Guest essay by Eric Worrall
The end of chocolate, the end of coffee, the end of beer left us unmoved. Even bundling the chocolate, beer and coffee scares into one article didn’t raise a flicker. So desperate alarmists have recycled the ultimate scare story.
Science writer David Auerbach reminds us that in 2010, famous Australian Microbiologist Frank Fenner, who once helped eradicate Smallpox, predicted that climate change would lead to the extinction of mankind.
According to Auerbach;
Humans will be extinct in 100 years because the planet will be uninhabitable, according to Australian microbiologist Frank Fenner, one of the leaders of the effort to eradicate smallpox in the 1970s. He blames overcrowding, denuded resources and climate change.
Fenner’s prediction is not a sure bet, but he is correct that there is no way emissions reductions will be enough to save us from our trend toward doom. And there doesn’t seem to be any big global rush to reduce emissions, anyway. When the G7 called on Monday for all countries to reduce carbon emissions to zero in the next 85 years, the scientific reaction was unanimous: That’s far too late.
And no possible treaty that emerges from the current United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Bonn, Germany, in preparation for November’s United Nations climate conference in Paris, will be sufficient. At this point, lowering emissions is just half the story — the easy half. The harder half will be an aggressive effort to find the technologies needed to reverse the climate apocalypse that has already begun.
The end of Mankind has got to be worse than no more beer or chocolate, right? I mean its the most emotive scare story alarmists can imagine, except maybe James Hansen’s excruciating refinement of the extinction scare, that not only will we all die, but we’ll all be boiled to death.
Fenner sadly passed away shortly after presenting his doom laden prophecy. We can only speculate whether he would have maintained such an extreme position, in the face of strong evidence that high climate sensitivity estimates are untenable.

You ain’t seen nothing yet. Paul Ehrlich has a new article coming out about extinction !!!!
With no coffee or chocolate we may as well all die. Life will not be worth living ! LOL.
I’m quite prepared to believe that society may well have collapsed by 2100 but it won’t be because of CO2 driven warming.
We are witnessing the end of the age of reason. We will be back in the dark ages by then, or some SF distopean dictatorship enforced by storm-troopers in blue helmets and nice green ecomarchal badges.
So, is ’42’ HALspeak for methyl xanthines?
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I agree. It looks like C.M. Kornbluth’s science fiction story is coming true now.
http://mysite.du.edu/~treddell/3780/Kornbluth_The-Marching-Morons.pdf
I dunno, but caffenine CAS number is 58-08-2
theophylline CAS number is 58-55-9
theobromine CAS number is 83-67-0
and aminophylline CAS number is 317-34-0
Unfortunately, if you do the substractions, none of them gives you 42, That would have been awesome. caffeine gives 48, though.
We are headed back towards a pre-Enlightenment age.
Alan M., see ‘Childhood’s End’ per Arthur C. Clarke. The devils didn’t even deliver utopia, and still they have their demands.
Urederra: Theobromine, the food of the Gods. Oh, yes, we have no benumbers, today.
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Hmmmm, fifty-eight minus (two times sixteen) makes forty-two. Could Java be the location of the secret decoder ring? Avoiding numeracy here to escape surveillance.
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A super-duper computer was asked the Meaning of Life in A Hitchhiker’s guide to the Galaxy. It calculated for thousands of years, then returned the answer “42”.
Agree entirely.
How the Reformation was won and ushered in the Age of Reason should be made the primary topic of all history lessons, before we forget how hard fought the battle was, and how fundamental the gains were.
Sadly, many of our brain-dead politicians think the Reformation merely signified a change in artistic styles, a bit like the Renaissance, and had nothing to do with the foundations of modern science.
Ralph
“We are witnessing the end of the Age of Reason.”
Well-said Mike.
I wrote this recently [excerpt]:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/06/18/is-the-catholic-church-burned-by-the-sun-again/#comment-1967102
This year is also the 800th Anniversary of the signing of Magna Carta in 1215. Magna Carta marked a critical beginning of Rule of Law in the modern era. Pope Innocent III wrote a Papal Bull annulling Magna Carta, calling it “illegal, unjust, harmful to royal rights and shameful to the English people”. Papal Bull indeed…
Rule of Law is only practiced today in about 10% of the countries in the world – not surprisingly, they are the prosperous ones. Even in these 20 or so fortunate countries, Rule of Law is under threat from the pack of scoundrels and imbeciles that will always be with us.
[end of excerpt]
Democracy is a frail creature.
We need a voting public that demonstrates some degree of education and intelligence.
These campaigns to “get out the vote” are dysfunctional – we need a new campaign to restore rationality to democracy.
I suggest we should implement an intelligence test at the voting booth, which questions such as:
1. Is professional wrestling real or fake?
2. If your car says Dodge on the front of it, do you really need a horn?
3. Why is it called lipstick if you can still move your lips?
4. etc.
Better still , we need a campaign that just says ”Stay Home! You’re ‘way too stupid to vote!”
Best regards, Allan 🙂
Paul Ehrlich’s work these days is almost entirely connected to the UN and an entity called MAHB–Millennium Assessment of Human Behavior. I wrote about it here a few years ago and the title is a quote from Ehrlich. http://www.invisibleserfscollar.com/now-more-than-five-years-into-an-attempt-to-help-organize-a-near-total-revision-of-human-behavior/
He is also pushing something now called Biosocial evolution where the changes are not genetic, but in prevailing culture. Needless to say, having his protege John Holdren in charge of digital learning initiatives via his office at the White House Science and Technology Policy, puts both of them in a position to push the very changes desired. Literally both Digital Promise and the League of Innovative Schools report to OTEP.
The Remaking Learning Playbook that came out last week is a DP initiative and is so committed to Mind Arson that these K-12 initiatives are more likely to make man extinct than the climate. Talk about catastrophic.
And all being made part of Common Core
Hiya Early Bird. This worm breathes fire and brimstone, and sparks encycle its eyes.
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Theory without culpable supporting documenting evidence. But then prior to the Common Core ELA and Math standards, the ability to spot such poorly supported proposals was not considered to be important. It is now a very well worded and very clear standard in the CCSS ELA and Math document.
If you want to combat warmist catastrophic ideology, you have to use better writing strategies than they do.
1. Teaching Maths In 1970
A logger sells a truckload of timber for £100. His cost of production is 4/5 of the price. What is his profit?
2. Teaching Maths In 1980
A logger sells a truckload of timber for £100. His cost of production is 4/5 of the price, or £80. What is his profit?
3. Teaching Maths In 1990
A logger sells a truckload of timber for £100. His cost of production is £80. Did he make a profit?
4. Teaching Maths In 2000
A logger sells a truckload of timber for £100. His cost of production is £80 and his profit is £20. Your assignment: Underline the number 20.
5. Teaching Maths In 2010
A logger cuts down a beautiful forest because he is selfish and inconsiderate and cares nothing for the habitat of animals or the preservation of our woodlands. He does this so he can make a profit of £20. What do you think of this way of making a living? Topic for class participation after answering the question: How did the birds and squirrels feel as the logger cut down their homes? (There are no wrong answers. )
6. Teaching Maths 2020
أ المسجل تبيع حموله شاحنة من الخشب من اجل 100 دولار. صاحب تكلفة الانتاج من الثمن. ما هو الربح له؟
Latest example of Common Core Math these days…….
http://www.kappit.com/img/pics/201411_1459_deedh.jpg
Because you know what? Every other time people banded together to Make People Change Into A Better Thing, it worked out so well, and there weren’t even that many Mass Graves, Pogroms, and Labor Camps.
Or, at least, that’s what the newly revised history texts will say.
Curious George
…DUDE! That was great. ^¿^
@curious George
Awesome example! Can I share on Facebook?
And his record to datd has been so spectacularly on the money. Can’t wait.
If you don’t think this spyin’ stuff is really ideal, text yourself and let us know how you feel:
I honesty don’t understand why more people don’t just laugh when they here about more predictions being made by Paul Ehrlich.
Yes, all of Ehrlich’s predictions have been wrong. He is just making noise and has nothing real or truthful to say. All darkness and shadows with no light.
Remember how we went extinct during the Medieval Warming Period. Actually, societies throughout the world flourished then and the Renaissance and modern civilization were ushered in. It seems the worse the science gets the surer and shriller the climate change rent seekers become.
Paul Ehrlich has made a career of being wrong.
There was a report about this in the printed UK Daily Telegraph yesterday. Knowing his track record, why would anyone take anything this man says seriously?
Anyway, I just shot of an email to the Telegraph, though the chances of it being printed are remote. But I did have a letter printed in the Sunday Telegraph last week.
“You quote Prof Paul Ehrlich’s claim that we are entering the sixth great mass extinction. Just one small problem: it isn’t true. Ehrlich is a well-known serial doom monger since the 1970’s. Needless to say, not one of his doom-laden prophecies has come to pass (e.g. that Western civilisation would have collapsed by 2000). Mankind has certainly killed off many species by hunting, habitat destruction and the introduction of alien species (in one case a unique species of birds on an island was killed off by a single cat brought by its owner). But the empirical data shows that the extinction rate peaked around 1900 and has been falling ever since, obviously due to greatly increased animal protection. The idea that vast numbers of animals will be killed off because the world got two thirds of a degree warmer is laughable nonsense. Oh, yes, and those poster-children of the climate change scare, the polar bears, are not going extinct. They are thriving and their numbers have at least doubled over the last few decades.”
The Telegraph headline stated this is the greatest mass extinction since the dinosaurs were given their marching orders. That was 65 million years. I haven’t checked, but quite likely CO2 in the time of the dinosaurs was significantly higher than today. And they were fine until a big chunk of rock gave them a very bad day.
Chris
His own, possibly?
That should do it. Submit you earthlings or else?
What else?
We are in a cooling trend that should last at least 40 years. The Northern Hemisphere maximum snow cover is increasing, the Antarctic ice is setting records year after year. These facts are harder to adjust than temperature data.
lenbilen:
Don’t think that the participants of COP21 in Paris (which for them, they should be reminded, stands for Continuation Of [the] Pause [in] 21c) won’t be working on a way to turn this prediction to their advantage. Perhaps, the scenario could go like this: “See, all that cutting of carbon and loading of carbon taxes has started to have an effect: the climate is starting to cool! We need to continue the fight! We must double down on our targets and increase the carbon taxes”.
Is Al Gore attending COP21? I want to know if I should pack snow shoes.
old44
+ lots.
Auto
Whats new we were told this 5 years ago http://phys.org/news/2010-06-humans-extinct-years-eminent-scientist.html
The majority of us go extinct this side of 100 years anyway. Eat Chocolate!
plenty of fundamentalists will be glad to hear this. Now we really are living in the end times. Will we have to move to the seaside to get boiled alive in the oceans or will sea level rise mean that the oceans come to us.
Plausibly if the planet is doomed in 95 years (remember his prediction was 5 years ago) then we had better enjoy it. Consider – “Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we die” – a conflation of two biblical sayings, Ecclesiastes 8:15, ‘Then I commended mirth, because a man hath no better thing under the sun, than to eat, and to drink, and to be merry’, and Isaiah 22:13, ‘Let us eat and drink; for to morrow we shall die.’
Good to follow Ecclesiastes and Isaiah. Quote above from FunTrivia .com.
“If we drink, we will die!
If we don’t drink, we will die.
We might as well drink!”
Taras Bulba – 1962
That was a tara bul movie.
“Well, show me the way
To the next whisky bar
Oh, don’t ask why
Oh, don’t ask why
Show me the way
To the next whisky bar
Oh, don’t ask why
Oh, don’t ask why
For if we don’t find
The next whisky bar
I tell you we must die
I tell you we must die
I tell you, I tell you
I tell you we must die”
And people are strange, especially this Paul Ehrlich fellow.
I guess “climate apocalypse” is the new term for the Great Pause. They really do not like the Pause. It must seem like the end of the world to them.
Tony L
It is a long time since I went to university, but there must be a new course that they teach in the science department called “doom and gloom” . Are the students now being told to include a liberal dose of ‘gloom and doom” or ” it is worse than we thought” in all their work.?. Are they being told that they will fail the year ,their paper will not be published or the university will get no free money grants unless it is alarmist only . What else could cause these climate science papers to be so negative in their message, paper after paper.
Money.
Lots and lots of money.
As far as the “doom and gloom” goes:
Where I work, an executive VP went through the Engineering dept. doing an informal survey on AGW. People said “no”. The word “hoax” was mentioned. A double check and “hoax” was the verdict. It seems people with a real degree in any real science or any engineering field are still immune, but they are few in number.
It must seem like the end of the grants to them.
Fixed.
Those guys that don “THE END IS NIGH” sandwich boards have been right on the money – for the past 150 years.
Don’t knock the doomsayers! I’m proud to be a fourth generation doomsayer-sandwich-board guy.
Can I have a Ham, Cheese & Pickel on Rye sandwich…as there’s no chance of coffee !!!
Yes, we’re all going to die! Because of course human history proves that technology never advances and perceived needs are never fulfilled by invention and innovation. (sarc/off).
I mean really! Who believes this shit?
POTUS?
Who knows what the pathological liar really believes about it? As long as it serves his political/social purposes he will claim he believes it.
You’d be surprised. Check out all the true believers of the latest mass extinction garbage.
http://news.yahoo.com/sixth-mass-extinction-us-study-210749359.html
All some people need is some “authority” to say humans are evil and they line up in droves.
Shearing forces of hatred and fear,
Terribly tornadic, all in your ear.
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There was a time these folks would have been put away in asylums in straitjackets, drugged, electroshocked, and lobotomized. Now they run the show. Times have indeed changed.
And I suggest those changes may not have been uniformly for the better.
The bettor – well, let’s see . . .
Auto
Yes, and imagine how much they suffer thinking and writing of doom all day every day. If they believe what they write their lives are meaningless and hopeless. If they don’t believe it and continue saying it their lies are meaningless and hopeless as who can live a life lying and cheating and come to any good end?
Somehow, someway, there is a Catholic monk, destined for sainthood, toiling in an abbey to save beer.
Can there be any greater mission in this fallen would?
Pity about the beer disappearing, with the world ending we are going to need one.
Just got back from the supermarket with the beer, they didn’t seem to know anything about it!
My garage fridge is stocked right now with Guinness stout and Sam Adams Summer Ale (A great lawn mowing beer) and some Corona for the ladies or men who prefer something lighter. Even decades after spending the better part of 5 years in Germany I still can’t tolerate American mass produced swill.
Sam Adams ain’t exactly a microbrewery
Nor is Corona, but then again neither is Becks, Paulaner, König, etc etc. But all, including Sam Adams, make more real and better beers than Miller, Budweiser America, etc. I’m not against making large quantities, but against inferior quality. Nor am I biased due to the nationality of the beer.
Plenty of microbreweries make stuff that does not suit my taste.
Word. Yea I had this shiner bock the other day that had grapefruit and ginger in it. It was ridonkulously good.
I have fond memories of mass produced beer. Schlitz was the beer of youth when we couldn’t get over to Idaho for a rack of Coors.
Sam Adams’ IPAs and Darks are some of the best ‘mass production’ brews I have tasted. I brew my own bitters, stouts and lagers because NZ breweries seem unable to use hops or decent malts.
I’ll miss beer after the apocalypse…
What the hell are you doing! You should never put Guiness in the fridge. Ruins the body and taste.
(I recall complaining to a barman in Oxford about thin, watery Guiness. He apologised profusely, and explained that the Guiness tap had been placed next to the lager tap, so the refrigeration to cool the lager sometimes also chilled the Guiness. He gave me a pint of unchilled bitter as an attempt at compensation, though he rcognised that there can be no real compensation for ruined Guiness.)
Sam Adams is good stuff. When I went to teach in America I had some trepidation at spending a long time in the land of Coors and Budweiser. But shortly after I arrived I discovered Sam Adams, and my fears dissolved.
The label was a bit confusing, though. It describes the original Sam as “brewer and patriot”, even though he was a rebel against his rightful king and country. Perhaps it means he was a patriot to the U.S.A. after it was formed.
Good beer, regardless.
RoHa
Samuel was a bit of a rounder. He in fact was a leader in raising the resistance to the taxes and providing direction to the mob that intimidated the Governor. That violent civil disobedience led to the occupation of Boston by British soldiers. And that occupation resulted in a defining event called the Boston Massacre. Then Samuel’s second cousin, John Adams, who also opposed the taxes and occupation, never the less, agreed to represent the British soldiers accused of murder for their trial when no other lawyer in Boston would, simply because John believed that any person accused to be tried should have legal representation. Adams legal defense was so effective that 6 out of the 8 British soldiers were found not guilty. Adams legal practice took a big hit for his stand on principle.
Later Samuel is thought to have had a lot to do with the Boston Tea Party.
As things heated up to the boiling point John Hancock and Samuel Adams were at the top of the British most wanted list. Thus when General Gage go word that Hancock and Adams were together in Lexington he made their capture a part of an already planned excursion to capture and destroy a store of arms, powder, and ball in Concord. And thus came the shot heard around the world.
And so Samuel Adams was the only founder that had a hand in some way or another in the three most recognized events leading to the revolution. The Boston Massacre, the Boston Tea Party, and finally the opening military confrontations that started the war.
Quite a rebel. I bet he could spell “Guinness”, too, which more than my predictive software can do.
“Schaefer is the one beer to have, when you’re having more than one”.
I don’t think that one would pass the PC “smell test” these days. ; – )
I would never turn down an invitation to visit with anyone who stocks Guinness Stout, I don’t care what else might be stocked in that fridge. If I’m going to drink San Adams, which I do, I prefer the Rebel IPA.
I got my local brew purveyor to carry stock from Oskar Blues in Colorado. Their Ten Fidy compares well with Guinness Stout. They also brew a good Imperial Red Ale and a Pale Ale. Stone and Sierra Nevada make pretty good IPA’s also.
I have a few bottles of Chimay blue in the pantry right now. I guess I better stock up just in case the doomsayers actually got one right.
Don’t forget to regularly rotate your stock.
I just bought a keg of local ale and 50 reese’s cups. I’m a little bit ashamed. Well I was confused and frightened. The catastrophic beer famine predictions put me in a dark place emotionally.
Well to be quite frank I could live without beer if I had to. But tell me the Jack Danial’s distillery is no more so I will never again have any Old No. 7 or that I will never get a great cup of black strong coffee again and I just might go postal!
Ironically I’ve yet to hear anything about the Climate Crisis endangering Tea.
Whoops, spoke to soon.
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-26754121
we really are doomed. ○¿○
Don’t forget the packet of peanuts and a good towel. You never know, a Vogon fleet might just happen by….
I’ve long said that there is a lot of energy in the universe and that man will not ultimately use all of it.
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We should still give it our best shot. It will just succumb to entropy anyway,….
Somebody forgot to tell the UN-
WORLD POPULATION report TO 2300
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/longrange2/WorldPop2300final.pdf
Richard,
that is a 2004 document.
Even the CIA’s tame website has got up to 2014 for populations.
Do you have a link to anything from the World Government.un that is a bit more recent?
Auto
Good envirodoommonger/bad envirodoomonger routine. Psychological tactic.
Simone and Sipowicz
One good first step would be to thin out the ranks of these silly academics. And we give them tenure? For goodness sakes, let them be subject to the same job reviews the rest of us have.
Yeah, maybe an “Affordable Education Act” would do the trick? Let’s have insurance companies dictate how much money professors can make.
Good idea. First question on job review. Please justify your continued employment by showing something of practical value with a positive economic values. One paragraph please.
That homo sapiens is already extinct but doesn’t know it yet i can agree with. Evidently the development of what we like to call consciousness was the law of unintended consequences in action. However the reasons he claims and the timescale are ludicrous. As current state of the species we merely exist for couple of 100.000 years, of which a mere few 10.000 as self destructive.
As such given by other lifeforms extinction rates we still have some time left ( the panda bear still hangs on isn’t it?). But that we’ll ever even come close to the jellyfish by even 1 million years is not realistic. Giving a jellyfish us the finger for 500 million years and counting.
The first issue of my Equatorial Cities Journal features architectural plans for great floating cities modeled on the jellyfish.
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kim – not, I assume Fat-boy Kim of Pyeong Yang –
Thanks.
Are your floating cities moored/anchored – or may they be at the mercy of time and tide?
Auto
[also possibly modelled on a jelly-fish]
”I suspect that eradicating small pox was wrong. It played an important part in balancing ecosystems.”
John Davis,
Editor of Earth First! Journal
It is always fair to ask those who would bring harm and death to others. Why don’t you lead by example?
This is clearly great news for skeptics. We are more doomed than ever before and no matter what we do climate change will make us extinct. Therefore, logically we should do nothing and any financial or other sacrifices we make now are futile. At least this generation should enjoy itself and even if we reduce emissions it is too late we are doomed. It won’t be my problem I’ll be dead by then.
Well, for once, finally, they’re right. It’s absolutely true: we will all be dead in a hundred years.
The dogs all die, doggerel is forever.
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Tom,
Apart from our centenarians – IIRC – ‘about half of today’s new-borns will make centenarian status’.
And they’ll vote, too.
Auto
I read this also this morning in another news source. They also mentioned we have already started another mass extinction era that will most likely kill humans. It also claimed the extinction rate was over 100 times more mammal extictions in the 20th century than the previous. Where would get a list of these mammals extinctions by century? Of course they don’t supply such a thing however they blame this phenomena mainly on climate change.
The climate ate the lists.
The list is in the deep oceans.
Mike hid the list…
There are more things in heaven and earth than one can imagine Horatio. We as a race are just now at the beginning of our scientific endeavour. The advances over this century into the next will be far in advance and even more frequent than those mainly propelled by wars in the last century.
In this universe of ours we are babes in the woods at the very beginning of our scientific knowledge, beer will never go extinct, one day soon the standard models will, and science will advance in leaps and bounds.
This latest political ploy of global warming will face a death of a thousand cuts as the world climate refuses to co-operate, and many faces will be red.
CAGW is the new phlogiston, fear not for our chocolate is safe in the hands of good farmers.
All praise to big brother for the increase in the chocolate ration. [ sarc kinda]
wayne job
Sorry. Obola’s federal administration is now outlawing transfats completely by 2018 (used in chocolate flavorings and preservatives of thousands of foods) … including chocolate. “For your health” … “because we say we know so much.”
Beer may disappear if humans ever evolve to the point where they would no longer want to be inebriated. But then too, we humans ‘got a lotta evolvin’ to do…
“would no longer want to be inebriated.” What the heck is that supposed to mean? You believe people drink to get inebriated? You from the temperance league?
If his prediction really comes true, I’ll buy everybody a decent, well-cooled beer.
You’re not the first to promise ‘Free beer tomorrow,’ Non Nomen ;o)
I guess it goes with the free beer yesterday.
How about “Pie in the sky” then?
Overcrowding, denuded resources and climate change leading to extinction?
Well thank goodness. I am relieved. I thought it was going to be nuclear war, uncontrollable viral pandemics, or lethal sexually transmitted diseases leading to extinction. I mean just because the end is coming you don’t want to be stuck in a sick bed, or not have sex or have cable TV knocked out due to damn nukes.
I think we’re far more likely to succumb to a big chunk of rock, metal, or dirty ice hitting our planet than anything we humans have come up with to do ourselves in.
WWIII is what we should all fear and looks like we have leaders pushing hard for this event.
Exactly. They increasingly poke the Russian bear with a pointed stick.
Who believes this sheet? I mean I would love to spit in this idiots face. Literally. Idiot old fart.
Oh he’s dead….we’ll then.
The article is being shredded in its comments column!