Hurricane Iselle disintegrates before landfall in Hawaii

hawaii_radar_mosaic

Cool air and cool land mass on Island Of Hawaii sucks the heat energy out of Iselle.

Story submitted by reader “upcountrywater” who lives in Hawaii.

I live on Maui in Kula and the storm is now 8 hours late…

(satellite and radar images below shows disorganization of Iselle)

CPAC_IR_loop

Satellite IR loop, watch it go pllbbbtt!

Hawaii_IR_loop

Radar image, shows scattered rain.

hawaii_radar_mosaic

Source: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/radar.php

The big Island of Hawaii is a place where hurricanes come to die.

hawaii_hurricane_history[1]

No where else on Earth are there mountains that rise from sea level to above 13,000′ in just a few miles, situated in the path of hurricanes . As one gains in elevation the air temperature drops.

The big isle is just over 4,000 sq. mi in area, and most of that land area is above 3,000′ .

contour_rift_zones[1]

Checking the topographic map, a large quantity of land area is above 5,000′.

As the warm circulating air mass  of a hurricane closes in on the island, the warm moist air is  replaced with cool dry air.  Not only is the air cool at that elevation, the ground is also cool.  The heat energy of the storm is being transferred to the chilly ground, delivering massive  energy losses to the storm.

Additionally the mountains themselves act as a wind blocker resisting  the hurricane circular air flow, and also slows the speed of the traveling storm. Of course the size of a hurricane needs to be taken into consideration, Iselle was a small  cat 1 hurricane.

I live on Maui  at the 3,200′ in an area called Kula, I’m about 6 miles away from the Polipoli Springs State Park, and the Skyline Ridge Trail which is on a ridge of Haleakala at the 7,000′ level there is a strong wind blowing in the trees, I can hear  the faint howling,  it sounds like a weak jet engine…I’ve heard that sound before, in the winter during a big trade wind storms.

6:00 AM in Kula it’s dead calm no rain, the clouds are moving in several directions at the same time, dark clouds are forming to the east and south of my location. A beautiful morning and I can’t stop looking at the dancing clouds.

This storm is now a rain event, some thunderstorms here and there..

All airports in the state are now open.

Aloha.

==============================================================

Some additional info collected by Anthony for this story.

Observations: http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHTO.html

Hilo_AP_Iselle

Latest advisory from CPHC

Tropical Storm ISELLE Advisory Number 34

Issued at 500 AM HST FRI AUG 08 2014

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————-

Location: 19.3N 156.1W

ABOUT 70 MI…115 KM WSW OF HILO HAWAII

ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII

Maximum sustained winds: 50 MPH…85 KM/H

Present movement: WNW or 290 degrees AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H

Minimum central pressure: 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

——————–

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY. A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAWAII COUNTY.

=========================================================

Latest from NWS:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE LOCAL STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

326 AM HST FRI AUG 8 2014

...THE CENTER OF WEAKENING ISELLE HAS MOVED ASHORE NEAR PAHALA...

.NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM POSITION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PORTIONS OF THE

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG ISLAND.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR WATERS AROUND THE BIG ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NIIHAU...KAUAI...OAHU...

MOLOKAI...LANAI...KAHOOLAWE...MAUI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR WATERS AROUND KAUAI...

WATERS AROUND OAHU...KAIWI CHANNEL...MAUI COUNTY WATERS...PAILOLO

CHANNEL AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...

AT 3 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISELLE WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 19.2N...LONGITUDE 155.4W...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH

OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU HAWAII.

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE IS MOVING WEST AT 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE

WINDWARD SIDE OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AND MAUI COUNTY EARLY

THIS MORNING...WITH WINDS GUSTS OVER 50 MPH REPORTED IN FEW SITES.

STRONG WINDS CONTINUED OVER OAHU AS WELL...WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 50

MPH REPORTED OVER THE KOOLAU MOUNTAINS. SWELLS GENERATED BY

ISELLE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY...POSSIBLY BECOMING DAMAGING

ALONG SOME COASTLINES. THE THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING AND PROPERTY

DAMAGE WILL BE GREATEST ON WINDWARD BIG ISLAND.
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August 8, 2014 10:48 am

Hurricane Iselle disintegrates before landfall in Hawaii
————
Global Warming causes Climate Disintegration!
We’re DOOOOOMMMMED!!!
note to WUWT readers: the preceding has been a joke 😉
note to warmunists: if you start using my term “Climate Disintegration”, you will owe me royalties.

Daniel
August 8, 2014 10:57 am

The current satellite loop looks is pretty interesting. It looks like the storm hits the big island and completely breaks apart.

upcountrywater
August 8, 2014 11:00 am

I sent that story in less than an hour ago… a BIG Mahalo….Kevin…

August 8, 2014 11:01 am

and the two cats
henry says
how do I understand the reason for your screen name correctly
[I have two dogs]
it is globally cooling
http://blogs.24.com/henryp/files/2013/02/henryspooltableNEWc.pdf

coaldust
August 8, 2014 11:06 am

It’s funny how the story was about a “one two punch” for Hawaii. Turned out to be one: a poke and two: the *whiff*. The count: two balls, no hurricane strikes.

mpainter
August 8, 2014 11:11 am

“The big island of Hawaii is a place where hurricanes come to die”
So there was never any danger and we were not given any clue of this.

Cam
August 8, 2014 11:34 am

It hit Hawaii. Hawaii hit back.

Brian R
August 8, 2014 11:42 am

Same thing happened July last year. Ended up being a big non-event.

Mike Lewis
August 8, 2014 11:42 am

So the Big Island should be renamed Chuck Norris.

Eric
August 8, 2014 11:50 am

And of course the Weather Channel has a large radar image the Iselle breaking up against the Big Island with the headline “STONGEST ON RECORD” nice and big on their home page…
http://www.weather.com/

noaaprogrammer
August 8, 2014 11:58 am

A low ha ha ha!

Mary Brown
August 8, 2014 12:02 pm

Looking at hurricane climo, why is Hawaii so protected? Why the dead spot right in the middle of the Pacific?
Hurricane climo shows it’s probably more dangerous in St. Louis or Pittsburgh than Honolulu.
In this case, friction did her it. But that doesn’t explain the overall dearth.

upcountrywater
August 8, 2014 12:05 pm

How long will the weather services track a non existent storm?
http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/truvu/map_specnewsdct-93_ltst_4namus_enus_650x366.jpg

Curious George
August 8, 2014 12:06 pm

Did weather models predict this development? In particular, ECMWF is highly rated for its “tracking of a hurricane when it meets the ocean-land interface”, http://judithcurry.com/2014/08/04/is-the-road-to-scientific-hell-paved-with-good-moral-intentions/#comment-615302.

August 8, 2014 12:09 pm

Excellent reportage, upc.

Gary (Arkansas)
August 8, 2014 12:16 pm

Mike Lewis says:
August 8, 2014 at 11:42 am
“So the Big Island should be renamed Chuck Norris.”
Once again a commenter on WUWT wins the internet. Followed by a close second:
noaaprogrammer says:
August 8, 2014 at 11:58 am
“A low ha ha ha!”

FrankK
August 8, 2014 1:05 pm

noaaprogrammer says:
August 8, 2014 at 11:58 am
“A low ha ha ha!”
——————————————————–
That gets my vote10/10

jones
August 8, 2014 1:09 pm

So Hawaii is stealing all the heat and that’s where it’s hiding? If it’s conducting the heat away then I hypothesise it’s hiding in the deep mantle….or even the core….it would explain why it’s now millions of degrees down there especially with so many Hiroshimas going off.
Is my science off-beam?

Latitude
August 8, 2014 1:13 pm

noaaprogrammer says:
August 8, 2014 at 11:58 am
A low ha ha ha!
=============
ROTFL!

HGW xx/7
August 8, 2014 1:15 pm

What a beautiful metaphor: the illogical, hysteria of CAGW, stealing headlines around the country…only to completely disintegrate and become a non-issue upon running into the reality of Mother Nature or, in this case, Hawaii. 🙂
(Hey, if I was Mother Nature, I’d probably live there.)

Latitude
August 8, 2014 1:16 pm

The big Island of Hawaii is a place where hurricanes come to die.
===
one would think the models would know that by now………but no

Steamboat Jon
August 8, 2014 1:30 pm

It looks like the direction the storm came in from makes it notable (and may somewhat account for the headline). TWC has this other article (includes graphic with other storm tracks and some history) that goes into why storms seem to approach from certain directions and in many cases loose strength near Hawaii: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/hawaii-hurricanes-history-typical-tracks-20140804

Rob
August 8, 2014 1:47 pm

Big case of over hype. With the cool ocean temperatures
around Hawaii, you just can’t hit them with a
hurricane from the east. They have to come from
the south.

August 8, 2014 1:51 pm

Mother Nature apparently has a sense of humor, too!

August 8, 2014 1:57 pm

Curious George says:
August 8, 2014 at 12:06 pm
Did weather models predict this development? In particular, ECMWF is highly rated for its “tracking of a hurricane when it meets the ocean-land interface”,

The models I saw appeared to have done a good job, the second one Julio is expected to pass north of the islands and was the stronger of the two.
From about 4 days ago: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/mobile/refresh/MIATCDEP4+html/MIATCDEP4_050246.html

george e. smith
August 8, 2014 2:26 pm

So maybe O’bama’s plan to build a high hurricane fence across the Midwest, really has merit.
Just build a big mound in Kansas, to look like Mauna Loa, and it should do the trick.
Oh! and you could measure CO2 from the top of Mt. Kansas, and compare with Mauna Loa, to show how well mixed CO2 is.
So there !

Tom in Florida
August 8, 2014 2:38 pm

At least Jim Cantore of the Weather Channel got a nice little vacation all expenses paid. No wonder he toes the company line on climate. He’s probably laughing all the way home.

Editor
August 8, 2014 2:45 pm

I think it was last year, a tropical system was heading into Texas during the height of the drought and everyone was looking forward to the system’s rain. Dang storm evaporated in hours.
The delicate side of tropical cyclones….

Kevin Bonnet
August 8, 2014 3:30 pm

The big island has only been hit by two tropical storms in the past 50+ years. Must never rain there? I think they are excluding tropical storms that approach from the east and south. Makes for a good headline on weather.com

August 8, 2014 3:37 pm

ABC in Australia was very disappointed that this fizzled out as they had been hoping for a Giant Stormageddon to hit Hawaii. Winter in Australia has been noticeably colder than usual and they were seeking some relief from the pressure on CAGW.

August 8, 2014 4:58 pm

Mother Nature takes it revenge on Hawai’i from the north. The islands can and do get pummeled by storms from the Gulf of Alaska, typically mid Jan to late Feb.
If God has a twisted sense of humor, he’ll nail Hawai’i just after Christmas with snow on Maui and Oahu. (sorry UpCountry, nothing personal against you.)

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
August 8, 2014 6:06 pm

So if the Big Island was having a nice large volcanic eruption keeping the surrounding air warm, that would have allowed the hurricane to approach which subsequently would aid the cooling and hardening of the flowing lava?

old construction worker
August 8, 2014 6:33 pm

I thought hurricanes in the Pacific where called typhoons.

Mike from Carson Valley a particularly cold place that could benefit from some warming
August 8, 2014 7:41 pm

Typhoons are West of 180E, and Hurricanes East of that “date” line.

hunter
August 9, 2014 2:38 am

Imagine the world crisis of a tropical storm hitting a tropical island during tropical storm season.
The AP literally posted a breathless minute-by-minute account of this moderate tropical storm passing over Hawaii.
What maroons.

Bruce Cobb
August 9, 2014 3:51 am

Schadenfraud.
The joy in seeing fr**audulent pseudoscience being destroyed by nature.
Schadenfraud.

Mary Brown
August 9, 2014 7:33 am

I’ll ask again… Hawaii seems to be in a huge dead spot for hurricane activity considering the latitude. Here is the climo…
http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/7000/7079/tropical_cyclone_map_lrg.gif
Why? Weather is my forte but not so much hurricanes.
Can anyone address the issues involved in the low climo…
… friction is obvious esp on the Big island
… cool water ? why?
… what other factors.
Inquiring minds want to know. Thx

August 9, 2014 11:01 am

Only Godzilla can cause damage to Hawaii, plus the occasional tsunami.

1sky1
August 9, 2014 1:27 pm

Mary Brown:
Hawai’i is quite close to the center of the great, anti-cyclonic north Pacific gyre, similar to the Azores high in the north Atlantic. Geostrophic winds and ocean currents thus both conspire to keep tropical storm paths usually to the south, recurving to the west and northwest. High atmospheric pressure and colder waters in the northeast quadrant strongly inhibit tropical cyclones from coursing there

James Loux
August 9, 2014 2:43 pm

@mwhite:
Interesting picture, but the headline and quote make the point of over hyped storms. “Ferocious” is a bit strong. In the image, Genevieve is a just barely recovered Cat 1 (no eye visible), Iselle is a dying Cat 1 and Julio is a Cat 3 weakening to a Cat 2. The quote, “‘I can’t remember the last time when there were four storms of such intensity travelling the Pacific Ocean at the same time,’ Julian Heming, a tropical prediction scientist told MailOnline” indicates that Julian is indeed a young person. I saw many satellite images of multiple tropical storms/hurricanes developing in the tropics all across the Pacific in the 80s when I was looking at those images most every day. But since GOES satellites have only been up since 1975, and only showing images 100% of the time since 1994, we really don’t know how many times there may have been 4 storms just reaching hurricane level in the tropical Pacific, even back only 20 years.

August 9, 2014 8:43 pm

Shouldn’t windshear be taken into account? Take a look at the radar loop, upper left. You can see the high level winds blowing in the SW direction, then collides with Iselle and decapitates it.

August 9, 2014 8:49 pm

Also look at the clouds northeast of the islands, the entire Iselle cloud mass disintegrates from wind shear, not because it hit Hawaii island.

stas peterson
August 9, 2014 9:09 pm

Based on the past few weeks discussions here about the nature ofnthe PDO and about the dying E Nino, sloshing, aren’t Iselle Julio etc. the death knell for the CAGW Thermegdonites hopes to halt the Great Cooling Pause via a Super El Nino?.