2:54 pm

If this hack has been enhanced, are we supposed to care? I think an inquiry is in order, and the net effect will be that someone has some big time explaining to do and necessary revelations to be made.

DaveC
November 19, 2009 3:00 pm

I believe “hide the decline” refers to the divergence “problem” with tree rings at the end of the 20th century.

crosspatch
November 19, 2009 3:02 pm

Ok, I have looked at the file and it *looks* like something that was zipped up as part of an FOI request. Looks like a collection of various files and emails that were placed in a directory and zipped up. No telling where the file was found or who grabbed a copy if this file was sent off to someone else, say, a legal department or something, for review.
Lot of stuff in there and I am not going to open any word documents. Funny .jpg file in there, though and a lot of climate activist stuff.

DennisA
November 19, 2009 3:02 pm

If it looks too good to be true it probably is.
Let’s hope they don’t shut down the system so nothing can be got.

November 19, 2009 3:05 pm

Your tax money at work:
http://i47.tinypic.com/2exn2ty.jpg

Patrik
November 19, 2009 3:05 pm

Anyone checked the ZIP for malicious hacker and cracker type files? 🙂 I’d like to unzip it but don’t know if I dare… 🙂
Maybe this is an attempt to shut down all of us sceptics with one swifth blow by virus. 🙂

L Nettles
November 19, 2009 3:06 pm

Perhaps we’ll do a simple update to the Yamal post, e.g. linking Keith/s new
page–Gavin t?
As to the issues of robustness, particularly w.r.t. inclusion of the Yamal series, we
actually emphasized that (including the Osborn and Briffa ’06 sensitivity test) in our
original post! As we all know, this isn’t about truth at all, its about plausibly
deniable accusations,
m
p.s. any word on HadCRU Sep numbers yet???
On Oct 27, 2009, at 12:37 PM, Phil Jones wrote:
Gavin, Mike, Andy,
It has taken Keith longer than he would have liked, but it is up. There is a lot to
read and understand. It is structured for different levels. The link goes to the top
level. There is more detail below this and then there are the data below that.
You can either go to our main page
[1]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/ then click on the link
or directly here
[2]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/yamal2009/
I’ll let you make up you own minds! It seems to me as though McIntyre cherry picked for
effect.
There is an additional part that shows how many series from Ch 6 of AR4 used Yamal –
most didn’t! Also there is a sensitivity test of omitting it – which comes from the
Supplementary Info with Osborn and Briffa (2006). As expected omitting it makes very
little difference. To get to this follow the links from the above link.
McIntyre knows that the millennial temperature record is pretty robust, otherwise he
would produce his own series. Similarly the instrumental temperature is even more
robust, which he also knows.
Cheers
Phil
Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxx
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email [3]p.jones@xxx
NR4 7TJ
UK
—————————————————————————-

Michael E. Mann
Professor
Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC)
Department of Meteorology Phone: xxxxx
503 Walker Building FAX: (814) xxxx
The Pennsylvania State University email: [4]mann@xxx
University Park, PA 16802-5013
website: [5]http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/index.html
“Dire Predictions” book site:
[6]http://www.essc.psu.edu/essc_web/news/DirePredictions/index.html
Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email [7]p.jones@xxxx
NR4 7TJ
UK
—————————————————————————-

Michael E. Mann
Professor
Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC)
Department of Meteorology Phone: (814)xxxx
503 Walker Building FAX: (814) xxxx
The Pennsylvania State University email: [8]mann@xxxx
University Park, PA 16802-5013
website: [9]http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/index.html
“Dire Predictions” book site:
[10]http://www.essc.psu.edu/essc_web/news/DirePredictions/index.html
Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxx
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jones@xxxxx
NR4 7TJ
UK
—————————————————————————-
References
1. http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/
2. http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/yamal2009/
3. mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk
1256735067.txt

Antonio San
November 19, 2009 3:06 pm

Obviously, Steve has yet to see these postings.

StuartR
November 19, 2009 3:07 pm

Fascinating, although I would say that unless we know the exact provenance of this file, it is totally possible that this has been salted with fakes.
CA seems to be down at the moment, at least in the UK.

Ron de Haan
November 19, 2009 3:07 pm

Incredible.
This somewhat premature “Christmas Present”, still unwrapped, could turn out to be an atomic bombshell under the IPCC report and the Copenhagen Climate Treaty, if handled in a professional manner.
Next steps: Analysis of the data, conclusions, legal evaluation and strategy.
I wonder what the possibilities are to secure the computer data by an independent legal entity to ensure permanent loss of files due to a cover up.
I think Lord Monckton is the ideal person to make a fast plan.
He will know which strings to pull.
Speed is of the essence.

coalsoffire
November 19, 2009 3:10 pm

Has anyone done a “robust” sort of virus scan of the document to determine if it is safe to download and upzip it, or to open the files in it?

JohnH
November 19, 2009 3:11 pm

Well, the emails may be fake, but are they accurate?

Bill
November 19, 2009 3:12 pm

i don’t think this is a “hack”; I suspect that this is an interim collection of documents, mail messages, and fortran code produced as part of responding to a FOIA request that leaked prematurely.

crosspatch
November 19, 2009 3:12 pm

Well, there is that declineseries.pdf document that looks interesting. Looks to me like it shows little correlation between temperature (what I am guessing the red line is) and ring density or width. The second plot for each series seems to be a delta or difference between temperature and density/width and it if that is what it is, then it looks like a serious “divergence” problem.

November 19, 2009 3:12 pm

But if it is true -and that needs verifying-what on earth are we all going to do with ourselves now?
Can I popose a renunion party to talk about the good old days scheduled for this day in five years time?
tonyb

Molon Labe
November 19, 2009 3:13 pm

Bolding mine.
From: Phil Jones
To: mann@xxx
Subject: Fwd: CCNet: PRESSURE GROWING ON CONTROVERSIAL RESEARCHER TO DISCLOSE SECRET DATA
Date: Mon Feb 21 16:28:32 2005
Cc: “raymond s. bradley” , “Malcolm Hughes”
Mike, Ray and Malcolm,
The skeptics seem to be building up a head of steam here ! Maybe we can use
this to our advantage to get the series updated !
Odd idea to update the proxies with satellite estimates of the lower troposphere
rather than surface data !. Odder still that they don’t realise that Moberg et al used the
Jones and Moberg updated series !
Francis Zwiers is till onside. He said that PC1s produce hockey sticks. He stressed
that the late 20th century is the warmest of the millennium, but Regaldo didn’t bother
with that. Also ignored Francis’ comment about all the other series looking similar
to MBH.
The IPCC comes in for a lot of stick.
Leave it to you to delete as appropriate !
Cheers
Phil
PS I’m getting hassled by a couple of people to release the CRU station temperature data.
Don’t any of you three tell anybody that the UK has a Freedom of Information Act !

John Silver
November 19, 2009 3:14 pm

The zip file at
http://ftp.tomcity.ru/incoming/free/
expands to 168 MB!
No way this is a hoax, no one would have the stamina to fabricate all this stuff!

Diogenes
November 19, 2009 3:14 pm

“I believe that the recent warmth was probably matched about 1000 years ago.”
…….Keith Briffa
…….Allegedly

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