UAH global temperature, down about 0.2°C in October

Harold Ambler says: (November 1, 2010 at 7:52 pm) …congratulations to the SF Giants. […] Truth be told, I feel the same way about La Nina preventing the takeover of western economies by those with hidden agendas.
An oddly compelling note, Harold. Says so much beyond the acual words used. Nice!

I am not optimistic about La Nina’s ability to prevent Californians from committing economic suicide tomorrow.

Harold Ambler says:
November 1, 2010 at 7:52 pm
I too am happy about the Giants. But La Nina or no La Nina, the way the propositions are worded on the ballot this time around is troublesome. Prop 23 might go down, and California’s struggling economy with it. That one is a tightrope.

Is this before, or after, the data has been “Hansenised”? (:-

Harold Ambler- I froze my arse off in the upper stands at Candlestick-in August!
Good game though, been a Giants fan for years, nip and tuck with the Mariners….
“Coldest winter I ever spent was summer in San Francisco.” Mark Twain

When building up a climate fear
By making some new warming clear
The trick to do it
The pot to brew it-
Is turning down the prior year.

Contigo no problemo. The AGWers will just continue in their pattern of El Moreno until the dominant El Culo phase is over.

geo says:
November 1, 2010 at 9:14 pm
So, not having Nov and Dec 1998 anomalies close to hand, what does 2010 need the next two months to stay under them?
Nov 1998 came in at 0.19 for an eleventh month average of 0.54. This November will need to come in at 0.54 to equal the 1998 eleventh month average.

So I am wondering if anyone has ever done any research on the following topic…
CO2 has a logarhythmic radioabsorptive property in the atmosphere (as the ppm increases, the warming from each unit of increased concentration is decreased… see the graph posted on this site approx 25x a year… it’s helpful.)
Water is a much more prevalent GHG, comprising both the majority of the GHG effect, and a much larger (but significantly more VARIABLE) portion of the atmosphere.
The GHG effect of water is most easily compared by looking at a tropical locale and a desert locale. Both are hot, experiencing a high amounts of direct sunlight. The striking difference between the two is (of course) the available atmospheric water vapor levels. Tropical regions are typical at or near absolute humidity, desert regions are usually very low humidity. This isn’t absolute, but it’s a pretty accurate description of either a causative or correlative condition. You don’t have the capacity for extensive biomass found in tropical regions without adequate supply of fresh water. Likewise, if there was a significant amount of available water, it wouldn’t be populated with only species capable of surviving in conditions with very little rainfall and little available river/lake/ground water supplies.
During the night, WETTER environments hold on to their heat quite thriftily, maintaining warm temperatures through the majority of the night. In part, this is likely related to the energy donated by condensing water as the temperature drops down to and then below the temps needed to maintain daytime absolute humidity levels. Meanwhile, in the drier regions, the swing between night and day is much larger, comprising blistering hot days with cool to cold nights.
This blanket effect seems to be largely driven by water vapor, logically, given that there’s no real convincing method available for CO2 to “give up” it’s heat in exchange for a phase transition, and energy MUST be maintained.
Where does this thought process lead me to… This article!
As we enter a strong La Nina, a significantly large portion of the Pacific Ocean is now a few degrees colder than usual at the sea surface. This suppresses local evaporation at the boundary and leads to decreased overall local water vapor concentrations and a lower absolute humidity. With a few points off the absolute humidity, the night time temperatures can drop a few degrees further before being buffered by the necessary condensation of water vapor to continue cooling.
Hence, the LOCAL environment over the La Nina areas are going to tip a bit more towards the “desert” side of the equation. Whereas higher SST during an El Nino are going to feed more water vapor, meaning higher abs. humidity and a higher temperature buffer.
Has anyone considered this as a possible vehicle for the rapid temp drop we’re seeing now? Anyone know of any research articles looking into local absolute and relative humidity versus day/night temperature anomalies? We may find that the much decried “increasing night time temps” that we hear so much about isn’t all UHI and could be related to an increasingly moister world (leading to wonderful things like the greening of the Sahel).

I suppose I should clarify. My tropics/desert comparison was used to look at (comparatively) the effects of water vapor on temperature retention. It seems like a very simple concept, but I haven’t seen anyone reference this effect when talking about changes in night-time air temperatures, only UHI vs CO2.
I am NOT in any way, comparing the WAY that the two get their relative water vapor concentrations… there are multiple theories on how forests stay humidity (e.g. biotic pump theories), or grow where rainfall occurs due to natural geographic formations. But the effect of heat capture can be felt even in open areas in tropical environments. Anyone in Florida can tell you how well the night times retain their heat, compared to a much more arid environ like the Mojave.

Let me try to explain this from the warmist perspective. This unexplainable downtrend is only temporarily negating the much more explainable and disastrous uptrend. Once this unexplainable cooling is over, the explainable warming will continue worse than we thought. Dare I say unprecedented?