Guest essay by Eric Worrall
According to forecasters, Britain is bracing for extreme winter conditions which might last for months, as falling temperatures turn torrential rain into severe blizzards.
Arctic SNOWBOMB to smash into Britain: Coldest winter in 58 YEARS now just days away
BRITAIN faces WEEKS of freezing blizzards, crippling snowfall and brutal winter storms as a savage turn in the weather plunges the ENTIRE COUNTRY into winter lockdown.
Blistering Polar gales, several feet of snow and near-record low temperatures will grind the country to a standstill until MARCH, forecasters warn.
The first taste of what could be a historic whiteout arrived this weekend blanketing parts of Scotland and Yorkshire in thick snow.
A dramatic change in atmospheric conditions will drag a plume of freezing air from the North Pole across Britain through this week.
…
Piers Corbyn, forecaster for WeatherAction, said: “There is a significant change in the weather on the way.
“The jet stream, which has so far remained north over the UK, is about to make a sharp southwards turn allowing an Arctic air to sweep Britain.
“The British Isles will be locked into an Arctic airflow for at least the next five days.”
…
James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said the end of winter could rival the shocker of 1962/63 – one of the coldest on record.
He said the weather will also be driven by a slow-down of the Gulf Stream which has led to cooler waters around the UK.
He said: “We could see a much colder period until March with a multitude of snow events after snow events in response to low pressure systems clashing with the almost stagnated and cooler air that will be in place across the British Isles.
No doubt if this weather forecast proves to be accurate, alarmists will blame the versatile CO2 molecule for extreme blizzard conditions and snowfall.
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/intense-cold-splits-brand-new-bridge-strands-canadians-/62165/
Poor bridge
I blame global warming.
CO2 in the steel probably, now will you believe the Mann!
The Express make this same forecast every winter.
yes, and they have been late this season – complaint sent. :o)
Yup. I’ll wait until Lucy Verasamy tells me. 🙂
You got there first.
It doesn’t matter if this time they are right (which they won’t be).
Even if they get lucky… they are just getting lucky.
If you always call Tails you’ll win the coin toss eventually.
(Unless you’re Alastair Cook).
Piers Corbyn, forecaster for WeatherAction, said: “There is a significant change in the weather on the way.
“The jet stream, which has so far remained north over the UK, is about to make a sharp southwards turn allowing an Arctic air to sweep Britain.
“The British Isles will be locked into an Arctic airflow for at least the next five days.”
I have followed Piers Corbyn for years, he is forecasting has been extremely reliable. Unlike the worst most unreliable weather jokers at the Met office (that’s being kind)
Poor old Cooky, it just isn’t cricket.
… and the BBC doesn’t:
http://s28.postimg.org/6bpbnx2kt/Brrr.jpg
Minus 5 degrees…. Hmm, that’s centigrade.
Here near Chicago this morning, it was -3 degrees Fahrenheit !
It’s just weather…it is January after all, it gets cold, though I was hoping for some global warming to help with the snow shoveling.
I would not trust James Madden’s forecasts further than I could throw them – he makes prediction after prediction that is wrong. Piers Corbyn’s predictions of extreme patterns are usually much more reliable. We’ll see what happens.
MONTHS of winter weather sounds OTT – if it’s more than 6 weeks it will be an epochal event like 1947.
But really: the EVENT, if event there is, is the blocking high in the NE Atlantic which prevents the usual procession of storms from the Gulf of Mexico or Newfoundland reaching the UK’s shores……
Check out the Saturday summary here
http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-january-16-2016
I don’t know about “months” of hard winter but at about the 6:30 mark Joe Bastardi shows the models predicting the Polar air mass coming down for a visit to the UK. Looks like you all are in for a shot of colder air rom the dreaded “Polar Vortex”.
Oh my god! We might get some snow and a frost in south of England! And in winter! As it happens, despite the British MSM going bananas, figures from the weather station of the local water company in east Surrey indicate a warmer than average December but with just less than average (yes, I’ll repeat that, just less than average) rainfall, after more meaningfully less than average rainfall in October and November.
So, if we are due a colder-than-average late January – so what? Armageddon? Don’t think so.
Facts over hysteria please.
Oh please… the Daily Express writes this story almost once a week.
Sept 17: Coldest winter for 50 YEARS set to bring MONTHS of heavy snow to UK
Nov 3: FOUR MONTHS OF HEAVY SNOW: Shock UK long-range weather forecast for THIS winter
Nov 18: Britain on SNOW alert: Storm Barney sends temperatures plunging to -6C with Arctic gales
Nov 24: New Arctic blast within days promises freezing run up to a COLD CHRISTMAS
http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/621745/Arctic-blast-freezing-COLD-CHRISTMAS
Dec 13: Here comes the SNOW: Arctic blast hits the UK as Brits prepare for the WORST Xmas floods
And this is wast Met-office report about the first third of this winter:
“The provisional UK mean temperature was 7.9 °C, which is 4.1 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term average, making it the warmest December in a series from 1910. “
I can’t take this story seriously, it’s become a standing joke here in the UK in that every winter our tabloid papers publish the same rubbish.
No-one with a brain cell believes the winter forecasts of James Madden! He makes the same forecast EVERY winter.As does the Express “newspaper”.
58 years ago was 1958 which was not a bad winter. 1947 was very snowy from late January through April. 1962/63 was very cold from December through March. Those were the worst winters in the last 70 years.
I recall the winter of ’62 when the sea froze.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_of_1962%E2%80%9363_in_the_United_Kingdom
62-63 winter was brutal. even in Holland there were deaths and many smaller towns were isolated for weeks, emergency supplies were flown in with choppers from the US air force and NATO.
Well, this is awkward. Some research of The Express’ history of dire snow forecasts might have been prudent before posting.
There are so many inaccuracies in that Express article it beggars belief. The Express warns of apocalyptic blizzards every two or three weeks once Summer is over. We shall see.
Just a couple of weeks ago they were promising record hot temperatures in Central England. And guess what, it was also because of the CO2. And guess more, the hot forecast also failed miserably. This was on the 30th of December.
http://hipertextual.com/2015/12/invierno-loco
Translated: “while the north of the British islands suffers historical floods, the centre of England will have the hottest temperature registered in the last 350 years, with temperatures more typical of April and May for the area”.
I checked what the Sheffield (in the very centre of England) temperatures had been the following day, and it had been hotter than usual, but nothing extraordinary (13ºC max, 6ºC min). One would like to think that eventually they will get tired of this silly game of alarmism. But I’m not counting on it.
By the way, the same article promissed 4 degrees over zero in the north pole for the 31st of December. To my knowledge, nothing remotely close to that happened in the real world. The arctic north of parallel 80 was hotter than usual on that day, but still very far from 277K. Roughly 20K far.
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
Nope,
With teh DMI Link you are referring to an estimated average temperature of a an area with 2200 km diameter.
Just look at this:
ttp://tinyurl.com/TempNorthOf85N
Thanks for that. I don’t see much in your link that challenges what I said. Among the few data points that are closer to the North Pole, none of them shows a temperature remotely close to 4ºC.
Just saw the option to replay. So basically almost 0 degrees were reached during just a few hours on the 30th of December, going back to the range of -20ºC very shortly afterwards. Interesting.
The things a lonely arctic seal will play with.
Well, ‘hot’ and ‘Arctic’ don’t go together. Not even ‘warmer’. Less cold or milder is the word used. Nothern languages have a rich set of words describing temperatures that are freaking cold, but less cold than it could be or used to be.
My parents say the winter, so far, has been quite mild albeit they live near Portsmouth, Hampshire, southern England.
“According to forecasters ….. ”
In that case I’m not putting the umbrella away just yet.
Not saying we aren’t going to get some cold snowy weather, but it is the middle of January after all.
Given the Met Office’s history of pathetically wrong predictions I’m not going to make any preparations other than finding a warmer sweater. Contrast their panicky prediction of weeks of severe weather with Piers Corbyn’s measured forecast, and ask yourself which is more believable. There you go, sorted.
What planet you from!!! The met office are the only ones who have predicted the string of mild wet and windy winters we have been experiencing. Corbyn and Madden are crackpots. For every failed met office forcast I can give you 50 of theirs!
Unfortunately the Express in particular has been coming out with this headline regardless of whether it actually snows. That said, there does look like a cold signal at the moment which could give us a bit of the white stuff.
Awwww c’mon….Is Mr rare and exciting going to be wheeled out again?…..
Agreed…never quote the Express on its weather forecasts. Is it the Mail that constantly headlines cures for Cancer and Alzheimer’s? Fairly free press, who often use the privilege to try and sell papers… R.
“Is it the Mail that constantly headlines cures for Cancer and Alzheimer’s?” Inded it is. This is known as the Daily Mail Oncology Ontological Project to classify every inanimate object into one of two types- those that cause cancer and those that cure it.
And they both will cause house prices to plummet.
archonix
Magnificent!
Almost lost a keyboard & monitor!
Auto
First time anyone claimed Corbyn emissions will cool the planet.
The british isles has existed in a wedge of warm, north-bound air for the last few months. Many continental areas at latitudes far to the south of W Europe have been in deepfreeze for months.
When the warm air system finally runs out of energy the wedge will close and Europe will freeze.
No doubt, in spite of this and other reports around the globe over the course of the year, 2016 will be pronounced the “warmest evah.”
“BRITAIN faces WEEKS of freezing blizzards, crippling snowfall and brutal winter storms”
And this is just the start of the global warming trend. !! 😉
The Express? What is it they say about broken clocks?
I’m a great believer in the credibility of WUWT. Please don’t take it amiss but that credibility is in danger of being undermined by quoting stories from the Express. That paper uses erroneous headlines aboit the weather at least 80% of the time.
Yes – at least put in (According to the Express) in the headline.
Pokes head nervously over the parapet… :-).
If it’s any consolation, Eric, there’s a possibility that night-time temperatures in our neck of the woods might dip below freezing later in the week.
Frankly I’m hoping this forecast is wrong. I’ve experienced heavy snow when I used to live in England, it wasn’t fun trying to commute to work through the ice.
Nervous you should be with ten foot snow drifts forecast by The Express after the second flake of snow falls.
Their shouting about the end of humanity is expected every year, just a little late this season, and I have sent a note of complaint to the editor at said newspaper.
The Daily Express is owned by a Porn King, who runs Television X and Red Hot TV. He also prints OK Magazine, while the Daily Express is twinned with the National Enquirer in the US.
The number of ‘winter whiteout’ predictions is matched by the number of sightings of Elvis, Bigfoot, and that B-29 that landed on the Moon. The Express readership is comprised of semi-literate readers who have recently mastered the alphabet and have outgrown the tlts and bums of the Red Top papers, and are looking for more cerebral articles on Bigfoot and Elvis.
I hear that the IPCC believe that the Express might be the ideal platform to promote their honest reports on climate.
Ralph
Ralph,
Spot on – but I think you missed the big red London double-decker bus that was found on the Moon.
And then – weeks later – could not be found on the Moon.
I understood one of the two stories had a scintilla of accuracy . . . .
Auto
Sorry, couldn’t resist.
Hey I still got my hair – the bald guy is my younger brother… 🙂
Kilroy, where ya been, boy?
Wot, no snow yet?
That reply was the pits.
A German friend suggested that the British are so useless at handling winter weather that had Hitler dumped snow on London rather than bombs he would have won the war.
That’s ironic, considering that operation Babarossa foundered upon encountering the severe Russian winter:
“The German Army had counted on a quick summertime victory in Russia and had therefore neglected to prepare for the brutal winter warfare it now faced. German medical officer Heinrich Haape recalled: “The cold relentlessly crept into our bodies, our blood, our brains. Even the sun seemed to radiate a steely cold and at night the blood red skies above the burning villages merely hinted a mockery of warmth.”
Heavy boots, overcoats, blankets and thick socks were desperately needed but were unavailable. As a result, thousands of frostbitten soldiers dropped out of their frontline units. Some divisions fell to fifty-percent of their fighting strength. Food supplies also ran low and the troops became malnourished. Mechanical failures worsened as tank and truck engines cracked from the cold while iced-up artillery and machine-guns jammed.
The once-mighty German military machine had now ground to a halt in Russia. ”
http://www.historyplace.com/worldwar2/defeat/attack-russia.htm