New paper finds West Antarctic glacier likely melting from geothermal heat below

Via the Hockey Schtick – A paper published today in Earth and Planetary Science Letters finds evidence that one of the largest glaciers in West Antarctica, the Thwaites Glacier, is primarily melting from below due to geothermal heat flux from volcanoes located along the West Antarctic Volcanic Rift System, i.e. not due to man-made CO2.

antarctic-volcano[1]Image from Jo Nova

CAGW proponents have alleged that West Antarctic glaciers such as such as the Thwaites Glacier and the neighboring Pine Island Glacier are rapidly melting due to man-made greenhouse gases and/or ocean heating, despite observations showing the air temperature in the Antarctic hasn’t risen since 1979, Antarctic sea surface temperatures have fallen since 2006, and ARGO ocean heat content of the Southern Ocean shows no increase at any level of the top 2000 meters since the system was put in place in 2004. The authors find the neighboring Pine Island Glacier also overlies the same volcanic rift system and thus may also be melting from geothermal heat below.

The West Antarctic Volcanic Rift System is illustrated by JoNova below, and just so happens to correspond to the areas of notable glacier melt and alleged warming. In contrast, East Antarctica, which holds > 80% of Antarctic ice mass and does not have any known underlying volcanoes, is significantly increasing in ice mass.

The paper joins several others finding geothermal heat largely if not entirely responsible for glacier melt in multiple regions in both Antarctica and Greenland, i.e. not anthropogenic.

Variable crustal thickness beneath Thwaites Glacier revealed from airborne gravimetry, possible implications for geothermal heat flux in West Antarctica

Theresa M. Damiani, Tom A. Jordan, Fausto Ferraccioli, Duncan A. Young, Donald D. Blankenship

The Byrd Subglacial Basin beneath Thwaites Glacier is part of Mesozoic widespread rifting.

Thin crust (18–24 km) exists in eastern Marie Byrd Land and beneath Thwaites Glacier.

Gravity evidence supports hypothesis of warm mantle beneath Marie Byrd Land.

Supports the use of thin crust and higher heat flux values in Western Antarctica.

Abstract

Thwaites Glacier has one of the largest glacial catchments in West Antarctica. The future stability of Thwaites Glacier’s catchment is of great concern, as this part of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has recently been hypothesized to already be en route towards collapse. Although an oceanic trigger is thought to be responsible for current change at the grounding line of Thwaites Glacier, in order to determine the effects of this coastal change further in the interior of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet it is essential to also better constrain basal conditions that control the dynamics of fast glacial flow within the catchment itself. One major contributor to fast glacial flow is the presence of subglacial water, the production of which is a result of both glaciological shear heating and geothermal heat flux. The primary goal of our study is to investigate the crustal thickness beneath Thwaites Glacier, which is an important contributor to regional-scale geothermal heat flux patterns. Crustal structure is an indicator of past tectonic events and hence provides a geophysical proxy for the thermal status of the crust and mantle. Terrain-corrected Bouguer gravity disturbances are used here to estimate depths to the Moho and mid-crustal boundary. The thin continental crust we reveal beneath Thwaites Glacier supports the hypothesis that the West Antarctic Rift System underlies the region and is expressed topographically as the Byrd Subglacial Basin. This rifted crust is of similar thickness to that calculated from airborne gravity data beneath neighboring Pine Island Glacier, and is more extended than crust in the adjacent Siple Coast sector of the Ross Sea Embayment. A zone of thinner crust is also identified near the area’s subaerial volcanoes lending support to a recent interpretation predicting that this part of Marie Byrd Land is a major volcanic dome, likely within the West Antarctic Rift System itself. Near-zero Bouguer gravity disturbances for the subglacial highlands and subaerial volcanoes indicate the absence of supporting crustal roots, suggesting either (1) thermal support from a warm lithosphere or alternatively, and arguably less likely; (2) flexural support of the topography by a cool and rigid lithosphere, or (3) Pratt-like compensation. Although forward modeling of gravity data is non-unique in respect to these alternative possibilities, we prefer the hypothesis that Marie Byrd Land volcanoes are thermally-supported by warmer upper mantle. The presence of such inferred warm upper mantle also suggests regionally elevated geothermal heat flux in this sector of the West Antarctic Rift System and consequently the potential for enhanced meltwater production beneath parts of Thwaites Glacier itself. Our new crustal thickness estimates and geothermal heat flux inferences in the Thwaites Glacier region are significant both for studies of the structure of the broader West Antarctic Rift System and for assessments of geological influences on West Antarctic Ice Sheet dynamics and glacial isostatic adjustment models.

1-s2.0-S0012821X14005780-gr001[1]

Fig 1 from the paper illustrating West Antarctic region studied in red box

1-s2.0-S0012821X14005780-gr003[1]

Fig 2. Geothermal heat flux within box in Fig 1.

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milodonharlani
October 12, 2014 12:07 am

A fact already frequently pointed out in comments on this blog.

Scarface
Reply to  milodonharlani
October 12, 2014 12:15 am

Exactly

Jimbo
Reply to  Scarface
October 12, 2014 7:33 am

On October 2, 2014 at 5:45 am I asked….
“Does anyone know how much of that ice loss was CAUSED by volcanic activity?”

Discovery – Jun 9, 2014
Hidden Volcanoes Melt Antarctic Glaciers from Below
Antarctica is a land of ice. But dive below the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and you’ll find fire as well, in the form of subglacial volcanoes.
Now, a new study finds that these subglacial volcanoes and other geothermal “hotspots” are contributing to the melting of Thwaites Glacier, a major river of ice that flows into Antarctica’s Pine Island Bay. Areas of the glacier that sit near geologic features thought to be volcanic are melting faster than regions farther away from hotspots, said Dustin Schroeder, the study’s lead author and a geophysicist at the University of Texas at Austin.
http://news.discovery.com/earth/global-warming/hidden-volcanoes-melt-antarctic-glaciers-from-below-140609.htm

======================

Abstract
Evidence for elevated and spatially variable geothermal flux beneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet….
Significance
Thwaites Glacier is one of the West Antarctica’s most prominent, rapidly evolving, and potentially unstable contributors to global sea level rise. Uncertainty in the amount and spatial pattern of geothermal flux and melting beneath this glacier is a major limitation in predicting its future behavior and sea level contribution. In this paper, a combination of radar sounding and subglacial water routing is used to show that large areas at the base of Thwaites Glacier are actively melting in response to geothermal flux consistent with rift-associated magma migration and volcanism. This supports the hypothesis that heterogeneous geothermal flux and local magmatic processes could be critical factors in determining the future behavior of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.
http://www.pnas.org/content/111/25/9070.short

Jimbo
Reply to  Scarface
October 12, 2014 7:35 am

It seems as if whenever we ask, Warmists like to laugh and dismiss our Occam’s Razor style thinking. Maybe glaciologists need to dig deeper into this.

Twobob
October 12, 2014 12:12 am

To discovering more, we learn .
It is less we know, we know.
We are still but teenagers.

jones
October 12, 2014 12:20 am

Yeah but…er….the increased volcanic activity is cos of…er….the death trains…or something……
Can I have a huge grant now please to research this further?
I’ll title it ” Anthropogenic CO2 induced vulcanism”……
Good eh?

jarthuroriginal
Reply to  jones
October 12, 2014 1:47 am

Danny Glover beat you to it. Like other Hollywood types, his expertise as a star qualifies him to comment on scientific matters as well.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/01/15/danny-glover-haiti-earthq_n_425160.html
If you want to be in a position to speak on scientific matters and be heard, I suggest you try out for some lead parts in movies and TV.

jones
Reply to  jarthuroriginal
October 12, 2014 2:12 am

Oh for goodness sake!!
I swear I thought I was just taking the pi**! I really did….I mean, …….what the…..?
They really ARE quite mad…..
Thanks for the link though Jarthur..
.
OK then……How about this?……..The anthropogenic CO2 induced vulcanism induces an alteration in our orbit thus destabilising the entire solar system……
Go on then….find something on THAT!…..
Cheers…
A

theoriginaldonald
Reply to  jarthuroriginal
October 12, 2014 4:52 am

I would, but I’m too old for that shit-Martin Riggs

michael hart
Reply to  jarthuroriginal
October 12, 2014 9:39 am

Sorry, Jones, that one is taken too. I suggested it on JoNova’s coverage of the topic in May (though I doubt I was the first).
.http://joannenova.com.au/2014/05/that-west-antarctic-melting-couldnt-be-caused-by-volcanoes-could-it/
You’ll be glad to know I haven’t received any money to further explore the idea.

October 12, 2014 12:27 am

Just to add to the point, after WWII, the US Military explored the Antarctica from a true scientific view point not one of bragging to be a at the South Pole via sled dog teams. In one of their fly overs with cameras rolling, they filmed a lake somewhere inland that was totally free of ice back in the late 1940s to early 1950s.
I saw it on TV. So, the documentary is available to the public.
Paul

William Astley
October 12, 2014 12:29 am

Interesting, geothermal energy is the reason for ice loss in the Antarctic, rather than AGW. Makes sense as the Antarctic continent surface temperatures have cooled slightly rather than warmed.
And Southern Ocean temperatures have fallen since 2006, which would explain the extra sea ice:
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.ca/
Colder Southern ocean temperatures for all months of the year explains recorded Antarctic sea ice for all months of the year. Obviously there must be a physical explanation for the cooling of the Southern Ocean. (Solar magnetic cycle changes, not AGW.)
We should all be concerned if we start to see recorded sea ice in the Arctic. The first step in the process would be a reduction in Northern hemisphere ocean temperatures due to increased cloud cover. 2013 and 2014 there were record cold summers in the Arctic due to increased cloud cover.
Starting to see increased blue on this graph.
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2014/anomnight.10.9.2014.gif

phlogiston
October 12, 2014 12:40 am

Another of Voldemort’s horcruxes is destroyed

How many does he have left?

ren
October 12, 2014 1:41 am

Subsidence glacier in Bardarbunga caldera.
http://www.vedur.is/photos/volcanoes/barc_gps_all_is.png

Reply to  ren
October 12, 2014 9:51 am

Quite interesting how the drop in the GPS closely matches the amount of magma being emitted out at the Holuhraun fissure….

Peter Miller
October 12, 2014 1:58 am

Yet another pillar of alarmist “proof of global warming” comes tumbling down.
There are similar geothermal systems under the Arctic Ocean, but at great depths. Too deep to directly melt the floating ice above, but sufficient to generate upwellings of saline water to the relatively low saline waters near surface, which in turn means that colder temperatures are needed to freeze the surface water.
This could help explain the shrinking Arctic ice cap, up until a couple of years ago.
‘Climate scientists’ hate geologists, the world’s most sceptical group of people, because they keep coming up with inconvenient facts on so called climate change, not least that natural climate cycles did not suddenly cease in 1950.

mpainter
Reply to  Peter Miller
October 12, 2014 6:47 am

The Thwaites glacier moves at over 2 km per year, very fast for a glacier. It is reported to have accelerated in recent years (? When) and also the surface has lowered and the grounding line has retreated coastward. This is the dynamics and the answer will definitely be found at the ice/bedrock contact. All the facts suggest melt at the glacier’s base. The assertion that global warming is responsible for what is observed of this glacier is unsupported and unsustainable. The talk of the glacier’s imminent collapse and a subsequent rise in sea level is alarmist exaggeration.

latecommer2014
Reply to  Peter Miller
October 13, 2014 9:42 am

Has there been seismic indications of volcano activity? I get reports of +5 events, but few from Antarctice.

Sleepalot
October 12, 2014 2:12 am

I first remember the BBC reporting “the imminent collapse of Larsen B” in the mid 1970’s.
By 1979 I considered the “Larsen B is going to collapse” story to be a BBC Xmas tradition.
Not once did the BBC ever use the term “geothermal”.
A search of the BBC news website for “Larsen B geothermal” produces no results.
A search for “Larsen B” gives fewer results than it used to.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/
The BBC has been in alarmist-propaganda production a very long time.

Dodgy Geezer
October 12, 2014 2:20 am


If you want to be in a position to speak on scientific matters and be heard, I suggest you try out for some lead parts in movies and TV.
Equally, a good alternative is to fail to make much of a mark as a scientist, then offer yourself to a politician as a convenient mouthpiece for justifying whatever policies they care to adopt.
So long as you can advocate a vaguely coherent rationalisation for increasing taxes and providing subsidies, with one bound you can suddenly become the world authority on a wide variety of subjects, admired by a huge crown of businessmen, politicians and activists….

Paul
Reply to  Dodgy Geezer
October 13, 2014 6:43 am

“…is to fail to make much of a mark as a scientist, then offer yourself to a politician as a convenient mouthpiece for justifying whatever policies they care to adopt. “
Could that be a Davis Suzuki reference?

richard
October 12, 2014 2:46 am

2nd paper in 5 months on geothermal melting the Thwaites glacier. Like the first doubtful whether it will make the MSM.

PaulC
October 12, 2014 2:47 am

No news here. This has been know for years.
Someone just trying to get out of the global warming con

Anarchist Hate Machine
Reply to  PaulC
October 12, 2014 5:15 am

And we should welcome them and their findings, even if late.

October 12, 2014 2:58 am

Years ago a friend would occasionally toss the comment “I blame global warming” into conversations at utterly inane, off-topic moments. What was really surprising was the emphatic agreement he received from apparently sane people.
I think George Carlin explained this phenomenon when he said:
“ You know how stupid the average person is, right? Well half of them are stupider than that. ”
See George Carlin – The Planet is Fine !

Regards to all, Allan 🙂

Andrew
Reply to  Allan MacRae
October 12, 2014 4:42 am

Yes. I insert “(possibly due to global warming)” at random points for the same reason.
I’ve also started using “to distract from the Abbott666 Regime’s budget.”

sleepingbear dunes
October 12, 2014 3:03 am

I’m sorry but “Duh”. When I saw here a while back a map with this information, it just seemed so logical what was going on. When a total scientific illiterate like me has that reaction, it makes me wonder what were the top scientists thinking.

richard
Reply to  sleepingbear dunes
October 12, 2014 3:33 am

Especially when you know the majority of the Antarctic where there’s no geothermal warming is fairy stable.

Eliza
October 12, 2014 3:27 am

Sleeping bear: 100% agree…Yea Yea DUH as if this was not obvious years ago refer to Steig’s Drivel paper where he completely omits this and smears one warm station over the whole of antarctica…shame on Nature Magazine. bTW even super diehards have given upin BRitain anyway http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/11156113/Scrap-the-Climate-Change-Act-to-keep-the-lights-on-says-Owen-Paterson.html

markopanama
October 12, 2014 3:40 am

Just decamped from Iceland to the semi-tropics of Amsterdam (/sarc) but al least my fingers don’t break off on the keyboard. The locals are waiting for the caldera cap on Bardarbunga to collapse, dumping 850 meters of ice into the cooker. It’s sinking at the rate of 40cm per day, 20 meters so far.
Back to the Antarctic though and the claim that conditions now are “just like” 14,000 years ago. At that time, the climate switch had been thrown to end the glacial period and sea levels were rising very fast. According to the chart, around 20 meters since the low point at the start of pulse 1A.
There must have been well established coastal ice dams holding back the inland glaciers, which might indeed have been “loose on the rocks” due to geothermal activity. As the sea level rose, the coastal ice floated off and at some point the pre-lubed glaciers followed them out to sea.
But today, sea level has been pretty stable for a long time. The inland glaciers exist in an equilibrium state and unless something dramatic happens to shake them loose, I suspect they will stay right where they are. I would put my money on volcanism before anything in the atmosphere.
I wonder how deep the ice is over the rift zone? Iceland is full of volcanos with flat tops that erupted during the glacial epoch and did not dislodge the overlying glaciers.

MattN
October 12, 2014 3:51 am

Not a surprise for anyone paying attention.

Keith Willshaw
October 12, 2014 4:06 am

News just in
Michael Mann releases new Hockey Schtick proving rising CO2 from Iron furnaces in CoalBrookdale caused the Mount Tambora eruption based on 3 tree rings found upside down in his Christmas cracker.
Kevin Trenberth says this shows that the pause is caused by missing heat being transmitted to earths core.
John Cook claims Koch brothers bribed Antarctic volcanoes.
Naomi Klein calls for global Marxist dictatorship to be set up to consign problem of Capitalist Vulcanism to be consigned to dustbin of history, Says ‘This could never have happened under rule of our great leader Comrade Stalin’

pokerguy
October 12, 2014 5:02 am

The surprise isn’t the findings, but that the findings were published…

RogerJ
October 12, 2014 5:10 am

It’s called the Mann-tle Conveyor – AGW heat is sucked into the deep oceans heating the crust. The heat is transferred to the mantle and then released beneath Antarctica due to the earth’s magnetosphere.

nielszoo
Reply to  RogerJ
October 12, 2014 7:37 am

Oh.. so that’s why the magnetic field is getting weaker. It’s doing all the heavy lifting and moving all that evil Mann made CO2 heat from the North Atlantic to the South Pole. Makes perfect sense now. (Do I need the </sarc> tag?)

mpainter
October 12, 2014 5:19 am

The canary goes CHIRP CHIRP CHIRP
See? Alive and well.

Editor
October 12, 2014 6:19 am

I didn’t see a link to the paper, but I managed to hunt it down, the paywall is at http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X14005780

Editor
October 12, 2014 6:49 am

According to Professor John Turner, a climate expert at the British Antarctic Survey.
It is estimated that the Pine Island glacier alone loses so much water that it is responsible for 10% of global annual sea level rise (which is about 3mm per year). Warm currents come from deep water and heat the underside of the ice sheet, causing it to melt. Turner says this process probably has little to do with global warming. “Pine Island seems to be an ongoing retreat that could have been going on for 10,000 years,” he says.
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/pine-island-glacier-melting-has-little-to-with-global-warming-been-going-on-for-1000-years/

phlogiston
Reply to  Paul Homewood
October 12, 2014 7:05 am

Warm currents from deep water can only be from volcanic heat.
Otherwise they can’t occur (this is Antarctica, not the red sea).
So Turner is 100% right – this is nothing to do with any climatic or (non-geological) oceanographic phenomenon.

mpainter
Reply to  Paul Homewood
October 12, 2014 8:27 am

Let’s see 0.3mm × 10,000= 3,000 m
So, 3 m of sea level rise from the pine island glacier these past 10 millennia.
Nope, don’t want it-not scarey enough.

Paul
Reply to  mpainter
October 13, 2014 6:48 am

Let’s see 0.3mm × 10,000= 3,000 m</i?
should be 3,000mm. 3,000 m of sea rise IS scarey, and well past Lady Liberty's waist.

October 12, 2014 7:16 am

Why is the image presented with East on the left and West on the right?
Bob Clark

JamesS
Reply to  Robert Clark
October 12, 2014 8:48 am

Well, every direction away from the Pole is North, so how can one say there’s an East side and a West Side anyway? Every coast is a southern coast.

rogerknights
Reply to  JamesS
October 12, 2014 9:13 pm

Probably because one part is in the Eastern Hemisphere (mostly), and the other part is in the Western.

JohnB
Reply to  JamesS
October 14, 2014 10:24 pm

I think that should be “Every coast is a Northern Coast”. 🙂

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