Ed Hoskins submits this essay
In November 2014, to much fanfare, President Obama concluded an agreement with China on Climate. This was as a precursor to the major Paris climate conference in December 2015, where it is anticipated that a definitive and binding Climate agreement should be reached. These notes follow through that 2014 agreement as far as it concerns future likely CO2 emissions up until the year 2030.
Essentially the agreement said that whilst Western Nations would be expected to reduce CO2 emissions substantially, China, India and the rest of the developing world would continue its CO2 emissions growth until at least 2030 to ensure that continuing enhancement of the living standards of their populations, and that only then China would limit further growth of its CO2 emissions.
The Obama – China agreement on climate will do nothing to stop the escalation of CO2 emissions from the developing world, especially from China. But continuing at current rates of growth will have little impact on improved development in most of the underdeveloped world, ~55% of the then world population.
The impact of growing CO2 emissions from the developing world was acknowledged by Professor Richard Muller in his October 2010 presentation here:
These notes simply take known data about world CO2 emissions and population as at the end of 2013 and carry out a straight-line extrapolation of that data forward to 2030 using the period from 2000 to 2013 as the indicator of rate of change. The source CO2 emissions data up to the end of 2013 is at:
This presentation refers to earlier analyses of the growth of CO2 emissions at:
The overall impact on the developed and developing worlds in terms of both total CO2 emissions and resulting likely emissions / head of population is shown below:
Both this and the former analyses divide the world’s nations into seven logical groups with distinct attitudes to CO2 control:
developed nations:
- United States of America, attempting CO2 emissions control under Obama’s EPA and already achieving marked CO2 emissions reduction because of the growing use of shale gas for electricity generation.
- The European Union and EFTA , (including the UK), currently believers in action to combat Global Warming and where environmental action groups are resisting the exploration for shale gas and the use of Nuclear energy.
- Japan, the former Soviet Union, Canada and Australia are developed nations, currently rejecting controls on CO2 emissions.
developing nations:
- advanced developing nations, still developing rapidly including:
South Korea, Iran, South Africa, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Indonesia and Taiwan: (KR IR ZA MX SA BR ID TW).
- China and Hong Kong: developing very rapidly.
- India: developing rapidly from a low base.
- Rest of World (~160 Nations): developing quite rapidly but from a low base.
The extension of the trends between 2000 and 2013 to 2030 is shown below:
The straightforward basis for the extrapolation of data that could well result from the Obama – China climate deal. In particular it shows the scale of the radical change 2000 – 2013 – 2030, with China moving from ~14% to 37% of all global emissions over the 30 year period. The EU(27)+EFTA moving from ~17% to 7% over the same period. The position of the USA is also diminished from ~25% to ~11% over the same period.
Commentary
This article predicts the likely CO2 emissions picture by 2030 the possible end point of the Obama – China climate deal in 2030. it uses the CO2 emissions development from 2000 to 2013 as the predictor to further CO2 emissions growth.
According to these straightforward calculations overall world CO2 emissions could grow by ~36% up to ~48,000,000,000 tonnes. The Developed world, if it continues on its current track would see a reduction overall of ~711,000,000 tonnes over the 16 year period, whereas the developing world would see the substantial increase of 13,400,000,000 tonnes at the same time. Only the developed grouping, JP RU CA AU, would see a marginal increase of CO2 emissions.
By 2030 the CO2 emissions of developing Nations could well exceed the developed Nations by some 2 1/2 times.
The largest contributor to the growth in emissions is inevitably China at an additional ~8,020,000,000 tonnes, followed at a quarter of that level by the other rapidly developing economies, KR IR ZA MX SA BR ID TW. India and the other 160 underdeveloped nations would grow significantly percentage wise but only modestly in absolute terms. India will have grown to about 1/6 the rate of China and the other 160 Nations grouped together at about 1/4 of the China emissions.
China by 2030 will then be responsible for about 37% of CO2 emissions worldwide and even if China were by that time to limit its emission growth it would be likely to remain with that share of worldwide CO2 emissions whilst other developing nations increased their CO2 outputs to improve the development level of their own populations.
However more important will be the likely resulting CO2 emissions / head which give a significant guide to the level of National development. The consumption figures for the USA and Europe will diminish by about 20% each whereas the other developed group, JP RU CA AU, may well advance marginally by ~+6%. The JP RU CA AU group could well exceed the emissions/head level of the USA. China by 2030 would exceed the four other groups and could begin to approach similar levels of emission / head as the USA.
It appears that with growing populations in India and the developing world their overall CO2 emissions / head will remain fairly constant. On the other hand some of the developing Nations will advance their CO2 emissions / head substantially with China approaching ~11.6 tonnes / head for its whole population by then of some 1.5 billion. By 2030 this will be almost twice the value in Europe at 6.2 tonnes / head and is approaching the then 14.6 tonnes / head level in the USA, The European level will level will be close to the other rapidly developing Nations, KR IR ZA MX SA BR ID TW.
Europe is likely to diminish its CO2 emissions / head to as little as ~ 6.4 tonnes / head. This will then be close to the worldwide average and could even be overtaken by the rapidly developing nations, KR IR ZA MX SA BR ID TW.
It is not clear how much reduction of industrial capability will result from these reduced European emissions but it could continue to cause detrimental economic damage to European competitiveness when compared to other markets in the developing world, which are less concerned about CO2 reduction to control “Climate Change”. It should also be noted that Germany, the major CO2 emitter in Europe, is currently adding to its CO2 output by increasing it’s use of coal for base load electrical energy production, so eventually European emissions reduction may not be achieved to the extent anticipated here over the coming 16 years.
Although the developing Nations of India and the Rest of World (160 nations) should see substantial growth (about +50%), but that will only be growing from their present very low base. As a result resulting from their population growth they will not significantly add to their emissions / head and thus an increase to their level of development. They will remain at only ~2 tonnes / head, which would mean the provision of electricity for these 4.8 billion people by then about 56% of the world population will still remain severely restricted.
So there will continue to be substantial continuing demand from both India and the other 160 underdeveloped nations for more access to reliable electricity supply. This demand could well increase CO2 emissions for these 4.8 billion people and thus the estimate for 2030 of ~48,000,000,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions overall may well be a significant underestimate. This is particularly so as these developing nations all will have access to indigenous available coal reserves. Just doubling of the CO2 / head for this underdeveloped population level to the modest level of 4 tonnes /head would increase world CO2 emissions from ~ 48,000,000,000 tonnes by a further ~10,000,000,000 tonnes to the region of 60,000,000,000 tonnes.
Temperature Consequences
At a total of ~48,000,000,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions per annum by 2030 when compared to the total of CO2 in the atmosphere it amounts to about I/600 by weight. But about half of that increased amount is quickly re-absorbed by the oceans and sequestered by improving the fertility of all plant life on the planet.
Current CO2 levels are ~400 ppmv but an apparent optimum for plant fertility, for example as used in greenhouses, is in excess of 1000 ppmv. And past history shows that concentrations of CO2 can be at many thousands of parts per million with no ill effects on climate except for luxuriant plant life.
So at the rate of emissions at ~48,000,000,000 tonnes per annum, this would be equivalent to ~5 ppmv rate / annum, but with 50% absorption, it would take more than 200 years to add that extra amount of CO2 to the atmosphere to 1000 ppmv, if that were at all possible by burning fossil fuels. In the 16 year period to 2030 a further 20-30 ppmv could be added to the world’s CO2 concentration.
According to the calculations of the logarithmic diminution of the effectiveness of CO2 as greenhouse gas, using IPCC figures, shown in:
and
This additional CO2 up to as much as 1000 ppmv could only add something between 0.4°C and 0.9°C to world temperatures in total, (this range assumes that water vapour and clouds are responsible for between 90% and 80% of the 33°C greenhouse effect). And beyond 1000 ppmv any further CO2 additions to the atmosphere will have very little effect indeed on temperature because of the effect of logarithmically diminishing returns in terms of added temperature with further increases of CO2 concentrations.
With increased plant productivity, a slightly warmer climate and with greater areas available for agriculture this can hardly be seen as a world-wide catastrophe or an immediate global emergency.
Conclusion
All attempts to reduce CO2 emissions assume that any man-made warming of the climate is dangerous and that it could be controlled by reducing Man-made CO2 emissions mainly by the developed western Nations. But by 2030 those developed Nations would only be responsible for some 30% of global CO2 emissions. And their likely reduction in emissions would be marginal because it could only amount to ~1/20 of the increased of emissions from the developing world.
In addition it is clear that even the continuation of current CO2 emissions growth associated with population growth in the rest of the underdeveloped world will do little to enhance the level of development for the larger part (~55%) of the then global population.
Western world opinion has conflated CO2 from burning fossil fuels, as a pollutant, with other real pollutants that can arise from burning fossil fuels (SO2, N2O, particulate matter, etc.). World opinion has failed to understand that CO2 is currently close to an historically low level in the atmosphere and any real reduction of CO2 levels would jeopardise all life on earth by damaging the Carbon cycle by means of which all plants survive.
So it is clear that CO2 emissions will continue to escalate, no substantial temperature reduction or control of Climate Change can occur as a result of the Obama – China climate deal. And in addition any escalation of CO2 levels would be beneficial to life on earth.
And any CO2 emissions reduction is unlikely to be useful to control climate.
From ice core records for our current benign Holocene interglacial it is clear that the previous millennium 1000 – 2000 AD was the coldest in the last 10,000 years, some 3.0°C lower than the Holocene climate optimum, ~9000 years ago. At 10,000 years old our current benign holocene interglacial is now long in the tooth. That would seem to point to a coming real glaciation either this century, next century or in this millennium. That in combination with the current Dalton minimum solar characteristics means that real cooling as opposed to warming is more than likely to be imminent.
Any future cooling is likely to make any warming, whether man-made or not, that occurred in the late 20th century look wholly beneficial but trivial and entirely irrelevant.
And yet the US is the CO2 villain……
I though that India was the new target at COP 22 in Paris: a nice soft target unlike China and the US. Who cares about actual emission numbers: this is climate science and only projections count. India could easily double or triple its CO2 emissions per capita because it starts from a super low base line: 100%, 200%! increase, good scary stuff to convince Joe Sixpack, so also loved by the “Green” press and “Green” politicians..
By 2030, China’s GDP will be around $30T per year and it will be the largest, most powerful economy on earth.
Not without democratic reforms otherwise it’s all going to end in tears..
all legally binding agreements between nations end in tears. at some point in time someone will insist that the treaty be honored. in blood if not gold.
China is growing at the rate of 7 per cent per year without any reforms. It’s all forced growth at the West’s expense.
This agreement has not, and will not, be ratified by the Senate. It is not binding on the next President, nor even the current administration. Congress could refuse to fund it, though with the present “leadership” on the Hill, that’s unlikely.
In 2000 or so-ish, I predicted China would be *the* producer to the world, and it would be so quickly. This was all aided by emissions controls, economic controls, high wages etc, in the developed world, literally, forcing manufacturers to make stuff in China (No emission controls and cheap labour). My prediction was poo-poohed at the time. In about 2005-ish onwards, how right my prediction was. China is building the worlds largest army and navy. Encroaching in on disputed territories and waters. Building massive water transport canals, cities, hiways etc etc. A test thorium reactor this year, and reactors to come online in a few years after.
obama wants to hobble our economy and deconstruct our society: China climate deal, flooding the country with illegal aliens, helping Iran get an islamic-bomb, weaponising the IRS, collectivising the Internet, and on and on.
He hates America.
Not true. He’s just trying to turn the US into the mightiest litter-box on the planet.
Can’t you be happy with that, Mark?
I don’t know Max. By 2030, China will be outsourcing to US and EU because of the cheap starving labor.
To be clear, I agree with Mark (and at least one of the cats).
As for China, they float on a veritable sea of silver, and it is their destiny to reestablish a world silver standard. By 2030 they will have made their currency redeemable in silver, opened their Mint to the world to free and unlimited coinage of silver, and have a mighty laugh at the pathetic history of the irredeemable dollar debacle.
The cheap starving labor certainly won’t be at their end.
The biggest players are working on a one world currency with all other currencies pegged to it. The big Q is who will run it. But there may be so much collapse, political upheaval, civil unrest and war between now and then (2020-2030) nobody really truly knows.
He is the Manchurian Candidate.
Indeed. It is blatantly obvious.
Exactly right Mark et al.
The Brzezinski’s appear to want out of the Mideast quagmire. Maybe to free up resources for a fight with Russia & China. That’s the drift I get from their statements.
The hypocrisy, it burns. Even if you take Obama, the EPA, Institutional Green, et al at their word this “deal” undoes their word. Either CO2-caused CAGW is dangerous or it’s not. Your projections prove they can’t possibly believe it’s dangerous.
topical piece today from the BBC,,,, Global CO2 emissions ‘stalled’ in 2014
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-31872460
BIzarre, has anyone told those at Mauna Loa ?
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
Mind you there is a little downtick at the end of the chart, so that’s it folks, its all over.
One last comment, I guess there is a paper waiting to be written about an 18 year lag in temperatures and CO2 levels.
Interesting – emissions may have stalled but the CO2 keeps going up. How will that be explained? Surely it is not because the rise was natural, right?
If emissions stalled this is a perfect time to watch the concentration slow, stall or decline according to the actual human contribution. It would be most interesting if the rise continued unabated. That would put two problems on the table – the temperature stall in the presence of a CO2 rise, and a drop or stall in human emissions with a continued rise in CO2.
I may need more popcorn. The broad claim is the that CO2 rise is either mostly or entirely human in origin. Then we should be able to very rapidly make it stop rising. The coming Depression will test this theory.
How many years of continued human output drop and continued rise in CO2 will it take to invalidate the hypothesis of AG CO2 rise? Five? Soon we will have 100 reasons to excuse the Pause and another 100 to excuse the Rise.
This is going to be funnier than I thought.
This could be the new trick if temperature won’t go up massage the CO2 figures so it looks like bringing down human CO2 output is bringing down the temperature and thus they are saving the world……
The emissions stalled, but still are about twice the measured increase in the atmosphere… Natural variability may mask the effect of the lower/stalled emissions, so only if that remains for a decade or so, the reaction would be clear. But as the above scenario shows, very little chance that will happen.
Nothing Obama and China talked about will change anything in the progress of CO2 in the atmosphere for more than 15 years. His legacy is that of a bobble-head in the back window of a late-model sedan.
When will the eco-greens point this out?
Correct.
Only purpose of Obama going to China was to provide assurance that Obama was a stupid as he appeared to be. And I suppose there were some golf courses in China which weren’t covered in smog.
In terms of America policy, Obama is behaving in manner that invites future US presidents to overturn everything he did and as way to gain public support.
And Dems will run on platforms that they are not Obama.
So Obama will be like Jimmy Carter but who does not build habitats for humanity.
I wouldn’t count on that. The evidence so far is that the Republicans will do anything Obama wants while punishing conservatives of all types. With somewhere north of several 10s of millions of new Democrat voters from illegal immigration and legal immigration we will most likely have a one party leftist dystopian state. I believe this is likely unless someone shows me how we get out of our current mess.
Lil ol’ England here. Thanks for the review Mr. Hoskins, your conclusion is one which I can fully condone.
Trouble is………..
In the UK, we contribute ~2% to world CO² emissions and are being strapped by a unilateral ie self imposed carbon floor price which is set to rise incrementally by a preset accumulator irrespective of what the rest of the world does.
De-industrialization = here we come.
For most sane individuals [there are a few left] in Britain – it passeth all understanding but VERILY it is happening. Cripes on a bike and all the mainstream political parties are fully signed up [in blood] as green loonies, nutters who are beholden to agenda 21 and turning a relatively prosperous first world country into a version of North Korea sur the western Eurasian shelf.
HELP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I’ll say one word. Just one word. UKIP.
To be honest, technological advances, in my opinion via molten salt nuclear reactors, make any assumptions beyond 2020 useless.
Let’s try and get the rest of the world up to our levels of CO2 production a.s.a.p. so that we can start saving the Environment.
I think linear projections may be okay for the slower developers but a certain ‘patience’ in development or belief in a program for some CO2 reduction has to be factored in to keep the rapid developers just linear. Also, your per head emissions being linear, means your cummulative graph has to add in another 2B people – not linear.
I would like to see those CO2 numbers in ppm either rather than or in addition to tons; I’d find the numbers more meaningful and less confusing. Or a comparison to the total tonnage of the atmosphere to keep things in perspective: 5.5 quadrillion tons, which is still confusing due to the two definitions of ‘quadrillion’.
5.5 x 10¹⁵ = 5.500,000,000,000,000
5.5 x 10²⁴ (UK) = 5.500,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
Whoops! That’s:
5.5 x 10^15
5.5 x 10^24
Looks like I accidentally dropped the trailing ‘;’ on those two superscripts. Sorry!
China is in the enviable position of having the western industrialized world expertise and experience to benefit from.
China is simply thinking differently and will not cooperate with the western world. They will only pretend to.
Meanwhile here is what they already have and will add on.
China has now and within their country policies and agreements with other countries, planning their future to have the absolute best ways to generate energy at the lowest cost depending upon specific situations in their own country. This will include supplying energy at the lowest cost, depending upon needs, locations and special demands and toward the end, reducing air pollution. They do not believe that CO2 is a pollutant. For them CO2 is not an issue, it is the only available gaseous fertilizer for all plants and as such desirable to have.
Air pollution (particulates, combustion gases other than CO2) is a huge problem in several areas and they will clean this, but not the way the western world did it, like in London, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, etc. They simply have the advantage that their air pollution “problems” have been seen before in the western world and they think about it as a necessary evil, as it was before in the western world, that will in time be reduced, just like the western world did.
So China now has a lot of background information and realize that their problems are not different than faced before by the western world, but their solution(s) are/will be different. They do not believe in cost/benefit analysis or environmental impact analysis.
What they have done is to diversify as much as they can, using different energy producing techniques.
Their approach is each technique has downsides, so why spend all this time on cost/benefit analysis for each unless there is an obvious detrimental effect, just like now coal burning is generating unbearable air pollution in some areas.
So, use the least detrimental energy generating technology, within each area of China they deem appropriate. In their view, the best way to do it is look at the area, the needs, and select the best way to generate energy at the lowest cost.
Very windy: use wind turbine, China is #1 in the world
Lots of sun: use solar, China is #1 in the world
Hydropower: use where we have water, China is #1 in the world
The above not available then use:
Coal burning, for now use when no other options but think of replacing such, will take a while
Shale oil/gas extraction: will be an option coming to replace coal
Nuclear energy: already started with agreements with Canada etc.
Energy for transportation, cars etc. huge problem, they don’t know how to solve this yet.
So China is looking at every possible type of energy production and instead of spending years on cost/benefit analysis, they select the best way for each situation, knowing that each has some deleterious effect but that the wider the mixture of energy production you have, you are spreading the risk and the different types of possible deleterious effects are reduced in their intensity.
Nice that they have all the documentation from the western industrialized world to make their decisions on the best type of energy production technology to select for each situation they face.
RD50
Mostly I agree. This is a bit off: “They do not believe in cost/benefit analysis or environmental impact analysis.”
They certainly do! They have decided it is time to start cleaning up the massive pollution and contamination, just as the US did 40 years ago. I am sure they will succeed. Public awareness is the motivation and external pressure matters perhaps a whit or two, that’s all. The difference between when China does it and when say, the UK does it, is they value common sense and protection of the whole population above political correctness, provided it does not undermine party authority. Western countries bow to PC and a culture manipulated by guilt-mongering, as long as it doesn’t undermine the ruling party’s authority. Not much difference except in terms of who benefits. France, Germany, UK, USA, they punish the middle class and warehouse the poor and reward the already wealthy. Not to say it couldn’t work, but it eventually leads to revolution. Canada, Sweden, S Korea, tend to think more holistically largely because they are small. Things have been going well for China and they are not going to leave 800m people in rural poverty. Otherwise, revolution, again. For energy they are rapidly investing (and leading) in processed biomass, plus Thorium fluoride and coal-to-liquids plus an emerging move to far better coal combustion technologies (for efficiency and emissions reduction, not CO2).
In terms of people movers that run on electricity they have I think more than the rest of the world put together. There are huge numbers of electric scooters which in other countries would be using gasoline. They also use combined heat and power plants like Sweden, Russia and Mongolia. The system efficiency exceeds combined cycle coal-fired power plants which cost maybe ten times as much. Asia does lots of sensible things.
Oh, one more thing: those windmills are mostly idle in winter because the CHP plants are running and they can’t use unreliable wind for heating. Coal: dig they must during the transition to nuclear, planning to be like France and Ontario.
Crispin
Guest Professor
College of Engineering
China Agricultural University, Beijing
I agree with you. I was looking for a better way than cost/benefit analysis. What I wanted to point out is that they do cost/benefit analysis in a “practical” way rather than a “political” way as done in many other countries.
Your comments about Canada being “small”. OK. In population. Yes it is an advantage, but I think that an equal advantage is the political system, provincial vs. federal power and independence, gives Canada more flexibility in trying different things in different areas.
I may be wrong but their electric scooters probably get their electricity from coal combustion.
Have a nice time in China.
Crispin,
Thank You for the 1st hand perspective and insights!
Mac
Pittsburgh’s air went from being very dirty to very clean via one mechanism only: transferring all steel making to Asia. Now, the city is dying and becoming an uncontrollable slum like Detroit which also has very clean air now, too, thanks to deindustrialization.
[Rational use of filters and precipitators helped – but steel production was shutdown in that city’s area. .mod]
Dirty Steel making transfer yes, but we still have steel making in this area certainly much lower production but now much cleaner plants by far. If you think having to have street lights on at 11 in the morning because the pollution was so thick, I have news for you.
However the city is not becoming an uncontrollable slum like Detroit. This is nonsense. Just go visit. Steel making has been replaced.
I’ve never trusted any numbers coming out of China, and lately, I don’t believe any coming from the U.S.
So, what is the point of arguing ?
“This additional CO2 up to as much as 1000 ppmv could only add something between 0.4°C and 0.9°C to world temperature…”
It is believed that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and that increasing this greenhouse gas in the atmosphere will lead to climate change. This is an assertion with absolutely no corroborating evidence. All these assertions are based on computer climate game simulations and is just old ‘plain and simply’ wrong.
“This article predicts the likely CO2 emissions picture by 2030 the possible end point of the Obama – China climate deal in 2030.”
Wait, if 2030 is the end point of the Obama-China climate deal, then China is off the hook. Obama committed the U.S. to cuts in emissions way before 2030, but China’s part of the deal doesn’t even begin until 2030. They can increase emissions all they want until 2030, and then they committed not to increase emissions further. Does that commitment only last one year?
Even better China gets to provide the ‘proof’ of their emissions , now can anyone guess what that will mean in pratice ?
“Currently believers in action to combat Global Warming” my but aren’t they still brave.
I was wondering, what is the source of this graphic?
I looked through the source documents and did not see it. I have seen several projections of future economic growth and related CO2 emissions trajectories for China, including their own, and none of them show a straight line increase over the next 15 years as yours does.
Additionally, it seems that you attribute the reduced benefit of future emissions reductions based on this expansive emissions projection, coupled with an overgenerous attribution to saturation. It has been shown recently that the Doppler broadening of the absorption spectrum through the column of the earths atmosphere has a large effect that reduces the ability for CO2 to reach saturation. This has been physically measured in Oklahoma and Barrow, AK.
sorry, the graphic didn’t show, here it is:
“These notes simply take known data about world CO2 emissions and population as at the end of 2013 and carry out a straight-line extrapolation of that data forward to 2030 using the period from 2000 to 2013 as the indicator of rate of change.
The source CO2 emissions data up to the end of 2013 is at:
http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/about-bp/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html”
Combine this with the classification of Nations used here and you get this diagram.
These notes simply take known data about world CO2 emissions and population as at the end of 2013 and carry out a straight-line extrapolation of that data forward to 2030 using the period from 2000 to 2013 as the indicator of rate of change.
have you seen this?
https://china.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbl-4472e-energy-2050april-2011.pdf
Interesting presentation. Thank-you
The scam has another level of complexity.
The developing countries want the developed countries to compensate them for the developed world’s past carbon emissions.
The developing countries have asked for $100 billion a year, as a place holder (there is commitment for a one time contribution of $10 billion, however as in the past the actual money provided is less than promised, there is zero chance the developed countries will come up with $100 billion/year). That number will grow to $500 billion/year to $1 trillion a year based on NGO calculations.
Remember the AGW scheme is not about stopping global warming. The objective of CAGW is income redistribution (redistributed by the UN) and stopping/reversing industrial growth.
At this point, there is all talk no stopping/reversing industrial growth. The schemes will result in further job losses to Asia. The public will push back when there are consequences for the madness.
Actually the developing countries did not ask for that money, they were offered it. The question is by whom? Who is asking and offering?
Read the Copenhagen agreement and trace the chain of authority. It is a tiny, self-appointed group that specifically answers to no one. The money raised will first be spent in-country as directed by a national committee that has a membership which is not accountable to the national government. Funding is obligatory. In the grand old tradition, it is taxation without representation. It is extraordinary to see the USA leading this charge. The Copenhagen agreement will be ruled unconstitutional in most countries. You cannot keep a snake in the house, as they say in Africa.
The $100bn is for ‘climate reparations’ where anything and everything imaginable is eligible. I have no problem with spending a well targeted $100bn on foreign aid and budget support but not through unaccountable committees who cannot be removed or disciplined and not on the pretext of ‘CAGW damages’. ‘Damages’ are awarded after proof of damage has been submitted to the court and there are no middlemen. CAGW is mostly about being a middleman.
handing over $100bn to some of the worlds most corrupt regimes is only likely to make the manufacturers of Lear jets and other high end luxury goods happy and do nothing for the environment nor for the people of those countries. There already is too many multibillioner 3rd world leaders .
This tiny minority that offered the BRIBES to get third world countries to pretend there is global warming are people with a name: The Bilderberg gang.
They meet secretly every year at various resorts that are remote from cities. Long ago, people began demonstrating against this conspiracy gang and the military had to suppress the demonstrations like the huge one in Montreal.
So now they meet at mountain resorts or tiny islands.
They are the very very rich, the bankers,the power brokers and media owners. That’s who have decided we are roasting to death and need to pay a high CO2 tax to keep alive.
When expecting a Carbon credit global economy, what would you expect? Redistribution can can take many forms. Just sayin
Obama did not negotiate a ‘climate deal’ with china.
He doesn’t care what china does, from a CO2 emissions perspective.
He simply used it as a cover to further cripple energy production in the US of A…. and further constrain the tepid growth of the US economy.
Yep, the whole concept is a “progressive” virtual tax. On the bright side it is a tax we are already paying, or have prepaid by demographic deceleration and regulation. On the dark side, it is an outright grant of hegemony to the Chinese. Apparently Barak is no historian.
When did the Japanese, Russians, Canadians, and Australians get smarter than us, anyway?
Around 1940.
I am just so absolutely sick of this political nonsense. Absolutely sick of it.
Not withstanding his degrees from Columbia and Harvard, his former position on the faculty of the University of Chicago and his current position as President of the U.S., Obama’s thinking on global warming climatology is emotional rather than logical or scientific. With luck our nation will survive this presidency and move on to a logical one.
The British media are convinced that the Presidency is Hilary’s for the taking. I am unsure what her position on the global warming debate is however . Is it any clearer “over there” .
Adding CO2 to the atmosphere is beneficial to plant growth. There is no long term data that says CO2 levels have anything to do with temperature. There is some evidence from the ice cores that warmer temps cause CO2 to increase. The simple explanation is that the northern growing seasons lengthen and expand, causing soil to thaw. Then thawing soil allows bacteria to metabolize, releasing CO2. Large scale destruction of tropical forests also release CO2.
Current CO2 levels are extremely low in the history of global biology. Plants are evolving more efficient processes (C4) to extract atmospheric CO2, causing even lower CO2.